Is the intima-media thickness of temporal and axillary arteries influenced by cardiovascular risk?

Rheumatology ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
María Victoria Martire ◽  
Edoardo Cipolletta ◽  
Andrea Di Matteo ◽  
Marco Di Carlo ◽  
Diogo Jesus ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Axillary Artery ◽  
Superficial Temporal Artery ◽  
Intima Media Thickness ◽  
Temporal Artery ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Media Thickness ◽  
Temporal Arteries ◽  
The Us ◽  
Very High

Abstract Objectives 1) To measure with ultrasound (US) the intima-media thickness (IMT) of temporal (superficial, parietal and frontal branches) and axillary arteries in subjects without a diagnosis of giant-cell arteritis (GCA) and/or polymyalgia rheumatica (PMR) with different cardiovascular (CV) risk; 2) to assess the performance of previously proposed cut-off values for normal IMT. Methods Subjects ≥ 50 years without a diagnosis of GCA or PMR were included. Bilateral US of the temporal arteries, including the frontal and parietal branches, and axillary arteries was performed by two sonographers using a 10–22 MHz and 6–18 MHz probe. The following previously proposed cut-off for were considered: Superficial temporal artery: 0.42 mm; Frontal branch: 0.34 mm; Parietal branch: 0.29 mm; Axillary artery: 1.0 mm. Results A total of 808 arteries in 101 subjects were evaluated; of these, 31 (30.7%) were classified as very high-CV risk, 7 (6.9%) as high, 34 (33.7%) as moderate and 29 (28.7%) as low-risk. Subjects with very high or high-risk showed higher IMT than those with moderate or low-risk in the superficial temporal arteries [0.23 (SD 0.07) vs 0.20 (SD 0.04), p< 0.01] and in the axillary arteries [0.54 (SD 0.17) vs 0.48 (SD 0.10), p: 0.002]. The IMT was higher than the reference cut-off in 13/808 (1.6%) arteries, in ≥ 1 artery in 10/101 subjects (10.1%). Of these 10 subjects, 8 (80%) were classified as having very high or high risk. Conclusion Our results suggest that CV risk might influence the US-determined IMT of the temporal and axillary arteries in subjects without GCA. Therefore, in patients with suspected GCA, particular attention should be paid when measuring the IMT in those patients with very high/high CV risk.

scholarly journals Proposal for the use of echocardiography in bloodstream infections due to different streptococcal species

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sandra Chamat-Hedemand ◽  
Niels Eske Bruun ◽  
Lauge Østergaard ◽  
Magnus Arpi ◽  
Emil Fosbøl ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Factor ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Blood Culture ◽  
Positive Blood Culture ◽  
Bloodstream Infections ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Moderate Risk ◽  
Streptococcal Species ◽  
Very High

Abstract Background Infective endocarditis (IE) is diagnosed in 7–8% of streptococcal bloodstream infections (BSIs), yet it is unclear when to perform transthoracic (TTE) and transoesophageal echocardiography (TOE) according to different streptococcal species. The aim of this sub-study was to propose a flowchart for the use of echocardiography in streptococcal BSIs. Methods In a population-based setup, we investigated all patients admitted with streptococcal BSIs and crosslinked data with nationwide registries to identify comorbidities and concomitant hospitalization with IE. Streptococcal species were divided in four groups based on the crude risk of being diagnosed with IE (low-risk < 3%, moderate-risk 3–10%, high-risk 10–30% and very high-risk > 30%). Based on number of positive blood culture (BC) bottles and IE risk factors (prosthetic valve, previous IE, native valve disease, and cardiac device), we further stratified cases according to probability of concomitant IE diagnosis to create a flowchart suggesting TTE plus TOE (IE > 10%), TTE (IE 3–10%), or “wait & see” (IE < 3%). Results We included 6393 cases with streptococcal BSIs (mean age 68.1 years [SD 16.2], 52.8% men). BSIs with low-risk streptococci (S. pneumoniae, S. pyogenes, S. intermedius) are not initially recommended echocardiography, unless they have ≥3 positive BC bottles and an IE risk factor. Moderate-risk streptococci (S. agalactiae, S. anginosus, S. constellatus, S. dysgalactiae, S. salivarius, S. thermophilus) are guided to “wait & see” strategy if they neither have a risk factor nor ≥3 positive BC bottles, while a TTE is recommended if they have either ≥3 positive BC bottles or a risk factor. Further, a TTE and TOE are recommended if they present with both. High-risk streptococci (S. mitis/oralis, S. parasanguinis, G. adiacens) are directed to a TTE if they neither have a risk factor nor ≥3 positive BC bottles, but to TTE and TOE if they have either ≥3 positive BC bottles or a risk factor. Very high-risk streptococci (S. gordonii, S. gallolyticus, S. mutans, S. sanguinis) are guided directly to TTE and TOE due to a high baseline IE prevalence. Conclusion In addition to the clinical picture, this flowchart based on streptococcal species, number of positive blood culture bottles, and risk factors, can help guide the use of echocardiography in streptococcal bloodstream infections. Since echocardiography results are not available the findings should be confirmed prospectively with the use of systematic echocardiography.

scholarly journals FRI0197 THE DIAGNOSTIC ACCURACY OF VASCULAR ULTRASOUND IN PATIENTS SUSPECTED OF GCA: A DANISH MULTICENTRE PROSPECTIVE COHORT STUDY

2020 ◽  
Vol 79 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 682.1-682
Author(s):  
S. Chrysidis ◽  
U. Møller Døhn ◽  
L. Terslev ◽  
U. Fredberg ◽  
T. Lorenzen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Multicentre Study ◽  
Diagnostic Accuracy ◽  
Giant Cell Arteritis ◽  
Giant Cell ◽  
Clinical Diagnosis ◽  
Axillary Artery ◽  
Laboratory Data ◽  
Temporal Artery ◽  
Large Vessel ◽  
The Us

Background:Giant Cell Arteritis (GCA) is one of the most common systemic vasculitis. Temporal artery biopsy (TAB) has been the standard test to confirm the diagnosis of GCA. However, TAB has a lower sensitivity than clinical diagnosis and up to 44% of biopsy-negative patients are clinically diagnosed as having GCA.In a recent meta-analysis of the diagnostic performance of ultrasound (US) in GCA the sensitivity was 77 % (1). The included studies were performed by expert groups in single centres. In the to date only multicentre study (TABUL) investigating the diagnostic accuracy of US compared to clinical diagnosis after 6 months the sensitivity was lower (54%) (2)Objectives:To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of vascular US compared to TAB in a multicentre study.Methods:In three Danish centres patients suspected for GCA were included during a period of two years. At baseline, clinical and laboratory data were collected and vascular US of temporal, facial, common carotid and axillary artery were performed. The US examinations were performed with high frequency transducers (15-18 MHZ) and followed by a TAB. All ultrasongraphers had participated in the same standardized US educational program and were blinded to clinical and laboratory data. An external expert blinded to clinical and laboratory data evaluated all images and made the final US diagnosis.A positive sign for vasculitis in cranial arteries was defined as a hypoechoic intima media complex (IMC) thickening (halo sign) and a positive compression sign. A homogeneous IMC increased thickness in axillary artery of ≥1mm and in common carotid artery ≥1.5mm was defined as vasculitis.The consultant rheumatologist’s diagnosis at 6 months after initial presentation was considered as the reference standard for the diagnosis of GCA.Results:During the recruitment period, 112 patients were included, 59% females, mean (SD) age 72.4(7.9) years, among which 91(81.3%) fulfilled the ACR 1990 classification criteria for GCA. 92% of the patients reported a newly emerged localized headache, while 49 (43.8%) experienced polymyalgia rheumatic symptoms.TAB was positive in 46(41.1%) and inconclusive in 6 patients, who were excluded from the analysis. Mean (SD) duration of glucocorticoid therapy prior to US and TAB was 0.91(1.55) and 4.02(2.61) days, respectively. In 62 patients, the final diagnosis was GCA.In all patients with a positive TAB, the US of the temporal artery was also positive for GCA. Of 19 cases with positive US and negative TAB, 12 were clinically diagnosed with GCA of whom 6 had isolated large vessel involvement on US. Among 41 patients with both negative US and TAB, 4 were clinically diagnosed with GCA (Box 1)US had a sensitivity of 93% and specificity of 84% for the diagnosis of GCA, while the sensitivity for TAB was lower (74%) with a specificity of 100%. For the diagnosis of GCA, US had a PPV of 89.2 % and a NPV of 90.2%, while for TAB the PPV was 100% and the NPV 73.3%.Conclusion:US evaluation of the temporal, facial and selected supraaortic arteries performed by trained ultrasonographers can replace biopsy in the diagnosis of GCA.Box.1References:[1]Duftner C, Dejaco C, et al. Imaging in diagnosis, outcome prediction and monitoring of large vessel vasculitis: a systematic literature review and metaanalysis informing the EULAR recommendations. RMD Open 2018;4:e000612.[2]Luqmani R et al. The Role of Ultrasound Compared to Biopsy of Temporal Arteries in the Diagnosis and Treatment of Giant Cell Arteritis (TABUL): a diagnostic accuracy and cost-effectiveness study. Health Technol Assess 2016;20:1_238.Disclosure of Interests:stavros chrysidis: None declared, Uffe Møller Døhn: None declared, Lene Terslev Speakers bureau: LT declares speakers fees from Roche, MSD, BMS, Pfizer, AbbVie, Novartis, and Janssen., Ulrich Fredberg: None declared, Tove Lorenzen: None declared, Robin Christensen: None declared, Per Søndergaard: None declared, Jakob Matthisson: None declared, Knud Larsen: None declared, Andreas Diamandopoulos: None declared

A practical composite risk score for the development of Haemolytic Uraemic Syndrome from Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli

2019 ◽  
Vol 29 (5) ◽  
pp. 861-868 ◽  
Author(s):  
Douglas Hamilton ◽  
John Cullinan
Keyword(s):  
Escherichia Coli ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Shiga Toxin ◽  
Haemolytic Uraemic Syndrome ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Medium Risk ◽  
Composite Risk ◽  
Very High ◽  
Estimation Of Risk

Abstract Background Haemolytic Uraemic Syndrome (HUS) is a serious complication of Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC) infection and the key reason why intensive health protection against STEC is required. However, although many potential risk factors have been identified, accurate estimation of risk of HUS from STEC remains challenging. Therefore, we aimed to develop a practical composite score to promptly estimate the risk of developing HUS from STEC. Methods This was a retrospective cohort study where data for all confirmed STEC infections in Ireland during 2013–15 were subjected to statistical analysis with respect to predicting HUS. Multivariable logistic regression was used to develop a composite risk score, segregating risk of HUS into ‘very low risk’ (0–0.4%), ‘low risk’ (0.5–0.9%), ‘medium risk’ (1.0–4.4%), ‘high risk’ (4.5–9.9%) and ‘very high risk’ (10.0% and over). Results There were 1397 STEC notifications with complete information regarding HUS, of whom 5.1% developed HUS. Young age, vomiting, bloody diarrhoea, Shiga toxin 2, infection during April to November, and infection in Eastern and North-Eastern regions of Ireland, were all statistically significant independent predictors of HUS. Demonstration of a risk gradient provided internal validity to the risk score: 0.2% in the cohort with ‘very low risk’ (1/430), 1.1% with ‘low risk’ (2/182), 2.3% with ‘medium risk’ (8/345), 3.1% with ‘high risk’ (3/98) and 22.2% with ‘very high risk’ (43/194) scores, respectively, developed HUS. Conclusion We have developed a composite risk score which may be of practical value, once externally validated, in prompt estimation of risk of HUS from STEC infection.

scholarly journals IgH-V(D)J NGS-MRD measurement pre- and early post-allotransplant defines very low- and very high-risk ALL patients

Blood ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 125 (22) ◽  
pp. 3501-3508 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael A. Pulsipher ◽  
Chris Carlson ◽  
Bryan Langholz ◽  
Donna A. Wall ◽  
Kirk R. Schultz ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Treatment Modification ◽  
Key Points ◽  
Very High

Key Points IgH-V(D)J NGS-MRD detection pretransplant identifies a cohort at low risk for relapse, for which treatment modification could be considered. Positive NGS-MRD was highly predictive of relapse and survival as early as 30 days after HCT.

scholarly journals Comparação da Aplicação da EER Hema-Obs a 250 Gestações da Consulta de Hematologia-Obstetrícia do Centro Hospitalar São João, Portugal Versus EER Galit Sarig a 90 Gestações no Rambam Health Care Campus, Israel

2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (2) ◽  
pp. 189
Author(s):  
Ana Salselas ◽  
Inês Pestana ◽  
Francisco Bischoff ◽  
Mariana Guimarães ◽  
Joaquim Aguiar Andrade
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Pregnant Women ◽  
Receiver Operating Characteristic ◽  
Operating Characteristic ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Very High ◽  
Receiver Operating

<strong>Introduction:</strong> Pregnant women with thromboembolic diseases, previous thrombotic episodes or thrombophilia family history were supervised in a multidisciplinary Obstetrics/ Hematology consultation in Centro Hospitalar São João EPE, Porto, Portugal. For the evaluation and medication of these women, a risk stratification scale was used.<br /><strong>Purposes:</strong> The aim of this study was to validate a Risk Stratification Scale and thromboprophylaxis protocol by means of comparing it with a similar scale, developed and published by Sarig.<br /><strong>Material and Methods:</strong> We have compared: The distribution, by risk groups, obtained through the application of the two scales on pregnant women followed at Centro Hospitalar São João, Porto, Portugal, consultation; the sensibility and specificity for each one of the scales (DeLong scale, applied to Receiver Operating Characteristic) curves; the outcomes in pregnancies followed in Hospital São João, Porto, Portugal<br /><strong>Results:</strong> According to our Hema-Obs risk stratification scale, 29% were allocated to low-risk, 47% to high-risk and 24% to very-high-risk groups. According to Galit Sarig risk stratification scale, 24% were considered low-risk, 53% moderate, 16% high-risk and 7% as very high-risk group. In our study we observed 9% of spontaneous abortions, in comparison with 18% in the Galit Sarig cohort. From the application of Receiver Operating Characteristic curve to both risk stratification scales, the results of the calculated areas were 58,8% to our Hema-Obs risk stratification scale and 38,7% to Galit Sarig risk stratification scale, with a Delong test significancie of p = 0.0006.<br /><strong>Conclusions:</strong> We concluded that Hema-Obs risk stratification scale is an effective support for clinical monitoring of therapeutic strategies.

NO RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN GAMMA-GLUTAMYLTRANSFERASE (GGT) LEVELS AND INTIMA-MEDIA THICKNESS IN HIGH RISK REFERRALS

2011 ◽  
Vol 29 ◽  
pp. e326
Author(s):  
M. Nuti ◽  
C. Grigoratos ◽  
P. Spontoni ◽  
G. Dellʼomo ◽  
A. Balbarini ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Intima Media Thickness ◽  
Gamma Glutamyltransferase ◽  
Media Thickness

Do Unexpected and Cryptic FISH Lesions Of Chromosomally Normal MDS Patients Have Any Prognostic Relevance?

Blood ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 122 (21) ◽  
pp. 1549-1549
Author(s):  
Paolo Bernasconi ◽  
Irene Dambruoso ◽  
Marina Boni ◽  
Paola Maria Cavigliano ◽  
Ilaria Giardini ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Disease Progression ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Disease Stage ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
Disease Evolution ◽  
Prognostic Relevance ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Very High ◽  
Disease Specific

Abstract Conventional cytogenetic (CC) still remains a mandatory step in the routine diagnostic work-up of every MDS patient (pt), is one of the major determinant of disease outcome and guides potential treatment decisions. However, CC is not informative in about 50% of chromosomally normal (CN) pts and provides limited information in those with very rare defects even if the revised IPSS cytogenetic categories have tried to overcome this drawback. More sensitive techniques (aCGH, SNP-a and NGS), still used in the research setting only, suggest that CN pts may instead contain novel unexpected chromosomal lesions which prognosis is still undefined. Thus, the principal goal of our study was to establish whether FISH with disease specific probes (i.e. for chromosomal regions most commonly affected in MDS) along with non-disease specific probes (i.e. for regions which alteration in MDS has been demonstrated by aCGH only) may effectively unmask clonal cryptic defects. Other aims were to establish the nature of these defects, to identify the potentially targeted genes and to estimate their possible prognostic relevance. The one-hundred twenty-seven consecutive CN MDS pts of the present study came to our observation in the period January 2003-December 2012. They were forty-nine females and seventy-eight males, median age 66 years (range 24-88). Twenty-one pts were diagnosed as RARS, 29 as RA, one as CRMDS, one as U-MDS, 25 as RCMD, 26 as RAEB-1 and 24 as RAEB-2. On CC 122 pts presented a normal karyotype and five no mitotic figures. Considering the revised IPSS score, 62 pts were considered very low-risk, 32 low-risk, 23 intermediate risk, 8 high-risk and 2 very high-risk. Median follow-up was 22 months (range 1-90). At the time of the study nine pts have died. FISH probes were chosen based on the frequency of their involvement in MDS and their Mb position determined using UCSC genome browser on Human Mar. 2003 assembly. They were obtained from BACPAC Resources Center at C.H.O.R.I. (Oakland, USA), labelled and applied as previously described. These probes were: RP11-912D8 (19q13.2); RP11-196P12 (17q11.2); RP11-269C4 (14q12); RP11-351O1 (10q21.3); RP11-144G6 (10q11.2); RP11-122A11 (7q34); RP11-951K18 (5q13.1); RP11-101K5 (4p14); RP11-544H14 (2q33). i-FISH cut-off values were fixed at 10%. Thirty-one pts (24.4%) presented at least a single defect, always represented by deletions or gains of chromosomal material. Among them 8 pts (25.8%) presented at least two defects. Bands most commonly targeted by deletions/amplifications were 19q13.2 (61.3%), 14q12 (32.2%), 17q11.2 (16.1%), 5q13.1 (12.9%), 7q34 (12.9%), 4p14 (9.6%). Deletions of bands 10q11.2, 10q21.3 and 2p33 were more rare. As the RMD-1 gene, involved in DNA double strand breaks and homologous recombination, maps at band 19q13.2, the most commonly deleted chromosomal area, additional molecular tests are being developed to analyse this gene. An abnormal FISH pattern was observed in 2/21 (9.5%) RARS, in 7/29 (24.1%) RA, in 5/25 (20.0%) RCMD, in 8/26 (30.6%) RAEB-1 and in 9/24 (37.5%) RAEB-2. Considering IPSS, an abnormal FISH pattern was revealed in 7/62 (11.3%) very low-risk, in 8/32 (25%) low-risk, in 10/23 (43.4%) intermediate risk, in 5/8 (62.5%) high-risk and in 1/2 very high-risk patients. Disease evolution occurred in a total of 34 pts (3 RARS, 7 RA, 5 CRMD, 11 RAEB-1 and 8 RAEB-2), 16 (one RARS, 3 RA, 2 CRMD, 6 RAEB-1 and 4 RAEB-2) with an abnormal FISH pattern. All the 8 patients with at least two chromosomal deletions experienced disease progression. In conclusion, i) FISH reveals novel unexpected karyotype defects, most commonly deletions pinpointing genes involved in DNA repair, in about 24.4% of CN MDS; ii) band 19q13.2 deletion is the most common defect, frequently associated with disease evolution; ii) an abnormal FISH pattern is correlated with an advanced disease stage and an intermediate/high revised IPSS score; iii) >two lesions are associated with an increased risk of disease progression. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

A Risk Score to Predict CMV Viremia within the First 100 Days after Allogeneic Stem Cell Transplantation Based on Pre-Transplant Parameters

Blood ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 124 (21) ◽  
pp. 3877-3877
Author(s):  
Feras Alfraih ◽  
John Kuruvilla ◽  
Naheed Alam ◽  
Anna Lambie ◽  
Vikas Gupta ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Stem Cell ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Cmv Infection ◽  
Allogeneic Hsct ◽  
Very High

Abstract Introduction: Cytomegalovirus (CMV) is a major infectious complication following allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT). Risk of CMV infection varies between patients and individualized strategies for monitoring and therapy for CMV are needed. In this study, we attempted to establish a clinical score based on patient and transplant characteristics in order to predict the probability for early CMV viremia (CMV-V) within the first 100 days after HSCT. Methods: A total of 548 patients were evaluated after receiving HSCT between 2005 and 2012 at Princess Margaret Cancer Centre. CMV sero-negative recipients with CMV sero-negative donors (R-D-) were excluded. CMV-V was diagnosed in peripheral blood samples obtained on two occasions either by PCR (>200 IU/ml) or antigenemia testing (>2 positive cells/100000). A total of 378 patients were included into the study. Uni- and multivariable analyses were performed to identify risk factors for CMV-V. A weighted score was assigned to each factor based on the odds ratios determined by the multivariable analysis. A total score was calculated for each patient and used for assignment into one of 4 risk categories, the low risk (score 0-1), the intermediate (score 2-3), the high (score 4-5) and the very high (score 6-8). Median age for all patients was 51 years (range 17-71) and 173 (46%) were female. Matched related donors were used for two hundred fifteen patients (57%). Two hundred forty-three patients (64%) were transplanted for myeloid and 108 (29%) for lymphoid malignancies. One hundred thirteen patients (30%) were CMV sero-positive with a negative donor (R+D-) while 191 (51%) were recipient and donor CMV sero-positivity (R+D+). Graft versus host disease (GVHD) prophylaxis included CSA/MMF (n=200, 52%), and CSA/MTX (n=178, 48%). Myeloablative conditioning regimens were administered to 220 patients (58%), 158 patients (42%) were treated with a reduced intensity regimen. Three hundred-thirty seven patients (89%) received peripheral blood stem cells as a stem cell source. In vivo T cell depletion (TCD) with alemtuzumab was used in 138 (37%). Results: CMV-V occurred in 246 (64%) patients by day 100 post HSCT. The impact of patient and HSCT characteristics on the risk of CMV-V was assessed by multivariable analysis. The significant factors were CMV sero-status R+D- and R+D+, TCD, GVHD prophylaxis with MMF administration of myeloablative preparative regimens (Table 1). Table 1. Multivariate analysis for risk factors of CMV infection following allogeneic HSCT Table 1. Multivariate analysis for risk factors of CMV infection following allogeneic HSCT CMV-V rates on the 4 new risk categories amounted to 93% in the very high-risk, 78% in high-risk, 41% in intermediate-risk and 11% in low-risk group (Fig 1). The risk score was also predictive for the occurrence of multiple CMV-V reactivations with rates of 71%, 45%, 19% and 4% for the very high, high, intermediate and low-risk groups, respectively. The overall survival (OS) rate at 2 years was 33%(n=56) in the very high-risk group compared to 50% in other-risk groups (n=147) (P=0.01) (Fig 2). Non-relapse mortality (NRM) was 53% in the very high-risk versus 33% in other-risk groups (P<0.001). However, there was no difference on cumulative incidence of relapse between the groups (P=0.3). The cumulative incidence of grades 1-4 acute GVHD, grades 2-4, grades 3-4 at day 120 and overall chronic GVHD at 2 years was 68%, 47%, 25% and 39% in very high-risk group versus 65%, 52%, 21% and 52% in other-risk groups, suggesting slightly lower incidence of chronic GVHD in very high-risk vs other-risk groups. Conclusion: We present a new clinical scoring system to stratify the risk of early CMV viremia after allogeneic HSCT based on patients and HSCT characteristics. Identifying the risk for each patient would facilitate decision making with respect to strategies including CMV prophylaxis, pre-emptive treatment or inclusion into clinical trials, as well directing the CMV monitoring policy post-transplant. In addition, the risk score was associated with higher risk of overall mortality and NRM in the very high-risk versus other-risk groups. Figure 1 Figure 1. Figure 2 Figure 2. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

Disease-Attributable Mortality in the Myelodysplastic Syndromes (MDS): A Study from the Spanish MDS Cooperative Group (GESMD)

Blood ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 126 (23) ◽  
pp. 1672-1672
Author(s):  
Meritxell Nomdedeu ◽  
Xavier Calvo ◽  
Dolors Costa ◽  
Montserrat Arnan ◽  
Helena Pomares ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Board Of Directors ◽  
Mortality Rates ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Attributable Mortality ◽  
Risk Category ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
Advisory Committees ◽  
Very High ◽  
Risk Categories

Abstract Introduction: The MDS are a group of clonal hematopoietic disorders characterized by blood cytopenias and increased risk of transformation into acute myeloid leukemia (AML). The MDS predominate in old people (median age at diagnosis > 70 years) so that a fraction of the observed mortality would be driven by age-related factors shared with the general population rather than the MDS. Distinguishing between the MDS-related and unrelated mortality rates will help better assessment of the population health impact of the MDS and more accurate prognostication. This study was aimed at quantifying the MDS-attributable mortality and its relationship with the IPSSR risk categories. Methods: The database of the GESMD was queried for patients diagnosed with primary MDS after 1980 according to the WHO 2001 classification. Patients with CMML, younger than 16 years or who lacked the basic demographic or follow-up data were excluded. Relative survival and MDS-attributable mortality were calculated by the cohort method and statistically compared by Poisson multivariate regression as described by Dickman (Stat Med 2004; 23: 51). Three main parameters were calculated: the observed (all-cause) mortality, the MDS-attributable mortality (both as percentage of the initial cohort), and the fraction of the observed mortality attributed to the MDS. Results: In total, 7408 patients met the inclusion criteria and constitute the basis for this study. Among these patients, 5307 had enough data to be classified according to the IPSSR. Median age was 74 (IQR: 16-99) years and 58 % were males. The most frequent WHO categories were RAEB, type I or II (29% of cases), RCMD (28%), and RA with ring sideroblasts (16%). Most patients (72%) were classified within the very low and low risk categories of the IPSSR. At the study closing date (December 2014), 1022 patients had progressed to AML, 3198 had died (974 after AML) and 3210 were censored alive. The median actuarial survival for the whole series was 4.8 (95% CI: 4.6-5.1) years and 30% of patients are projected to survive longer than 10 years. The overall MDS-attributable mortality at 5 years from diagnosis was 39%, which accounted for three-quarters of the observed mortality (51%, figure). The corresponding figures at 10 years for the MDS-attributable and observed mortality were 55% and 71%, respectively. According to the IPSSR, the 5-year MDS-attributable mortality rates was 19% for the very low risk category, 39% (low risk), 70% (intermediate risk), 78% (high risk), and 92% (very high risk). On average, the incidence rate ratio for the MDS-attributable mortality increased 1.9 times (95% CI: 1.7-2.3, p<0.001) as the IPSSR worsened from one to the next risk category. The fraction of the observed mortality attributed to the MDS was 0.55 for the very low risk category, 0.79 (low risk), 0.93 (intermediate risk), 0.96 (high risk), and 0.99 (very high risk). After distinguishing between AML-related and unrelated mortality, the 5-year MDS-attributable mortality not related to AML was 10% for the very low risk category, 20% (low risk), 33% (intermediate risk), 42% (high risk), and 44% (very high risk). By comparing these figures with the above ones, we could estimate that about 50% of the MDS-attributable mortality was AML-unrelated and that such fraction kept nearly constant across the five IPSSR categories. Conclusions: About three-quarters of the mortality observed in patients with MDS is caused by the disease, the remaining one-quarter being due to MDS-independent factors shared with the general population. The MDS-attributable mortality increases with the IPSSR risk category, from half the observed mortality in the very low risk to nearly all the mortality observed in the high and very high risk groups. Half the MDS-attributable mortality is driven by factors unrelated to leukemic transformation, a proportion that keeps constant across the five IPSSR risk categories. Disclosures Valcarcel: AMGEN: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau; NOVARTIS: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; GSK: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau; CELGENE: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau. Ramos:AMGEN: Consultancy, Honoraria; NOVARTIS: Consultancy, Honoraria; JANSSEN: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; CELGENE: Consultancy, Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding. Esteve:Celgene: Consultancy, Honoraria; Janssen: Consultancy, Honoraria.

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