scholarly journals Industrial Output and Economic Growth in Emerging Economies: Evidence from Nigeria

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 32
Author(s):  
Stephen Ebhodaghe Ughulu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Industrial Sector ◽  
Output Growth ◽  
Growth Patterns ◽  
Industrial Output ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Lending Rate ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Sustainable Economic Growth

The importance of the industrial sector output in enhancing sustainable economic growth has long been documented given that the sector is generally perceived as the engine of growth in an economy. This notwithstanding, Nigeria seems not to have put in place appropriate policies and programs that would engender the desired industrial output growth. The main aim of the paper, therefore, is to examine empirically the relationships between industrial sector output and the sustainable economic growth of Nigeria for the period 1981 to 2018. In doing this, descriptive statistics, unit root and co-integration tests as well as long run and short run analyses were conducted using the error correction model (ECM) of the econometrics. The empirical results from these estimation procedures were quite revealing. For instance, there existed a positive relationship between industrial sector output and economic growth though this was weak considering the magnitude of effects. Capital expenditure and lending rate exerted negative relationships on industrial output and these tended to have accounted for the current low level of industrial activities in the country. The stability test carried out in the paper showed a significant structural stability, which affirmed that these results have called for appropriate policy options that would bring about the desired industrial sector output growth patterns. Hence, strengthening the industrial sector activities in Nigeria as well as streamlining capital expenditure and lending rate to enhance the sector’s output has become imperative. This is typically true as it is the only path that would lead to the enhancement of the industrial sector output and, invariably, the sustainable economic development that Nigeria desperately desires.

scholarly journals Energy Prices, Real Estate Sales and Industrial Output in China

Energies ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 1847 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Chau ◽  
Gaolu Zou
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Industrial Sector ◽  
Data Series ◽  
Energy Prices ◽  
Industrial Output ◽  
Energy Efficient Buildings ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Different Types ◽  
Short Run

A majority of energy is consumed to control the indoor environment for human activities and industrial production. The demand for energies for these two uses are reflected in demand for different types of real estate and the volume of industrial outputs. The purpose of this study is to examine the long-run equilibrium and short-run dynamics between real energy prices and demand for different types of real estate and industrial output in China. Energy prices are measured in the real price of fuels and power. Demand for different types of real estate is measured in their sales volume in the first hand market, that is, floor areas of new real estate sold by developers. Industrial output is measured by the net output (value added) of the industrial sector. All data series were tested for stationarity (i.e., the existence of a unit root) before testing for a co-integration relationship. We found no long-term equilibrium relationship between energy prices and the demand for real estate and industrial output as predicted by theory, probably due to increased supply of energy efficient buildings. There is also no short-run relationship between energy prices and demand for housing due to the increase in vacancy rate resulting from speculative demand for housing. However, demand for commercial properties appeared to lead energy prices. Finally, there is strong evidence suggesting that an increase in energy prices will significantly reduce industrial output but not vice versa.

scholarly journals Cointegration and Causality Analysis of Dynamic Linkage between Industrial Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Pakistan

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (17) ◽  
pp. 4546 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chandio ◽  
Rauf ◽  
Jiang ◽  
Ozturk ◽  
Ahmad
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Electricity Consumption ◽  
Industrial Sector ◽  
Oil Consumption ◽  
Industrial Oil ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Industrial Energy ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Gas Consumption

Energy consumption is a crucial factor to promote industrial sector contribution in an economy for its economic progression. Indeed, Pakistan is an emerging country, but recently adjoining with a very severe deficit of electricity sources. Hence, the industry value added growth leading to economic progression is also fronting inevitable challenges to promote the industry growth. The main objective of the study is to investigate the linkages between industrial sector oil, gas and electricity consumption, and renewable energy consumption with economic development in Pakistan. The findings display evidence of cointegration and a long-run relationship between the consumption of industrial energy and economic growth in Pakistan. The results showed that industrial electricity consumption and industrial gas consumption have a positive and statistically significant impact on economic growth both in the long run and the short run in Pakistan. Industrial oil consumption negatively impacts economic growth in the long run, but positively and statistically significantly impacts economic growth in the short run in Pakistan. Moreover, indications through the vector error correction model (VECM) model confirmed bi-directional relationships of industrial sector oil consumption and economic growth in Pakistan. Furthermore, the uni-directional nexus instituted between economic growth to industrial electricity consumption, industrial gas consumption to industrial electricity consumption, and industrial oil consumption to industrial electricity consumption. The findings uncovered solid interconnections among the studied variables and suggested that the Pakistani government should build a robust policy to diminish the oil, gas, and fossil fuels consumption for electricity production, as a replacement to depend on solar, hydro, wind, and biomass energy sources in Pakistan. Consequently, the government should promote more gas concentrated projects, as these will alleviate the contests of gas dearth and provide it to the industry at cheap prices with ease.

The Dynamics of Exports and Economic Growth: Assessing the Evidence from Nigeria

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 15-22
Author(s):  
Clement A.U. Ighodaro ◽  
Ovenseri-Ogbomo F. O.
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Social Services ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

The paper empirically examines the dynamics of exports and economic growth in Nigeria using time series data for 1970 to 2017. The Vector autoregressive model (VAR) was used to investigate the long run and short run relationship between exports and economic growth as well as some selected variables. The result shows that there exists a stable long run relationship among economic growth, exports, capital expenditure on education and social services. Also, the Granger causality results reveal that export Granger causes economic growth and not the other way round. This means that an increase in economic growth may result from increase in export, but increase in economic growth does not necessarily lead to increase in exports. The Impulse Response Function (IRF) shows that a one standard innovation in exports will lead to permanent positive impact on economic growth in Nigeria. This therefore supports the exports led growth hypothesis for Nigeria.

scholarly journals Stabilization Policies and Technological Shocks: Towards a Sustainable Economic Growth Path

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 205 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anelí Bongers ◽  
Carmen Díaz-Roldán
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Policy ◽  
Policy Making ◽  
Sustainable Growth ◽  
Economic Policies ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Stabilization Policies ◽  
Development Goals ◽  
Sustainable Economic Growth

The purpose of this paper is to explore the extent to which traditional economic policies can be oriented by sound practices. It is becoming widely accepted that sustainable economic growth (and not only economic growth) is the final target of economic policies, but some economic policies are applied just looking to the short-run without taking in account the long-run perspective. Our aim is to show how a sustainable economic policy-making would be possible, making compatible the stabilization of the economy in the short-run with a sustainable economic growth in the long-run. We confront the design of economic policies with the 17 goals of the 2030 Agenda. We argue that all sustainable development goals can be attained by the design and implementation of sustainable economic policies. Finally, to illustrate this point, we will conduct a simulation exercise to show under which combinations of demand policies technological shocks would promote a path of sustainable growth. Our results will provide a reference framework for a sustainable economic policy-making.

Innovation, Finance, and Economic Growth in OECD Countries: New Insights from a Panel Causality Approach

2021 ◽  
pp. 2150013
Author(s):  
Rudra P. Pradhan ◽  
Tamal Nath ◽  
Rana P. Maradana ◽  
Ajoy K. Sarangi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Oecd Countries ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Panel Causality ◽  
Growth Policy ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Sustainable Economic Growth ◽  
Innovation Support

In this paper, using a panel causality approach, we examine endogenous connections between financial development, innovation, and economic growth in OECD countries for the period 1961–2018. The empirical results of our study show that financial development and innovation support long-run economic growth and that the short-run dynamics facet the multifarious interconnections between financial development, innovation, and economic growth. The strategic insight drawn from this research is that to ensure sustainable economic growth, policy-makers in the OECD countries must pay attention to establishing an integrated structure that looks into co-improvement policies concerning the activities that enhance financial development, innovation, and economic growth.

Determinants of Export Performance in Ethiopia

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ezo Emako Kamma
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Export Performance ◽  
Industrial Sector ◽  
Foreign Demand ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Export Supply ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Real Value ◽  
Marketing Costs

Abstract Ethiopia has adopted different policy measures geared at promoting exports. As a result the real value of export has increased by more than 13 folds during 1980-2018 periods; however, its share in gross domestic product and import bills is being very small. Therefore, this article aimed to investigate the factors responsible for export performance over the period 1980-2018 by using the bound co-integration approach. In the long run, the regression analysis implies that real economic growth, inflation and the foreign demand are found to have a positive effect, whereas openness and the share of agriculture have a negative effect. Real economic growth, inflation and the foreign demand depressingly affect the export supply in the short run whereas openness affects positively but the share of agriculture was not found to be crucial. Thus, in order Ethiopia economy to improve its own export supply, focusing on industrial sector, ensuring and expanding vocational and technical education, trying to reduce marketing costs through the process by making transparent, and diversifying the destination are very crucial policy tools.

scholarly journals Influence of Interest Rate on Industrial Output in Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. p21
Author(s):  
Chioma Chidinma George-Anokwuru ◽  
Itoro Bosco
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Positive Relationship ◽  
Labour Force ◽  
Industrial Sector ◽  
Industrial Output ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Industry Output ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Relationship

The study examined the effect of interest rate on industrial sector in Nigeria from 1980 to 2018. The data for the study were sourced from Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) statistical bulletin and Autoregressive Distributed Lag model was used as the main analytical tool. The ARDL Bounds test revealed the existence of long run relationship among the variables. The result further revealed the existence of a positive relationship between interest rate and industrial output both in the long run and short run. The rate of inflation was negatively related to industrial output but the relationship was not significant in both the short run and the long run. The number of labour force affected the productivity of industry thereby increasing its output in both the short run and the long run. Gross investment has a positive relationship with industrial output but the relationship was not significant. Lastly, foreign direct investment was not significant in affecting industrial output in the short run but it was positive and significant in affecting industrial output in the long run. The study concluded that interest rate has the ability to influence industry output in Nigeria. Therefore, the study recommended among others that the apex monetary institution - the Central Bank of Nigeria should ensure that the rate of interest that will encourage investors to borrow in order to start to do businesses or to expand their businesses. This will increase industry output and in turn support economic growth in Nigeria.

scholarly journals The Significance of Military Expenditure, Tourism, and Exports for Sustainable Economic Growth

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ghazala Aziz ◽  
Majid Ibrahim Alsaggaf ◽  
Mohd Saeed Khan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Military Expenditure ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Long Run ◽  
International Labor ◽  
Oil Export ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Sustainable Economic Growth

The current empirical study addresses the recent economics of Saudi Arabia such as the uncertainty of economic growth and dependence on oil export. For this purpose, labor, capital, oil price, terrorism, military expenditure, tourism, and exports are added to the analysis. ARDL long-run and short-run analyses are used, and the results of the study have revealed that labor is negatively related to economic growth, which suggests that efforts should be done to reduce dependence on international labor through the installation of production facilities in those countries where labor is cheap. Also, it is noted that capital, tourism, and non-oil exports enhance economic growth, whereas oil price is the main problem for the economic growth of the country. These results suggest that the diversification of exports to non-oil products is a good strategy to boost economic growth. Alongside, domestic tourism should be promoted to enhance its share in economic activities. The current study helps the policy makers to open new earning avenues such as enhanced tourism sectors and modernized industries which help in technology exports.

scholarly journals The Dynamic Effects of Growth, Financial Development and Trade Openness on Tax Revenue in Malaysia

2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 42-62
Author(s):  
Nanthakumar Loganathan ◽  
Norsiah Ahmad ◽  
Thirunaukarasu Subramaniam
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Tax Collection ◽  
Empirical Results ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Rolling Window ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Sustainable Economic Growth

This study explores the effects of domestic financial development, growth and trade openness on tax collection for Malaysia using the ARDL and bootstrap rolling window estimates covering the period 1970-2017. The empirical results suggest that, the presence oflong-run relationship between tax revenue and per capita GDP and short-run relationship between tax collection, economic growth, financial development and trade openness. We foundthatthere is a short-run unidirectional causality running between tax collection, economic growth and financial development. This result suggests that, in the long-run, economic performance and financial development have an adverse effect on tax collection, while trade openness has no significant causality impact on tax collection in Malaysia. Based on the empirical results of the study, the country should pay more attention to enhance the effectiveness of future public expenditure programs and put more emphasisson dynamic fiscal policy targeting on tax reform and securing new sourcesof tax revenues to ensure continuous flow of long-term tax revenue coupled with sustainable economic growth, trade and financial performances in up-coming years.

scholarly journals AGGREGATED FINANCIAL CONTRIBUTIONS OF SOME ACTIVITY SECTORS ON NIGERIA’S ECONOMIC GROWTH USING ARDL MODEL

2020 ◽  
pp. 13-20
Author(s):  
Amaefula C. G ◽  
Umezurike C. M
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Industrial Sector ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Ardl Model ◽  
Services Sector ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Government ◽  
Financial Contributions

The paper examines the aggregated financial contributions of industrial and services sector output on the economic growth of Nigeria using ARDL model. The data sets on gross domestic product (GDP) and industrial and services sector output (measured in billions of naira) cover the period of 1981 to 2019. The ADF unit root test was used to test the order of integration of the variables under study. Applying Generalized Linear Model (Newton-Raphson) method of estimation, the results showed that both the industrial sector (IND) and services sector (SERV) contributed positively to GDP growth both at the short-run and long-run, significant under 5% level and the system is adjusting towards long-run equilibrium at the speed of approximately 102%. Therefore, the government should put more effort in industrial and services sector reforms so as to make these sectors more proactive at improving economic growth in Nigeria. KEYWORDS: Industry, services sector, economic growth, ARDL

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document