Forensics: Assessing model goodness: A machine learning view

2018 ◽  
Vol 02 (02) ◽  
pp. 1850015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joseph R. Barr ◽  
Joseph Cavanaugh

It is not unusual that efforts to validate a statistical model exceed those used to build the model. Multiple techniques are used to validate, compare and contrast among competing statistical models: Some are concerned with a model’s ability to predict new data while others are concerned with model descriptiveness of the data. Without claiming to provide a comprehensive view of the landscape, in this paper we will touch on both aspects of model validation. There is much more to the subject and the reader is referred to any of the many classical statistical texts including the revised two volumes of Bickel and Docksum (2016), the one by Hastie, Tibshirani, and Friedman [The Elements of Statistical Learning: Data Mining, Inference, and Predication, 2nd edn. (Springer, 2009)], and several others listed in the bibliography.

Web Services ◽  
2019 ◽  
pp. 105-126
Author(s):  
N. Nawin Sona

This chapter aims to give an overview of the wide range of Big Data approaches and technologies today. The data features of Volume, Velocity, and Variety are examined against new database technologies. It explores the complexity of data types, methodologies of storage, access and computation, current and emerging trends of data analysis, and methods of extracting value from data. It aims to address the need for clarity regarding the future of RDBMS and the newer systems. And it highlights the methods in which Actionable Insights can be built into public sector domains, such as Machine Learning, Data Mining, Predictive Analytics and others.


The author, after adverting to the many abortive endeavours of former experimentalists to obtain instruments for the accurate ad-measurement of high temperatures, and after suggesting doubts as to the confidence to which Wedgwood’s pyrometer is entitled, describes several attempts of his own to effect this very desirable object. In the course of his inquiries, a remarkable fact presented itself to his notice in the change which occurred in an index constructed on the compensation principle, and formed by two slips of metal, the one of silver and the other of gold, originally quite pure, and united without any alloy. In the course of a few years, although it had never been subjected to a heat above that of melting lead, the whole surface of the gold became converted into an alloy of silver, the impregnation extending gradually to a considerable depth in the gold, and destroying the sensibility of the instrument to changes of temperature. After trying various plans, he gave the preference to one founded on the following principles: namely, that the fusing points of the pure metals are fixed and determined; that those of the three noble metals, namely, silver, gold, and platina, comprehend a very extensive range of temperature; and that between these three fixed points in the scale, as many intermediate ones as may be required may be obtained by alloying the three metals together in different proportions. When such a series of alloys has been once prepared, the heat of any furnace may be expressed by the alloy of least fusibility which it is capable of melting. The determinations afforded by a pyrometer of this kind will, independently of their precision, have the advantage of being identifiable at all times and in all countries: the smallness of the apparatus is an additional recommendation, nothing more being necessary than a little cupel, containing in separate cells the requisite number of pyrometric alloys, each of the size of a pin’s head. The specimens melted in one experiment need only to be flattened under the hammer in order to be again ready for use. For the purpose of concisely registering the results, the author employs a simple decimal method of notation, which at once expresses the nature of the alloy, and its correspondence with the scale of temperature. Thus G. 23 P would denote an alloy of gold with 23 per cent. of platina. As the distance between the points of fusion of silver and of gold is not considerable, the author divides this distance on the scale into ten degrees; obtaining measures of each by a successive addition of 10 per cent. of gold to the silver, the fusion of which, when pure, marks the point of zero; while that of gold is reckoned at ten degrees. If minuter subdivisions were required for particular objects of research, these might easily be made, following always the decimal series. From the point of fusion of pure gold to that of pure platina, the author assumes 100 degrees, adding to the alloy which is to measure each in succession 1 per cent. of platina. Whether these hypothetical degrees represent equable increments of temperature is a question foreign to the purpose of this paper, and must be the subject of future investigation. The author then enters into a detailed account of the method he employed for insuring accuracy in the formation of the requisite series of alloys, and of various experiments undertaken to ascertain their fitness as measures of high temperatures. The determinations of the heats of the different furnaces adapted to particular objects, are given in a tabular form. The remaining portion of the paper contains the recital of the author’s attempts to determine by means of an apparatus connected with an air thermometer, the relation which the fusing point of pure silver bears to the ordinary thermometric scale. An extensive series of experiments, of which the results are given in a table, were made with this apparatus. From the data thus afforded, after making the necessary corrections, the author deduces the following results in degrees of Fahrenheit: viz. A full red heat 1200°; orange heat 1650°; melting point of silver (which had been estimated by Wedgewood at 4717°, and by Daniell at 2233°,) 1830°; of silver alloyed with one tenth gold 1920°. The paper is accompanied with drawings of the apparatus employed.


2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bruce Ratner ◽  
Stephen Day ◽  
Christopher Davies

Author(s):  
Divya Chaudhary ◽  
Er. Richa Vasuja

In today's scenario all of data is being generated by everyone of us . so it becomes vital for us to handle this data. To do so new technologies are being developed such as machine learning, data mining etc. This paper gives the study related to machine learning(ML).Precise approximations are repetitively being produced by Machine Learning algorithms. Machine learning system effectively “learns” how to guess from training set of completed jobs. The main purpose of the review is to give a jagged estimate or overview about the mostly used algorithms in machine learning.


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 317
Author(s):  
Mokhamad Ramdhani Raharjo ◽  
Agus Perdana Windarto

The Rough Set (RS) method is part of machine learning that analyzes the uncertainty of the dataset used to determine the attributes of important objects (classification). The purpose of this study was to extract information from the rough set using the Rosetta application in predicting cases of students' level of understanding of the course. The attributes used are communication (F1), learning atmosphere (F2), learning media (F3), appearance (F4), and teaching methods (F5). Sources of data obtained from the output of the Journal of Physics: Conference Series, 1255 (1). https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/1255/1/012005. The results of the application of the Rough Set method in determining the prediction of the level of student understanding of the course, produce new knowledge, namely learning outcomes based on the subject. There are 15 Reductions with 90 Generate Rules. But overall, the attributes that affect the level of student understanding of the subject are communication (F1) and learning media (F3)


2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 203
Author(s):  
Francisco Camêlo

Resumo: Propõe-se uma reflexão cruzada entre Walter Benjamin e Robert Walser, a partir de suas micrografias. Dentre os muitos objetos que colecionou durante a vida, Benjamin tinha especial apreço por livros infantis, miniaturas e brinquedos. Esse interesse pelo diminuto também se manifestava na extrema pequenez de sua letra e no desejo de chegar a cem linhas numa folha de carta de tamanho convencional, feito conseguido por Walser, que escrevia microtextos com uma grafia minúscula e sobre quem o próprio Benjamin redigiu um curtíssimo ensaio em 1929. Se, por um lado, a letra miniaturizada de Benjamin e de Walser aponta para um gesto de escrita que parece cifrar o conteúdo do texto, por outro lado, a micrografia de ambos diz do interesse mútuo de se esconder nas malhas textuais através de um apequenamento do eu pela escrita. Pode-se, ainda, aproximar a miniaturização da letra de uma estreita vinculação com o universo da infância, seja pelos personagens crianças e fracassados presentes na obra de Walser; seja pelo protagonismo que a infância como Denkbild (imagem de pensamento) assume nos escritos de Benjamin. A partir dessas afinidades eletivas, o artigo procura mostrar a miniaturização como um procedimento de escrita de Benjamin e de Walser através de paralelos entre suas micrografias e de comentários analítico-especulativos de ensaios de Benjamin e de contos de Walser.Palavras-chave: Walter Benjamin; Robert Walser; escrita; miniaturização, infância.Abstract: The article proposes a cross-reflection between Walter Benjamin and Robert Walser and finds its first intersection in the micrographs produced by them. Among the many objects collected during his lifetime, Benjamin seems to have had a special appreciation for children’s books, miniatures and toys. This interest in small items was also manifested in the extreme smallness of his handwriting and in the desire to write one hundred lines in a conventional-size paper – this last one achieved by Walser, who wrote microtexts in a miniscule handwriting and was also the subject of a short essay Benjamin wrote in 1929. If, on the one hand, the miniaturized handwritings of both Benjamin and Walser point to a manner of writing that seems to encrypt the content of texts, on the other hand, the micrographies constructed by both men state a mutual interest in hiding amongst the textual mesh through the suppression of the self in writing. One can, still, liken the miniaturized handwriting with the universe of childhood, be it by the character of the child or the character of the so-called underdog (both present in the works of Walser) or by the protagonism that a childhood-as-Denkbird (image of thought) assumes in Benjamin’s work. Based on these elective affinities, the article seeks to show the miniaturization as a writing procedure employed by both Benjamin and Walser, and it will do so by establishing parallels between the micrographs of the latter and the analytical-speculative commentaries present in Benjamin’s essays and in Walser’s tales.Keywords: Walter Benjamin; Robert Walser; writing; miniaturization; childhood.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (32) ◽  
pp. 22-38
Author(s):  
José Manuel Amigo

Concepts like Machine Learning, Data Mining or Artificial Intelligence have become part of our daily life. This is mostly due to the incredible advances made in computation (hardware and software), the increasing capabilities of generating and storing all types of data and, especially, the benefits (societal and economical) that generate the analysis of such data. Simultaneously, Chemometrics has played an important role since the late 1970s, analyzing data within natural science (and especially in Analytical Chemistry). Even with the strong parallelisms between all of the abovementioned terms and being popular with most of us, it is still difficult to clearly define or differentiate the meaning of Machine Learning, Data Mining, Artificial Intelligence, Deep Learning and Chemometrics. This manuscript brings some light to the definitions of Machine Learning, Data Mining, Artificial Intelligence and Big Data Analysis, defines their application ranges and seeks an application space within the field of analytical chemistry (a.k.a. Chemometrics). The manuscript is full of personal, sometimes probably subjective, opinions and statements. Therefore, all opinions here are open for constructive discussion with the only purpose of Learning (like the Machines do nowadays).


1881 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 18-28
Author(s):  
Cornelius Walford

I think the time has arrived when the subject indicated in the title of this paper may be fairly and fully considered. It is certainly one which must frequently have presented itself to the managerial mind; and there can be no reason why this question should not be discussed with as much philosophic calmness as any of the many theoretical problems, or points in practice, which continually present themselves for reflection, and perchance for decision.The point may indeed arise—whether I am the proper person to introduce the topic. I take the individual responsibility of deciding in the affirmative. I have, on the one hand, been as frequently assailed by the insurance press, as any one, and, on the other, received as much kindness and friendly recognition as any man can desire, and more than I claim to deserve. It may be that in either case the extreme has been reached, or passed. I have the advantage of having been a writer upon the press, insurance and general, from the days of my youth, and I say at once that my sympathies are largely on that side. But I think that the familiarity which draws me to the side of its virtues, also renders me, at least in some degree, cognizant of its short-comings. I have the further advantage of having been on various occasions consulted by managers on the one hand, and by editors on the other, upon the points which I now proceed to discuss.


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