Vaccine policy in Austria and Germany should work

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Reform ◽  
Western Europe ◽  
Adult Population ◽  
Vaccination Policy ◽  
Infection Rates ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Reform Agenda ◽  
Vaccination Rates ◽  
Area Growth

Significance It comes after Austria became the first European country to announce it would make vaccinations mandatory for the adult population. Both countries have among the lowest vaccination rates in Western Europe, which has resulted in soaring infection rates, hospitalisations, and the re-introduction of lockdown restrictions. Impacts Germany and Austria are likely to experience protests over the coming weeks in opposition to vaccination policy. More European countries could consider implementing mandatory vaccines amid concerns over the new Omicron COVID-19 variant. Persistently high COVID-19 infections would slow down the German government’s social and economic reform agenda. Slower euro-area growth as a result of new lockdown measures could see the ECB extend its loose monetary policies.

Politics set to slow Pakistan's divestment drive

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Public Sector ◽  
Economic Reform ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
Structural Reforms ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Reform Agenda ◽  
Political Patronage ◽  
The Government ◽  
Core Condition

Subject Pakistan's divestment drive. Significance Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif's government describes divestment of public sector enterprises (PSEs), involving 69 firms, as an essential part of its 2013-18 economic reform agenda. Progress thus far is limited, but the government faces rising pressure from the IMF, which made divestment a core condition of its 6.6-billion-dollar, three-year loan in September 2013. Impacts Another government led by Sharif would continue gradual divestments after 2018. Since PSEs are an important vector for distributing political patronage, structural reforms will face stiff resistance. Divestment of profitable PSEs defeats the purpose of the exercise, but the government will use them for a short-term cash boost.

Crisis may spell end of South Korea's Park presidency

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Reform ◽  
Executive Branch ◽  
Political Crisis ◽  
Content Type ◽  
National Assembly ◽  
Reform Agenda ◽  
Security Clearance ◽  
International Pressure ◽  
Long Time ◽  
Ruling Party

Subject Political crisis in South Korea. Significance President Park Geun-hye, whose leadership has been characterised foremost by scandals and the failure of every major policy initiative, faces her worst crisis yet. She admitted on October 25 to sharing official documents with Choi Sun-sil -- a long-time associate who has no formal post or security clearance. Park sacked all her senior secretaries on October 28, and the next day prosecutors searched the presidential office, and demonstrators called on Park to resign. Yesterday Choi flew back from Germany, where she had been lying low since July, saying she will co-operate with investigations. To opposition outrage, no move was made to arrest her upon arrival. Impacts The crisis is deeply negative for governance, domestically and abroad, especially if lines of authority in Seoul become contested. Park now has no standing left to press any elements of her fraying economic reform agenda. The National Assembly, normally secondary to the executive branch, will become the main locus of power for the time being. Though the ruling party seeks to distance itself, the scandal boosts the opposition's chances of regaining the presidency. The already flagging push (which Park spearheaded) for greater international pressure on Pyongyang will lose further momentum.

Unrest will complicate Macron’s reform agenda

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Euro Area ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Economic Reforms ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Reform Agenda ◽  
High Ranking ◽  
Area Growth ◽  
Growth Prospects ◽  
High Ranking Official ◽  
Ability To Drive

Significance Fort will be the eighth high-ranking official to resign since Macron took office in 2017. This will raise further doubts over the credibility of Macron’s presidency and reform agenda. Impacts As the euro-area’s second-largest economy, France threatens euro-area growth prospects. Failure to control France’s budget deficit will result in conflict with Brussels. Such economic concerns will reduce Macron’s ability to drive EU political and economic reforms.

USMCA could influence future trade deals’ focus

2020 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Reform ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
Donald Trump ◽  
Rules Of Origin ◽  
Trade Reform ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Reform Agenda ◽  
Trade Frictions ◽  
Trade Deals

Significance US President Donald Trump has left the Trans-Pacific Partnership and escalated trade frictions with China. The USMCA, by contrast, shows a trade deal renegotiated, the implementation of which will be watched for its implications for other US trade activity, especially with the presidential election coming in November. Impacts COVID-19 disruptions mean some aspects of the USMCA, such as rules of origin, will be delayed. If Trump is re-elected, he will continue his tariff-driven efforts to secure Chinese economic reform for US firms. Biden would aspire to strengthen US-Asian trade ties but would focus first on smoothing trade with existing partners. China and neighbours should assume a Mexican challenge to their production, especially of autos, steel and textiles. Trump will tout the USMCA as evidence his trade reform agenda works.

Pension reform could derail France’s Macron

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Reform ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Pension Reform ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Reform Agenda ◽  
Innovation Fund ◽  
Business Confidence ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Eu

Subject Macron’s economic reform agenda. Significance President Emmanuel Macron views his reforms through the prism of power: by strengthening the economy, he hopes to win credibility with Germany, whose support he needs to reform the EU and euro-area. However, the apparent ease of his labour regulations reform in September does not diminish the risk of his next two targets: unemployment benefits and pensions. Impacts With a shrinking share of euro-area exports, France will see limited benefit from the stronger global economy. Business confidence may increase if the government eases the regulatory burden on medium-to-large businesses. Financing an innovation fund by selling off some state assets will take time and likely have little impact on confidence.

Prospects for Western Europe to end-2019

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Western Europe ◽  
Government Formation ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Reform Agenda ◽  
Government Relations

Subject Prospects for Western Europe in 2019. Significance Government relations in Germany and Italy will likely deteriorate, government formation in Spain is set to take months, while French President Emmanuel Macron aims to relaunch his ambitious reform agenda.

Crisis spurs Cuban monetary reform

2020 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Reform ◽  
Foreign Currency ◽  
Black Market ◽  
Monetary Reform ◽  
Inflation Dynamics ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Reform Agenda ◽  
Social Tension

Significance This step is essential to advancing the country’s economic reform agenda, but it promises to be tricky, putting pressure on inefficient state companies, threatening savings and risking inflation dynamics that will be difficult to control. Impacts Inflation fears will see demand for foreign currency on the black market rise further. Despite government pledges to guarantee cash and savings, people will seek to invest or hoard goods, increasing pressure on provisions. Social tension may rise but major unrest is unlikely during the pandemic, with efforts to contain the virus commanding widespread support.

Politics impedes Indonesian leader's 2014-19 agenda

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Human Resources ◽  
Economic Reform ◽  
Tax Policies ◽  
Economic Nationalism ◽  
Foreign Investors ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Reform Agenda ◽  
Transportation Projects ◽  
Public Revenue ◽  
Bureaucratic Reform

Subject Political constraints to Jokowi's reform agenda. Significance In recent speeches, especially his state of the nation address and the budget speech last month, Jokowi has stressed the need for wide-ranging economic reform, particularly investment in infrastructure and human resources, deregulation, bureaucratic reform and corruption eradication programmes. The tone and emphasis of these reform-focused speeches have differed significantly from last year's statements, where rhetoric of economic nationalism dominated. Impacts Falling public revenue will strengthen the finance ministry's resolve to pursue major corporates such as Google for tax. This will be popular politically, but would rattle foreign investors concerned about unpredictable tax policies. The outcome of the 2017 Jakarta gubernatorial elections holds the key to important transportation projects underway in the capital.

Ethiopia’s homegrown economic reforms face challenges

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Reform ◽  
Low Income ◽  
Income Country ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Reform Agenda ◽  
Low Income Country ◽  
Debt Burden ◽  
Sub Saharan ◽  
The Government

Subject Outlook for Ethiopia's economic reform agenda. Significance The government has launched a “Homegrown Economic Reform” agenda, which aims to transform Ethiopia from a largely agrarian low-income country to an industrialised lower-middle-income country by 2030. This will require the private sector to take charge of growth amid waning public sector financing capacity. However, significant economic liberalisation within this timeframe is unrealistic given the entrenched nature of the old command economy. Impacts Ethiopia has overtaken Angola as Sub-Saharan Africa’s third-largest economy but slowing growth could threaten this new status. The large external debt burden and high import content of the new agenda will curb plans to liberalise the exchange rate. Ethio Telecom and Ethiopian Airlines will be the crown jewels among proposed privatisation offerings.

Xi throws weight behind economic reform agenda

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Reform ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Reform Agenda

Headline CHINA: Xi throws weight behind economic reform agenda

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