Economic crisis will sustain unrest in Zimbabwe

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
South African ◽  
Economic Crisis ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Civil Servants ◽  
Content Type ◽  
High Unemployment ◽  
Finance Minister ◽  
Fund Development ◽  
The Government ◽  
Sovereign Credit Rating

Significance Discontent over President Robert Mugabe's mismanagement of the economy is deepening, particularly over high unemployment and severe cash shortages, which have caused the government to delay paying civil servants' salaries. Impacts Pretoria's demands that Harare drop its restrictions on South African imports will likely increase bilateral tensions. Smugglers will take advantage of the region's porous borders to circumvent these rules, eg by routing goods via Mozambique. The mines and minerals amendment bill, which requires mining firms to list on the local bourse, will likely deter investment. Tensions between Finance Minister Patrick Chinamasa and leftist ministers could result in further policy reversals. Plans to gain a sovereign credit rating and issue Eurobonds to fund development will remain unrealised, at least for several years.

South African downgrades will raise regional risks

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
South African ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Customs Union ◽  
Government Revenue ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Finance Minister ◽  
African Development Bank ◽  
Sovereign Credit Rating

Subject Regional impact of South Africa's downgrades. Significance In April 2017, Standard & Poor's and later Fitch downgraded South Africa's sovereign credit rating to junk status. This has raised regional risks for members of the Southern African Customs Union (SACU), who rely on the union for government revenues. South Africa's ratings downgrades will reduce revenues for other members, who received 46.0 billion rand (3.56 billion dollars) of the 84.0-billion-rand revenue pool in 2015-16, and force cutbacks in government spending across the region. Impacts Botswana's government revenue will only be moderately constrained by the downgrades. Namibia will be resilient to reduced SACU revenue in the short term, supported by a loan from the African Development Bank. South Africa will struggle to reassure investors that a new finance minister does not signal a change in fiscal policy.

The South African public service wage bill deadlock in 2021: living on the edge

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Marianne Matthee ◽  
Albert Wöcke
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Learning Outcomes ◽  
South African ◽  
Public Service ◽  
Subject Area ◽  
The South ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Academic Level ◽  
Finance Minister ◽  
The Government

Subject area Macro-Economics. Study level/applicability Undergraduate and MBA. Case overview The COVID 19 pandemic-related restrictions devastated South Africa’s economy in 2020 and although the restrictions were generally less damaging than in 2020, the government had to budget for vaccinations and rebuild the economy. Public service unions had just announced that they were demanding an increase of 4% above inflation for their members and that they were preparing for a strike. They were bitter about the fact that the South African Government had withdrawn from the last year of a three-year wage agreement in February 2020 and their members had not received an increase for the two years. These demands and Finance Minister Mboweni’s response to them had to consider the structural and cyclical impact on the fiscus and economy. Expected learning outcomes The learning outcomes are as follows: understand the general objectives of fiscal policy and stakeholders’ interests; understand the tradeoffs in fiscal policy and the implications of taking a position; and make recommendations based on reasoned judgements about those recommendations. Complexity academic level Undergraduate and MBA level courses on Macro Economics. Supplementary materials Teaching notes are available for educators only. Subject code CSS 10: Public Sector Management.

Russia readies for long economic struggle

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Policy ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Social Spending ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Economic Plan ◽  
Rating Agencies ◽  
European Trade ◽  
The Government ◽  
Key Industries ◽  
Sovereign Credit Rating

Significance The currency, which has fallen 14% against the dollar so far this year, fell another 3% in morning European trade, sinking below 70 to the dollar. The rate cut comes after the January 26 downgrade by international ratings agency Standard & Poor's (S&P) of Russia's sovereign credit rating to junk status (from BBB- to BB+) and the January 28 announcement of an economic plan that will see the government spend 2.34 trillion rubles (35 billion dollars) to bolster key industries, including banks, and to boost its troubled economy particularly in the regions. As part of the measures, Moscow plans a 10% cut in the budgets of all but a handful of ministries. Defence, agriculture and social spending are spared. Impacts Discussions between liberals are not as important to economic policy as they were. Further measures to boost the economy are likely in order to forestall more rating agencies downgrading Russia to junk status. The Security Council will exert greater influence over economic policy, further marginalising economic liberals.

South Africa's Mboweni will aid Ramaphosa reform push

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
South African ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Rating Agencies ◽  
Reserve Bank ◽  
Freedom Fighters ◽  
Left And Right ◽  
The Government

Significance A former South African Reserve Bank (SARB) governor and minister of labour, Mboweni faces a crucial first few weeks in his new post as the government attempts to placate rating agencies and engineer an economic turnaround. Mboweni’s initial moves may be determined by Moody’s credit rating review expected today. Impacts In the short term, Mboweni’s appointment will be a boost for Ramaphosa’s bid for fiscal consolidation and growth. In the medium-to-long term, Mboweni will likely prove a more polarising figure inside the ANC than Nene. Allegations linking the Economic Freedom Fighters with a major banking scandal could give Mboweni and the ANC an early political 'win'. Mboweni's previous social media utterances could be further exploited by opponents, both left and right, in the months ahead.

Unrest and COVID-19 will reduce South African growth

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South African ◽  
Unemployment Rate ◽  
Energy Sector ◽  
Economic Recovery ◽  
Medium Term ◽  
Content Type ◽  
High Unemployment ◽  
The Government

Significance This chokes off an unexpectedly strong economic recovery in the first half of 2021. Meanwhile, unemployment has hit a record high at 35%, or 47% according to the expanded definition which includes people who have given up looking for work. Impacts Without higher economic growth, the unemployment rate will not substantially improve. The combination of low growth and high unemployment heightens the chance of further violent unrest. The government will have difficulty sticking with debt reduction plans without further dampening growth. Planned reforms in the energy sector could ease some of the country’s electricity woes in the medium term.

South Africa's parastatals face growing turmoil

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
South African ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Partial Solution ◽  
The State ◽  
Power Utility ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Rating Agencies ◽  
Additional State ◽  
The Government ◽  
State Financing

Significance This comes amid reports that the state-owned airline will shortly receive a 10-billion-rand (760-million-dollar) bailout from the government, with almost 7 billion rand in debts due to lenders by September 30. The performance of South Africa's state-owned enterprises (SOEs) has featured prominently in rating agencies' downgrade assessments; Moody's cut embattled power utility Eskom's credit rating in June. Impacts The dismissal of SOE officials implicated in Gupta-related corruption allegations will prove only a partial solution to institutional rot. Dampened growth of between 0.5-1.0% this year could be further worsened by additional state financing of SOEs. The South African Reserve Bank's recent mandate court victory will only temporarily allay concerns over its institutional independence.

Finance minister poses hurdles for South Africa's Zuma

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Credit Rating ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Sovereign Credit ◽  
Finance Minister ◽  
Sovereign Credit Rating ◽  
Ruling Party

Significance The case could provide a pretext for President Jacob Zuma to dismiss Gordhan -- a move that would send markets into tailspin and likely result in a junk sovereign credit rating by end-2016. Impacts Interpersonal tensions will undermine Zuma and Gordhan's ability to coordinate South Africa's input at the current G20 meeting. The new anti-graft ombudsman, who takes office next month, will face pressure not to irk the ruling party, particularly Zuma's faction. Zuma may stall on signing new legislation requiring greater scrutiny of accounts belonging to politically connected individuals. The ANC's loss of support in recent municipal polls could push it to adopt more populist expenditure priorities.

Public service motivation and organizational performance in Chinese provincial governments

2016 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 770-786 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chunkui Zhu ◽  
Chen Wu
Keyword(s):  
Organizational Performance ◽  
Public Service ◽  
Public Service Motivation ◽  
Provincial Government ◽  
Civil Servants ◽  
Hunan Province ◽  
Government Employees ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Public ◽  
The Government

Purpose This paper aims to examine different hypotheses concerning the effects of public service motivation (PSM) and other attitudinal or institutional dimensions on organizational performance (OP). Specifically, based on the experience of Chinese provincial governments, this study provides new evidence about how PSM may affect OP. Design/methodology/approach This study collected data from a survey of different provincial government departments in Sichuan Province, Hubei Province, Hunan Province and Chongqing Municipality in 2011. Using data from 761 respondents, Pearson correlation analysis and regression analysis were used to explore the relationships between related factors. Findings PSM, job satisfaction, affective commitment and job involvement have statistically significant effects on OP, and these results are consistent with the findings of previous researches that PSM positively affected OP at a significant level. The results suggest that, if civil servants have a strong PSM, the performance of their organizations will be high. Research limitations/implications Future research should look for additional factors that affect OP, comparing employees’ perceptions of an organization’s performance with objective data to determine whether, and to what degree, subjective measures of performance are valid measures of OP in the public sector. Practical implications In the process of improving government performance, it is significant to give attention to the government employees’ mentality. The government training and promotion system should encourage civil servants to care about the public interest. A more flattened organization should be considered as part of the next steps in government reform, and more opportunities should be provided to involve more government employees in policy making. Originality/value This study helps to clarify the effects of individual factors of PSM on OP in China in a tightly controlled bureaucratic environment, where related data are hardly accessible.

Agripreneurship development: a strategy for revamping Nigeria’s economy from recession

2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 474-483 ◽  
Author(s):  
Innocent Otache
Keyword(s):  
Economic Crisis ◽  
Design Methodology ◽  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Current Economic Crisis ◽  
Leadership Failure ◽  
Oil Sector ◽  
The Government ◽  
Creativity And Innovation ◽  
Practical Implications

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to explore agripreneurship development as a strategy for economic growth and development. Design/methodology/approach Though a few related literature were reviewed, this paper relies heavily on the author’s viewpoint regarding how Nigeria can grow and develop its economy through agripreneurship development. Findings The present economic challenges that Nigeria is facing are blamed on overdependence on the oil sector, bad governance, corruption, leadership failure, policy inconsistency, overdependence on imported goods and ostensible neglect of the agricultural sector. Also, policymakers, economic analysts and the government have advocated strongly for diversification of the economy. Besides, there is a consensus among scholars, economic analysts and policymakers that “agriculture is the answer.” Research limitations/implications This paper addresses specifically one sector of the economy – the agricultural sector. On the other hand, economic crisis needs to be addressed holistically by resolving specific issues that confront different sectors of the economy. Practical implications This paper has some insightful policy and practical implications for the Nigerian Government and Nigerians. The government and Nigerians need to take practical steps to grow and develop the economy. On the part of the government, apart from the need to transform the agricultural sector by allocating enough funds to it, the government should establish well-equipped agripreneurship development centers and organize periodically agripreneurship development programmes for the main purpose of training and developing both current and potential agripreneurs who will be able to apply today’s agricultural techniques and practices which involve a great deal of creativity and innovation for a successful agribusiness. The federal government should integrate agripreneurship education into Nigeria’s education system. Similarly, the Nigerian people, particularly the youths or graduates should be encouraged to choose agribusiness as a career. Originality/value While previous papers have offered different solutions to the current economic crisis that Nigeria is experiencing, ranging from economic to structural reforms, this paper differs significantly from others by recommending specifically agripreneurship development as a strategy for revamping Nigeria’s economy from its current recession. Moreover, there is a dearth of literature on agripreneurship and agripreneurship development. This paper therefore fills the literature gap.

South African government’s GBV plans may disappoint

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Civil Society ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
South African ◽  
Foreign Investment ◽  
Gender Based Violence ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Management Structure ◽  
National Strategic Plan ◽  
The Government ◽  
Gender Based

Significance Although President Cyril Ramaphosa has publicly committed to increase funding to combat what he calls South Africa’s “second pandemic”, there is a lack of transparency in how the government disburses funds linked to its National Strategic Plan (NSP) on Gender-based Violence and Femicide. Impacts Civil society groups will increase pressure on the government to make expenditure on GBV programmes more transparent. A new private-sector fund to contribute to the NSP has received strong early support, but its management structure is opaque. High levels of GBV will not only have significant humanitarian and social costs but may deter much-needed foreign investment.

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