scholarly journals An introduction to inverse probability of treatment weighting in observational research

Author(s):  
Nicholas C Chesnaye ◽  
Vianda S Stel ◽  
Giovanni Tripepi ◽  
Friedo W Dekker ◽  
Edouard L Fu ◽  
...  

Abstract In this article we introduce the concept of inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) and describe how this method can be applied to adjust for measured confounding in observational research, illustrated by a clinical example from nephrology. IPTW involves two main steps. First, the probability—or propensity—of being exposed to the risk factor or intervention of interest is calculated, given an individual’s characteristics (i.e. propensity score). Second, weights are calculated as the inverse of the propensity score. The application of these weights to the study population creates a pseudopopulation in which confounders are equally distributed across exposed and unexposed groups. We also elaborate on how weighting can be applied in longitudinal studies to deal with informative censoring and time-dependent confounding in the setting of treatment-confounder feedback.

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S439-S439
Author(s):  
Adam M Ressler ◽  
Alieysa Patel ◽  
Krishna Rao

Abstract Background Exposure to certain medications, particularly antibiotics and proton pump inhibitors, has been associated with increased risk for Clostridium difficile infection (CDI). Studies have suggested an increased risk for CDI associated with exposure to certain non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs). We conducted a retrospective case-control study to evaluate the risk for CDI associated with NSAID use. Methods The population included 1338 patients tested for CDI from February–December 2016 at the University of Michigan. NSAID use within 30 days of CDI testing was determined by chart review. Both scheduled and as-needed NSAID use met the definition for exposure, but aspirin use alone did not. Additional clinical data such as comorbid disease and baseline laboratory parameters were extracted through electronic query. A random forest model imputed missing data. A propensity score for NSAID use was developed via logistic regression and included gender, back pain, baseline serum creatinine, osteoarthritis, rheumatoid arthritis, serum albumin, and use of anticoagulant or antiplatelet medications. Cases were matched 1:1 with C. difficile negative controls by propensity score, with a matching caliper of 0.2 x standard deviation of the logit of the score. The final study population consisted of 1256 cases and their matched controls, however 6 cases could not be matched to controls as none had scores within the matching caliper. Conditional logistic regression was used to compare cases to controls. Results NSAID use was similar between the two groups on unadjusted analyses. The adjusted, multivariable model demonstrates that non-aspirin NSAID use is not a significant risk factor for CDI (P =.816), after adjustment for comorbid disease burden, age, and history of prior CDI (Table). Older age and prior CDI were independent risk factors for CDI (Table). Table Study population and modeling results Conclusion In this retrospective case-control study, non-aspirin NSAID use was not associated with an increased risk of CDI. To our knowledge, this is the first study of NSAID use as a risk factor for CDI that accounted for bias due to treatment assignment using a propensity score. Future studies should account for frequency or chronicity of NSAID use, which may affect the results. Disclosures Krishna Rao, MD, MS, Bio-K+ International, Inc. (Consultant)Merck and Co., Inc. (Research Grant or Support)Roche Molecular Systems, Inc. (Consultant)


Neurology ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 10.1212/WNL.0000000000012777
Author(s):  
Peter C. Austin ◽  
Amy Ying Xin Yu ◽  
Manav V. Vyas ◽  
Moira K. Kapral

Propensity score-based analysis is increasingly being used in observational studies to estimate the effects of treatments, interventions, and exposures. We introduce the concept of the propensity score and how it can be used in observational research. We describe four different ways of using the propensity score: matching on the propensity score, inverse probability of treatment weighting using the propensity score, stratification on the propensity score, and covariate adjustment on the propensity score (with a focus on the first two). We provide recommendations for the use and reporting of propensity score methods for the conduct of observational studies in neurological research.


2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 317-322
Author(s):  
Dwi Sutiningsih ◽  
Inova Inova ◽  
Mateus Sakundarno Adi

Background: Tempoyak is a traditional food of Dayak tribe that is processed from durian fruit meat. Some studies show that at a certain amount of tempoyak consumption can increase blood pressure. Nutritional content in durian fruit that can affect blood pressure, namely, potassium, calcium, sodium, and alcohol. The purpose of this study is to prove that consuming tempoyak is a risk factor for hypertension.Methods: This research is an observational research with cross sectional design that is done in Dayak tribal communities in the area of Tumbang Samba health center. The study population in this study is the population in the area of Puskesmas Tumbang Samba Katingan Regency. The sample number was 180 respondents who met the inclusion and exclusion criteria.Result: The results showed that the proven factors for the incidence of hypertension are coffee consumption (PR=5,280; p-value=0.022), tempoyak consumption frequency (PR=3,935; p=value=0.047).Conclusion : Tempoyak consumption is proven to be a risk factor for the incidence of hypertension.


Crisis ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 35 (5) ◽  
pp. 330-337 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cun-Xian Jia ◽  
Lin-Lin Wang ◽  
Ai-Qiang Xu ◽  
Ai-Ying Dai ◽  
Ping Qin

Background: Physical illness is linked with an increased risk of suicide; however, evidence from China is limited. Aims: To assess the influence of physical illness on risk of suicide among rural residents of China, and to examine the differences in the characteristics of people completing suicide with physical illness from those without physical illness. Method: In all, 200 suicide cases and 200 control subjects, 1:1 pair-matched on sex and age, were included from 25 townships of three randomly selected counties in Shandong Province, China. One informant for each suicide or control subject was interviewed to collect data on the physical health condition and psychological and sociodemographic status. Results: The prevalence of physical illness in suicide cases (63.0%) was significantly higher than that in paired controls (41.0%; χ2 = 19.39, p < .001). Compared with suicide cases without physical illness, people who were physically ill and completed suicide were generally older, less educated, had lower family income, and reported a mental disorder less often. Physical illness denoted a significant risk factor for suicide with an associated odds ratio of 3.23 (95% CI: 1.85–5.62) after adjusted for important covariates. The elevated risk of suicide increased progressively with the number of comorbid illnesses. Cancer, stroke, and a group of illnesses comprising dementia, hemiplegia, and encephalatrophy had a particularly strong effect among the commonly reported diagnoses in this study population. Conclusion: Physical illness is an important risk factor for suicide in rural residents of China. Efforts for suicide prevention are needed and should be integrated with national strategies of health care in rural China.


2021 ◽  
Vol 40 (9) ◽  
pp. 2101-2112
Author(s):  
Mitchell M. Conover ◽  
Kenneth J. Rothman ◽  
Til Stürmer ◽  
Alan R. Ellis ◽  
Charles Poole ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 232596712098680
Author(s):  
Jr-Yi Wang ◽  
Chen-Kun Liaw ◽  
Chi-Chang Huang ◽  
Tsan-Hon Liou ◽  
Hui-Wen Lin ◽  
...  

Background: Patients with adhesive capsulitis are evaluated for pain and progressive contracture of the glenohumeral joint. Whether endocrine, immune, or inflammatory processes are involved in its definite pathogenesis is still under debate. Some cross-sectional studies with a small sample size have noted that hyperlipidemia is a possible risk factor for frozen shoulders. Purpose/Hypothesis: The purpose was to conduct a longitudinal population-based study to investigate the risk of adhesive capsulitis among patients with hyperlipidemia. It was hypothesized that patients with hyperlipidemia would have a higher risk of adhesive capsulitis and that the use of statin drugs could reduce the rate. Study Design: Cohort study; Level of evidence, 3. Methods: Using data from the National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD) of Taiwan, the authors obtained the records of patients with hyperlipidemia who received a diagnosis between 2004 and 2005 and were followed up until the end of 2010. The control cohort comprised age- and sex-matched patients without hyperlipidemia. Propensity score matching was performed for the other comorbidities. A Cox multivariate proportional hazards model was applied to analyze the risk factors of adhesive capsulitis. The hazard ratio (HR) and adjusted HR were estimated between the study and control cohorts after adjustment for confounders. The effects of statin use on adhesive capsulitis risk were also analyzed. Results: The NHIRD records of 28,748 patients and 114,992 propensity score–matched controls were evaluated. A higher incidence rate of adhesive capsulitis was revealed in the hyperlipidemia cohort, with a crude HR of 1.70 (95% CI, 1.61-1.79; P < .001) and adjusted HR of 1.50 (95% CI, 1.41-1.59; P < .001). Patients with hyperlipidemia who used a statin still had higher crude and adjusted HRs compared with controls. Statin use did not exert protective effects on patients with hyperlipidemia. Conclusion: Patients with hyperlipidemia had a 1.5-fold higher risk of adhesive capsulitis than did healthy controls. Statin use did not provide protection against adhesive capsulitis in patients with hyperlipidemia.


2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Siqing Wang ◽  
Aiya Qin ◽  
Gaiqin Pei ◽  
Zheng Jiang ◽  
Lingqiu Dong ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Whether cigarette smoking is associated with the progression of immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) remains uncertain; therefore, we aimed to evaluate the effect of cigarette smoking on the prognosis of IgAN. Methods We divided 1239 IgAN patients from West China Hospital of Sichuan University who met the inclusion criteria into smoker (current or former) and non-smoker groups. The endpoint was end-stage renal disease (ESRD: eGFR < 15 mL/min/1.73 m2 or undergoing renal replacement treatment) and/or eGFR decreased by > 50%. Kaplan–Meier, correlation, logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards analyses were performed. The association between cigarette smoking and IgAN was further verified by propensity-score-matched cohort analysis. Results During the mean follow-up period of 61 months, 19% (40/209) of the smoker group and 11% (110/1030) of the non-smoker group reached the study endpoint (p < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that cigarette smoking (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.58; p = 0.043) was an independent risk factor predicting poor renal progression in IgAN, and that IgAN patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage 3–4 were more susceptible to cigarette smoking (p < 0.001). After propensity score matching (PSM), a significant correlation between cigarette smoking and renal outcomes in IgAN patients was seen. Furthermore, Spearman’s correlation test revealed that smoking dose was negatively correlated with eGFR (r = 0.141; p < 0.001) and positively related with proteinuria (r = 0.096; p = 0.001). Conclusions Cigarette smoking is an independent risk factor for IgAN progression, especially for advanced patients.


Author(s):  
Pingping Jia ◽  
Helen W.Y. Lee ◽  
Joyce Y.C. Chan ◽  
Karen K.L. Yiu ◽  
Kelvin K.F. Tsoi

High blood pressure (BP) is considered as an important risk factor for cognitive impairment and dementia. BP variability (BPV) may contribute to cognitive function decline or even dementia regardless of BP level. This study aims to investigate whether BPV is an independent predictor for cognitive impairment or dementia. Literature searches were performed in MEDLINE, Embase, PsycINFO, CINAHL, and Web of Science to May 2021. Longitudinal studies that assessed the risk of dementia or cognitive impairment with BPV as the predictor was included. Meta-analysis and meta-regression were performed to evaluate the effect of BPV on the risk of dementia or cognitive impairment. A total of 5919 papers were identified, and 16 longitudinal studies were included, which had >7 million participants and a median age from 50.9 to 79.9 years and a median follow-up of around 4 years. Thirteen studies reported visit-to-visit BPV and concluded that systolic BPV increases the risk of dementia with a pooled hazard ratio of 1.11 (95% CI, 1.05–1.17), and increases the risk of cognitive impairment with a pooled hazard ratio of 1.10 (95% CI, 1.06–1.15). Visit-to-visit diastolic BPV also increased the risk of dementia and cognitive decline. A meta-regression revealed a linear relationship between higher BPV and risks of dementia and cognitive impairment. Similar findings were observed in the studies with day-to-day BPV. This study suggests that long-term BPV is an independent risk factor for cognitive impairment or dementia, so an intervention plan for reducing BPV can be a target for early prevention of dementia.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document