Prospects for Nigeria in 2022

Significance Further deployments of security personnel to the main conflict hotspots are likely as the administration seeks to gain a symbolic advantage over major bandit groups ahead of an election year. Meanwhile, budget revenues may fall short of projections and the slow pace of structural reforms will be compounded by political manoeuvring in advance of the 2023 elections. All of this will make it difficult for the Buhari administration to cement a reform legacy in its final full year in office.

Significance Andika is the son-in-law of AM Hendropriyono, a retired general and former head of the State Intelligence Agency who is an influential adviser to Jokowi. Andika's appointment will run to December 2022, when he will reach the mandatory retirement age of 58. Impacts Deployment of security personnel to Papua will increase. Jokowi will continue to rely heavily on Hendropriyono’s advice. As with Andika’s appointment, political calculations will be key in Jokowi’s next pick as TNI chief.


Significance The PNRR is vital to revive growth in the EU’s most fragile economy. In addition to providing foundations for a strong economic recovery from COVID-19, the PNRR also focus on broader structural reforms that have long constrained competitiveness. Among these, radical change to public administration is a key element. Impacts Perceptions that the recovery plan is struggling would damage financial-market confidence in Italy’s capacity to survive in the euro-area. Slow progress on the recovery would also entrench opposition in northern Europe towards deeper EU fiscal integration. Polling support for the far-right League party has been declining, which could force it to withdraw from the Draghi government.


2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (4) ◽  
pp. 490-511 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel Amos ◽  
Zairul Nisham Musa ◽  
Cheong Peng Au-Yong

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to present a comprehensive review of facilities management (FM) performance measurement (PM) research within the past two decades to understand existing gaps in FM PM literature. Design/methodology/approach The paper employs a systematic approach to review papers in FM PM published from 1997 to 2017. The articles published in selected peer-reviewed international journals in the last 20 years were collected by conducting literature search in the Web of Science and Scopus databases. The content of the papers were scrutinized to understand the gap in literature. Findings The review depicts a slow pace of FM PM research characterized by diverse and fragmented performance measures, whereas the existing PM frameworks are at the nascent stage. Research limitations/implications The judgments of the paper are based on the 54 papers selected for the critical review and analysis that should be treated as key issues in FM PM research agenda. The review also excludes energy management. Originality/value The paper identifies the gaps in the current PM literature in FM and set propositions for future research which is of utility and relevance to FM researchers more especially on the existing conceptual frameworks. To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this paper is the first attempt to conduct a review on FM PM in the extant literature.


2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 283-296 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ravi Chinta ◽  
Anthony Andall ◽  
Shawn Best

Purpose For women entrepreneurs, personal wealth is seen as a promoter, but lack of affordable child care is viewed as an inhibitor. Based on data from 1,284 nascent women entrepreneurs in the state of Alabama, the authors aim to investigate the linkage between personal wealth and barriers to start a business for women entrepreneurs in the state of Alabama. The mediating effect of affordable child care is also examined. Results reveal that lack of personal wealth can thwart business start-ups, and lack of affordable child care mediates this adverse relationship. The authors conclude their study with implications for policy makers and future research. Design/methodology/approach This is a quantitative survey-based study. This is the largest survey ever done in any state in the USA on the subject of nascent women entrepreneurs. The sample size is 1,284 aspiring women entrepreneurs. (Baron and Kenny 1986) method is used for testing mediating effects. Main effects are tested using regression and ANOVA analyses. Findings Results reveal that lack of personal wealth can thwart business start-ups, and lack of affordable child care mediates this adverse relationship. The mediating effect is strong and, thus, becomes a focus for any proposed structural reforms that are suggested in the discussion section of the paper. Research limitations/implications No experimental design. Findings pertain to the state of Alabama and hence generalizability is low. Variables are measured as perceptions of respondents. Practical implications To mitigate the lack of personal wealth, policy makers should increase resource allocations that will increase external funding for women entrepreneurs through such mechanisms as small business administration grants, minority purchase programs, guaranteed loans, government subsidies, angel investments and venture capital, capturing the amount of capital available to start a business (Jennings et al,, 2013). Even infrastructural support such as incubators and university based entrepreneurial programs would reduce the barriers to start a new business. Affordable child care, via its mediating effect, is another issue that needs to be looked into to promote women entrepreneurship in state of Alabama. Less-expensive community-based child-care programs could provide the necessary fillip to encourage women entrepreneurships to take the initial leap into entrepreneurship. Government funded incubators should include onsite child-care facilities to mitigate the concern about affordable child care. Social implications Promoting women entrepreneurship is an integral part of promoting entrepreneurship in the state of Alabama. This study suggests some directions for structural reforms to promote women entrepreneurship in the state of Alabama. Originality/value The largest survey on aspiring women entrepreneurs in any state in the USA. In total, 1,284 women completed responses from the survey. This paper provides empirically rooted suggestions for structural reforms to promote women entrepreneurship in the state of Alabama. This paper corroborates a priori hypotheses drawn from extant literature.


Subject Croatia's new government. Significance Following early elections in September, the Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ) and the Bridge of Independent Lists (Most) have agreed to form a new, centre-right coalition under the premiership of Andrej Plenkovic. While the basic composition of the new government remains the same as the last, the present coalition has eschewed its predecessor's nationalist and protectionist bent in favour of political and economic liberalism. Croatia has thus embraced European conventions at a time when the EU's policy prescriptions are being widely challenged in much of Central-Eastern Europe (CEE). Impacts The new government has a rare opportunity to enact meaningful fiscal and structural reforms vital to Croatia's long-term economic viability. Promised reforms to the commercial environment could make Croatia a more attractive place for foreign investors to establish operations. The election of a mainstream, pro-European government will momentarily arrest the CEE-wide trend towards political and economic nationalism.


Subject Pakistan's divestment drive. Significance Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif's government describes divestment of public sector enterprises (PSEs), involving 69 firms, as an essential part of its 2013-18 economic reform agenda. Progress thus far is limited, but the government faces rising pressure from the IMF, which made divestment a core condition of its 6.6-billion-dollar, three-year loan in September 2013. Impacts Another government led by Sharif would continue gradual divestments after 2018. Since PSEs are an important vector for distributing political patronage, structural reforms will face stiff resistance. Divestment of profitable PSEs defeats the purpose of the exercise, but the government will use them for a short-term cash boost.


Subject The new government sworn in on August 11. Significance Impressive results in stabilising the public finances have bought significant breathing space, but structural reforms are lagging behind, with most of this year wasted for reforms thanks to the election cycle. Impacts Including the SPS and several ethnic minority parties in the ruling coalition will ensure a two-thirds majority in parliament. Belgrade and Prishtina may be expected to intensify efforts to tie up loose ends left over from the 2013 Brussels agreement. Most crucial of these will be the much-delayed establishment of an association/community of Serb municipalities in Kosovo. Tensions between Nikolic and Vucic will escalate as Vucic seeks to prevent Nikolic from running for a second presidential term.


Significance This follows former Prime Minister Mehdi Jomaa’s announcement on March 29 of a new, non-ideological party that includes technocrats and former ministers -- the Alternative Party. Six years after the 2011 Arab uprisings, Tunisian politics is still in flux -- facing serious social and economic challenges. Impacts Protests and industrial strikes will continue in the months ahead as the government tries to reduce public spending. Political parties are losing the trust of the population. Further cabinet reshuffles are likely, but political leaders are wary of making bold structural reforms.


Subject Nigerian self-sufficiency push. Significance The government has renewed efforts to prioritise food self-sufficiency and modernise farming practices. However, despite the impetus to drive sector growth and diversify away from oil, necessary wider structural reforms have stalled. Impacts Big-ticket programmes will attract most international focus despite the investment potential in Nigeria's mainly small-scale holdings. Growth in agricultural output will remain low in the medium term as inefficiencies persist and core inflation remains elevated. The government’s import ban may aid domestic production targets but will further encourage a flourishing ‘grey market’ (eg, parboiled rice).


Subject Counterterrorism in Burkina Faso. Significance Despite recent gains against jihadist groups, in recent months attacks have moved beyond the more insecure north and started to occur more frequently in the east and parts of the centre. Separately, authorities are growing increasingly intolerant of public dissent and protest, while revelations of abuses by the military risk scuppering crucial local community support necessary for counterinsurgency operations. Impacts The government will face growing political and public pressure to end persistent strikes. Patriotic support for the armed forces remains widespread, but growing revelations of abuse will tarnish its image. Opposition criticisms of the government’s counterterrorism strategy will increase but avoid directly blaming the military. Public dissatisfaction may grow with the Sahel Group of Five (G5) regional force if the slow pace of its operations persists. The prosecution of alleged coup plotter Gilbert Diendere will enjoy public backing amid calls for justice for victims of the old regime.


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