scholarly journals Mathematical Modeling of the Propagation of Democratic Support of Extreme Ideologies in Spain: Causes, Effects, and Recommendations for Its Stop

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. De la Poza ◽  
L. Jódar ◽  
A. Pricop
Keyword(s):  
Political Trust ◽  
System Of Difference Equations ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Public And Private ◽  
Term Forecast ◽  
Electoral Support ◽  
Electoral Register ◽  
Discrete Population ◽  
The Government ◽  
Democratic Support

This paper deals with the construction of a discrete population mathematical model for the short-term forecast until January 2016 of the electoral support of extreme ideology parties in Spain. Firstly, the nontrivial concept of extreme ideology is stated. Then, the electoral register is split in three subpopulations: supporters of extremist parties, abstentions/blank voters, and supporters of establishment parties. The model takes into account the following variables: economy measured throughout the Spanish unemployment rate; demography quantified in terms of birth and death rates and emigration; sociopolitical situation measured by the Spanish poverty indicator, trust on the Government labor indicator (GLI), and the indicator of political trust. By considering the dynamic subpopulations transits built throughout data obtained from public and private prestigious institutions and sociopolitical analysis, a system of difference equations models the electoral population behavior in Spain allowing us to compute the expected electoral support in the time horizon of January 2016. Sensitivity analysis versus uncertain parameters is performed in order to improve the reliability of the model results.

An Analysis of Tax Changes

1965 ◽  
Vol 32 ◽  
pp. 33-42 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. A. B. Hopkin ◽  
H. M. Treasury ◽  
W. A. H. Godley ◽  
D. A. Rowe
Keyword(s):  
General Level ◽  
Tax Rates ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Short Term Forecast ◽  
On Demand ◽  
Term Forecast ◽  
The Government ◽  
Tax Changes

In this country, when Governments change tax-rates, their main purpose is usually to alter the general level of demand. They clearly need to know, as best they can, how much effect on demand various types of tax change will have. Further, outside the Government, any short-term forecast of the economy also needs to make some estimate of the consequences of tax changes.

scholarly journals The Dynamic Electoral Returns of a Large Anti-Poverty Program

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-45 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laura Zimmermann
Keyword(s):  
Regression Discontinuity ◽  
Causal Effect ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Implementation Quality ◽  
Electoral Support ◽  
Poverty Program ◽  
Plausible Mechanism ◽  
The Government ◽  
Election Strategies

Short-term re-election strategies are widely used by governments around the world. This is problematic if governments can maximize their re-election chances by prioritizing short-term spending before an election over long-term reforms. This paper tests whether longer program exposure has a causal effect on election outcomes in the context of a large anti-poverty program in India. Using a regression-discontinuity framework, the results show that length of program exposure lowers electoral support for the government. The paper discusses a couple of potential explanations, finding that the most plausible mechanism is that voters hold the government accountable for the program's implementation quality.

Mozambican reshuffle will not ease donors' concerns

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Private Sector ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Ruling Elite ◽  
Public And Private ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Government ◽  
Leadership Changes ◽  
Public And Private Sector ◽  
Party Congress

Subject Mozambican cabinet reshuffle. Significance President Filipe Nyusi dismissed four ministers on December 12-13, subsequently reappointing two with different portfolios the next day. The reshuffle was expected following leadership changes at the ruling FRELIMO party congress in September/October. It brought in new ministers for the crucial energy and minerals and agriculture portfolios. The government is now focused on pushing through key investment decisions in the liquefied natural gas (LNG) sector in the resource-rich Cabo Delgado province, where ruling elite struggles over land, gas and access to harbour facilities are intensifying. Impacts High interest rates due to government borrowing are crowding out private-sector funding. LNG developments in Cabo Delgado could be slowed due to factional fighting within FRELIMO. Although budgetary support is frozen, there could be a short-term spike in donor aid to specific public and private sector initiatives.

Dampak Insentif Pajak Perumahan Terhadap Potensi Penerimaan Pajak Negara Dan Peningkatan Pendapatan Masyarakat : Kasus Provinsi Papua

2016 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 13-22
Author(s):  
Towaf Totok Irawan
Keyword(s):  
Low Income ◽  
House Prices ◽  
Tax Incentives ◽  
High Price ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Primary Input ◽  
State Revenue ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

Until now the government and private sector have not been able to address the backlog of 13.5 million housing units for ownership status and 7.6 million units for residential status. The high price of land has led to the high price of the house so that low-income communities (MBR) is not able to reach out to make a home purchase. In addition to the high price of land, tax factors also contribute to the high price of the house. The government plans to issue a policy for the provision of tax incentives, ie abolish VAT on home-forming material transaction. This policy is expected to house prices become cheaper, so the demand for housing increases, and encourage the relevant sectors to intensify its role in the construction of houses. It is expected to replace the lost tax potential and increase incomes. Analysis of the impact of tax incentives housing to potential state revenue and an increase in people's income, especially in Papua province is using the table IO because in addition to looking at the role each sector can also see the impact on taxes (income tax 21 Pph 25 Pph, VAT), and incomes (wage). Although in the short-term impact is still small, but very rewarding in the long run. Keywords: Backlog, Gross Input, Primary Input, Intermediate Input

scholarly journals Mapping the Sharing Economy in China

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (16) ◽  
pp. 6333
Author(s):  
Chan Liu ◽  
Raymond K. H. Chan ◽  
Maofu Wang ◽  
Zhe Yang
Keyword(s):  
Global Economy ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Sharing Economy ◽  
Essential Elements ◽  
Mobile Internet ◽  
Internet Technology ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Bona Fide ◽  
The Government ◽  
Idle Capacity

Harnessing the rapid development of mobile internet technology, the sharing economy has experienced unprecedented growth in the global economy, especially in China. Likely due to its increasing popularity, more and more businesses have adopted this label in China. There is a concern as to the essential meaning of the sharing economy. As it is difficult to have a universally accepted definition, we aim to map the sharing economy and demystify the use of it in China in this paper. We propose seven organizing essential elements of the sharing economy: access use rights instead of ownership, idle capacity, short term, peer-to-peer, Internet platforms mediated, for monetary profit, and shared value orientation. By satisfying all or only parts of these elements, we propose one typology of sharing economy, and to differentiate bona fide sharing economy from quasi- and pseudo-sharing economy. Finally, there are still many problems that need to be solved urgently in the real sharing economy from the perspective of the government, companies and individuals.

scholarly journals Clean Energies for Ghana—An Empirical Study on the Level of Social Acceptance of Renewable Energy Development and Utilization

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 3114
Author(s):  
Ephraim Bonah Agyekum ◽  
Ernest Baba Ali ◽  
Nallapaneni Manoj Kumar
Keyword(s):  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Social Acceptance ◽  
Energy Development ◽  
Willingness To Accept ◽  
Public And Private ◽  
Renewable Energy Development ◽  
Development And Utilization ◽  
The Government ◽  
Strongly Agree ◽  
Public And Private Sector

Despite the enormous renewable energy (RE) resources available in Ghana, the country has not seen much development and investments in the sector. Therefore, the government has committed to increasing the share of RE in the country’s electricity generation mix to some 10% by 2030. However, this cannot be achieved without the Ghanaian people’s support since the RE sector is capital intensive and requires both public and private sector participation. This study was conducted to evaluate RE’s social acceptance among Ghanaian people using the ordered logit regression model. A total of 999 valid questionnaires out of 1020 distributed questionnaires were considered for the study. The five-point Likert scale was employed to rank their willingness to accept (WTA) RE. From the results, it was observed that there is a general sense of acceptance of renewable energy among Ghanaians. However, the level of acceptance varies from one respondent to another. The study observed that a majority of the respondents (i.e., approximately 45.65%) agree to their WTA renewable energy, while 36.04% strongly agree. The results also indicate that while 6.21% and 0.3% disagree and strongly disagree, 11.81% of the respondents were indifferent regarding their willingness to accept renewable energy development and utilization in Ghana.

scholarly journals A War of (Mis)Information: The Political Effects of Rumors and Rumor Rebuttals in an Authoritarian Country

2015 ◽  
Vol 47 (2) ◽  
pp. 283-311 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haifeng Huang
Keyword(s):  
Political Trust ◽  
Political Support ◽  
Specific Content ◽  
Experimental Procedure ◽  
Authoritarian State ◽  
Internet Users ◽  
Political Effects ◽  
Information Politics ◽  
The Government ◽  
To Come

Despite the prevalence of anti-government rumors in authoritarian countries, little is currently known about their effects on citizens’ attitudes toward the government, and whether the authorities can effectively combat rumors. With an experimental procedure embedded in two surveys about Chinese internet users’ information exposure, this study finds that rumors decrease citizens’ trust in the government and support of the regime. Moreover, individuals from diverse socio-economic and political backgrounds are similarly susceptible to thinly evidenced rumors. Rebuttals generally reduce people’s belief in the specific content of rumors, but often do not recover political trust unless the government brings forth solid and vivid evidence to back its refutation or win the endorsement of public figures broadly perceived to be independent. But because such high-quality and strong rebuttals are hard to come by, rumors will erode political support in an authoritarian state. These findings have rich implications for studies of rumors and misinformation in general, and authoritarian information politics in particular.

Italy's politics without policy: Balancing Atlanticism and Europeanism in the Middle East

Modern Italy ◽  
2008 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 135-153 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raffaella A. Del Sarto ◽  
Nathalie Tocci
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Policy ◽  
Middle East ◽  
The United States ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Short Term ◽  
The Government ◽  
Specific Interests ◽  
Policy Shifts ◽  
The Eu

Focusing on Italy's Middle East policies under the second Berlusconi (2001–2006) and the second Prodi (2006–2008) governments, this article assesses the manner and extent to which the observed foreign policy shifts between the two governments can be explained in terms of the rebalancing between a ‘Europeanist’ and a transatlantic orientation. Arguing that Rome's policy towards the Middle East hinges less on Italy's specific interests and objectives in the region and more on whether the preference of the government in power is to foster closer ties to the United States or concentrate on the European Union, the analysis highlights how these swings of the pendulum along the EU–US axis are inextricably linked to a number of underlying structural weaknesses of Rome's foreign policy. In particular, the oscillations can be explained by the prevalence of short-term political (and domestic) considerations and the absence of long-term, substantive political strategies, or, in short, by the phenomenon of ‘politics without policy’ that often characterises Italy's foreign policy.

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