India elevates energy ambitions as 2019 polls near

Subject Energy outlook. Significance As Prime Minister Narendra Modi's administration approaches the 2019 general elections, its key election promises are receiving increased scrutiny. On energy, the scale of ambition has increased, with targets stretching beyond 2019. The government hopes to leverage early successes to seek a second term in office to implement its agenda. Impacts Subsidies will rise when the oil price rises, although leakages will be lower. In the post-Paris summit era, the window available to India to utilise coal for growth has narrowed to 2020. The recent rise in gas consumption will continue as long as LNG prices are low and domestic coal targets are unmet. The insolvency of distribution utilities will impede their ability to fulfil their renewable purchase obligations. The problem also affects public sector banks, which hold a large proportion of the utilities' debt.

Subject Prospects for India in 2018. Significance India’s ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has responded to the recent economic slowdown by drawing up plans to recapitalise public sector banks (PSBs) and invest in infrastructure. Prime Minister Narendra Modi is also under pressure to create jobs. The government will be expected to deliver on its promises with elections due in around 18 months’ time.


Significance This came after the government announced plans for a 4G spectrum auction in March 2021, after a five-year gap. There is growing speculation that this will be followed by an auction of 5G spectrum later in the year. Impacts Reliance’s lead on 5G will boost its broader digital business strategy. New financial support to indebted telcos will help to avoid further strain on public sector banks. Data tariffs are likely to remain competitive in India, even after a new floor price.


Subject Pakistan's divestment drive. Significance Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif's government describes divestment of public sector enterprises (PSEs), involving 69 firms, as an essential part of its 2013-18 economic reform agenda. Progress thus far is limited, but the government faces rising pressure from the IMF, which made divestment a core condition of its 6.6-billion-dollar, three-year loan in September 2013. Impacts Another government led by Sharif would continue gradual divestments after 2018. Since PSEs are an important vector for distributing political patronage, structural reforms will face stiff resistance. Divestment of profitable PSEs defeats the purpose of the exercise, but the government will use them for a short-term cash boost.


2018 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 39-61
Author(s):  
Athula Ekanayake

Purpose By using Latour’s notion of “action at a distance” (Latour, 1987), the purpose of this paper is to examine the ways in which the government acts at a distance to achieve corporate governance of public sector banks, and the extent to which accounting enables such actions of the government. Design/methodology/approach This study follows the qualitative research approach and adopts the case study research method. A major public sector bank in Sri Lanka was selected as the case organization for this study. Data were gathered from semi-structured interviews with organizational participants and document study. Findings The study provides evidence to suggest that inscriptions produced through four areas of accounting, namely external reporting, external auditing, management accounting and internal auditing, have the capacity to develop strong explanations enabling action at a distance and good corporate governance in the case organization. The study also provides evidence to show how the role of accounting in long-distance control and corporate governance in the case organization is influenced by various contextual factors. In particular, the study finds that undue government interference over the case organization to gain the long-distance control have resulted in deteriorating the level of corporate governance. Research limitations/implications The findings support the literature that examines the accounting in its social context. Practical implications The findings suggest that actors should be allowed to operate independently, particularly without political expedience and undue influences from pressure groups, which ensure effective utilization of accounting inscriptions by the actors in long-distance control as well as good corporate governance of public sector banks. Originality/value Although research into accounting in public sector organizations has gained considerable importance in recent times, those studies examining public sector banks are still lacking. The paper aims to fill this gap.


Subject India’s data ecosystem and reform outlook. Significance Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s second government is expected to revive its effort to enforce a new data protection framework. The draft 2018 Personal Data Protection (PDP) bill, deferred due to the April-May general elections, will be tabled afresh when the new parliament convenes from July. Impacts Policy push for data localisation and relatively open access to competing firms will not be reversed. This will be welcomed by large domestic corporates, while alientating foreign ‘big tech’. Cybersecurity of data stored by local corporates and the government will remain poor.


Significance The government is headed by Prime Minister Natalia Gavrilita, a leading PAS figure and former finance minister. This completes the creation of a strong functioning governance system under President Maia Sandu and her PAS allies. Impacts The budget deficit will encourage the government to accept conditions set by the IMF and EU. Unprecedented political synergies should foster swift, more cohesive reforms. A comprehensive campaign against corruption will be disruptive for the public sector. Finding competent, uncorrupt people to take senior positions and staff institutions will be a challenge.


Subject Fall-out from the recent scandals affecting the cabinet. Significance Just months before a general election is due, the government of Prime Minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar is in turmoil owing to a scandal involving former attorney-general Anand Ramlogan and ex-minister of national security Gary Griffith, both implicated in witness tampering allegations. The prime minister removed both men from office, and then undertook a wider cabinet reshuffle. Impacts The government may yet recover, with more than six months until general elections must be held. However, public spending cuts are likely to undermine recovery and the government's approval. Police investigations could reveal new information that damages the government's credibility further.


Subject India's public sector banks and bad debt. Significance While India is being lauded for being the fastest-growing economy in the world, the government is grappling with a growing bad debt problem that threatens the solvency of at least some of its public sector banks. Impacts If the government prioritises its fiscal deficit targets, financing bank bailouts would be difficult. Meanwhile, banks will cut lending, thereby choking growth. Absent a clear policy, the banking strain could intensify, leading to the actual failure of some banks.


Subject Indian disinvestment in state-owned enterprises. Significance India’s state-owned enterprises (SOEs), also known as public sector undertakings (PSUs), include central public sector enterprises (CPSEs). Some CPSEs have become more efficient, but the government's tendency is now to privatise rather than reform, with its new policy think-tank recently recommending disinvestment in over 40 PSUs. Impacts The government may seek to disinvest in public-sector banks. Trade unions may launch strikes opposing disinvestment plans. The government may pursue labour reforms to make it easier to recruit and dismiss workers.


Significance The government and central bank are looking for ways to strengthen the country’s banking system, which is beset by low capital adequacy ratios (CARs) and rising non-performing assets (NPAs). India’s leading conglomerates are asset rich, and their profitability is growing. Impacts The RBI will come under pressure to increase regulation of private as well as public sector banks. Many state-owned banks will merge in a bid to reduce their bad debt. Small NBFCs will face a challenge to sustain liquidity.


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