South Africa's Eskom faces formidable reform tests

Significance The appointment follows Minister of Public Enterprises Pravin Gordhan's reconstitution of the Eskom board in January, aimed at restoring credible governance to the utility, which has been plagued by corruption allegations and a liquidity crisis. Hadebe is the twelfth acting or permanent head of Eskom in the last decade. Impacts Partial reforms to state-owned enterprises (SOEs) are unlikely to be sufficient for rating agency upgrades later this year. ANC efforts to tone down proposed controversial land reform measures, by avoiding constitutional amendment, may partially placate investors. Proposed tariff hikes by Eskom will face opposition from opposition parties, trade unions and industry groups.

Subject Prospects for South Africa in 2020. Significance Fiscal woes and muted growth prospects are weighing heavily on President Cyril Ramaphosa’s government as it attempts to stabilise ailing state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and rein in public debt amid the prospect of further rating agency downgrades. Anti-corruption reforms are gaining momentum, while opposition parties undertake leadership changes and strategic manoeuvring ahead of the 2021 local elections.


Subject Ramaphosa's reform challenges. Significance A recent push among ruling ANC factions to force President Cyril Ramaphosa to dismiss Public Enterprises Minister Pravin Gordhan stalled at a series of party and government meetings earlier this month. Widely seen as a proxy for undermining the president himself, the moves against Gordhan focus attention on the progress and problems of Ramaphosa’s efforts to clean up government and introduce wide-ranging economic reforms. Impacts Continuing speculation about Gordhan and changing departmental control over Eskom will undermine the utility’s new CEO. The ANC’s plans to keep SAA as a state entity will dampen investor confidence over wider SOE reforms. Despite the ANC’s travails, it will benefit from leadership changeover and turmoil in the main opposition parties.


Subject Political dynamics around upcoming elections. Significance The Central African Republic (CAR) is considering a constitutional amendment that would extend President Faustin-Archange Touadera’s mandate should elections need to be postponed due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Presidential and legislative elections are scheduled for December 2020 and the ruling party insists on filling a vacuum in the constitution, which does not anticipate election delays in the case of force majeure. However, opposition parties and civil society see the initiative as unjustified and potentially detrimental to stability. Impacts Election delays could facilitate embezzlement of international funds already disbursed for election preparations. A postponement might also further delay implementation of key peace deal provisions, including security and justice measures. Political turmoil and socio-economic disruptions due to the COVID-19 outbreak could provoke violence in the capital Bangui.


Significance As they were 50 years ago, several universities and parts of the transport system will be on strike. Impacts The opposition parties are unable to unite and too weak to fight Macron in isolation, giving him a strong hand until 2022. If the government puts the reform agenda on hold for a few months, it will use the time to prepare the next round of reforms. If Macron is victorious, the ‘radical’ non-reformist trade unions will lose influence in the public sector. Macron might end up earning the French public’s trust and even esteem with his persistence and determination.


Significance Ramaphosa appointed established individuals to the key finance and public enterprises portfolios while removing several figures associated with his predecessor, Jacob Zuma, and the controversial Gupta business family. Nevertheless, the new president kept several compromised officials in peripheral positions in the interests of ANC ‘unity’ ahead of all-important general elections in 2019. Impacts Relations between the ANC and its 'tripartite alliance' partners should improve in the short term. Controversial land expropriation measures will prove protracted and will require careful balancing of business and local community demands. Increasing policy divides between the main opposition parties may undermine the prospects of an electoral coalition for 2019.


Significance Since a controversial cabinet reshuffle on March 31 and subsequent rating agency downgrades, Zuma has faced repeated calls from ANC figures, opposition parties and civil society groups to resign. To ward off opposition to his leadership and reverse ebbing electoral support for the ANC, the president is advancing a populist programme of radical economic transformation. Impacts Land reform initiatives that dilute property rights, short of expropriation, could be a major factor in further rating agency downgrades. Increased land ownership by traditional leaders will cause concern among civil society and human rights groups. Fringe leftist movements such as Black Land First will back Zuma's land proposals and that of his favoured successor.


Significance Opposition parties for the first time have pledged to back the leading opposition candidate should there be a second round. Meanwhile, the persistent jihadist insurgency risks seriously jeopardising voting in the north and east especially. Impacts Opposition parties will be strongly tempted to claim electoral fraud, staining the elections’ legitimacy. Self-defence and militia groups could potentially play an important if problematic role in voter mobilisation and election-related violence. Keen to not alienate urban-based voters, the authorities will likely cave to pressures from the powerful trade unions.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hisham Said ◽  
Aishwarya Mali ◽  
Ajay Deshmukh

PurposeConstruction trade unions have been a vital force in improving the job standards and wellbeing of trade workers. However, the union membership in the construction industry has dropped by half between 1983 and 2017. The objective of this study is to identify and assess the controlling factors of construction electrical trade unionization in the United States.Design/methodology/approachThe study involved four main steps. Literature review and industry townhall meetings were conducted to identify the electrical trade unionization factors. A new unionization trend metric was developed using available union market share data to quantify the growth and decline of local unions. Mixed-mode surveying was used to collect questionnaire and interview data on the unionization factors in different local units of the electrical trade union. Finally, the survey data from the questionnaire and interviews were merged and their correlation with the unionization trend data was assessed.FindingsThe study found that the unionization of this specialty trade is dependent on increasing the crew ratio, expanding the non-apprenticeship union membership program, organizing larger contractors, and continuing the union focus on public and heavy industrial projects.Originality/valueThe study contributes to the construction management body of knowledge by providing a data-driven industry-wide assessment of the factors that affect electrical construction unionization. The study advances the understanding of construction trade unions by narrowing the theory-practice knowledge gap, illustrating the use of macro quantitative empirical research methods, and developing a new unionization trend metric.


Significance The opposition has rejected the results and is preparing legal challenges to Museveni’s victory. Impacts NRM internal cohesion will fray as Museveni becomes a more polarising figure in national politics. The NRM will increasingly try to co-opt opponents to neutralise the growing momentum and collaboration among opposition parties. The government will likely launch developmental efforts to tackle youth unemployment and thus avert unrest.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
James Keating

<p>This thesis investigates the attitudes of New Zealand newspapers to the social and economic tensions exacerbated by the emergence of a newly assertive labour movement in 1890, culminating in the August-November Maritime Strike, and the 5 December General Election. Through detailed analysis of labour reporting in six newspapers (Evening Post, Grey River Argus, Lyttelton Times, New Zealand Herald, Otago Daily Times, Press) this thesis examines contemporary conceptions of New Zealand society and editors’ expectations of trade unions in a colony that emphasised its egalitarian mythology. Although the establishment of a national press agency in 1880 homogenised the distribution of national and international news, this study focuses on local news and editorial columns, which generally reflected proprietors’ political leanings. Through these sites of ideological contest, conflicting representations of the ascendant trade union movement became apparent. While New Zealand newspapers sympathised with the striking London dockers in 1889, the advent of domestic industrial tensions provoked a wider range of reactions in the press. Strikes assumed a national significance, and the divisions between liberal and conservative newspapers narrowed. To varying degrees both considered militant action by organised labour a threat to the colony’s peace and prosperity – sentiments that pervaded their reporting. The New Zealand Maritime Strike confirmed these prejudices and calcified the perception of organised labour’s malevolence. Despite the year’s upheavals, this thesis contends that the press struggled to comprehend labour’s political ambitions, ignoring the unprecedented mobilisation of thousands of new voters, shifting public opinion, and the transformative impact of electoral reform. Distracted by the mainstream political obsession with land reform and convinced that public prejudices, stoked by their own reporting, would obviate a labour presence in the new parliament, the victory of the Liberal-labour coalition confounded the publishing establishment.</p>


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