A simulation study to evaluate impacts of uncertainty on the assessment of American lobster fishery in the Gulf of Maine

2002 ◽  
Vol 59 (8) ◽  
pp. 1394-1403 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yong Chen ◽  
Carl Wilson

The status of the American lobster (Homarus americanus) in the Gulf of Maine (GOM) has been assessed for the last two decades by comparing an estimated current fishing mortality rate for females (Fcur) with a deterministically estimated biological reference point, F10%. The most recent assessment determined that GOM had exceeded the F10% for every year calculated, although in this time landings and abundance have doubled. The current policy does not consider uncertainty in the assessment. This study evaluates the impacts of uncertainty in F10% and Fcur on the status assessment of lobster fishery. Using a Monte Carlo simulation approach, we found that the status assessment would be influenced by uncertainties in estimating F10% and Fcur, and by the choice of decision confidence level reflecting the level of risk managers would like to take. A large uncertainty in Fcur and F10% and a high decision confidence level reduce the likelihood of defining the stock as overfished, and vice versa. Our results suggest that the probability of lobster overfishing may be less than previously thought, and that uncertainty in Fcur and F10% should be quantified and considered in determining the status of the GOM lobster stock.

2011 ◽  
Vol 68 (7) ◽  
pp. 1511-1524 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuying Zhang ◽  
Yong Chen ◽  
Carl Wilson

Abstract Zhang, Y., Chen, Y., and Wilson, C. 2011. Developing and evaluating harvest control rules with different biological reference points for the American lobster (Homarus americanus) fishery in the Gulf of Maine. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 68: 1511–1524. The American lobster (Homarus americanus) supports one of the most valuable commercial fisheries in the United States. Controversy exists, however, in terms of the biological reference point (BRP) used in assessing lobster stock status, and there is no fully established or evaluated harvest control rule (HCR). A sex-specific, size-dependent operating model is developed to evaluate the performance of two HCRs, discrete and continuous, which adjust annual fishing mortality discretely and linearly, respectively, based on the status of the fishery. For each HCR, different BRPs are considered along with management duration, recruitment dynamics, and natural mortality. HCRs with a suitable set of BRPs can drive the fishery from an undesirable status to an optimal status. The continuous HCR tends to perform better than the discrete one. The Ftarget of 0.31 year−1 showed the best performance in the long term by balancing the needs of the fishing industry and conservation bodies. However, this was not the case in the short term. An Ntarget of 49.6 million would allow the American lobster to be maintained at its current stock level, with high recruitment and stable natural mortality. The study provides a framework for a systematic evaluation of management regulations for the American lobster.


2020 ◽  
Vol 641 ◽  
pp. 159-175
Author(s):  
J Runnebaum ◽  
KR Tanaka ◽  
L Guan ◽  
J Cao ◽  
L O’Brien ◽  
...  

Bycatch remains a global problem in managing sustainable fisheries. A critical aspect of management is understanding the timing and spatial extent of bycatch. Fisheries management often relies on observed bycatch data, which are not always available due to a lack of reporting or observer coverage. Alternatively, analyzing the overlap in suitable habitat for the target and non-target species can provide a spatial management tool to understand where bycatch interactions are likely to occur. Potential bycatch hotspots based on suitable habitat were predicted for cusk Brosme brosme incidentally caught in the Gulf of Maine American lobster Homarus americanus fishery. Data from multiple fisheries-independent surveys were combined in a delta-generalized linear mixed model to generate spatially explicit density estimates for use in an independent habitat suitability index. The habitat suitability indices for American lobster and cusk were then compared to predict potential bycatch hotspot locations. Suitable habitat for American lobster has increased between 1980 and 2013 while suitable habitat for cusk decreased throughout most of the Gulf of Maine, except for Georges Basin and the Great South Channel. The proportion of overlap in suitable habitat varied interannually but decreased slightly in the spring and remained relatively stable in the fall over the time series. As Gulf of Maine temperatures continue to increase, the interactions between American lobster and cusk are predicted to decline as cusk habitat continues to constrict. This framework can contribute to fisheries managers’ understanding of changes in habitat overlap as climate conditions continue to change and alter where bycatch interactions could occur.


2014 ◽  
Vol 71 (6) ◽  
pp. 808-813 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael F. Tlusty ◽  
Anita Kim ◽  
Kathleen M. Castro

The emergence of epizootic shell disease in American lobsters (Homarus americanus) has presented many new challenges to understanding the interface between disease and the management of the lobster fishery. While a variety of the potentially causative and correlative factors for shell disease have been explored, a clear etiological agent remains elusive. The recency of this disease and the lack of identifiable causal agents have hindered the development of conceptual models that can yield testable predictions. Here, a model originally developed for human–parasite interactions was applied to lobster shell disease as a means to unify the broad experimental and field observations. The model is a graphical means to understand the onset and severity of shell disease and is a function of the length of the molt cycle and the rate of the decrease of health both before and after lesion formation as a function of bacterial abundance and pathogenicity. The model also accounts for shell hardening and passive and active portals of entry for the bacteria. The timing for a conceptual understanding of the epidemiology of shell disease is critical because its prevalence is increasing in key fishing areas. Ideally, such a model will help researchers create hypothesis-driven predictive experiments from which we can further our understanding of an important disease to a critical member of the Gulf of Maine ecosystem.


2013 ◽  
Vol 70 (11) ◽  
pp. 1635-1640 ◽  
Author(s):  
Noah G. Oppenheim ◽  
Richard A. Wahle

We conducted tethering experiments in the field to evaluate day–night differences in the identity and frequency of predators encountered by the American lobster (Homarus americanus) in coastal Maine, USA. Separate daytime and nighttime deployments were conducted using tethered lobsters under infrared-illuminated video surveillance. Supplemental tethering trials without video surveillance provided further quantitative information on diel and size-specific predation patterns. We found crabs to be the most common predators during the day, whereas lobsters prevailed at night. Contrary to expectations, we measured higher predation rates at night than during the day, suggesting that nocturnal interactions with conspecifics may play a more important role in lobster population regulation than previously thought when lobster population densities are high and large predatory fish are rare. As large predatory groundfish have been depleted in the Gulf of Maine, lobster populations have reached historic highs, making density-dependent feedbacks such as cannibalism more likely.


Author(s):  
Andrew G Goode ◽  
Jonathan H Grabowski ◽  
Damian C. Brady

The Magnuson-Stevens Fishery Conservation and Management Act mandates U.S. fisheries minimize adverse effects of fishing on essential fish habitat (EFH). The Gulf of Maine (GoM) American lobster fishery is the most valuable U.S. fishery, and can deploy more than three million traps annually. To date, the impact of this fishery on benthic EFH has not been addressed quantitatively. To evaluate the impact of the GoM lobster fishery on EFH, lobster fishing effort was incorporated into a model linking habitat susceptibility and recovery to area impacted by fishing gear; the Swept Area Seabed Impact model. Impact to EFH was localized along the coast and highest along mid-coast Maine. Upwards of 13% of the benthos is in the process of recovery, but between 99.92 – 99.96% of initially affected habitat fully recovers. These estimates suggest that lobster fishing negligibly contributes to accumulation of EFH damage in the GoM due to the expansive area fished and the small footprint of each trap. Identifying areas of persistent impact is crucial in developing effective fisheries management for critical marine habitats.


2013 ◽  
Vol 70 (11) ◽  
pp. 1625-1634 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marissa D. McMahan ◽  
Damian C. Brady ◽  
Diane F. Cowan ◽  
Jonathan H. Grabowski ◽  
Graham D. Sherwood

American lobster (Homarus americanus) landings have more than quadrupled in the last two decades (1990–2010), coinciding with the collapse of Gulf of Maine groundfish fisheries such as Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua). Recently there has been speculation that the release of lobster from predatory control may have resulted in both lower predation rates and increased foraging areas. We used fine-scale acoustic telemetry within a 200 m × 250 m field enclosure to test the hypothesis that cod induce lobsters to decrease movement and seek refuge. We found a large amount of variation in the behavioral response of individual lobsters to predators; however, the addition of cod into the enclosure reduced maximum daily home range area and significantly reduced the distance traveled from shelter habitat area for all individuals. When predators were removed from the enclosure, lobsters responded by increasing home range area and significantly increasing the distance traveled from shelter habitat area. These results represent the first experimental evidence for American lobster range contraction and subsequent expansion in the presence and absence of cod, respectively.


1997 ◽  
Vol 48 (8) ◽  
pp. 729 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lewis S. Incze ◽  
Richard A. Wahle ◽  
J. Stanley Cobb

Relationships between lobster postlarval supply and benthic recruitment were evaluated within and between oceanographically distinct segments of the range of the American lobster. Postlarvae (PL) were sampled by neuston nets in western Rhode Island Sound and the western Gulf of Maine, USA, from June to September 1989–95. Benthic lobsters were sampled in sublittoral cobble habitat by using a diver-operated airlift at the end of the settlement season. Average annual recruitment densities of young-of-year (YOY) lobsters ranged from 0.3 to 1.7 m-2. YOY recruitment was positively correlated between areas. Integrated seasonal abundance of postlarvae was often much greater in Rhode Island than Maine, but production estimates (PL 1000 m-2 season-1), calculated from moult cycle stages and temperature-dependent growth rates, differed by a factor of <0.5. PL production was positively correlated between areas and explained ≥81% of the annual variation in recruitment in each area and 90% for the two areas combined. In Maine, among-site differences in YOY recruitment persisted for a year after settlement and then began to lessen, at least in part because larger individuals moved into areas of initially lower recruitment


1976 ◽  
Vol 33 (8) ◽  
pp. 1779-1787 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guy D. Marchesseault ◽  
Saul B. Saila ◽  
William J. Palm

A delayed recruitment model intended for use in developing dynamic strategies for fisheries management is proposed. The conceptual and analytical properties of the model are elaborated and compared with those of the instantaneous model of Schaefer and the delayed recruitment model recently suggested by Walter. Of the three models discussed, the delayed recruitment model proposed herein constitutes the more biologically meaningful tool for use in management decision making with fisheries characterized by a multiple year delay between spawning and recruitment. The proposed delay and Schaefer models are fitted to catch and effort data from the Rhode Island inshore pot lobster fishery, and the generated coefficients are examined with respect to their interpretation and relative importance. Values of optimum equilibrium catch and effort are calculated for the proposed delay and Schaefer models, and we show that the delay model’s estimates of these management indices are more conservative than those derived from Schaefer’s model. The proposed delay and Schaefer models are compared in a dynamic analysis of the fishery, in which perturbations in the stock level and fluctuations in the applied effort are simulated to predict the subsequent behavior of the stock.


1976 ◽  
Vol 33 (4) ◽  
pp. 1108-1119 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dennis Hedgecock ◽  
Robert A. Shleser ◽  
Keith Nelson

American lobster (Homarus americanus) catches are diminishing. More than 90% of the annual catch is 2.2-kg (1-lb) minimum legal size. Females of this size may have produced 10,000 eggs prior to catch, but, with an estimated larval survival of 1/100,000, 10 females are required to reproduce 1 female. The prognosis for the lobster fishery appears poor.Laboratory culture of larval lobsters can achieve more than 60% survival at a cost of about 2¢ per postlarval juvenile. The effectiveness of restocking has never been evaluated.Starch-gel electrophoresis reveals protein differences among individual lobsters: progeny studies confirm Mendelian inheritance of allozymes encoded by five independent genes, Est-2, Idh, Pgi-3, Pgi-4, and Pgm-1. Genetic markers may be determined by biochemical analysis of pereiopod tissue, without killing. Allozyme frequencies have been measured in natural populations (e.g. Pgm-1103 is absent in lobsters from Martha’s Vineyard (MVS), but occurs elsewhere in frequencies of 0.C2). Larvae with rare allozyme genotypes (e.g. Pgm-1100/103 or Pgm-1103/103 at MVS) may be obtained from selected females or produced by appropriate matings. These may be released, and their survival at selected times after release monitored by leg sampling from lobsters of the appropriate age-class. This technique is being used to select diverse parental stocks and produce progeny which may show hybrid vigor. These stocks will be used in developing lobster farming.


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