Indonesian military set to expand civilian influence

Subject Executive-military relations. Significance The Indonesian National Armed Forces (TNI) are once again becoming an important player in political and economic activities. The army in particular has increased its direct involvement in government-sponsored agricultural development and infrastructure projects, raising fears that it plans a full-scale political comeback. These fears are exaggerated, but the military is expanding its activities beyond the core area of defence -- with President Joko 'Jokowi' Widodo's support. Impacts Comprehensive security sector reforms are unlikely. Local communities will suffer intimidation and coercion where military units need access to land to accelerate food security programmes. However, since the public at large trusts the military, Jokowi faces limited pressure to loosen executive-military ties.

Subject The impact of the failed July coup on civilian-military relations. Significance The psychological impacts of the attempted coup across political life cannot be understated; it has far-reaching implications for the political, bureaucratic and even ideological structures of the Turkish Armed Forces (TSK). In the aftermath of the attempted putsch, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is more determined than ever to alter the civilian-military machinery of government in Turkey radically. Impacts The purge and radical reforms will bring into question the TSK's operational and strategic reliability for Western partners. A permanently weakened TSK would ease the way for constitutional reforms strengthening Erdogan's grip on the state. It will take years to rebuild the confidence and prestige the military has lost among broad swathes of Turkish society. Any criticism of the TSK reforms, domestically or from abroad, will meet the authorities' fierce condemnation.


Significance The military high command continues to back Maduro, contradicting Guaido’s claim that senior officials agreed to support his interim presidency. The failed uprising reveals major intelligence, strategic and communications failures within Guaido’s circle and the US government's ‘Venezuela transition’ team. Impacts Purges in the armed forces and security sector can be expected. Both the Lima Group and International Contact Group will convene emergency meetings to consider options for a peaceful solution. The leadership of both Guaido and Maduro will come under pressure from within their own blocks.


Subject Miilitary challenges. Significance A multi-party legislative commission on November 16 announced its findings on the death of former air force commander Jorge Gabela and handed the case to the public prosecutors to investigate. The commission declared there was sufficient evidence to suggest his death in 2010 was a state crime and recommended officials linked to the case -- including former President Rafael Correa -- be investigated. The developments come amid allegations of corruption within the military and possible links with dissident Colombian guerrillas, as well as escalating violence on the Ecuador-Colombia border. Impacts Moreno will use the Gabela case to demonstrate his government’s willingness and capacity to investigate corruption. The discovery of connections between the military and FARC dissidents might cause tensions with Colombia’s government and armed forces. Facing pressure to increase military spending, Moreno will need to ensure greater transparency to prevent corrupt practices recurring.


Subject Indonesia's new military leadership. Significance Indonesian President Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo is seeking more stable civil-military relations ahead of the elections due in 2019. A key role of the military is to assist central and local governments with infrastructure programmes. Yet Jokowi’s appointment in December of Air Chief Marshal Hadi Tjahjanto as head of the Indonesian National Armed Forces (TNI), replacing General Gatot Nurmantyo, underlined his preference for a low-key military leader who has no known political ambitions. Impacts The military will be under pressure to avoid engaging politically with the upcoming local elections. Indonesia may prioritise the upgrading of port infrastructure in keeping with Jokowi’s ‘maritime axis’ doctrine. Jakarta’s navy will blow up more foreign boats as part of Indonesia’s ‘sink the vessels’ policy to combat illegal fishing.


Subject The role of the military in Sudan's transition. Significance Sudan now has a nominally civilian-led transitional government, but the military forces that ousted former President Omar al-Bashir remain highly placed within those structures. In particular, General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan of the Sudan Armed Forces (SAF) and Lieutenant-General Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo ‘Himedti’ of the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) have transitioned smoothly from being the head and deputy head, respectively, of the Transitional Military Council to the same roles in the new Sovereign Council, and look likely to wield considerable influence over Sudan’s transition. Impacts Economic and political reform challenges, rather than security sector reform, will preoccupy the cabinet’s attention. Public dissatisfaction about lack of improvements will be directed mainly at the cabinet. While there will be some frictions and rivalries between SAF and the RSF, they are unlikely to turn against each other for now.


2021 ◽  
pp. 0095327X2110349
Author(s):  
Sofia K. Ledberg ◽  
Shirin Ahlbäck Öberg ◽  
Emma Björnehed

This article analyzes civil–military relations and the issue of civilian control through the lens of new managerialism. It illustrates that the means and mechanisms applied by governments to govern the military actually shape its organization and affect its functions in ways not always acknowledged in the civil–military debate. We start by illustrating the gradual introduction of management reforms to the Swedish Armed Forces and the growing focus on audit and evaluation. The article thereafter analyzes the consequences of these managerialist trends for the most central installation of the armed forces–its headquarters. It further exemplifies how such trends affect the work of professionals at the military units. In conclusion, managerialist reforms have not only changed the structure of the organization and the relationship between core and support functions but have also placed limits on the influence of professional judgment.


Author(s):  
V. Makhankov ◽  
A. Maltsev ◽  
A. Kupriniuk ◽  
V. Obertas

The current stage of reforming the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AF) confirms that the crisis in the country's economy has significantly affected the system of logistics of troops, which ensures its main task – to maintain the combat readiness of military units and ensure their livelihood in peacetime. The war in the east of the country and the existing state of providing troops showed the need to improve the organization and management of the process of logistical (technical, rear and medical) provision of training and combat use of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which is currently in the phase of perspective changes and necessitates the development of a new concept of military information management and logistical flows, which will be implemented by a new, more efficient structure, called the "military logistics system". The purpose of the article is to determine the directions for the creation and accumulation of an optimal nomenclature of stocks of material resources in peacetime and their rational separation at the tactical, operational and strategic levels of management. The article describes the contents of the concepts of "logistics", "echelon", "stocking", "operational accounting". Important tasks of modern conditions of process of creation and management of stocks in the course of reforming of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are systematized; variants of the offered models of inventory management are outlined. The goal is achieved through theoretical and experimental research on volume optimization and material separation at all levels of management, which is one of the key problems of military logistics.


2021 ◽  
pp. 0095327X2199622
Author(s):  
Sergio Catignani ◽  
Nir Gazit ◽  
Eyal Ben-Ari

This Armed Forces & Society forum is dedicated to exploring recent trends in the characteristics of military reserves and of the changing character of reserve forces within the armed forces within the military, the civilian sphere, and in between them. To bring new and critical perspectives to the study of reserve forces and civil–military relations, this introduction and the five articles that follow draw on two organizing conceptual models: The first portrays reservists as transmigrants and focuses on the plural membership of reservists in the military and in civilian society and the “travel” between them. The second model focuses on the multiple formal and informal compacts (contracts, agreements, or pacts) between reservists and the military.


2021 ◽  
pp. 0095327X2110629
Author(s):  
Kirill Shamiev

This article studies the role of military culture in defense policymaking. It focuses on Russia’s post-Soviet civil–military relations and military reform attempts. After the fall of the Soviet Union, Russia’s armed forces were in a state of despair. Despite having relative institutional autonomy, the military neither made itself more effective before minister Serdyukov nor tried to overthrow the government. The paper uses the advocacy coalition framework’s belief system approach to analyze data from military memoirs, parliamentary speeches, and 15 interviews. The research shows that the military’s support for institutional autonomy, combined with its elites’ self-serving bias, critically contributed to what I term an “imperfect equilibrium” in Russian civil–military relations: the military could not reform itself and fought back against radical, though necessary, changes imposed by civilian leadership.


Author(s):  
Marco Jowell

The army has been a central part of Rwanda’s political system from the precolonial period until the early 21st century and is intrinsically part of the construction and politics of the state. Civil–military relations in Rwanda demonstrate not only the central features of transitioning a rebel group to a national defense sector but also how some states construct their armed forces after a period of mass violence. Since the civil war and genocide in the early 1990s, the Rwandan military has been the primary actor in politics, the economy, and state building as well as in regional wars in central Africa and the Great Lakes region. Practical experiences of guerrilla insurgency and conflict in Uganda and Rwanda, postconflict military integration, and the intertwining of political and economic agendas with the ruling party have shaped civil–military relations in Rwanda and have been central to how the Rwandan defense sector functions. Contemporary Rwandan civil–military relations center around the two elements of service delivery and control, which has resulted in the development of an effective and technocratic military in terms of remit and responsibilities on the one hand, and the creation of a politicized force of coercion on the other hand. The military in Rwanda therefore reflects the pressures and dynamics of the wider state and cannot be separated from it. The Rwandan army is thus a “political army” and is part and parcel of the political structures that oversee and govern the Rwandan state.


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