Investors drawn to high-yield emerging market bonds

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Corporate Bond ◽  
High Yield ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Volatility Index ◽  
Investment Grade ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Political Turmoil ◽  
Bond Spreads

Subject Emerging market corporate bonds enter bubble territory. Significance Strong appetite for higher-yielding emerging market (EM) assets this year has compressed corporate bond spreads the most since the global financial crisis, fuelling concerns of a bubble. The sharpest compression has occurred in Asia where spreads on the Asian component of JPMorgan’s benchmark EM corporate bond index have fallen below their mid-2014 post-crisis low. Low volatility and the enduring ‘search for yield’ are underpinning demand but the scope for a correction is increasing as valuations are increasingly stretched -- particularly in Asian high-yield, and in non-investment grade bonds -- while concerns are high about China’s crackdown on financial leverage. Impacts The dollar has erased its post-election gain; it may fall more in coming weeks. The oil price has risen 10% since May 9 on rising confidence that OPEC will extend output cuts but further increases will be limited. The ‘Vix’ equities volatility index, Wall Street’s ‘fear gauge’, is close to a historic low despite the political turmoil in Washington.

Determinants of the global financial crisis recovery: an empirical assessment

2017 ◽  
Vol 44 (1) ◽  
pp. 36-46 ◽  
Author(s):  
Minh Quang Dao
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Liberalization ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Financial Depth ◽  
Crisis Recovery ◽  
Cross Country ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to empirically assess the effect of the factors contributing to the recovery from this crisis in terms of national GDP growth among the G7, Asian7, and Latin American7 countries. Design/methodology/approach The author uses a multivariate regression analysis of the determinants of the global financial crisis recovery. Findings Based on data from 21 developed and developing emerging market economies the author found that good macroeconomic fundamentals together with more open financial policy, financial liberalization, financial depth, domestic performance, and favored global conditions do linearly influence national GDP growth. Over 85 percent of cross-country variations in GDP growth during the recovery phase of the global financial crisis can be explained by its linear dependency on pre-crisis national GDP growth, financial liberalization, financial depth, domestic performance, as well as interaction terms between various explanatory variables. Cross-country differences in national GDP growth also linearly depend on macroprudence and on favorable global conditions. Originality/value Results of such empirical examination may enable governments in developing countries devise resilience strategies that may serve as powerful tools for dealing with future global financial crises.

scholarly journals Investigating dynamic capabilities, agility and knowledge management within EMNEs-longitudinal evidence from Europe

2019 ◽  
Vol 23 (9) ◽  
pp. 1708-1728 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vijay Pereira ◽  
Kamel Mellahi ◽  
Yama Temouri ◽  
Swetketu Patnaik ◽  
Mohammad Roohanifar
Keyword(s):  
Knowledge Management ◽  
Dynamic Capabilities ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Emerging Market Multinationals ◽  
Technological Performance ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The Uk ◽  
The Impact

Purpose This paper aims to analyse the impact of dynamic capability (DC) of emerging market multinationals (EMNEs) on their firm technological performance by teasing out the concepts of agility and knowledge management (KM) through DC. Design/methodology/approach Evidence from this study is contextualised on EMNEs that operate in the UK, Germany and France. This study examines the investment in intangible assets which EMNEs use to develop their DC over the period 2005-2016 and how this leads to increased firm technological performance. Findings Results show that higher investments in DC allow EMNEs to be more agile and gain competencies through KM and thereby sustain competitiveness in the three leading European countries. This research also identifies which EMNE groupings show greater technological performance and how such EMNE groupings are able to translate dynamic capabilities into greater technological performance compared to others over time. In summary, the role of DC during of the global financial crisis was also examined, where they are required to be more agile. Originality/value This paper sheds light on a novel way and motivation of successful EMNEs in using developed host countries as a location for generating DC through agility and KM.

scholarly journals Spread determinants in corporate bond pricing: The effect of market and liquidity risks

2020 ◽  
pp. 2-2
Author(s):  
Menevşe Özdemir-Dilidüzgün ◽  
Ayşe Altıok-Yılmaz ◽  
Elif Akben-Selçuk
Keyword(s):  
Risk Premium ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Corporate Bonds ◽  
Liquidity Risk ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
Corporate Bond ◽  
Bond Pricing ◽  
High Yield ◽  
Bond Liquidity ◽  
Investment Grade

This paper investigates the effect of market and liquidity risks on corporate bond pricing in Turkey, an emerging market, and in Europe. Results show that corporate bond returns have exposure to liquidity factors and not to market factors in both settings. Corporate bonds issued in Turkey have significant exposure to fluctuations in benchmark treasury bond liquidity and corporate bond market liquidity; while corporate bonds issued in Eurozone have exposure to equity market liquidity and are sensitive to fluctuations in a 10-year generic government bond liquidity. The total estimated liquidity risk premium is 0.7% per annum for Turkish ?A? and above graded corporate bonds, and 1.08% for the last investment grade level (BBB-) long term bonds. For Eurozone, the total liquidity risk premium is 0.27% for investment grade 5-10 year term bonds, 1.05% for high-yield 1-5 year term bonds and 1.02% for high-yield 5-10 year term category.

Investment-grade bond rating downgrade fears will rise

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Financial Stability ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Bond Market ◽  
Corporate Debt ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Financial Outcomes ◽  
Junk Bonds ◽  
Investment Grade ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Global Growth

Subject Investment-grade bond market. Significance Corporate debt has increased worldwide since the global financial crisis; the IMF Global Financial Stability Report warned this month that as much as 40% of the corporate debt of the major economies could be vulnerable to default in a financial downturn even half as severe as that of 2008-09. Rising amounts of investment grade debt are in danger of being downgraded to a speculative or junk rating. This could force institutional investors to sell newly classified junk bonds, exacerbating any downturn. Impacts US economic and financial outcomes will be crucial to the health of the investment-grade bond market given the large US BBB-rated market. Loose monetary policy will help corporates to manage their funding costs but might not offset the impacts of sharply slower global growth. Many major firms are reducing their debt to help to protect their credit ratings, but sharply slower growth might alter their priorities.

scholarly journals Mandatory Convertible Notes as a Sustainable Corporate Finance Instrument

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 897 ◽  
Author(s):  
Angel Huerga ◽  
Carlos Rodríguez-Monroy
Keyword(s):  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Balance Sheet ◽  
Sustainable Growth ◽  
High Yield ◽  
Rating Agencies ◽  
Reasonable Cost ◽  
Investment Grade ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The Cost ◽  
The Relationship

Debt securities are often an efficient and inexpensive resource to finance the balance sheet of companies; however, one of the causes of the global financial crisis was the excessive leverage taken by companies. Hybrid capital instruments share characteristics of equity and debt, and allow companies to finance its balance sheet in a more sustainable way by reducing leverage, but tend to increase its overall cost of capital. Mandatory convertible notes (MCNs) are hybrid financing instruments that are very close to equity; rating agencies assign them a high equity component and are commonly treated as equity by accounting standards. Despite the high nominal coupon that MCNs seem to pay in some cases, a deeper analysis shows that the cost of issuing MCNs can be similar and even lower than the cost of issuing senior debt. This research performs an empirical study of the implicit cost of the MCNs issued between 2010 and 2018. The study shows the relationship between the implicit yield of MCNs, the senior debt yield, and the convertible arbitrage investors. MCNs can be a sustainable capital alternative that offers a reasonable cost not only for high-yield companies but also for well-established investment grade issuers. The access to efficient and not very expensive capital to finance the balance sheet of companies can promote sustainable growth, industrialization, and innovation.

Foreign ownership, state ownership and cash holdings under the global financial crisis: evidence from the emerging market of Vietnam

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Quynh Nga Nguyen Thi ◽  
Quoc Trung Tran ◽  
Hong Phat Doan
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Cash Holdings ◽  
Foreign Ownership ◽  
State Ownership ◽  
Exogenous Shock ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Corporate Cash Holdings

PurposeThis paper investigates how the global financial crisis changes the effects of state ownership and foreign ownership on corporate cash holdings in an emerging market.Design/methodology/approachWe employ an interactive term between state ownership (foreign ownership) and a crisis dummy to analyze how the global financial crisis determines the effect of state ownership (foreign ownership) on corporate cash holdings.FindingsWith a research sample including 5,493 observations from 621 listed firms over the period 2007–2017, we find that state ownership (foreign ownership) is negatively (positively) related to corporate cash holdings and the effect of state ownership (foreign ownership) is stronger (weaker) during the crisis period. Moreover, the increase in the effect of state ownership is larger in financially unconstrained firms.Originality/valuePrior research shows that the effects of state ownership and foreign ownership on corporate cash holdings in emerging markets are still debatable. This paper extends this line of research by investigating how the global financial crisis – an exogenous shock – changes these effects.

Oil volatility index and Chinese stock markets during financial crisis: a time-varying perspective

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Panayiotis Tzeremes
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Sovereign Debt ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
Subprime Crisis ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Volatility Index ◽  
The Us ◽  
Three Stages ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

Purpose This study aims to examine the interconnection among the oil volatility index (OVX) and the Chinese stock markets (CSM) during the financial crisis over the period June 1, 2007 to June 26, 2012. Design/methodology/approach Applying the time-varying Granger causality test, this paper conducts an exhaustive analysis of the OVX and the CSMs during the financial crisis. In particular, the financial crisis is classified in three stages, namely, the US subprime crisis, the global financial crisis and the sovereign debt crisis. Findings Briefly, the findings indicate almost a neutral relationship between the OVX and the CSMs during the entire financial crisis, the US subprime crisis and the global financial crisis. Finally, this paper has found a positive relationship between the OVX and the CSMs during the sovereign debt crisis. Practical implications This outcome clearly suggests that Chinese investors have to disregard uncertain information. In addition, policymakers can ameliorate the willingness of market investors in the CSM and further deepen the market-oriented reform of China’s domestic oil prices. Originality/value The innovative combination of these two strands, the OVX and the three stages of the financial crisis, is empirically examined in the study and this paper finds a non-linear linkage between the OVX and CSMs.

Dollar trend to shape EM hard currency corporate debt

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Emerging Market ◽  
Government Debt ◽  
Corporate Bond ◽  
Corporate Debt ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Local Currency ◽  
Hard Currency ◽  
Property Companies ◽  
Asset Class ◽  
Bond Spreads

Subject Outlook for EM hard currency corporate debt. Significance Recent weakness in the dollar, which is currently trading at a two and half month low against a basket of currencies, is contributing to the strong performance of emerging market (EM) dollar-denominated corporate bonds, whose returns in the first four months of 2015 exceeded those on both EM local currency and dollar-denominated government debt. While improving sentiment is mainly due to the recent tightening in Brazilian and Russian corporate bond spreads, the marked deterioration in the credit quality of this asset class, in which Chinese property companies and Russian banks are the largest borrowers, poses significant risks given the fragility of market conditions. Impacts If sustained, the sell-off in global government debt markets could damage sentiment towards EM external and local currency sovereign bonds. The oil price rebound is contributing to the narrowing of spreads on dollar-denominated bonds issued by EM energy corporates. The measures taken by China's central bank to stimulate the economy will buoy sentiment towards the country's vulnerable property companies.

Estimating liquidity premium of corporate bonds using the spread information in on- and off-the-run Treasury securities

2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 134-162 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haitao Li ◽  
Chunchi Wu ◽  
Jian Shi
Keyword(s):  
Credit Risk ◽  
Corporate Bonds ◽  
Corporate Bond ◽  
Liquidity Premium ◽  
Yield Spreads ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Novel Approach ◽  
Liquidity Measures ◽  
Investment Grade ◽  
Bond Spreads

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to estimate the effects of liquidity on corporate bond spreads. Design/methodology/approach Using a systematic liquidity factor extracted from the yield spreads between on- and off-the-run Treasury issues as a state variable, the authors jointly estimate the default and liquidity spreads from corporate bond prices. Findings The authors find that the liquidity factor is strongly related to conventional liquidity measures such as bid-ask spread, volume, order imbalance, and depth. Empirical evidence shows that the liquidity component of corporate bond yield spreads is sizable and increases with maturity and credit risk. On average the liquidity spread accounts for about 25 percent of the spread for investment-grade bonds and one-third of the spread for speculative-grade bonds. Research limitations/implications The results show that a significant part of corporate bond spreads are due to liquidity, which implies that it is not necessary for credit risk to explain the entire corporate bond spread. Practical implications The results show that returns from investments in corporate bonds represent compensations for bearing both credit and liquidity risks. Originality/value It is a novel approach to extract a liquidity factor from on- and off-the-run Treasury issues and use it to disentangle liquidity and credit spreads for corporate bonds.

Financial distress determinants among SMEs: empirical evidence from Sweden

2020 ◽  
Vol 47 (3) ◽  
pp. 547-560 ◽  
Author(s):  
Darush Yazdanfar ◽  
Peter Öhman
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Binary Logistic Regression ◽  
Data Availability ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

PurposeThe purpose of this study is to empirically investigate determinants of financial distress among small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) during the global financial crisis and post-crisis periods.Design/methodology/approachSeveral statistical methods, including multiple binary logistic regression, were used to analyse a longitudinal cross-sectional panel data set of 3,865 Swedish SMEs operating in five industries over the 2008–2015 period.FindingsThe results suggest that financial distress is influenced by macroeconomic conditions (i.e. the global financial crisis) and, in particular, by various firm-specific characteristics (i.e. performance, financial leverage and financial distress in previous year). However, firm size and industry affiliation have no significant relationship with financial distress.Research limitationsDue to data availability, this study is limited to a sample of Swedish SMEs in five industries covering eight years. Further research could examine the generalizability of these findings by investigating other firms operating in other industries and other countries.Originality/valueThis study is the first to examine determinants of financial distress among SMEs operating in Sweden using data from a large-scale longitudinal cross-sectional database.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document