P4377Use of LV Deformation Imaging to predict long term Heart Failure Risk in high risk patients

Background The increasing prevalence of heart failure (HF), due to hypertension, ischaemic heart disease, diabetes, obesity, and ageing population demands identification of at-risk subgroup whom we could target on prevention strategies. In a same cohort of patients at risk of HF (70% with CAD), 13% developed new HF hospitalization or death over 4.3 years of follow-up, however, disease management program did not confer any benefit to outcome and LV ejection fraction (EF) was not predictive of progression to HF. Better risk stratification strategies are needed. In this study, we sought whether advanced echo measure on deformation, global longitudinal strain (GLS) would predict HF admission over a long term follow up and thereby define an at-risk group. Aim: To determine which of the LV morphology, function and deformation parameters, best predict new HF admission or HF death in pts at risk but without prior dx of HF. Method Echocardiograms (including measurement of LV, size, function, morphology and deformation) were obtained in 431 inpatients (mean age 65±11, 72% male) at risk of HF. LV global longitudinal strain (GLS) and strain rate (GLSR) were measured offline (EchoPac, GE). Long term (9 years) follow up data were obtained via data linkage. Results 63 pts (15%) reached the end-point of HF admission or HF death. LV deformation showed a univariable association with outcome (Table). In multivariable analysis, including known significant predictors of outcome (age, sex, BMI, diabetes, hypertension), GLS less than 18 remained an independent predictor (Table), in addition to age and DM at baseline. EF and LV mass were not predictors of heart failure. HR (95% CI) P value HR (95% CI) P value HR (95% CI) P value Age 1.1 (1–1.1) <0.01 1.1 (1–1.1) 0.04 1 (1–1.1) 0.04 Sex 1.0 (0.6–1.7) 0.9 0.8 (0.4–1.8) 0.6 0.8 (0.4–1.8) 0.6 BMI 1.0 (1–1.1) 0.05 1 (0.9–1.1) 0.7 1 (0.9–1.1) 0.7 DM 2.6 (1.6–4.3) <0.01 2.7 (1.4–5.3) <0.01 2.7 (1.4–5.2) 0.04 LVMI 1.0 (1.0–1.0) <0.01 1 (0.9–1.0) 0.7 1 (0.99–1.0) 0.7 Impaired EF, % 1.0 (0.9–1.0) <0.01 1 (0.9–1.0) 0.16 0.97 (0.94–1.0) 0.04 Diastolic dysfunction 2.3 (1.4–3.7) <0.01 0.8 (0.3–1.7) 0.5 0.7 (0.3–1.7) 0.5 GLS 1.3 (1.4–1.2) <0.01 1.1 (1–1.2) 0.07 GLS <18 5.3 (2.8–10.2) <0.01 2.3 (1.1–5.1) 0.04 Conclusion GLS <18 is independently associated with increasing new onset heart failure admission and HF mortality in patients at risk of HF.