scholarly journals Long-term risk factors for suicide in suicide attempters examined at a medical emergency in patient unit: results from a 32-year follow-up study

BMJ Open ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. e038794
Author(s):  
Sara Probert-Lindström ◽  
Jonas Berge ◽  
Åsa Westrin ◽  
Agneta Öjehagen ◽  
Katarina Skogman Pavulans

ObjectivesThe overall aim of this study is to gain greater knowledge about the risk of suicide among suicide attempters in a very long-term perspective. Specifically, to investigate possible differences in clinical risk factors at short (≤5 years) versus long term (>5 years), with the hypothesis that risk factors differ in the shorter and longer perspective.DesignProspective study with register-based follow-up for 21–32 years.SettingMedical emergency inpatient unit in the south of Sweden.Participants1044 individuals assessed by psychiatric consultation when admitted to medical inpatient care for attempted suicide during 1987–1998.Outcome measuresSuicide and all-cause mortality.ResultsAt follow-up, 37.6% of the participants had died, 7.2% by suicide and 53% of these within 5 years of the suicide attempt. A diagnosis of psychosis at baseline represented the risk factor with the highest HR at long-term follow-up, that is, >5 years, followed by major depression and a history of attempted suicide before the index attempt. The severity of a suicide attempt as measured by SIS (Suicide Intent Scale) showed a non-proportional association with the hazard for suicide over time and was a relevant risk factor for suicide only within the first 5 years after an attempted suicide.ConclusionsThe risk of suicide after a suicide attempt persists for up to 32 years after the index attempt. A baseline diagnosis of psychosis or major depression or earlier suicide attempts continued to be relevant risk factors in the very long term. The SIS score is a better predictor of suicide risk at short term, that is, within 5 years than at long term. This should be considered in the assessment of suicide risk and the implementation of care for these individuals.

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
H Wienbergen ◽  
A Fach ◽  
S Meyer ◽  
J Schmucker ◽  
R Osteresch ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The effects of an intensive prevention program (IPP) for 12 months following 3-week rehabilitation after myocardial infarction (MI) have been proven by the randomized IPP trial. The present study investigates if the effects of IPP persist one year after termination of the program and if a reintervention after >24 months (“prevention boost”) is effective. Methods In the IPP trial patients were recruited during hospitalization for acute MI and randomly assigned to IPP versus usual care (UC) one month after discharge (after 3-week rehabilitation). IPP was coordinated by non-physician prevention assistants and included intensive group education sessions, telephone calls, telemetric and clinical control of risk factors. Primary study endpoint was the IPP Prevention Score, a sum score evaluating six major risk factors. The score ranges from 0 to 15 points, with a score of 15 points indicating best risk factor control. In the present study the effects of IPP were investigated after 24 months – one year after termination of the program. Thereafter, patients of the IPP study arm with at least one insufficiently controlled risk factor were randomly assigned to a 2-months reintervention (“prevention boost”) vs. no reintervention. Results At long-term follow-up after 24 months, 129 patients of the IPP study arm were compared to 136 patients of the UC study arm. IPP was associated with a significantly better risk factor control compared to UC at 24 months (IPP Prevention Score 10.9±2.3 points in the IPP group vs. 9.4±2.3 points in the UC group, p<0.01). However, in the IPP group a decrease of risk factor control was observed at the 24-months visit compared to the 12-months visit at the end of the prevention program (IPP Prevention Score 10.9±2.3 points at 24 months vs. 11.6±2.2 points at 12 months, p<0.05, Figure 1). A 2-months reintervention (“prevention boost”) was effective to improve risk factor control during long-term course: IPP Prevention Score increased from 10.5±2.1 points to 10.7±1.9 points in the reintervention group, while it decreased from 10.5±2.1 points to 9.7±2.1 points in the group without reintervention (p<0.05 between the groups, Figure 1). Conclusions IPP was associated with a better risk factor control compared to UC during 24 months; however, a deterioration of risk factors after termination of IPP suggests that even a 12-months prevention program is not long enough. The effects of a short reintervention after >24 months (“prevention boost”) indicate the need for prevention concepts that are based on repetitive personal contacts during long-term course after coronary events. Figure 1 Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Foundation. Main funding source(s): Stiftung Bremer Herzen (Bremen Heart Foundation)


2018 ◽  
Vol 45 (4) ◽  
pp. 320-326 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinbo Yu ◽  
Zhonghua Liu ◽  
Bo Shen ◽  
Jie Teng ◽  
Jianzhou Zou ◽  
...  

Aims: This study aimed to assess risk factors of intradialytic hypotension (IDH) and the association of prognosis and IDH among maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients. Methods: Among 293 patients, 117 were identified with IDH (more than 4 hypotensive events during 3 months). The association between IDH and survival was evaluated. Results: The incidence of IDH was 39.9%. Age, ultrafiltration rate, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), albumin, β2-microglobulin (β2MG), and aortic root inside diameter (AoRD) were independently associated with IDH. During the 5-year follow-up, 84 patients died with a mortality rate 5.2 per 100 person-year. IDH-prone patients had a higher all-cause mortality rate. IDH and left ventricular mass index were independent risk factors for death (HR 1.655, 95% CI 1.061–2.580; HR 1.008, 95% CI 1.001–1.016). Conclusion: IDH is an independent risk factor for long-term mortality in MHD patients. Patients with older age, high ultrafiltration rate, high level of serum NT-proBNP and β2MG, hypoalbuminemia, and shorter AoRD are at high risk of IDH.


2020 ◽  
Vol 24 (6) ◽  
pp. 606-611
Author(s):  
Y. Li ◽  
Z. Jia ◽  
S. Li ◽  
Y. Huang ◽  
X. Yuan ◽  
...  

OBJECTIVE: To assess factors associated with long-term haemoptysis recurrence after transarterial embolisation (TAE) for haemoptysis due to bronchiectasis.METHODS: Patients with haemoptysis due to bronchiectasis who underwent TAE between May 2010 and May 2019 were included in this retrospective study. Long-term haemoptysis recurrence was defined as the expectoration of >10 mL/day of fresh blood (for at least 1 day) 1 month after TAE. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify risk factors for long-term haemoptysis recurrence after TAE.RESULTS: A total of 197 patients (108 women; mean age, 61.0 ± 12.2 years) were included in the study. TAE was performed successfully in all patients. Side effects occurred in 43 (21.8%) patients, and all patients recovered uneventfully. During 37.6 ± 11.6 months of follow-up, long-term haemoptysis recurrence occurred in 41 (20.8%) patients; the mean interval between the TAE and haemoptysis recurrence was 21.4 ± 16.3 months. Long-term haemoptysis recurrence after TAE was associated with a history of haemoptysis (OR 3.483, 95% CI 1.373–8.836; P = 0.009).CONCLUSIONS: Approximately one fifth patients with bronchiectasis had long-term haemoptysis recurrence after TAE. Risk factor for long-term haemoptysis recurrence after TAE was a history of haemoptysis.


1988 ◽  
Vol 152 (3) ◽  
pp. 359-366 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keith Hawton ◽  
Joan Fagg

The number of deaths in a large series of suicide attempters followed up after their attempts was 3.3 times greater than expected. Suicide or probable suicide occurred in 2.8% by the end of the eighth year of follow-up, the rate of suicidal deaths being 26.9 times the expected rate. The highest risk of suicide was during the first 3 years, especially in the first 6 months, following an attempt. Factors identified at the time of the attempts which were associated with suicide risk included: being male, advancing age (females only), psychiatric disorder (especially schizophrenia), long-term use of hypnotics, poor physical health, and repeat attempts. Recent disruption of a relationship with a partner and major rows rarely preceded the attempts of those who later killed themselves. Factors predicting long-term risk of suicide also predicted short-term risk. There were more than double the expected number of deaths from natural causes, the excess being greatest in females. Markedly high death rates were found for endocrine, circulatory and respiratory diseases, and accidents.


2001 ◽  
Vol 104 (2) ◽  
pp. 117-121 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jaana Suokas ◽  
Kirsi Suominen ◽  
Erkki Isometsä ◽  
Aini Ostamo ◽  
Jouko Lönnqvist

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
T Proenca ◽  
M Martins Carvalho ◽  
R Alves Pinto ◽  
C.X Resende ◽  
P.D Grilo ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Cardioembolism induced by atrial fibrillation (AF) is responsible for up to 33% of all ischemic strokes. 24-hour Holter monitoring in stroke and transient ischemic attack (TIA) patients is used as a routine investigation to search for occult paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF), which may have crucial prognostic impact. Excessive supraventricular ectopic activity (ESVEA) is also a stroke risk factor, probably related to the risk of developing AF. Purpose To observe the incidence of AF at a long-term follow-up and to evaluate the clinical, electrocardiographic and echocardiographic predictors of new onset AF in stroke patients. Methods Patients in sinus rhythm who performed Holter between October 2009 and October 2011 in the setting of post stroke or TIA were included; patients with previous AF were excluded. These patients were followed for 8 to 10 years. Clinical, electrocardiographic and echocardiographic data were collected. ESVEA was defined by ≥500 premature atrial contractions per 24 hours or any sustained supraventricular tachycardia episode. Results 104 patients were included, 54% were male, with a mean age of 63.8±14.7 years at the time of the event. In relation to cardiovascular risk factors, 59% had hypertension, 47% dyslipidemia, 14% diabetes, 44% were smokers or previous smokers; 67% of patients were high consumers of alcohol. 79.8% had a stroke and 21.2% a TIA. 24-hour Holter monitoring revealed ESVEA in 13.5% of patients and PAF in 1.9%. All patients with PAF had a previous stroke and were older than 55. At a follow-up of 8–10 years, new onset AF was detected in 11.5%; these patients had similar mortality comparing to those in sustained sinus rhythm (21.2% vs 16.7%, p=0.724). Alcohol intake, an established risk factor for development of AF, was associated with a non-significant increase of AF (17.3% vs 11.5%) while the presence of cardiovascular risk factors was not associated with AF development. We found a statistically significant difference between patients with and without ESVEA concerning to new onset of AF (35.7% vs 8.0%, p=0.010). ESVEA seems to be related with a higher mortality at a long follow-up, although this difference wasn't statistically significant (35.7% vs 18.2%, p=0.132). Concerning to echocardiographic parameters, patients whit left atrium enlargement showed a higher incidence of AF at follow-up (14.7% vs 7.9%), and the presence of mitral regurgitation were not related with new onset of AF. Patients' age was also not related with new onset of AF during follow-up. Conclusion Atrial fibrillation is considered the main cause of stroke. Our study showed that ESVEA is a strong predictor of new onset AF and highlights that Holter monitoring could be an important tool not only to diagnose AF but also to identify patients in risk of develop AF. Diagnostic of new AF during long-term follow up didn't correlate with higher mortality. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


2007 ◽  
Vol 41 (3) ◽  
pp. 257-265 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erik Christiansen ◽  
Børge Frank Jensen

Objective: This study was undertaken in order to estimate the incidence of repetition of suicide attempt, suicide and all deaths, and to analyse the influence of psychiatric illness and socio-demographic factors on these. Method: The study is a Danish register-based survival analysis that retrieved personal data on socio-economic, psychiatric and mortality conditions from various registers. Hazards were estimated using Cox regression with a time-dependence covariate. Suicide-attempters (2.614) and non-attempters (39.210)were analysed being matched by gender, age and place of residence. Results: The average follow-up period for suicide-attempters was 3.88 years, during which 271 (10.37%) of them died. By comparison, death occurred four times more often among suicide-attempters than among non-attempters. Suicide was far more common among attempters (61, 2.33%) than among non-attempters (16, 0.04%). A proportion of the attempters (31.33%) repeated their attempt within the follow-up period. The most reliable predictors for suicide and death were repetition, suicide attempt method and treatment for mental illness. The most reliable predictors for repetition were age, gender and mental illness. Discussion: Individuals with a history of suicide attempts form a well-defined high-risk group for suicide, and are in need of treatment immediately after the episode. Somatic and psychiatric staff must be informed about the risk factors for subsequent suicidal behaviour after an episode of attempted suicide. Furthermore, departments that are in contact with suicidal individuals need action plans to ensure that all such individuals are discharged to proper treatment immediately after the suicide attempt.


Blood ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 128 (22) ◽  
pp. 695-695
Author(s):  
Paul Saultier ◽  
Pascal Auquier ◽  
Yves Bertrand ◽  
Camille Vercasson ◽  
Claire Oudin ◽  
...  

Abstract INTRODUCTION Acute leukemia (AL) accounts for one third of childhood cancers. Cardiovascular conditions are serious long-term complications of childhood AL. However, few studies have investigated the risk of metabolic syndrome (MetS), a known predictor of cardiovascular disease, in patients treated without hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT). We describe the overall and age-specific prevalence, and risk factors for MetS and its components in the L.E.A. French cohort of childhood AL survivors treated without HSCT. METHODS L.E.A. is a long-term follow-up program involving all childhood AL survivors treated in the French participating centers since 1980 (clinicaltrials.gov identifier: NCT 01756599). MetS was defined according to the National Cholesterol Education Program - Adult Treatment Panel III (NCEP-ATPIII) criteria revised in 2005. RESULTS The study included 650 adult patients. The mean age at evaluation was 24.2 years and the mean follow-up after leukemia diagnosis was 16.0 years. Central nervous system (CNS) irradiation was performed in 18.0% of patients (n=117). The prevalence of MetS was 6.9% (95% CI 5.1-9.2). The age-specific cumulative prevalence at 20, 25, 30 and 35 years of age was 1.3%, 6.1%, 10.8% and 22.4%, respectively, as shown in the Figure. The prevalence of decreased HDL-cholesterol, increased triglycerides, increased fasting glucose, increased blood pressure and increased abdominal circumference was 26.8%, 11.7%, 5.8%, 36.7% and 16.7%, respectively. The risk factors significantly associated with metabolic syndrome in the multivariate analysis were male gender, older age at last evaluation and higher body mass index at diagnosis, as shown in the Table. Cumulative steroid dose was not a significant risk factor. CNS-irradiated and non-irradiated patients exhibited different patterns of metabolic abnormalities, with more frequent abdominal obesity in irradiated patients and more frequent hypertension in non-irradiated patients. DISCUSSION Our study aimed to precisely describe the overall and age-specific prevalence, and risk factors of MetS in a large cohort of childhood AL survivors treated without HSCT. Notably, the subgroup treated with chemotherapy alone is one of the largest ever published, which is of particular interest as current protocols include very limited CNS irradiation indications. The prevalence of MetS was approximately two-fold higher than that observed in the adult French general population under 40 years of age. Moreover, the prevalence of MetS was found to increase markedly with age. An increased BMI at diagnosis was a risk factor for MetS. Children with an elevated BMI at diagnosis may have a genetic predisposition to metabolic disturbances or a socio-familial environment that renders them more vulnerable to metabolic complications. CNS irradiation was not found to be a risk factor for MetS. In the literature however, brain irradiation has been frequently reported as a risk factor for MetS. This variation with our study can probably be explained in part by the observation that our irradiated patients displayed a lower risk of elevated blood pressure along with a greater risk of increased abdominal circumference. The irradiated patients may therefore have a different metabolic risk profile compared with the non-irradiated patients, thereby suggesting varying mechanisms of pathogenesis. The results of our study confirm the need for early and prolonged follow-up of adult survivors of childhood AL even when treated without HSCT and without CNS irradiation. This prerequisite could enable both early detection of metabolic abnormalities and implementation of appropriate therapeutic procedures to reduce the morbidity and mortality associated with cardiovascular complications in such patients. Table. Multivariate analysis of potential risk factors for the metabolic syndrome OR: odds ratio; CI: confidence interval; BMI: body mass index; CNS: central nervous system; † OR per each additional year of follow-up; ‡ OR per each additional z-score unit; *significant values (p < 0.05) Table. Multivariate analysis of potential risk factors for the metabolic syndrome. / OR: odds ratio; CI: confidence interval; BMI: body mass index; CNS: central nervous system; † OR per each additional year of follow-up; ‡ OR per each additional z-score unit; *significant values (p < 0.05) Figure. Age-specific cumulative prevalence of the metabolic syndrome Figure. Age-specific cumulative prevalence of the metabolic syndrome Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


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