scholarly journals The Relationship between Weekly Periodicity and COVID-19 Progression

Author(s):  
Sophia Li

AbstractCOVID-19 is extraordinary both as once-in-a-lifetime pandemic and having abundant real-time case data, thus providing an extraordinary opportunity for timely independent analysis and novel perspectives. We investigate the weekly periodicity in the daily reported new cases and new deaths with the implied relationships to the societal and institutional responses using autocorrelation and Fourier transformation. The results show significant linear correlations between the weekly periodicity and the total cases and deaths, ranging from 50% to 84% for sizable groups of countries with population normalized deaths spanning nearly three orders of magnitude, from a few to approaching a thousand per million. In particular, the Strength Indicator of the periodicity in the new cases, defined by the autocorrelation with a 7-day lag, is positively correlated strongly to the total deaths per million in respective countries. The Persistence Indicator of the periodicity, defined as the average of three autocorrelations with 7-, 14- and 21-day lags, is an overall better indicator of the progression of the pandemic. For longer time series, Fourier transformation gives similar results. This analysis begins to fill the gap in modeling and simulation of epidemics with the inclusion of high frequency modulations, in this case most likely from human behaviors and institutional practices, and reveals that they can be highly correlated to the magnitude and duration of the pandemic. The results show that there is significant need to understand the causes and effects of the periodicity and its relationship to the progression and outcome of the pandemic, and how we could adapt our strategies and implementations to reduce the extent of the impact of COVID-19.

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Yan Cao ◽  
Tian Tian ◽  
Wanyu Wei ◽  
Liang Huang ◽  
Yujia Wu

In view of the complexity and severity of the impact of supply chain emergencies on enterprise economy, this paper proposes modular processing to improve the design structure matrix (DMS), and the designed clustering algorithm is used to perform cluster analysis of the improved DMS, to predict the possible diffusion path of emergencies, and to establish the critical event diffusion path planning model by designing the critical event diffusion path storage method. As in the case data of a certain type of servo motor of the H Company, after data screening, the diffusion path is classified and stored by analyzing the relationship between each member of the supply chain network. Secondly, the same group of data is put into the method of this paper and other scholars’ to calculate the minimum cost of emergency response in time.


2008 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 309-323 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hanan Saad Kattara ◽  
Dina Weheba ◽  
Osman Ahmed El-Said

The present study is an attempt to investigate the relationship between employees' positive and negative behaviours, customers' perception of service quality and overall customer satisfaction. Results of the current study revealed that all employees' behaviours, either negative or positive, are highly correlated to the customers' overall satisfaction. The study traced the impact of behaviours on customers' perceptions and overall satisfaction through studying the relevant literature and by gauging opinions on the impact of employees' behaviours on customers' perceptions of quality and overall satisfaction. Findings in this context confirmed the correlation between these variables and their consecutive and exchanging effect. It was also concluded that employees' behaviours have great effect on overall customer satisfaction regardless of customers' gender, nationality, and purpose of visit, number of visits and length of stay. Finally, the study ends up by offering suggestions and practical implications for hotel practitioners to think strategically and implement effective tools to motivate employees towards behaving positively with customers.


Buildings ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 71
Author(s):  
Mohammad Ismail ◽  
Abukar Warsame ◽  
Mats Wilhelmsson

The impact of COVID-19 on various aspects of our life is evident. Proximity and close contact with individuals infected with the virus, and the extent of such contact, contribute to the intensity of the spread of the virus. Healthy and infected household members who both require sanctuary and quarantine space come into close and extended contact in housing. In other words, housing and living conditions can impact the health of occupants and the spread of COVID-19. This study investigates the relationship between housing characteristics and variations in the spread of COVID-19 per capita across Sweden’s 290 municipalities. For this purpose, we have used the number of infected COVID-19 cases per capita during the pandemic period—February 2020 through April 2021—per municipality. The focus is on variables that measure housing and housing conditions in the municipalities. We use exploratory analysis and Principal Components Analysis to reduce highly correlated variables into a set of linearly uncorrelated variables. We then use the generated variables to estimate direct and indirect effects in a spatial regression analysis. The results indicate that housing and housing availability are important explanatory factors for the geographical spread of COVID-19. Overcrowding, availability, and quality are all critical explanatory factors.


2011 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 79-90
Author(s):  
Ana Beatriz Hernandez ◽  
Gerard Ryan

The two-way relationship between tourism and Climate Change has important economic and developmental implications for numerous regions worldwide. Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to present an overview of the existing literature on the relationship between tourism and climate change in order to establish the current state of corporate and institutional responses in the tourism industry and to set out an agenda for research. Methodology: As this is a literature review paper, a comprehensive review was undertaken of the management journals and related topics. Findings: The global or overall impact of tourism on climate has received little attention by researchers. In general, the majority of companies are still in a preliminary phase in terms of implementing adaptation and mitigation measures. There is a requirement to examine the determinants of these strategies in organisations, as well as their associated outcomes. There is a need to examine tourist preferences in terms of activities and destinations, the impacts of climate change, and whether and how this affects tourist-consumer decision making. Academic research has focused mostly on specific and individual solutions to address the impact of climate change on tourism. The analysis of the interplay of these measures and their possible synergies constitute an important topic for future research. Originality: The timeliness of the review is evident given the recent surge in popular debate on climate change, its effects on tourism and the appearance of a broad and disparate array of studies on this topic.


Author(s):  
Brynne D. Ovalle ◽  
Rahul Chakraborty

This article has two purposes: (a) to examine the relationship between intercultural power relations and the widespread practice of accent discrimination and (b) to underscore the ramifications of accent discrimination both for the individual and for global society as a whole. First, authors review social theory regarding language and group identity construction, and then go on to integrate more current studies linking accent bias to sociocultural variables. Authors discuss three examples of intercultural accent discrimination in order to illustrate how this link manifests itself in the broader context of international relations (i.e., how accent discrimination is generated in situations of unequal power) and, using a review of current research, assess the consequences of accent discrimination for the individual. Finally, the article highlights the impact that linguistic discrimination is having on linguistic diversity globally, partially using data from the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) and partially by offering a potential context for interpreting the emergence of practices that seek to reduce or modify speaker accents.


2010 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-8
Author(s):  
Dee Adams Nikjeh

Abstract Administrators and supervisors face daily challenges over issues such as program funding, service fees, correct coding procedures, and the ever-changing healthcare regulations. Receiving equitable reimbursement for speech-language pathology and audiology services necessitates an understanding of federal coding and reimbursement systems. This tutorial provides information pertaining to two major healthcare coding systems and explains the relationship of these systems to clinical documentation, the Medicare Physician Fee Schedule and equitable reimbursement. An explanation of coding edits and coding modifiers is provided for use in those occasional atypical situations when the standard use of procedural coding may not be appropriate. Also included in this tutorial is a brief discussion of the impact that the Medicare Improvements for Patients and Providers Act of 2008 (HR 6331 Medicare Improvements for Patients and Providers Act [MIPPA], 2008) has had on the valuation of speech-language pathology procedure codes.


2014 ◽  
Vol 22 (4) ◽  
pp. 194-201 ◽  
Author(s):  
Freda-Marie Hartung ◽  
Britta Renner

Humans are social animals; consequently, a lack of social ties affects individuals’ health negatively. However, the desire to belong differs between individuals, raising the question of whether individual differences in the need to belong moderate the impact of perceived social isolation on health. In the present study, 77 first-year university students rated their loneliness and health every 6 weeks for 18 weeks. Individual differences in the need to belong were found to moderate the relationship between loneliness and current health state. Specifically, lonely students with a high need to belong reported more days of illness than those with a low need to belong. In contrast, the strength of the need to belong had no effect on students who did not feel lonely. Thus, people who have a strong need to belong appear to suffer from loneliness and become ill more often, whereas people with a weak need to belong appear to stand loneliness better and are comparatively healthy. The study implies that social isolation does not impact all individuals identically; instead, the fit between the social situation and an individual’s need appears to be crucial for an individual’s functioning.


Crisis ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 37 (4) ◽  
pp. 265-270 ◽  
Author(s):  
Meshan Lehmann ◽  
Matthew R. Hilimire ◽  
Lawrence H. Yang ◽  
Bruce G. Link ◽  
Jordan E. DeVylder

Abstract. Background: Self-esteem is a major contributor to risk for repeated suicide attempts. Prior research has shown that awareness of stigma is associated with reduced self-esteem among people with mental illness. No prior studies have examined the association between self-esteem and stereotype awareness among individuals with past suicide attempts. Aims: To understand the relationship between stereotype awareness and self-esteem among young adults who have and have not attempted suicide. Method: Computerized surveys were administered to college students (N = 637). Linear regression analyses were used to test associations between self-esteem and stereotype awareness, attempt history, and their interaction. Results: There was a significant stereotype awareness by attempt interaction (β = –.74, p = .006) in the regression analysis. The interaction was explained by a stronger negative association between stereotype awareness and self-esteem among individuals with past suicide attempts (β = –.50, p = .013) compared with those without attempts (β = –.09, p = .037). Conclusion: Stigma is associated with lower self-esteem within this high-functioning sample of young adults with histories of suicide attempts. Alleviating the impact of stigma at the individual (clinical) or community (public health) levels may improve self-esteem among this high-risk population, which could potentially influence subsequent suicide risk.


Crisis ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 31 (4) ◽  
pp. 217-223 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul Yip ◽  
David Pitt ◽  
Yan Wang ◽  
Xueyuan Wu ◽  
Ray Watson ◽  
...  

Background: We study the impact of suicide-exclusion periods, common in life insurance policies in Australia, on suicide and accidental death rates for life-insured individuals. If a life-insured individual dies by suicide during the period of suicide exclusion, commonly 13 months, the sum insured is not paid. Aims: We examine whether a suicide-exclusion period affects the timing of suicides. We also analyze whether accidental deaths are more prevalent during the suicide-exclusion period as life-insured individuals disguise their death by suicide. We assess the relationship between the insured sum and suicidal death rates. Methods: Crude and age-standardized rates of suicide, accidental death, and overall death, split by duration since the insured first bought their insurance policy, were computed. Results: There were significantly fewer suicides and no significant spike in the number of accidental deaths in the exclusion period for Australian life insurance data. More suicides, however, were detected for the first 2 years after the exclusion period. Higher insured sums are associated with higher rates of suicide. Conclusions: Adverse selection in Australian life insurance is exacerbated by including a suicide-exclusion period. Extension of the suicide-exclusion period to 3 years may prevent some “insurance-induced” suicides – a rationale for this conclusion is given.


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