scholarly journals Antibiotic resistance detection is essential for gonorrhoea point-of-care testing: A mathematical modelling study

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephanie M. Fingerhuth ◽  
Nicola Low ◽  
Sebastian Bonhoeffer ◽  
Christian L. Althaus

AbstractAntibiotic resistance is threatening to make gonorrhoea untreatable. Point-of-care (POC) tests that detect resistance promise individually tailored treatment, but might lead to more treatment and higher levels of resistance. We investigate the impact of POC tests on antibiotic-resistant gonorrhoea. We used data about the prevalence and incidence of gonorrhoea in men who have sex with men (MSM) and heterosexual men and women (HMW) to calibrate a mathematical gonorrhoea transmission model. With this model, we simulated four clinical pathways for the diagnosis and treatment of gonorrhoea: POC test with (POC + R) and without (POC − R) resistance detection, culture, and nucleic acid amplification tests (NAATs). We calculated the proportion of resistant infections, cases averted after 5 years, and compared how fast resistant infections spread in the populations. The proportion of resistant infections after 30 years is lowest for POC + R (median MSM: 0.18%, HMW: 0.12%), and increases for culture (MSM: 1.19%, HWM: 0.13%), NAAT (MSM: 100%, HMW: 99.27%), and POC − R (MSM: 100%, HMW: 99.73%). NAAT leads to 36 366 (median MSM) and 1 228 (median HMW) observed cases after 5 years. When compared with NAAT, POC + R results in most cases averted after 5 years (median MSM: 3 353, HMW: 118 per 100 000 persons). POC tests that detect resistance with intermediate sensitivity slow down resistance spread more than NAAT. POC tests with very high sensitivity for the detection of resistance are needed to slow down resistance spread more than using culture. POC with high sensitivity to detect antibiotic resistance can keep gonorrhoea treatable longer than culture or NAAT. POC tests without reliable resistance detection should not be introduced because they can accelerate the spread of antibiotic-resistant gonorrhoea.

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lilith K Whittles ◽  
Peter J. White ◽  
Xavier Didelot

SUMMARYBackgroundGonorrhoea incidence is increasing rapidly: diagnoses in men who have sex with men (MSM) in England increased eight-fold 2008-2017. Concurrently, antibiotic resistance is making treatment more difficult, leading to renewed interest in a gonococcal vaccine. The MeNZB meningococcal B vaccine is partially protective, and several other candidates are in development. We modelled realistic vaccination strategies under various scenarios of antibiotic resistance and vaccine protection level and duration, to assess the impact of vaccination and examine the feasibility of the WHO’s target of reducing gonorrhoea incidence by 90% between 2016 and 2030.MethodsWe fitted a stochastic transmission-dynamic model, incorporating asymptomatic and symptomatic infection and heterogeneous sexual behaviour, to gonorrhoea incidence in MSM in England, 2008-17, using particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. Bayesian forecasting was used to examine future scenarios, including emergence of extensively antibiotic-resistant (ABR) gonorrhoea.FindingsEven in the worst-case scenario of untreatable infection emerging, the WHO target could be met by vaccinating all MSM attending sexual health clinics with a 53%-protective vaccine lasting for >6 years, or a 70%-protective vaccine lasting >3 years. A vaccine like MeNZB, conferring 30% protection for 2-4 years, could reduce incidence in 2030 by 45% in the worst-case scenario, and by 75% if >70% of ABR gonorrhoea is treatable.InterpretationOur statistically-rigorous assessment shows that even a partially-protective vaccine, delivered through a practical targeting strategy, could have substantial benefit in reducing gonorrhoea incidence in the context of an epidemic with rising antibiotic resistance.


Author(s):  
Paul C. Adamson ◽  
Jeffrey D. Klausner

Chlamydia trachomatis and Neisseria gonorrhoeae are two of the most often reported bacterial infections in the United States. The rectum and oropharynx are important anatomic sites of infection and can contribute to ongoing transmission. Nucleic acid amplification tests (NAATs) are the mainstays for the detection of C. trachomatis and N. gonorrhoeae infections owing to their high sensitivity and specificity. Several NAATs have been evaluated for testing in rectal and pharyngeal infections. A few assays recently received clearance by the Food and Drug Administration, including one point-of-care test. Those assays can be used for testing in symptomatic individuals, as well as for asymptomatic screening in certain patient populations. Routine screening for C. trachomatis in pharyngeal specimens is not recommended by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, though is often performed due to the use of multiplex assays. While expanding the types of settings for screening and using self-collected rectal and pharyngeal specimens can help to increase access and uptake of testing, additional research is needed to determine the potential benefits and costs associated with increased screening for rectal and pharyngeal C. trachomatis and N. gonorrhoeae infections on a population level.


2018 ◽  
Vol 95 (1) ◽  
pp. 13-20 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jolijn M Zwart ◽  
Marie-Josee J Mangen ◽  
Menne Bartelsman ◽  
Martijn S van Rooijen ◽  
Henry J C de Vries ◽  
...  

ObjectiveTo assess the cost-effectiveness of three testing strategies with or without light microscopic Gram-stained smear (GSS) evaluation for the detection of anogenital gonorrhoea among men who have sex with men (MSM) at the Amsterdam STI clinic using a healthcare payer perspective.MethodsThree testing strategies for MSM were compared: (1) GSS in symptomatic MSM only (currently practised strategy), (2) no GSS and (3) GSS in symptomatic and asymptomatic MSM. The three testing protocols include testing with nucleic acid amplification test to verify the GSS results in (1) and (3), or as the only test in (2). A transmission model was employed to calculate the influence of the testing strategies on the prevalence of anogenital gonorrhoea over 10 years. An economic model combined cost data on medical consultations, tests and treatment and utility data to estimate the number of epididymitis cases and quality-adjusted life years (QALY) associated with gonorrhoea. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) for the testing scenarios were estimated. Uncertainty and sensitivity analyses were performed.ResultsNo GSS testing compared with GSS in symptomatic MSM only (current strategy) resulted in nine extra epididymitis cases (95% uncertainty interval (UI): 2–22), 72 QALYs lost (95% UI: 59–187) and €7300 additional costs (95% UI: −€185 000 (i.e.cost-saving) to €407 000) over 10 years. GSS testing in both symptomatic and asymptomatic MSM compared with GSS in symptomatic MSM only resulted in one prevented epididymitis case (95% UI: 0–2), 1.1 QALY gained (95% UI: 0.1–3.3), €148 000 additional costs (95% UI: €86 000 to–€217 000) and an ICER of €177 000 (95% UI: €67 000–to €705 000) per QALY gained over 10 years. The results were robust in sensitivity analyses.ConclusionsGSS for symptomatic MSM only is cost-effective compared with no GSS for MSM and with GSS for both symptomatic and asymptomatic MSM.


Sexual Health ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 348 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ben B. Hui ◽  
David P. Wilson ◽  
James S. Ward ◽  
Rebecca J. Guy ◽  
John M. Kaldor ◽  
...  

Background Despite the availability of testing and treatment, bacterial sexually transmissible infections (STIs) continue to occur at endemic levels in many remote Indigenous communities in Australia. New generation molecular point-of-care (POC) tests have high sensitivity, comparable with conventional diagnostic tests, and have the potential to increase the impact of STI screening. Methods: We developed mathematical models of gonorrhoea (Neisseria gonorrhoeae) and chlamydia (Chlamydia trachomatis) transmission in remote Indigenous communities in Australia to evaluate screening and treatment strategies that utilise POC tests. Results: The introduction of POC testing with 95% sensitivity could reduce the prevalence of gonorrhoea and chlamydia from 7.1% and 11.9% to 5.7% and 8.9%, respectively, under baseline screening coverage of 44% per year. If screening coverage is increased to 60% per year, prevalence is predicted to be reduced to 3.6% and 6.7%, respectively, under conventional testing, and further reduced to 1.8% and 3.1% with the introduction of POC testing. Increasing screening coverage to 80% per year will result in a reduction in the prevalence of gonorrhoea and chlamydia to 0.6% and 1.5%, respectively, and the virtual elimination of both STIs if POC testing is introduced. Conclusions: Modelling suggests that molecular POC tests of high sensitivity have great promise as a public health strategy for controlling chlamydia and gonorrhoea. However, evaluation of the cost-effectiveness of POC testing needs to be made before widespread implementation of this technology can be considered.


Sexual Health ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (5) ◽  
pp. 514 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adam K. Zienkiewicz ◽  
Nicolás Verschueren van Rees ◽  
Martin Homer ◽  
Jason J. Ong ◽  
Hannah Christensen ◽  
...  

Background Antimicrobial-resistant (AMR) gonorrhoea is a global public health threat. Discriminatory point-of-care tests (POCT) to detect drug sensitivity are under development, enabling individualised resistance-guided therapy. Methods: An individual-based dynamic transmission model of gonorrhoea infection in MSM living in London has been developed, incorporating ciprofloxacin-sensitive and resistant strains. The time-dependent sexual contact network is captured by periodically restructuring active connections to reflect the transience of contacts. Different strategies to improve treatment selection were explored, including discriminatory POCT and selecting partner treatment based on either the index case or partner susceptibility. Outcomes included population prevalence of gonorrhoea and drug dose counts. Results: It is shown that using POCT to detect ciprofloxacin-sensitive infections could result in a large decrease in ceftriaxone doses (by 70% compared with the reference case in the simulations of this study). It also suggests that ceftriaxone use can be reduced with existing technologies, albeit to a lesser degree; either using index case sensitivity profiles to direct treatment of partners, or testing notified partners with strain discriminatory laboratory tests before treatment, reduced ceftriaxone use in our model (by 27% and 47% respectively). Conclusions: POCT to detect ciprofloxacin-sensitive gonorrhoea are likely to dramatically reduce reliance on ceftriaxone, but requires the implementation of new technology. In the meantime, the proportion of unnecessary ceftriaxone treatment by testing partners before treatment could be reduced significantly. Alternatively, index case sensitivity profiles could be used to select effective treatments for partners.


2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephanie M Fingerhuth ◽  
Sebastian Bonhoeffer ◽  
Nicola Low ◽  
Christian L Althaus

The sexually transmitted bacterium Neisseria gonorrhoeae has developed resistance to all antibiotic classes that have been used for treatment and strains resistant to multiple antibiotic classes have evolved. In many countries, there is only one antibiotic remaining for empirical N. gonorrhoeae treatment and antibiotic management to counteract resistance spread is urgently needed. Understanding dynamics and drivers of resistance spread can provide rationales for antibiotic management. In our study, we first used antibiotic resistance surveillance data to estimate the rates at which antibiotic-resistant N. gonorrhoeae spread in two host populations, heterosexual men (HetM) and men who have sex with men (MSM). We found higher rates of spread for MSM (0.86 to 2.38 y−1, mean doubling time: 6 months) compared to HetM (0.24 to 0.86 y−1, mean doubling time: 16 months). We then developed a dynamic transmission model to reproduce the observed dynamics of N. gonorrhoeae transmission in populations of heterosexual men and women (HMW) and MSM. We parameterized the model using sexual behavior data and calibrated it to N. gonorrhoeae prevalence and incidence data. In the model, antibiotic-resistant N. gonorrhoeae spread with a median rate of 0.88 y−1 in HMW and 3.12 y−1 in MSM. These rates correspond to median doubling times of 9 (HMW) and 3 (MSM) months. The model shows the difference in the host population’s treatment rate rather than the difference in the number of sexual partners explains the differential spread of resistance. As higher treatment rates result in faster spread of antibiotic resistance, treatment recommendations for N. gonorrhoeae should carefully balance prevention of infection and avoidance of resistance spread.


2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephanie M Fingerhuth ◽  
Sebastian Bonhoeffer ◽  
Nicola Low ◽  
Christian L Althaus

The sexually transmitted bacterium Neisseria gonorrhoeae has developed resistance to all antibiotic classes that have been used for treatment and strains resistant to multiple antibiotic classes have evolved. In many countries, there is only one antibiotic remaining for empirical N. gonorrhoeae treatment and antibiotic management to counteract resistance spread is urgently needed. Understanding dynamics and drivers of resistance spread can provide rationales for antibiotic management. In our study, we first used antibiotic resistance surveillance data to estimate the rates at which antibiotic-resistant N. gonorrhoeae spread in two host populations, heterosexual men (HetM) and men who have sex with men (MSM). We found higher rates of spread for MSM (0.86 to 2.38 y−1, mean doubling time: 6 months) compared to HetM (0.24 to 0.86 y−1, mean doubling time: 16 months). We then developed a dynamic transmission model to reproduce the observed dynamics of N. gonorrhoeae transmission in populations of heterosexual men and women (HMW) and MSM. We parameterized the model using sexual behavior data and calibrated it to N. gonorrhoeae prevalence and incidence data. In the model, antibiotic-resistant N. gonorrhoeae spread with a median rate of 0.88 y−1 in HMW and 3.12 y−1 in MSM. These rates correspond to median doubling times of 9 (HMW) and 3 (MSM) months. The model shows the difference in the host population’s treatment rate rather than the difference in the number of sexual partners explains the differential spread of resistance. As higher treatment rates result in faster spread of antibiotic resistance, treatment recommendations for N. gonorrhoeae should carefully balance prevention of infection and avoidance of resistance spread.


2018 ◽  
Vol 29 (13) ◽  
pp. 1273-1281 ◽  
Author(s):  
Justin Hardick ◽  
Trevor A Crowell ◽  
Kara Lombardi ◽  
Akindiran Akintunde ◽  
Sunday Odeyemi ◽  
...  

Antimicrobial-resistant Neisseria gonorrhoeae (NG) is a global public health issue that threatens effectiveness of current treatments of NG. Increased use of nucleic acid amplification tests (NAATs) in lieu of cultures makes obtaining clinical isolates for susceptibility testing difficult and samples collected in commercial transport buffer for NAATs do not preserve viable organism, while molecular methods of assessing antibiotic susceptibility do not require viable organism. We evaluated 243 NG-positive samples in Aptima transport media including urine, oral, and rectal swabs from Nigerian men who have sex with men for markers to penicillinase-producing NG, ciprofloxacin ( GyrA and ParC mutations), and extended spectrum cephalosporins (ESCs, PenA mosaic [allele X], PonA, mtrR, PorB mutations) by real-time PCR. NG DNA was recovered in 75% (183/243) of samples. Of these, 93% (171/183) were positive for at least one resistance marker. We observed a prevalence of dual resistance markers to penicillin and ciprofloxacin at 46.2% (79/171). Six percent of samples (10/171) tested positive for the PenA mosaic (allele X) ESC marker. These data indicate that antibiotic-resistant NG is common in Nigeria. Laboratory and clinical capacity building in Nigeria should include development of methods to culture NG and determine antimicrobial susceptibility.


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