Tidal currents and mixing in the Gulf of St. Lawrence: an application of the incremental approach to data assimilation
Tidal heights from 19 tide gauges around the Gulf of St. Lawrence are assimilated into a fully nonlinear, three-dimensional model using the incremental approach to data assimilation. The predicted sea level fields are realistic and agree with the assimilated tidal heights to within about 0.05 m at the M2 tidal frequency. The model also predicts tidal currents with useful skill. The prediction error at the M2 tidal frequency is typically less than 0.05 m·s1. The maps of predicted tidal currents are used to identify regions of mixed and stratified water in the Gulf of St. Lawrence using a version of the SimpsonHunter stability parameter, E. Overall, the map of E is in good agreement with a direct measure of water column stability based on observed density profiles.