P5642A clinical risk score for estimating sudden cardiac death risk in the general population

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
A Aro ◽  
A Holkeri ◽  
A Eranti ◽  
T Kerola ◽  
M J Junttila ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
General Population ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Clinical Risk Score ◽  
Clinical Risk ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Male Sex

Abstract Background Sudden cardiac death (SCD) remains a major cause of premature mortality worldwide, so there has been an ongoing pursuit for tools for SCD risk stratification. Coronary artery disease is the major cause for SCD in adults, but the level of risk associated with multiple cardiovascular risk factors is not well established. Purpose To create a clinical risk score for estimating SCD risk in the general population. Methods Using data from a Finnish general population cohort of 7200 adults (mean age 51y, 46% male) with a mean follow-up of 24±11 years, we assessed the incremental SCD risk associated with the presence of several cardiovascular risk factors. SCD events were adjudicated based on death certificates according to the established criteria (autopsy was performed on 48% of SCD cases). Hazard ratios (HR) for SCD and all-cause mortality were calculated using the Cox proportional hazards model. Of the multiple parameters analysed, male sex, increasing age, diabetes, hypertension, smoking and previously diagnosed cardiac disease were independently associated with SCD in a multivariable model. Based on the magnitude of risk, a SCD risk score was created (2 points: age >70y; 1 point: male sex, age 60–70y, diabetes, hypertension, smoking, cardiac disease). Results 75.2% of the study subjects had 0–2 risk points, 12.8% 3 risk points, and 12.0% >3 risk points. During the follow-up, 400 SCDs occurred. Increasing risk score was associated with a progressively greater risk for SCD (Figure). Compared with subjects without risk factors, those with a risk score of 3 had a HR of 21.2 (95% CI 12.7–35.4, p<0.001) and those with a risk score of >3 had a HR of 52.6 (95% CI 31.3–88.3, p<0.001) for SCD. Clinical risk score predicted significantly also all-cause mortality (HR 31.5 with risk score >3 [95% CI 27.6–35.9, p<0.001]). Risk of SCD according to the risk score Conclusions Accumulation of multiple cardiovascular risk factors is associated with a markedly elevated risk for SCD in the general population. This highlights the need for SCD prevention efforts with lifestyle interventions and medical therapy in the high-risk subjects. Studies on focused SCD risk stratification may be warranted in the subjects at highest risk.

scholarly journals Premature STEMI in Men and Women: Current Clinical Features and Improvements in Management and Prognosis

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (6) ◽  
pp. 1314
Author(s):  
Rebeca Lorca ◽  
Isaac Pascual ◽  
Andrea Aparicio ◽  
Alejandro Junco-Vicente ◽  
Rut Alvarez-Velasco ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
Coronary Artery ◽  
General Population ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk Factors ◽  
Young Women ◽  
Artery Dissection ◽  
Men And Women ◽  
High Prevalence

Background: Coronary artery disease (CAD) is the most frequent cause of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Etiopathogenic and prognostic characteristics in young patients may differ from older patients and young women may present worse outcomes than men. We aimed to evaluate the clinical characteristics and prognosis of men and women with premature STEMI. Methods: A total 1404 consecutive patients were referred to our institution for emergency cardiac catheterization due to STEMI suspicion (1 January 2014–31 December 2018). Patients with confirmed premature (<55 years old in men and <60 in women) STEMI (366 patients, 83% men and 17% women) were included (359 atherothrombotic and 7 spontaneous coronary artery dissection (SCAD)). Results: Premature STEMI patients had a high prevalence of classical cardiovascular risk factors. Mean follow-up was 4.1 years (±1.75 SD). Mortality rates, re-hospitalization, and hospital stay showed no significant differences between sexes. More than 10% of women with premature STEMI suffered SCAD. There were no significant differences between sexes, neither among cholesterol levels nor in hypolipemiant therapy. The global survival rates were similar to that expected in the general population of the same sex and age in our region with a significantly higher excess of mortality at 6 years among men compared with the general population. Conclusion: Our results showed a high incidence of cardiovascular risk factors, a high prevalence of SCAD among young women, and a generally good prognosis after standardized treatment. During follow-up, 23% suffered a major cardiovascular event (MACE), without significant differences between sexes and observed survival at 1, 3, and 6 years of follow-up was 96.57% (95% CI 94.04–98.04), 95.64% (95% CI 92.87–97.35), and 94.5% (95% CI 91.12–97.66). An extra effort to prevent/delay STEMI should be invested focusing on smoking avoidance and optimal hypolipemiant treatment both in primary and secondary prevention.

3226The impact of cardiovascular risk factors on global longitudinal strain over a ten-year period in the general population: The Copenhagen City Heart Study

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
K G Skaarup ◽  
M C H L Lassen ◽  
S R B S Biering-Soerensen ◽  
P G J Joergensen ◽  
M A Appleyard ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
General Population ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk Factors ◽  
Smoking Status ◽  
Global Longitudinal Strain ◽  
Spline Curves ◽  
Heart Study ◽  
Male Sex ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Background Global longitudinal strain (GLS) of the left ventricle (LV) has proved to be a strong predictor of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. GLS declines throughout adult-life as the LV remodels and adapts. Information on the impact of cardiac risk factors such as male sex, obesity, smoking status, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, and diabetes on GLS through time has not yet been investigated. Purpose The aim of the present study was to investigate the impact of age, sex, body mass index (BMI), smoking status (current and previous vs never), mean arterial blood pressure (MAP), total plasma cholesterol (TPC), and HbA1c on GLS in the general population over a 10-year period. Method A total of 689 citizens recruited from the general population participated in the 4th and 5th Copenhagen City Heart Study (CCHS4 and CCHS5) a prospective longitudinal study. At CCHS4 the mean age was 51 years and 45% were male. The average decline in GLS during the follow-up period was −0.65%. All participants underwent two echocardiographic examinations median 10.4 [IQR: 10.2, 10.9] years apart along with thorough health examinations. All analyses were adjusted for baseline GLS value (CCHS4 value). Results In regression models, increasing age, male sex, increasing BMI, MAP, hypertension, increasing HbA1c, and diabetes proved to be significantly associated with increased decline in GLS. Relationship between significant continuous cardiovascular risk factors and ΔGLS are displayed in restricted spline curves (Figure 1). In a multivariable regression model including all the investigated cardiovascular risk factors, estimated glomerular filtration rate, plasma pro B-type natriuretic peptide, heart rate, and previous ischemic heart disease, age (standardized β-coef. = −0.10, P=0.005), male sex (standardized β-coef. = −0.16, P<0.001), and MAP (standardized β-coef. = −0.07, P=0.009) remained independent predictors of an accelerated decline in GLS during a 10-year period. Restricted cubic spline curves Conclusion In the general population increasing age, male sex, and increasing MAP are all independently associated with an accelerated decline in GLS over a 10-year period.

scholarly journals Long-Term All-Cause Mortality and Its Association with Cardiovascular Risk Factors in Thyroid Cancer Survivors: An Israeli Population-Based Study

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elena Izkhakov ◽  
Lital Keinan-Boker ◽  
Micha Barchana ◽  
Yacov Shacham ◽  
Iris Yaish ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Thyroid Cancer ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk Factors ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
All Cause Mortality

Abstract Background: The global incidence of thyroid cancer (TC) has risen considerably during the last three decades, while prognosis is generally favorable. We assessed the long-term all-cause mortality in TC survivors compared to the general population, and its association with cardiovascular risk factors. Methods: Individuals diagnosed with TC during 2001-2014 (TC group) and age- and sex-matched individuals from the same Israeli healthcare system without thyroid disease or a cancer history (non-TC group) were compared. Cox regression hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs) for all-cause mortality were calculated by exposure status. Results: During a 15-year follow-up (median 8 years), 577 TC survivors out of 5,677 (10.2%) TC patients and 1,235 individuals out of 23,962 (5.2%) non-TC patients died. The TC survivors had an increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR=1.89, 95%CI 1.71-2.10), after adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors already present at follow-up initiation. This increased risk was most pronounced in the 55- to 64-year-old age group (HR=1.49, 95%CI 1.33-1.67). The TC survivors who died by study closure had more hypertension (14.6% vs. 10.3%, P = 0.002), more dyslipidemia (11.4% vs. 7.2%, P < 0.001), and more cardiovascular disease (33.6% vs. 22.3%, P = 0.05) compared to those who died in the non-TC group. Conclusions: This large cohort study showed higher all-cause mortality with a higher prevalence of hypertension, dyslipidemia, and cardiovascular disease among TC survivors compared to matched non-TC individuals. Primary and secondary prevention of cardiovascular risk factors in TC survivors is mandatory.

scholarly journals Association between Cardiovascular Risk Factors and Long-Term All-Cause Mortality in Thyroid Cancer Survivors: An Israeli Population-Based Study

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elena Izkhakov ◽  
Lital Keinan-Boker ◽  
Micha Barchana ◽  
Yacov Shacham ◽  
Iris Yaish ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Thyroid Cancer ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk Factors ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
All Cause Mortality

Abstract Background: The global incidence of thyroid cancer (TC) has risen considerably during the last three decades, while prognosis is generally favorable. We assessed the association between long-term all-cause mortality and cardiovascular risk factors in TC survivors compared to the general population. Methods: Individuals diagnosed with TC during 2001-2014 (TC group) and age- and sex-matched individuals from the same Israeli healthcare system without thyroid disease or a cancer history (non-TC group) were compared. Cox regression hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs) for all-cause mortality were calculated by exposure status. Results: During a 15-year follow-up (median 8 years), 577 TC survivors out of 5,677 (10.2%) TC patients and 1,235 individuals out of 23,962 (5.2%) non-TC patients died. The TC survivors had an increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR=1.89, 95%CI 1.71-2.10), after adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors already present at follow-up initiation. This increased risk was most pronounced in the 55- to 64-year-old age group (HR=1.49, 95%CI 1.33-1.67). The TC survivors who died by study closure had more hypertension (14.6% vs. 10.3%, P = 0.002), more dyslipidemia (11.4% vs. 7.2%, P < 0.001), and more cardiovascular disease (33.6% vs. 22.3%, P = 0.05) compared to those who died in the non-TC group. Conclusions: This large cohort study showed higher all-cause mortality with a higher prevalence of hypertension, dyslipidemia, and cardiovascular disease among TC survivors compared to matched non-TC individuals. Primary and secondary prevention of cardiovascular risk factors in TC survivors is mandatory.

scholarly journals Electrocardiographic unrecognized myocardial infarction does not improve prediction of cardiovascular events beyond traditional risk factors. The Tromsø Study

2017 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 78-86 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrea Milde Øhrn ◽  
Henrik Schirmer ◽  
Inger Njølstad ◽  
Ellisiv B Mathiesen ◽  
Anne E Eggen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Myocardial Infarction ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
General Population ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk Factors ◽  
Cardiovascular Events ◽  
Hazard Ratio ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Traditional Risk Factors

Background Unrecognized myocardial infarction (MI) is a frequent and intriguing entity associated with a similar risk of death as recognized MI. Previous studies have not fully addressed whether the poor prognosis is explained by traditional cardiovascular risk factors. We investigated whether electrocardiographically detected unrecognized MI was independently associated with cardiovascular events and death and whether it improved prediction for future MI in a general population. Design Prospective cohort study. Methods We studied 5686 women and men without clinically recognized MI at baseline in 2007–2008. We assessed the risk of future MI, stroke and all-cause mortality in persons with unrecognized MI compared with persons with no MI during 31,051 person-years of follow-up. Results In the unadjusted analyses, unrecognized MI was associated with increased risk of future recognized MI (hazard ratio 1.84, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.15–2.96) and all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 1.78, 95% CI 1.21–2.61), but not stroke (hazard ratio 1.09, 95% CI 0.56–2.17). The associations did not remain significant after adjustment for traditional risk factors (hazard ratio 1.25, 95% CI 0.76–2.06 and hazard ratio 1.38, 95% CI 0.93–2.05) for MI and all-cause mortality respectively. Unrecognized MI did not improve risk prediction for future recognized MI using the Framingham Risk Score ( p = 0.96) or the European Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation ( p = 0.65). There was no significant sex interaction regarding any of the endpoints. Conclusion Electrocardiographic unrecognized MI was not significantly associated with future risk of MI, stroke or all-cause mortality in the general population after adjustment for the traditional cardiovascular risk factors, and it did not improve prediction of future MI.

P1523Comparative long-term outcomes among men and women after percutaneous coronary intervention

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
N Procopi ◽  
M Zeitouni ◽  
M Kerneis ◽  
N Hammoudi ◽  
E Berman ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk Factors ◽  
Cardiovascular Mortality ◽  
Cardiovascular Death ◽  
Long Term Outcomes ◽  
Men And Women ◽  
All Cause Mortality

Abstract Background Comparative long-term outcomes among women and men treated with percutaneous intervention (PCI) are unknown. Objective To describe and compare mortality and predictors of poor outcomes among men and women who underwent PCI. Methods Consecutive men and women admitted for PCI between 2008 and 2011 were prospectively included and followed-up in this cohort study. Major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) and causes of death were collected through consultations, calls and death certificate. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality according to gender. Secondary endpoints were cardiovascular death, non-cardiovascular death and MACCEs. Last detailed cardiovascular and vital status were collected in January 2019. Results A total of 3524 patients including 2720 men (77.1%) and 804 women (22.8%) were followed-up for a median time of 7.0 years (IQ1: 5.4; IQ 3: 7.2). The follow-up rate was 97.6%. Women were older at baseline (70±13.1 vs. 64.6±12), smoked less often (18.9% vs. 30.4%) but suffered more frequently of hypertension (67.9% vs. 58.1%) and chronic kidney disease (42.6% vs. 22.7%). All-cause death occurred for 30.3% (n=1070) and MACCE for 40.9% (n=1443) of patients in the cohort. In unadjusted analyses, women had a higher risk of all-cause mortality (35% vs 29%, HR = 1.25, 95% CI [1.09–1.43], p=0.0015) and cardiovascular mortality (61% vs. 57%, HR = 1.31, 95% CI [1.10–1.56]) but there was no difference on occurrence of MACCE (HR = 1.079, 95% CI = [0.9271–1.221]). After adjustments for baseline cardiovascular risk factors, presentation and severity of coronary disease, women and men shared a similar risk of mortality along time (adHR = 0.90, 95% CI [0.77–1.05]). Survival curves in women vs. men Conclusions In this long-term follow-up, women had a higher risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality after PCI in unadjusted analyses. However, gender was not independently associated with mortality after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors.

scholarly journals Increased risk of Roma for 10-year development of CVDs based on Framingham Risk Score calculation

2019 ◽  
Vol 29 (Supplement_4) ◽  
Author(s):  
P Piko ◽  
S Fiatal ◽  
Z Kosa ◽  
J Sandor ◽  
R Adany
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Blood Pressure ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
General Population ◽  
Systolic Blood Pressure ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Framingham Risk Score ◽  
Roma Population ◽  
Framingham Risk

Abstract Background Increased mortality and short life expectancy of Roma are well known epidemiological findings which can be partially explained by the high prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors among them. This study assesses the prevalence of the cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors (age, sex, systolic blood pressure, smoking and diabetes status, elevated total and reduced high density lipoprotein cholesterol level (HDL-C)) and the estimation of 10-year risk of development of CVD (CVD in general, coronary heart disease (CHD), myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke) and that of death from CHD and CVD based on the Framingham Risk Score (FRS) in case of the Hungarian general (HG) and Roma (HR) populations. Methods A complex health survey incl. questionnaire based interview, physical examination and laboratory test was carried out in 2018 on the HG and HR populations. The prevalence of different cardiovascular risk factors was defined and FRS was computed and compared between the HG (n = 378) and HR (n = 386) populations. Results The prevalence of diabetes was significantly higher among Roma females compared to females of general population (17.8% vs. 7.7%; p = 0.001) while the average systolic blood pressure level was less elevated among Roma males (127.9 mmHg vs. 129.4 mmHg; p = 0.020). The prevalence of smoking (males: 63.1% vs. 33.7%; females: 67.6% vs. 31%; p &lt; 0.001) and reduced HDL-C level (males: 40% vs. 25.9%, p = 0.014; females: 55.5% vs. 35.1%, p &lt; 0.001) were significantly higher in both sexes among Roma. The 10-year estimated risk for development of CHD, MI and CVD and the death from CHD was significantly (P &lt; 0.05) higher in both sexes among Roma compared to the general population while the average risk scores for stroke and death from CVD were significantly higher only among Roma men. Conclusions Our results show that both sexes in the Roma population have a significantly higher risk for 10-year development of CVD compared to the Hungarian general population. Key messages The Roma population have a significantly higher risk for 10-year development of cardiovascular diseases and death from them based on the Framingham Risk Score. The targeted cardiovascular interventions should be focus on reduce smoking and provide information on the recognition and treatment of diabetes and lipid disorders among Roma.

Incidence of arterial cardiovascular events in patients with idiopathic venous thromboembolism

2006 ◽  
Vol 96 (08) ◽  
pp. 132-136 ◽  
Author(s):  
Antonio Marchiori ◽  
Alfonso Noto ◽  
Vincenza Rossi ◽  
Filomena Daniele ◽  
Caterina Santoro ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
Venous Thromboembolism ◽  
General Population ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk Factors ◽  
Unknown Origin ◽  
Arterial Disease ◽  
Control Group ◽  
Control Subjects

SummaryRecent data have showna higher incidence of arterial events in patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE) of unknown origin than in those with the secondary form of disease. Whether patients with idiopathic VTE have a higher risk of subsequent arterial events than the general population is unknown. The aim was to evaluate the rates of subsequent arterial events in patients with idiopathic VTE and control subjects. In a retrospective cohort study we compared the rates of subsequent arterial events (i.e. acute myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke and peripheral arterial disease) in 151 consecutive patients with objectively confirmed spontaneousVTE and 151 control subjects randomly selected from the database of two family physicians. We collected information about cardiovascular risk-factors (hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes, obesity and smoke) at the time of VTE episode, or corresponding date for the controls, and considered the follow-up from this time. Patients and controls who had suffered from arterial events before the index date were excluded. During a mean follow-up of 43.1 (± 21.7) months there were 16 arterial events in theVTE patients and six in the control group (HR, 2.84; 95% CI, 1.11 to 7.27; p= 0.03).The difference remained significant after adjusting for age and other cardiovascular risk factors (HR 2.86; 95% CI, 1.07 to 7.62).Overall mortality was also higher in theVTE patients (12 vs.4 deaths). In conclusion, arterial events are more common in patients with previous idiopathic VTE than in the general population. These findings may have practical implications.

scholarly journals Long-Term All-Cause Mortality and Its Association with Cardiovascular Risk Factors in Thyroid Cancer Survivors: An Israeli Population-Based Study

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elena Izkhakov ◽  
Lital Keinan-Boker ◽  
Micha Barchana ◽  
Yacov Shacham ◽  
Iris Yaish ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Thyroid Cancer ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk Factors ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
All Cause Mortality

Abstract Background: The global incidence of thyroid cancer (TC) has risen considerably during the last three decades, while prognosis is generally favorable. We assessed the long-term all-cause mortality in TC survivors compared to the general population, and its association with cardiovascular risk factors. Methods: Individuals diagnosed with TC during 2001-2014 (TC group) and age- and sex-matched individuals from the same Israeli healthcare system without thyroid disease or a cancer history (non-TC group) were compared. Cox regression hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs) for all-cause mortality were calculated by exposure status. Results: During a 15-year follow-up (median 8 years), 577 TC survivors out of 5,677 (10.2%) TC patients and 1,235 individuals out of 23,962 (5.2%) non-TC patients died. The TC survivors had an increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR=1.89, 95%CI 1.71-2.10), after adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors already present at follow-up initiation. This increased risk was most pronounced in the 55- to 64-year-old age group (HR=1.49, 95%CI 1.33-1.67). The TC survivors who died by study closure had more hypertension (14.6% vs. 10.3%, P = 0.002), more dyslipidemia (11.4% vs. 7.2%, P < 0.001), and more cardiovascular disease (33.6% vs. 22.3%, P = 0.05) compared to those who died in the non-TC group. Conclusions: This large cohort study showed higher all-cause mortality with a higher prevalence of hypertension, dyslipidemia, and cardiovascular disease among TC survivors compared to matched non-TC individuals. Primary and secondary prevention of cardiovascular risk factors in TC survivors is mandatory.

scholarly journals Immunothrombosis and new-onset atrial fibrillation in the general population: the Rotterdam Study

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martijn J. Tilly ◽  
Sven Geurts ◽  
Samantha J. Donkel ◽  
M. Arfan Ikram ◽  
Natasja M. S. de Groot ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
General Population ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk Factors ◽  
Von Willebrand Factor ◽  
Von Willebrand ◽  
Willebrand Factor ◽  
New Onset

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common age-related cardiac arrhythmia. The etiology underlying AF is still largely unknown. At the intersection of the innate immune system and hemostasis, immunothrombosis may be a possible cause of atrial remodeling, and therefore be an underlying cause of AF. Methods From 1990 to 2014, we followed participants aged 55 and over, free from AF at inclusion. Immunothrombosis factors fibrinogen, von Willebrand factor, ADAMTS13, and neutrophil extracellular traps (NETs) levels were measured at baseline. Participants were followed until either onset of AF, loss-to-follow-up, or reaching the end-date of 01-01-2014. Cox proportional hazard modelling was used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), adjusted for cardiovascular risk factors. Results We followed 6174 participants (mean age 69.1 years, 57% women) for a median follow-up time of 12.8 years. 364 men (13.7%, incidence rate 13.0/1000 person-years) and 365 women (10.4%, incidence rate 8.9/1000 person-years) developed AF. We found no significant association between markers of immunothrombosis and new-onset AF after adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors [HR 1.00 (95% CI 0.93–1.08) for fibrinogen, 1.04 (0.97–1.12) for von Willebrand factor, 1.00 (1.00–1.01) for ADAMTS13, and 1.01 (0.94–1.09) for NETs]. In addition, we found no differences in associations between men and women. Conclusion We found no associations between markers of immunothrombosis and new-onset AF in the general population. Inflammation and immunothrombosis may be associated with AF through other cardiovascular risk factors or predisposing conditions of AF. Our findings challenge the added value of biomarkers in AF risk prediction. Graphic abstract

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