Netanyahu will struggle to lead new Israeli government

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Middle Class ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
Economic Reforms ◽  
Jewish State ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Minimum Requirement ◽  
High Court ◽  
Israeli Government ◽  
Religious Parties

Significance Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu formed a new government with a razor thin majority of religious parties on May 6. Under the coalition deal, secured just hours before the expiry of a constitutional deadline, Netanyahu has the support of 61 Knesset members (out of 120), the minimum requirement to form a government. His fourth administration is one of the most religious and nationalist in Israel's history. It includes the Likud breakaway party Kulanu (ten seats), the religious-nationalist Jewish Home party (eight seats) and two ultra-Orthodox parties that had been frozen out of the last coalition. Impacts Netanyahu will seek to pass controversial bills including legislation defining Israel as a Jewish state and laws weakening the high court. A narrow government will lack the consensus and power to govern effectively and will remain hostage to individual party interests. Economic reforms will aim at increasing competition and lowering prices for the middle class. International initiatives to recognise Palestinian statehood and implement boycotts, divestments, and sanctions could accelerate.

scholarly journals Mara’abe v. Prime Minister of Israel

2006 ◽  
Vol 100 (4) ◽  
pp. 895-901
Author(s):  
Daniel Bodansky ◽  
Geoffrey R. Watson
Keyword(s):  
Supreme Court ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
Advisory Opinion ◽  
Humanitarian Law ◽  
International Court Of Justice ◽  
High Court ◽  
Court Of Justice ◽  
International Court ◽  
Israeli Government ◽  
Israeli Supreme Court

Mara'Abe v. Prime Minister of Israel. Case No. HCJ 7957/04. At <http://elyonl.court.gov.il/eng/home/index.html> (English translation).Supreme Court of Israel, sitting as the High Court of Justice, September 15, 2005.In Mara ‘abe v. Prime Minister of Israel, the Israeli Supreme Court held that the routing of a portion of Israel's “security fence” in the northern West Bank violated international humanitarian law. The Supreme Court, sitting as the High Court of Justice, ordered the Israeli government to consider alternative paths for the barrier. The Mara'abe decision expanded on the Court's earlier ruling in Beit Sourik Village Council v. Israel, in which the Court ordered the rerouting of another segment of the obstacle. Mara ’abe also revealed some of the Israeli Court's views on Legal Consequences of the Construction of a Wall in Occupied Palestinian Territory— the 2004 advisory opinion of the International Court of Justice (ICJ) holding that construction of the barrier anywhere in occupied territory violates international law.

Turkish society will become more Islamic under AKP

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Middle Class ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
Middle Eastern ◽  
The United States ◽  
Content Type ◽  
National Assembly ◽  
Business Partners ◽  
Turkish Constitution ◽  
Turkish Society

Subject The future of secularism in of Turkey. Significance The speaker of the Grand National Assembly, Ismail Kahraman, provoked uproar on April 25 when he called for secularism to be dropped from the proposed (but as yet unpublished) new constitution. There were instant protests and demonstrations by middle-class opponents and, perhaps more surprisingly, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu. Both rejected the idea that secularism -- which has featured in the Turkish constitution since 1928 -- should be discarded. Impacts Society's pro-Western orientation is being slowly eroded, and latent hostility to the United States and United Kingdom is growing. Turkey's main secular universities -- Bosphorus (Bogazici) and Middle East Technical -- are under increasing pressure to change. Government preference for Middle Eastern, especially Saudi and Qatari, business partners and investors will continue.

Expansionary Jordanian budget will contain discontent

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Social Media ◽  
Tax Evasion ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
Economic Reforms ◽  
Positive Signal ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Credit Line ◽  
Public Scrutiny ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Imf

Significance That comes as the country’s own parliament prepares to vote on the 2020 fiscal bill before the end of the year. Amman is currently in the last year of a 723-million-dollar IMF credit line, which required it to cut debt levels. The budget is intended to stimulate growth and stave off further protests, while simultaneously persuading the IMF to extend its credit line for another three years during upcoming talks in January. Impacts There will be closer cooperation between the government and parliament over managing the economy. Signs of unrest and public discontent over economic reforms will ease, notably if a tax evasion crackdown features on social media. Razzaz will survive another year as prime minister, having already served 18 months, sending a positive signal to the IMF and investors. King Abdullah and Queen Rania will come under less public scrutiny and distance themselves further from day-to-day politics.

Indian middle class set to drive domestic tourism boom

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Middle Class ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Third ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Domestic Tourism ◽  
Foreign Tourism ◽  
The Impact

Subject Tourism outlook. Significance The tourism and leisure sectors are major employers in the Indian economy, accounting for 12.4% of employment and contributing an estimated 7.0% of GDP in 2014. Foreign tourism is the third-largest foreign exchange earner (generating 18.4 billion dollars in 2013) and among the top ten sectors for attracting foreign direct investment (FDI). Accordingly, the 2015-16 budget identified tourism as a key part of Prime Minister Narendra Modi's as yet unclear 'Make in India' campaign, expanded its budget and offered new measures to support it. Impacts The decline of the Russian economy will adversely affect Indian tourism, especially in key destination states such as Goa. Inadequate policy attention to women's safety will deter both domestic and foreign travellers. Domestic tourism will be fostered by the weak rupee and the impact of the financial crisis on Western tourists.

New Moroccan premier may fail to set the agenda

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Political Parties ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
Economic Reforms ◽  
Coalition Government ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Justice And Development Party ◽  
2016 Election

Significance Morocco’s new coalition government is struggling to address the unrest. The new coalition is unwieldy: it has 39 ministerial posts and includes six political parties. The make-up of the coalition dilutes the influence of the Justice and Development Party (PJD), which won the most seats in the October 2016 election, and reaffirms the National Rally of Independents (RNI) as the palace favourite, even though the party lost 15 parliamentary seats. Impacts Large protests will distract the new government from promoting its economic reforms. Demonstrations could become a political liability for the new prime minister. The palace will face less resistance from the PJD than previously in setting policy on a range of issues.

'Middle-class' demands conflict with Modi policy

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Middle Class ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
Good Governance ◽  
Job Creation ◽  
Strong Support ◽  
Service Industries ◽  
Medium Term ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Government ◽  
Party Dominance

Subject Middle-class economic and political aspirations. Significance Prime Minister Narendra Modi's government came to power in 2014 with strong support from middle-class voters, drawn by his development and good governance rhetoric. This promised to move stalled middle-class aspirations forward, after the economy slowed from 2011. Whether Modi can deliver on his promises of a revived economy and middle-class employment opportunities will determine his government's political fortunes in the medium term. A secure middle class able to spend and invest is also key to reviving the economy. Impacts Manufacturing has the greatest job-creation potential, but the government has yet to advance a concrete strategy to achieve this. Growth of middle-class jobs in service industries is likely to become even more regionally skewed. Middle-class voters frustrated with national parties will switch allegiances, scuppering BJP hopes for one-party dominance.

Oligarchic influence will slow Ukraine's progress

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Prime Minister ◽  
Political Process ◽  
Economic Reforms ◽  
The Political ◽  
Public Concern ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Economic Assets ◽  
The Imf ◽  
Sense Of Urgency

Subject Government vulnerability to powerful commercial interests. Significance Despite a change of prime minister in April, governance in Ukraine remains the preserve of a circle around President Petro Poroshenko. These insiders show little sense of urgency on economic reforms or other matters of public concern including the conflict in eastern Ukraine, and maintain strong links with business 'oligarchs' who own much of the country's wealth and economic assets. Oligarchic funds and media shape the political process, and the political establishment owes them too much to declare war on them. Impacts Moscow will seek ways of infiltrating mainstream politics via oligarchic contacts. When the IMF meets in July, will likely conclude that Ukraine has done enough to merit a tranche payment. Prosecutors have a long way to go to show that corruption investigations do not target only government opponents.

Pakistan’s next government will be surprisingly stable

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Saudi Arabia ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Election Result ◽  
Religious Parties ◽  
Militant Groups ◽  
Election Commission ◽  
Independent Candidates

Significance Shehbaz Sharif’s Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N), which governed prior to the National Assembly’s dissolution in May, has come second and Bilawal Bhutto Zardari’s Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) third. Independent candidates and religious parties have picked up seats. The election result was delayed and several parties alleged vote rigging, which the Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP) has denied. Impacts Former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif may be exiled to Saudi Arabia rather than remaining in jail in Pakistan. Militant groups may seek to take advantage of any popular unrest by launching further attacks. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi will be wary of a Khan government, despite likely congratulating him on his victory.

Iraqi Kurdish poll results will confirm the status quo

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Prime Minister ◽  
Economic Reforms ◽  
Status Quo ◽  
Islamic State ◽  
Local Power ◽  
Kurdistan Region ◽  
Power Bases ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Federal Level ◽  
The Status

Significance The poll, due last year, was delayed because of the fight against Islamic State and the fallout from the disastrous September 2017 independence referendum. The vote came shortly before a breakthrough at Iraqi federal level allowed the appointment of a new Iraqi president (by custom a Kurd), even though the Kurdish parties failed to agree on a candidate. Impacts The two main parties will run the Kurdistan region as a duopoly from their respective local power bases. Economic reforms will gain momentum, improving investment prospects and internal stability. The KRG will slowly work with a pro-Kurdish Iraqi prime minister to address fraught questions around its federal position.

Ethiopia faces rocky path to landmark elections

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Prime Minister ◽  
Economic Reforms ◽  
Political Crisis ◽  
The Political ◽  
Local Identity ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Chief Of Staff ◽  
Reform Project ◽  
Job Growth ◽  
Slow Progress

Subject Political outlook ahead of 2020 elections. Significance The June 22 assassinations of Amhara region’s president and the nation’s military chief of staff sent shockwaves through Ethiopia. Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's reform drive since 2018 has taken some significant steps towards liberalisation but has also provided opportunities for populist politicians to mobilise on the basis of polarising narratives. The June attacks brought these threats into stark relief and raises difficult questions about the next phase of the reform project, particularly elections scheduled for May 2020. Impacts The political crisis will interfere with proposed economic reforms, notably partial privatisation of key state-owned enterprises. Preoccupation with domestic crises may limit Abiy’s attention to regional peace efforts, in which he has until now had a central role. Increasing political mobilisation along pan-Ethiopian versus local identity lines threatens to undermine centrist, moderate politics. Frustrations will grow over what many see as slow progress, particularly in terms of job growth.

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