scholarly journals Cross Validation of the Prodromal Questionnaire 16-Item Version in an Adolescent Help-Seeking Population

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yvonne de Jong ◽  
Cornelis L Mulder ◽  
Albert Boon ◽  
Elias Coenders ◽  
Mark van der Gaag

Abstract The Prodromal Questionnaire 16-item version (PQ-16) is used as a screener in the early detection of psychosis. We wished to cross-validate it in a help-seeking population of adolescents aged 12–17 who had been referred for assessment and treatment to an outpatient Center for Child and Adolescence Psychiatry (CCAP). To examine the psychometric properties of the PQ-16 for adolescents, we used reliability analysis and receiver-operating-characteristic (ROC) curves. The internal consistency of the 16-item version was good, with Chronbach’s α = 0.84. A cutoff of 7 or more items marked as true, showed acceptable sensitivity (.77) and specificity (.55). Half (51.3%) of the above cutoff sample were classified by the Comprehensive Assessment of At-Risk Mental States (CAARMS) assessment as having Ultra-High Risk (UHR) status or as having reached the psychosis threshold. Differentiation between boys and girls showed that the use of distress scores improved sensitivity and specificity values for girls but worsened them for boys. When a cutoff score of 7 or more items marked as true is used, the PQ-16 is a feasible instrument with acceptable screening properties for UHR and psychosis in boys and girls aged 12–17 attending a CCAP.

2019 ◽  
Vol 29 ◽  
pp. S99-S100
Author(s):  
G. Galli ◽  
L. Pelizza ◽  
M. Poletti ◽  
S. Azzali ◽  
F. Paterlini ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Inge Joa ◽  
Jone Bjornestad ◽  
Jan Olav Johannessen ◽  
Johannes Langeveld ◽  
Helen J. Stain ◽  
...  

Objectives: Most individuals experience a relatively long period of sub-clinical psychotic like symptoms, known as the ultra high risk (UHR) or at risk mental states (ARMS), prior to a first episode of psychosis. Approximately 95% of individuals who will later develop psychosis are not referred to specialized clinical services and assessed during the UHR phase. The study aimed to investigate whether a systematic early detection program, modeled after the successful early detection of psychosis program TIPS, would improve the detection of help-seeking UHR individuals. The secondary aim was to examine the rates and predictors of conversion to psychosis after 2 years.Method: The overall study design was a prospective (2012–2018), follow- up study of individuals fulfilling UHR inclusion criteria as assessed by the structural interview for prodromal syndromes (SIPS). Help-seeking UHR individuals were recruited through systematic early detection strategies in a Norwegian catchment area and treated in the public mental health services.Results: In the study period 141 UHR help-seeking individuals were identified. This averages an incidence of 7 per 100,000 people per year. The baseline assessment was completed by 99 of these and the 2 year psychosis conversion rate was 20%. A linear mixed-model regression analysis found that the significant predictors of conversion were the course of positive (0.038) and negative symptoms (0.017). Age was also a significant predictor and showed an interaction with female gender (<0.000).Conclusion: We managed to detect a proportion of UHR individuals in the upper range of the expected prediction by the population statistics and further case enrichment would improve this rate. Negative symptoms were significant predictors. As a risk factor for adverse functional outcomes and social marginalization, this could offer opportunities for earlier psychosocial intervention.


2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 450-462 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oscar Lederman ◽  
Philip B. Ward ◽  
Simon Rosenbaum ◽  
Chris Maloney ◽  
Andrew Watkins ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (Suppl 3) ◽  
pp. A868-A868
Author(s):  
Reetoja Nag ◽  
Germán Corredor ◽  
Vidya Viswanathan ◽  
Pingfu Fu ◽  
James Lewis ◽  
...  

BackgroundAnti-PD-1 immunotherapies (IOs) have robust clinical benefit in a subset of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) patients and is considered as a standard of care option in the recurrent/metastatic setting.1 Previous studies showed association of higher number of lymphocytes and density of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) with better survival probability and prognosis in HNSCC patients.2 3 In this study, we evaluate whether the spatial interplay between TILs with surrounding nuclei and TIL density from digitized H&E-stained slides was associated with better immunotherapy response in HNSCC patients.MethodsWhole slide images (WSIs) from 43 HNSCC patients treated with IO at University Hospitals, Cleveland were selected. Response to immunotherapy was defined as per RECIST v1.1.4 Computerized algorithms identified and built clusters for nuclei of TILs and TIL density and spatial arrangement of the clusters was quantified using network graph-metrics. To assess the predictive ability of the combination of spatial arrangement and density features of TILs, a cross-validation scheme was used as follows: at each iteration, the dataset was randomly split into training (60%) and validation sets (40%). The Wilcoxon method selected top two features in the training set, then used to train a Naïve Bayes classifier to differentiate between responders and non-responders. Next, the classifier was applied to the validation set and its performance was evaluated by computing the area under the curve (AUC) for the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. This process was repeated 250 times. For comparison, the same cross-validation procedure was used on (1) TIL arrangement and (2) TIL density features.ResultsFigure 1(A) and 1(B) show the violin plots corresponding to the two selected top features across the cross-validation iterations for responders and non-responders. Figure 1(C) illustrates the average ROC curves for the three assessed models and corresponding AUC. The average AUCs for the model based on combination (TIL arrangement + TIL density), TIL arrangement and TIL density only yielded an average AUCs of 0.84+0.14, 0.81+0.02 and 0.74+0.06 respectively. After DeLong assessment of the ROC curves, significant difference was found for TIL combination vs. TIL density (p=0.03) whereas no significant difference was found for TIL combination vs. TIL arrangement (p=0.55).ConclusionsWe present a predictive model based on image biomarkers i.e. spatial interplay between TILs and surrounding nuclei along with TIL density in order to distinguish HNSCC patients responding and not responding to immunotherapy. The model based on TIL combination performed better in comparison to only TIL density.ReferencesPatel RR, Ludmir EB, Augustyn A, et al. De-intensification of therapy in human papillomavirus associated oropharyngeal cancer: a systematic review of prospective trials. Oral Oncol 2020;103:104608. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oraloncology.2020.104608.Lilja-Fischer JK, Eriksen JG, Georgsen JB, et al. Prognostic impact of PD-L1 in oropharyngeal cancer after primary curative radiotherapy and relation to HPV and tobacco smoking. Acta Oncol 2020;59(6):666–672. https://doi.org/10.1080/0284186X.2020.1729407.Peled M, Onn A, Herbst RS. Tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes—location for prognostic evaluation. Clin Cancer Res 2019;25(5):1449–1451. https://doi.org/10.1158/1078-0432.CCR-18-3803.Therasse P, Arbuck SG, Eisenhauer EA, et al. New guidelines to evaluate the response to treatment in solid tumors. J Natl Cancer Inst 2000;92(3):205–16. https://doi.org/10.1093/jnci/92.3.205Abstract 829 Figure 1(A) Violin plot for topmost feature 1 selected by Wilcoxon test (Feature selected from number of clusters surrounding a specific cluster type) (Responder vs. Non-responder p=0.0006). (B) Violin plot for topmost feature 2 selected by Wilcoxon test (Feature selected from the intersected area from the cell clusters formed from the centroids of the cell clusters) (Responder vs. Non-responder p=0.00016) (C) Average receiver operating characteristic curves for the 3 assessed models i.e. TIL combination (AUC=0.84+0.14), TIL arrangement (AUC=0.81+0.02) and TIL density (AUC=0.74+0.06). Significant difference between the ROC curves i.e. TIL combination vs. TIL density (p=0.03), TIL combination vs. TIL arrangement (p=0.55), TIL arrangement vs. TIL density (p=0.32)


1978 ◽  
Vol 17 (03) ◽  
pp. 157-161 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. T. De Dombal ◽  
Jane C. Horrocks

This paper uses simple receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves (i) to study the effect of varying computer confidence of threshold levels and (ii) to evaluate clinical performance in the diagnosis of acute appendicitis. Over 1300 patients presenting to five centres with abdominal pain of short duration were studied in varying detail. Clinical and computer-aided diagnostic predictions were compared with the »final« diagnosis. From these studies it is concluded the simplistic setting of a 50/50 confidence threshold for the computer program is as »good« as any other. The proximity of a computer-aided system changed clinical behaviour patterns; a higher overall performance level was achieved and clinicians performance levels became associated with the »mildly conservative« end of the computers ROC curve. Prior forecasts of over-confidence or ultra-caution amongst clinicians using the computer-aided system have not been fulfilled.


Diagnostics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 949
Author(s):  
Cecil J. Weale ◽  
Don M. Matshazi ◽  
Saarah F. G. Davids ◽  
Shanel Raghubeer ◽  
Rajiv T. Erasmus ◽  
...  

This cross-sectional study investigated the association of miR-1299, -126-3p and -30e-3p with and their diagnostic capability for dysglycaemia in 1273 (men, n = 345) South Africans, aged >20 years. Glycaemic status was assessed by oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT). Whole blood microRNA (miRNA) expressions were assessed using TaqMan-based reverse transcription quantitative-PCR (RT-qPCR). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves assessed the ability of each miRNA to discriminate dysglycaemia, while multivariable logistic regression analyses linked expression with dysglycaemia. In all, 207 (16.2%) and 94 (7.4%) participants had prediabetes and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), respectively. All three miRNAs were significantly highly expressed in individuals with prediabetes compared to normotolerant patients, p < 0.001. miR-30e-3p and miR-126-3p were also significantly more expressed in T2DM versus normotolerant patients, p < 0.001. In multivariable logistic regressions, the three miRNAs were consistently and continuously associated with prediabetes, while only miR-126-3p was associated with T2DM. The ROC analysis indicated all three miRNAs had a significant overall predictive ability to diagnose prediabetes, diabetes and the combination of both (dysglycaemia), with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) being significantly higher for miR-126-3p in prediabetes. For prediabetes diagnosis, miR-126-3p (AUC = 0.760) outperformed HbA1c (AUC = 0.695), p = 0.042. These results suggest that miR-1299, -126-3p and -30e-3p are associated with prediabetes, and measuring miR-126-3p could potentially contribute to diabetes risk screening strategies.


2020 ◽  
pp. 216747952097731
Author(s):  
Christopher Elsey ◽  
Peter Winter ◽  
Susan Jayne Litchfield ◽  
Sharon Ogweno ◽  
James Southwood

The disclosure of absences from professional sporting activities to the media is a routine and generally unproblematic part of a sporting career. However, when the reason for the absence relates to mental health concerns, players can encounter difficulties in trying to define, describe and conceptualise their own issues while attempting to maintain privacy as they undergo assessment and treatment. Drawing on ethnomethodology and conversation analysis principles and methods, this paper explores first/initial public mental health disclosure narratives produced by players and sporting organizations across several professional sports via media interviews, press statements, and social media posts. The analysis focuses on (in)voluntary accounts produced by teams or players themselves during their careers and examines the different communication strategies they employ to categorise and explain their predicament. The analysis reveals how some players provide partial or proxy public disclosure announcements (due to a desire to mask issues or delayed help-seeking and assessment), whereas others prefer fuller disclosure of the problems experienced, including diagnoses and on-going treatment and therapy regimes. The paper outlines the consequences of these disclosure strategies and considers the implications they can have for a player’s wellbeing in these stressful circumstances.


Author(s):  
Ugo Indraccolo ◽  
Gennaro Scutiero ◽  
Pantaleo Greco

Objective Analyzing if the sonographic evaluation of the cervix (cervical shortening) is a prognostic marker for vaginal delivery. Methods Women who underwent labor induction by using dinoprostone were enrolled. Before the induction and three hours after it, the cervical length was measured by ultrasonography to obtain the cervical shortening. The cervical shortening was introduced in logistic regression models among independent variables and for calculating receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Results Each centimeter in the cervical shortening increases the odds of vaginal delivery in 24.4% within 6 hours; in 16.1% within 24 hours; and in 10.5% within 48 hours. The best predictions for vaginal delivery are achieved for births within 6 and 24 hours, while the cervical shortening poorly predicts vaginal delivery within 48 hours. Conclusion The greater the cervical shortening 3 hours after labor induction, the higher the likelihood of vaginal delivery within 6, 24 and 48 hours.


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