scholarly journals Empirical Model With Excellent Statistical Properties for Describing Temperature-Dependent Developmental Rates of Insects and Mites

2017 ◽  
Vol 110 (3) ◽  
pp. 302-309 ◽  
Author(s):  
David A. Ratkowsky ◽  
Gadi V. P. Reddy

Abstract Previous empirical models for describing the temperature-dependent development rates for insects include the Briére, Lactin, Beta, and Ratkowsky models. Another nonlinear regression model, not previously considered in population entomology, is the Lobry–Rosso–Flandrois model, the shape of which is very close to that of the Ratkowsky model in the suboptimal temperature range, but which has the added advantage that all four of its parameters have biological meaning. A consequence of this is that initial parameter estimates, needed for solving the nonlinear regression equations, are very easy to obtain. In addition, the model has excellent statistical properties, with the estimators of the parameters being “close-to-linear,” which means that the least squares estimators are close to being unbiased, normally distributed, minimum variance estimators. The model describes the pooled development rates very well throughout the entire biokinetic temperature range and deserves to become the empirical model of general use in this area.

2010 ◽  
Vol 67 (2) ◽  
pp. 218-222 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lídia Raquel de Carvalho ◽  
Sheila Zambello de Pinho ◽  
Martha Maria Mischan

In biologic experiments, in which growth curves are adjusted to sample data, treatments applied to the experimental material can affect the parameter estimates. In these cases the interest is to compare the growth functions, in order to distinguish treatments. Three methods that verify the equality of parameters in nonlinear regression models were compared: (i) developed by Carvalho in 1996, performing ANOVA on estimates of parameters of individual fits; (ii) suggested by Regazzi in 2003, using the likelihood ratio method; and (iii) constructing a pooled variance from individual variances. The parametric tests, F and Tukey, were employed when the parameter estimators were near to present the properties of linear model estimators, that is, unbiasedness, normal distribution and minimum variance. The first and second methods presented similar results, but the third method is simpler in calculations and uses all information contained in the original data.


2010 ◽  
Vol 47 (6) ◽  
pp. 30-39
Author(s):  
D. Blumberga ◽  
I. Veidenbergs ◽  
J. Gusca ◽  
M. Rosa

Evaluation of CO2Emissions from Energy Sources in LatviaThe authors propose an empirical model for evaluation of the CO2emissions released from the energy generation sources as a function of the fuel types, energy efficiency of the technologies used, and the emission factors of the fuels. In the research, multifactor linear and nonlinear regression equations are employed. The developed model has been proved with the data of the energy generation sources taking part in the Latvian Emission Trading Scheme.


Genetics ◽  
1996 ◽  
Vol 144 (4) ◽  
pp. 1941-1950 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ziheng Yang

Statistical properties of a DNA sample from a random-mating population of constant size are studied under the finite-sites model. It is assumed that there is no migration and no recombination occurs within the locus. A Markov process model is used for nucleotide substitution, allowing for multiple substitutions at a single site. The evolutionary rates among sites are treated as either constant or variable. The general likelihood calculation using numerical integration involves intensive computation and is feasible for three or four sequences only; it may be used for validating approximate algorithms. Methods are developed to approximate the probability distribution of the number of segregating sites in a random sample of n sequences, with either constant or variable substitution rates across sites. Calculations using parameter estimates obtained for human D-loop mitochondrial DNAs show that among-site rate variation has a major effect on the distribution of the number of segregating sites; the distribution under the finite-sites model with variable rates among sites is quite different from that under the infinite-sites model.


1996 ◽  
Vol 59 (1) ◽  
pp. 16-23 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. H. LINTON ◽  
W. H. CARTER ◽  
M. D. PIERSON ◽  
C. R. HACKNEY ◽  
J. D. EIFERT

The heat resistance of Listeria monocytogenes was determined in infant formula for all possible combinations of temperature (50, 55, and 60°C), pH level (5, 6, and 7), and NaCl concentration (0, 2, and 4%). Survival curves were fit using nonlinear regression with a Gompertz equation. The Gompertz equation was flexible enough to fit the three most commonly observed survival curves: linear curves, those with an initial lag region followed by a linear region, and sigmoidal shaped. Parameter estimates obtained by the method of nonlinear least squares were used to describe the effect(s) of different heating treatments on the lag region, death rate, and tailing region of survival curves. These estimates were further used to predict single and interactive effects of temperature, pH, and percentage of NaCl on the log of the surviving fraction (LSF) of bacteria. Interactions among these variables significantly (P ≤ .05) affected the LSF. Generally, increased pH or NaCl concentration lead to an increased LSF, whereas increased time or temperature lead to a decreased LSF. All multiple-factor interactions significantly (P ≤ .05) affected the LSF. The correlation of observed LSF versus predicted LSF (R2 = .92) indicated that the estimated Gompertz equation was in close agreement with the observation. This study demonstrated that the Gompertz equation and nonlinear regression can be used as an effective means to predict survival curve shape and response to heat of L. monocytogenes under many different environmental conditions.


Vacuum ◽  
2008 ◽  
Vol 83 (2) ◽  
pp. 276-281 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Bengi ◽  
S. Altındal ◽  
S. Özçelik ◽  
S.T. Agaliyeva ◽  
T.S. Mammadov

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Siripina Vijayakumar ◽  
Avinash Kumar ◽  
Balla Rajakuma

Abstract. Temperature dependent rate coefficients for the gas phase reactions of Cl atoms with 4-hexen-3-one and 5-hexen-2-one were measured over the temperature range of 298–363 K relative to 1-pentene, 1,3-butadiene and isoprene. Gas Chromatography (GC) was used to measure the concentrations of the organics. The derived temperature dependent Arrhenius expressions are k4-hexen-3-one+Cl (298–363 K) = (2.82 ± 1.76)×10−12exp [(1556 ± 438)/T] cm3 molecule−1 s−1 and k5-hexen-2-one+Cl (298–363 K) = (4.6 ± 2.4)×10−11exp[(646 ± 171)/T] cm3 molecule−1 s−1. The corresponding room temperature rate coefficients are (5.54 ± 0.41)×10−10 cm3 molecule−1 s−1 and (4.00 ± 0.37)×10−10 cm3 molecule−1 s−1 for the reactions of Cl atoms with 4-hexen-3-one and 5-hexen-2-one respectively. To understand the mechanism of Cl atom reactions with unsaturated ketones, computational calculations were performed for the reactions of Cl atoms with 4-hexen-3-one, 5-hexen-2-one and 3-penten-2-one over the temperature range of 275–400 K using Canonical Variational Transition state theory (CVT) with Small Curvature Tunneling (SCT) in combination with CCSD(T)/6-31+G(d, p)//MP2/6-311++G(d, p) level of theory. Atmospheric implications, reaction mechanism and feasibility of the title reactions are discussed in this manuscript.


1985 ◽  
Vol 63 (3) ◽  
pp. 350-353 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maximo E. Ramia ◽  
Robin L. Armstrong

Chlorine nuclear quadrupole resonance lineshapes are reported for the cubic antifluorite K2OsCl6 in the temperature range 70–300 K. For temperatures above 172 K the spectrum consists of a single symmetric line; for temperatures below 172 K an asymmetric line is observed which can be represented as a sum of two symmetric lines. The symmetric lines are temperature dependent mixtures of Lorentzian and Gaussian profiles. The explanation is that the nuclear quadrupole resonance lines observed in K2OSCl6 are inhomogeneously broadened by temperature dependent local strains caused by point defects and dislocations.


2001 ◽  
Vol 44 (4) ◽  
pp. 401-404 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fernanda G. A. Ferraz-Grande ◽  
Massanori Takaki

The germination of endangered species Dalbergia nigra was studied and 30.5° C was found as optimum temperature, although the species presented a broad temperature range where germination occurs and light had no effect. The analysis of kinetics of seed germination confirmed the asynchronized germination below and above the optimum temperature. The light insensitive seed and germination also at high temperatures indicated that D. nigra could occur both in understories and gaps where the mean temperature was high.


Author(s):  
Hussein Ahmad Abdulsalam ◽  
Sule Omeiza Bashiru ◽  
Alhaji Modu Isa ◽  
Yunusa Adavi Ojirobe

Gompertz Rayleigh (GomR) distribution was introduced in an earlier study with few statistical properties derived and parameters estimated using only the most common traditional method, Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE). This paper aimed at deriving more statistical properties of the GomR distribution, estimating the three unknown parameters via a competitive method, Maximum Product of Spacing (MPS) and evaluating goodness of fit using rainfall data sets from Nigeria, Malaysia and Argentina. Properties of statistical distributions including distribution of smallest and largest order statistics, cumulative or integrated hazard function, odds function, rth non-central moments, moment generating function, mean, variance and entropy measures for GomR distribution were explicitly derived. The fitted data sets reveal the flexibility of GomR distribution over other distributions been compared with. Simulation study was used to evaluate the consistency, accuracy and unbiasedness of the GomR distribution parameter estimates obtained from the method of MPS. The study found that GomR distribution could not provide a better fit for Argentine rainfall data but it was the best distribution for the rainfall data sets from Nigeria and Malaysia in comparison with the distributions; Generalized Weibull Rayleigh (GWR), Exponentiated Weibull Rayleigh (EWR), Type (II) Topp Leone Generalized Inverse Rayleigh (TIITLGIR), Kumarawamy Exponential Inverse Raylrigh (KEIR), Negative Binomial Marshall-Olkin Rayleigh (NBMOR) and Exponentiated Weibull (EW). Furthermore, the estimates from MPSE were consistent as the sample size increases but not as efficient as those from MLE.


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