Policy gaps will frustrate China-US ties under Trump

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Human Rights ◽  
North Korea ◽  
Maritime Security ◽  
Climate Governance ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Face To Face ◽  
Bilateral Relations ◽  
Unilateral Action ◽  
The Us ◽  
Two Sides

Significance No joint statement was issued by the two leaders, although the US Secretaries of State, Commerce and Treasury provided commentary on the talks. Both US and Chinese expectations were kept in check for the first face-to-face meeting of the two leaders; the two sides saw the summit as more transitional than transactional. Nevertheless, beneath mutual proclamations of friendship, gaps in outlook and policy between the two countries appeared, most significantly on North Korea. Impacts Beijing may assess the US strike on Syria unfavourably, viewing Trump as a Bush-style advocate of unilateral action. The administration will support the Obama line towards maritime security norms via US patrols, rather than international legal mechanisms. The summit’s silence on joint climate governance efforts and human rights suggest they are likely to slide from the bilateral agenda. Extended Asia policy vacancies in Washington will hinder the management of bilateral relations at the sub-cabinet level.

Ecuador prison crisis threatens to escalate

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Human Rights ◽  
International Human Rights ◽  
Prison Violence ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Us ◽  
International Coordination ◽  
Drug Cartels ◽  
International Human ◽  
International Investors

Significance The attack, which involved drones, illustrates the evolving tactics of crime groups, and follows a string of violent, sometimes coordinated, incidents at prisons this year. These have resulted in the deaths of over 120 inmates. Prison violence comes alongside rising crime and growing concerns over the strengthening of transnational drug cartels. Impacts Lasso will face increasing pressure from international human rights groups to protect prisoners and improve prison conditions. Rising violence and crime will increase concerns among international investors about the security of investments and risks of extortion. Lasso might seek to exploit improved relations with the US and Colombian governments to strengthen international coordination.

June summits signal progress on EU-US trade ties

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Corporate Taxation ◽  
Gas Pipeline ◽  
Security Technology ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Transatlantic Cooperation ◽  
The Us ◽  
Us Government ◽  
Nord Stream ◽  
High Level ◽  
Two Sides

Significance The two sides have suspended tariffs arising from their dispute over subsidies to Airbus and Boeing, are working on an international deal on corporate taxation and have established a high-level council to discuss issues at the nexus of security, technology and trade. Impacts A major aim of closer transatlantic cooperation is better coordination of policies with respect to China. Closer transatlantic cooperation over China might soften US opposition to the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline. It will be difficult for the US government to pass legislation concerning trade given the Democrats' precarious majority in both houses.

Winter Olympic boycott increases corporate pressures

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Human Rights ◽  
Supply Chain ◽  
The United States ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Winter Olympics ◽  
The Us ◽  
Olympic Boycott

Significance The US-led diplomatic boycott of the Winter Olympics in February will increase the pressure on US companies to decide whether China or the United States is their more valuable market. Some of that pressure to decide is coming from employees and customers in both countries. Impacts More frequent and sharper confrontations between US companies and China could accelerate the decoupling of the two economies. Renewed emphasis on human rights concerns will encourage the further shifting of some supply chain elements out of China. Consumer brands are particularly vulnerable to human rights concerns, as are their suppliers.

Entrepreneurial influencers and influential entrepreneurs: two sides of the same coin

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nataly Guiñez-Cabrera ◽  
Claudio Aqueveque
Keyword(s):  
Social Media ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Face To Face ◽  
Phenomenological Perspective ◽  
Incentive Policies ◽  
Entrepreneurship Theory ◽  
Entrepreneurial Activities ◽  
Push And Pull ◽  
Two Sides ◽  
Entrepreneurial Efforts

PurposeDrawing on push and pull entrepreneurship theory, this research investigates how and why social media users become social media influencers (SMIs), a specific type of digital entrepreneur.Design/methodology/approachAdopting a phenomenological perspective and following a process approach, a total of 35 semi-structured face-to-face interviews were conducted with SMIs of different ages, follower numbers and associated with diverse areas of expertise. Subsequently, via interpretative analysis of interviewees' narratives and reasons for becoming SMIs, relevant motivations and events were uncovered and described.FindingsThe findings showcase two types of SMIs: “Entrepreneurial Influencers” and “Influential Entrepreneurs”. Their motivations and the path they followed on their entrepreneurial efforts were also uncovered. Finally, based on these findings, a new entrepreneurial motivational driver is proposed.Practical implicationsPublic entrepreneurial incentive policies should consider SMIs as a specific type of would-be entrepreneurs with some advantage in terms of prominence and reputation, which might help them to successfully initiate and consolidate traditional entrepreneurial activities.Originality/valueThis paper is among the first to examine SMIs from an entrepreneurial perspective, contributing to the nascent digital entrepreneurship literature.

Dutch ties with Turkey and Russia may not recover soon

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Human Rights ◽  
Foreign Policy ◽  
The Netherlands ◽  
Minority Groups ◽  
Energy Resource ◽  
Foreign Minister ◽  
Foreseeable Future ◽  
Eu Accession ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Bilateral Relations

Significance This comes after the formal withdrawal of the Dutch ambassador to Turkey in early February and the resignation of Foreign Minister Halbe Zijlstra on February 13 marked new lows in the Netherlands’ relations with Ankara and Moscow, respectively. Impacts Poor bilateral relations could hit Dutch tourism to Turkey. Tension with Russia combined with shrinking domestic reserves may encourage the Dutch to move away from gas as the main energy resource. The Netherlands is likely to reject any further talks about Turkey’s EU accession for the foreseeable future. The Netherland’s foreign policy focus on human rights, particularly of minority groups, could further sour relations with Turkey and Russia.

Turkey’s Syrian goals will deepen the US breach

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
New York ◽  
Full Recovery ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Bilateral Relations ◽  
The Us ◽  
Defence Procurement ◽  
Far Eastern ◽  
The Eu

Significance Erdogan’s New York meetings will include discussions of the troubled US-Turkish relationship. When a jailed US pastor returns to court in October on espionage charges, Turkey could step back and perhaps take some heat out of bilateral relations by releasing him. However, the chance of a full recovery in relations seems to have passed. Impacts Turkey will further diversify defence procurement outside NATO. Better relations with Germany and the EU will counterbalance worsening US ties. Tourism will recover, switching to Russian and Far Eastern visitors.

Eastern Ukraine faces more months of no war or peace

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Political Crisis ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Parliamentary Elections ◽  
The Us ◽  
The Military ◽  
Two Sides

Significance Despite frequent exchanges of fire, the conflict lines in eastern Ukraine remain static as the two sides hold entrenched military positions and are approximately evenly matched. The US delivery of Javelin anti-tank missiles will boost Ukrainian morale and irritate Moscow but does not substantively alter the military dynamics. Impacts With presidential and parliamentary elections due next year, Kyiv will opt for continuity over change in its eastern Ukraine policy. Painful concessions on political arrangements for the east could tip Kyiv into a damaging domestic political crisis. Kyiv’s relations with its Western backers will be shaped more by its willingness to reform than by conflict-related developments.

Taiwan will benefit from US-China friction

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
North Korea ◽  
State Department ◽  
The State ◽  
Military Cooperation ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Opening Ceremony ◽  
Us Military ◽  
The Us ◽  
Us Government ◽  
At Home

Significance Taiwan-US relations got a symbolic boost when the US government opened a new 250-million-dollar institute to house the de facto embassy in Taipei, Taiwan's capital, on June 12. President Tsai Ing-wen, and a US delegation that included representatives from Congress and the State Department, attended the opening ceremony. It may have received greater attention and perhaps higher-ranking US representation had the first US-North Korea summit not been scheduled for the same day. Impacts Taiwan's president will be constrained from improving China ties by anti-China sentiment at home. More businesses could come under Chinese pressure as cross-Strait relations deteriorate further. Taiwan-US military cooperation will prompt more aggressive Chinese efforts to diminish Taiwan's standing and increase military intimidation.

US Congress will leave Trump nuclear authority intact

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Relations ◽  
North Korea ◽  
Political Leadership ◽  
Nuclear Deterrence ◽  
Nuclear War ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Us Congress ◽  
North East ◽  
The Us ◽  
Carry Over

Significance The standoff with North Korea has led the Senate Foreign Relations Committee to hold a hearing on the president’s authority to order a nuclear first strike. This is the first such formal examination of the executive branch’s nuclear prerogatives and procedures by Congress since 1976. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump’s administration is planning on upgrades to the US arsenal to boost Washington’s ability to wage a nuclear war and has raised the spectre of nuclear conflict with North Korea in its public remarks. Impacts The probable US deployment of new tactical nuclear weapons will not carry over to delegating attack authority to commanders in a crisis. Chinese and Russian anti-access/area-denial systems may trigger more US reliance on nuclear deterrence in the Baltics and North-east Asia. Improved weapons technology convincing policymakers that first strikes are prudent pose greater risks than unbalanced political leadership.

US COVID-19 census delays will mean party battles

2020 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
House Of Representatives ◽  
Internet Access ◽  
Allocation Of Resources ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Presidential Candidates ◽  
Face To Face ◽  
College Towns ◽  
The Us ◽  
Systemic Factors ◽  
Us Census

Significance The US census is conducted every ten years. The survey contributes to public allocation of resources and determines how many US House of Representatives seats each state has. Although online, telephone and mail-in responses are ongoing, the census still requires face-to-face interviews and events. Impacts The 2020 census will still be susceptible to systemic factors that produce undercounting, impairing public policy effectiveness. Areas with minorities, poverty, poor internet access and college towns are at greater risk of undercounting. Republican presidential candidates could benefit from likely 2020-21 seat reapportionments from 2024.

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