scholarly journals Serum Soluble Triggering Receptor Expressed on Myeloid Cells-1 and Procalcitonin Can Reflect Sepsis Severity and Predict Prognosis: A Prospective Cohort Study

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhenyu Li ◽  
Hongxia Wang ◽  
Jian Liu ◽  
Bing Chen ◽  
Guangping Li
Keyword(s):  
Sofa Score ◽  
Prognostic Significance ◽  
Elevated Serum ◽  
Myeloid Cells ◽  
Serum Levels ◽  
Clinical Severity ◽  
Apache Ii ◽  
Apache Ii Score ◽  
Survival Group ◽  
Severity Scores

Objective. To investigate the prognostic significance of serum soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells-1 (sTREM-1), procalcitonin (PCT), N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide (NT-pro-BNP), C-reactive protein (CRP), cytokines, and clinical severity scores in patients with sepsis.Methods. A total of 102 patients with sepsis were divided into survival group (n=60) and nonsurvival group (n=42) based on 28-day mortality. Serum levels of biomarkers and cytokines were measured on days 1, 3, and 5 after admission to an ICU, meanwhile the acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores were calculated.Results. Serum sTREM-1, PCT, and IL-6 levels of patients in the nonsurvival group were significantly higher than those in the survival group on day 1 (P<0.01). The area under a ROC curve for the prediction of 28 day mortality was 0.792 for PCT, 0.856 for sTREM-1, 0.953 for SOFA score, and 0.923 for APACHE II score. Multivariate logistic analysis showed that serum baseline sTREM-1 PCT levels and SOFA score were the independent predictors of 28-day mortality. Serum PCT, sTREM-1, and IL-6 levels showed a decrease trend over time in the survival group (P<0.05). Serum NT-pro-BNP levels showed the predictive utility from days 3 and 5 (P<0.05).Conclusion. In summary, elevated serum sTREM-1 and PCT levels provide superior prognostic accuracy to other biomarkers. Combination of serum sTREM-1 and PCT levels and SOFA score can offer the best powerful prognostic utility for sepsis mortality.

scholarly journals Endocan Levels in Peripheral Blood Predict Outcomes of Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ling Tang ◽  
Ying Zhao ◽  
Daoxin Wang ◽  
Wang Deng ◽  
Changyi Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
White Blood Cells ◽  
Prognostic Significance ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Clinical Severity ◽  
Apache Ii ◽  
Apache Ii Score ◽  
Roc Curve Analysis ◽  
Severity Scores

Purpose.To investigate the prognostic significance of endocan, compared with procalcitonin (PCT), C-reactive protein (CRP),white blood cells (WBC), neutrophils (N), and clinical severity scores in patients with ARDS.Methods.A total of 42 patients with ARDS were initially enrolled, and there were 20 nonsurvivors and 22 survivors based on hospital mortality. Plasma levels of biomarkers were measured and the acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) was calculated on day 1 after the patient met the defining criteria of ARDS.Results.Endocan levels significantly correlated with the APACHE II score in the ARDS group (r=0.676,P=0.000,n=42). Of 42 individuals with ARDS, 20 were dead, and endocan was significantly higher in nonsurvivors than in survivors (median (IQR) 5.01 (2.98–8.44) versus 3.01 (2.36–4.36) ng/mL,P=0.017). According to the results of the ROC-curve analysis and COX proportional hazards models, endocan can predict mortality of ARDS independently with a hazard ratio of 1.374 (95% CI, 1.150–1.641) and an area of receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.715 (P=0.017). Moreover, endocan can predict the multiple-organ dysfunction of ARDS.Conclusion.Endocan is a promising biomarker to predict the disease severity and mortality in patients with ARDS.

scholarly journals Clinical Profile and Outcome of Patients with Severe Acute Pancreatitis

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 8-11
Author(s):  
Rishabh Sehgal ◽  
Inder Pal Singh ◽  
Jyotisterna Mittal
Keyword(s):  
Acute Pancreatitis ◽  
Alcohol Consumption ◽  
Severe Acute Pancreatitis ◽  
Sofa Score ◽  
Clinical Profile ◽  
Etiological Factor ◽  
Clinical Severity ◽  
Apache Ii ◽  
Apache Ii Score ◽  
Marshall Score

Background: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is an acute inflammatory condition of the pancreas leading to pancreatic autodigestion. The present study was conducted to study the clinical profile and outcome of patients with severe acute pancreatitis. Subjects & Methods: The study was conducted on 40 patients of acute pancreatitis. Clinical profile including history, examination findings, etiology of pancreatitis, clinical severity (according to Modified Marshall Score, BISAP score, APACHE II, HAPS score, SOFA score) was recorded. Results: Severe Acute Pancreatitis (SAP) among patients. Majority of the patients i.e. 22 (55%) had alcohol consumption as etiological factor causing SAP followed by biliary 10 (25%) & idiopathic 5 (12.5%). Hypertriglyceridemia and drug-induced (herbal medication) pancreatitis was present in 1 (2.5%) patient each. Out of all 1 (2.5%), patients had a history of both alcohol consumption and the presence of gallstone as an etiological factor. 22 patients (55%) out of 40 patients only conservative management was used while 18(45%) patients underwent USG guided percutaneous drainage was done. Out of these 18 patients, 3(7.5%) patients required Laparoscopic Necrosectomy & 2(5%) patients required open necrosectomy in addition to ultrasound-guided PCD. Patients who improved had a mean BISAP SCORE of 2.15   0.54, Modified Marshall score of 3.65    1.44, APACHE II score of 9.77  4.45, SOFA score 5.54  2.49, RANSON’s score 3.85   1.80 and HAP score of 0.65   0.63. Conclusion: Most common   etiology of severe acute pancreatitis is alcohol followed by biliary etiology. Out of severity scores (BISAP, APACHE-II, SOFA, HAPS), only BISAP score ≥3 is predictive of poor outcome in patients with severe acute pancreatitis.

scholarly journals Prognostic Value of Serum Ammonia in Critical Patients with Non-Hepatic Disease : A Prospective, Observational, Multicenter Study

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yue Li ◽  
Zhipeng Yao ◽  
Yunlong Li ◽  
Zhenyu Yang ◽  
Ming Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Lactic Acid ◽  
Multicenter Study ◽  
Poor Prognosis ◽  
Roc Analysis ◽  
Elevated Serum ◽  
Serum Levels ◽  
Apache Ii ◽  
Apache Ii Score ◽  
Icu Patients

Abstract Background: Non-hepatic hyperammonemia can damage the central nervous system (CNS) and possible prognostic factors are lacking. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic and risk factors for patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU).Methods: This prospective, observational, multicenter study was conducted between November and December 2019 at 11 ICUs in the Chinese Heilongjiang province. Changes in blood ammonia level during and after ICU admission were continuously monitored, expressed as the high-level (H-), mean-level (M-), and initial-level (I-) of ammonia. The risk factors of poor prognosis were investigated by conducting univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis was conducted to compare predictive ability of APACHE-II score, lactic acid, TBil, M-ammonia.Results: A total of 1060 patients were included in this study, of which 707 (67%) had a favorable prognosis and 353 (33%) had a poor prognosis. As shown by univariate models, a poor prognosis was associated with elevated serum levels of lactic acid, TBil, and ammonia (P<0.05), and pathologic scores from three assessments: APACHE-II, GCS, and SOFA. Multivariate analysis revealed that circulating mean ammonia levels in ICU patients were independently associated with a poor prognosis (OR=1.73, 95% CI: 1.07-2.80, P=0.02). However, the APACHE-II score (AUC: 0.714, sensitivity: 0.86, specificity: 0.68, P <0.001) remained the most predictive factor for patient prognosis by ROC analysis.Conclusions: Elevated serum levels of ammonia in the blood were independently prognostic for ICU patients without liver disease.Trial registration: ChiCTR1900026632. Registered 16 October 2014.

scholarly journals Fr402 MELD-NA SCORE VERSUS SOFA SCORE AND APACHE II SCORE AS EARLY PREDICTORS OF MORTALITY IN COVID-19 PATIENTS WITH LIVER INVOLVEMENT

2021 ◽  
Vol 160 (6) ◽  
pp. S-312-S-313
Author(s):  
Sandra R. Gomez ◽  
Eric Lam ◽  
Luis Gonzalez Mosquera ◽  
Joshua Fogel ◽  
Paul Mustacchia
Keyword(s):  
Sofa Score ◽  
Apache Ii ◽  
Liver Involvement ◽  
Apache Ii Score ◽  
Predictors Of Mortality ◽  
Early Predictors

scholarly journals Risk factors for mortality in critically ill patients with COVID-19: a multicenter retrospective case-control study

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinghua Gao ◽  
Li Zhong ◽  
Ming Wu ◽  
Jingjing Ji ◽  
Zheying Liu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Organ Failure ◽  
Critically Ill ◽  
Sofa Score ◽  
Lymphocyte Count ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Survival Curve ◽  
Apache Ii ◽  
Apache Ii Score ◽  
Hospital Death

Abstract Background Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has spread around the world, until now, the number of positive and death cases is still increasing. Therefore, it remains important to identify risk factors for death in critically patients. Methods We collected demographic and clinical data on all severe inpatients with COVID-19. We used univariable and multivariable Cox regression methods to determine the independent risk factors related to likelihood of 28-day and 60-day survival, performing survival curve analysis. Results Of 325 patients enrolled in the study, Multi-factor Cox analysis showed increasing odds of in-hospital death associated with basic illness (hazard ratio [HR] 6.455, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.658–25.139, P = 0.007), lymphopenia (HR 0.373, 95% CI 0.148–0.944, P = 0.037), higher Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score on admission (HR 1.171, 95% CI 1.013–1.354, P = 0.033) and being critically ill (HR 0.191, 95% CI 0.053–0.687, P = 0.011). Increasing 28-day and 60-day mortality, declining survival time and more serious inflammation and organ failure were associated with lymphocyte count < 0.8 × 109/L, SOFA score > 3, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score > 7, PaO2/FiO2 < 200 mmHg, IL-6 > 120 pg/ml, and CRP > 52 mg/L. Conclusions Being critically ill and lymphocyte count, SOFA score, APACHE II score, PaO2/FiO2, IL-6, and CRP on admission were associated with poor prognosis in COVID-19 patients.

scholarly journals Improvement of APACHE II score system for disease severity based on XGBoost algorithm

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yan Luo ◽  
Zhiyu Wang ◽  
Cong Wang
Keyword(s):  
Intensive Care ◽  
Hospital Mortality ◽  
Patient Outcomes ◽  
External Validation ◽  
Apache Ii ◽  
Validation Dataset ◽  
Apache Ii Score ◽  
Severity Scores ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Improve Patient

Abstract Background Prognostication is an essential tool for risk adjustment and decision making in the intensive care units (ICUs). In order to improve patient outcomes, we have been trying to develop a more effective model than Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II to measure the severity of the patients in ICUs. The aim of the present study was to provide a mortality prediction model for ICUs patients, and to assess its performance relative to prediction based on the APACHE II scoring system. Methods We used the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care version III (MIMIC-III) database to build our model. After comparing the APACHE II with 6 typical machine learning (ML) methods, the best performing model was screened for external validation on anther independent dataset. Performance measures were calculated using cross-validation to avoid making biased assessments. The primary outcome was hospital mortality. Finally, we used TreeSHAP algorithm to explain the variable relationships in the extreme gradient boosting algorithm (XGBoost) model. Results We picked out 14 variables with 24,777 cases to form our basic data set. When the variables were the same as those contained in the APACHE II, the accuracy of XGBoost (accuracy: 0.858) was higher than that of APACHE II (accuracy: 0.742) and other algorithms. In addition, it exhibited better calibration properties than other methods, the result in the area under the ROC curve (AUC: 0.76). we then expand the variable set by adding five new variables to improve the performance of our model. The accuracy, precision, recall, F1, and AUC of the XGBoost model increased, and were still higher than other models (0.866, 0.853, 0.870, 0.845, and 0.81, respectively). On the external validation dataset, the AUC was 0.79 and calibration properties were good. Conclusions As compared to conventional severity scores APACHE II, our XGBoost proposal offers improved performance for predicting hospital mortality in ICUs patients. Furthermore, the TreeSHAP can help to enhance the understanding of our model by providing detailed insights into the impact of different features on the disease risk. In sum, our model could help clinicians determine prognosis and improve patient outcomes.

scholarly journals The Characteristics of Mortality Predictor Scoring for Sepsis Patients in Haji Adam Malik Hospital

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (10) ◽  
pp. 339-344
Author(s):  
Abdul Halim Harahap ◽  
Franciscus Ginting ◽  
Lenni Evalena Sihotang
Keyword(s):  
Sofa Score ◽  
Scoring System ◽  
Scoring Systems ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Apache Ii ◽  
Apache Ii Score ◽  
P Value ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Cross Sectional Design ◽  
Score Apache

Introduction: Sepsis is a leading cause of death in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) in developed countries and its incidence is increasing. Many scoring systems are used to assess the severity of disease in patients admitted to the ICU. SOFA score to assess the degree of organ dysfunction in septic patients. The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) scoring system is most often used for patients admitted to the ICU. CCI scoring system to assess the effect of comorbid disease in critically ill patients on mortality. The study aimed to describe the characteristics of the use of scoring to predict patients’ mortality admitted to Haji Adam Malik Hospital. Methods: This is an observational study with a cross-sectional design. A total of 299 study subjects met the inclusion criteria and exclusion criteria, three types of scoring, namely SOFA score, APACHE II score, and CCI score were used to assess the prognosis of septic patients. Data analysis was performed using SPSS. P-value <0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results: A total of 252 people (84.3%) of sepsis patients died. The mean age of the septic patients who died was 54.25 years. The SOFA score ranged from 0-24, the median SOFA score in deceased sepsis patients was 5.0. The APACHE II score ranged from 0-71, the median APACHE II score in deceased sepsis patients was 23.0. The CCI score ranged from 0-37, the median CCI score in deceased sepsis patients was 5.0. Conclusion: Higher scores are associated with an increased probability of death in septic patients. Keywords: Sepsis; mortality predictor; SOFA score; APACHE II score, CCI score.

scholarly journals Clinical Characteristics of Carbapenem-Resistant Klebsiella Pneumoniaee Infections In A Tertiary Hospital In China

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhiwen Cui ◽  
Lirui Wang ◽  
Wei Chang ◽  
Minghui Li ◽  
Yuexia Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Survival Time ◽  
Sofa Score ◽  
Clinical Characteristics ◽  
Bloodstream Infections ◽  
Polymyxin B ◽  
Apache Ii ◽  
Apache Ii Score ◽  
Drainage Fluid ◽  
Carbapenem Resistant ◽  
Antimicrobial Regimen

Abstract Background：The infections due to carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae (CR-KP) have become an important problem. The aim of the study is to evaluate the clinical characteristics of CR-KP.Methods: A retrospective cohort study has been made on all patients presenting with CR-KP infections. 615 patients with CR-KP humor infections diagnosed were identified. 135 patients who did not meet the requirements were excluded. Clinical characteristics, antimicrobial regimens, and outcomes of patients have been analyzed.Results: The CR-KP infections overall mortality was 37.3%, and bloodstream infections mortality was 66.2%. Survival analysis revealed that there were statistically significant differences between bloodstream infection and pulmonary and drainage fluid infection. Logistics regression analysis showed that hemopathy, age (>60 years), solid tumors, diabetes, septic shock, acute kidney injury and stroke were independent predictors associated with the 30-day mortality. Multivariate linear regression was performed in APACHE II score, SOFA score, lymphocyte absolute value (LYM) and survival time. Survival time was negatively correlated with APACHE II score and SOFA score, while positively correlated with LYM. Finally, we investigated different antimicrobial regimens for CR-KP infections. Chi-square test showed that antimicrobial regimen combined carbapenems, tigecycline with polymyxin B was superior the one combined carbapenems with polymyxin B. Ceftazidime avibactam-based antimicrobial regimens also had no advantage over other therapeutic regimens.Conclusions: Our study confirmed there is a high mortality rate in CR-KP infections, especially in the bloodstream infections. The outcome is greatly influenced by the patients’ clinical conditions. Antimicrobial regimen combined carbapenems, tigecycline with polymyxin B might be a better choice.

scholarly journals TACI και σήψη σε βαρέως πάσχοντες ασθενείς στη ΜΕΘ

2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Μαρία Κομπότη
Keyword(s):  
Sofa Score ◽  
Hazard Ratio ◽  
Apache Ii ◽  
Apache Ii Score ◽  
Toll Like Receptor ◽  
Wild Type ◽  
Odds Ratios ◽  
Toll Like Receptor 4 ◽  
Pcr Rflp

Σκοπός: ο προσδιορισμός των γενετικών πολυμορφισμών των μορίων TACI, BAFF και TLR4 και η διερεύνηση πιθανής συσχέτισής τους με την εμφάνιση σήψης και τη θνητότητα σε ασθενείς που εισάγονται στη ΜΕΘ. Ασθενείς-Μέθοδος: Προοπτική μελέτη παρακολούθησης όλων των ασθενών που εισήχθησαν στη Μονάδα Εντατικής Θεραπείας μέχρι την έκβαση (έξοδος, θάνατος). Για τη φυσική ανοσία μελετήθηκαν δύο πολυμορφισμοί του toll-like receptor 4 (ΤLR4-D299G και TLR4-T399I) και ένας πολυμορφισμός του C2 που προκαλεί ανεπάρκεια συμπληρώματος (C2del28bp). Για την επίκτητη ανοσία μελετήθηκαν δύο πολυμορφισμοί του BAFF-R (BAFF-R-H159Y και BAFF-R-P21R) και ένας του TACI (TACI-C104R). Η ανίχνευση των πολυμορφισμών έγινε με αλυσιδωτή αντίδραση πολυμεράσης και ανάλυση με ενδονουκλεάσες περιορισμού (PCR-RFLP). Αποτελέσματα: Στη μελέτη συμπεριελήφθησαν 215 ασθενείς (148 άνδρες και 67 γυναίκες). Η ηλικία (μέσος ± SD) ήταν 54,1±19,7 έτη, APACHE II score εισαγωγής στη ΜΕΘ 22,0±6,0 και SOFA score εισαγωγής στη ΜΕΘ 9,7±3,5. Σήψη στη ΜΕΘ βρέθηκε σε 108 ασθενείς (50,2%) και η θνητότητα στη ΜΕΘ ήταν 20,5% [95% διάστημα αξιοπιστίας 15,0–25,9]. Οι SNPs του TLR4 βρέθηκαν σε συζευγμένη κατάσταση. Οι φορείς κάποιου TLR4 SNP και οι φορείς του BAFFR-P21R συσχετίστηκαν ανεξάρτητα με χαμηλότερη πιθανότητα σήψης στη ΜΕΘ συγκριτικά με τους wild-type ομοζυγώτες [διορθωμένα odds ratios 0,32, 95%CI 0,12–0,86, p=0,024 για τον TLR4-T399I, 0,34, 95%CI 0,13–0,94, p=0,037 για τον TLR4-T399I and 0,44, 95%CI 0,20–0,97, p=0,044 για τον BAFFR-P21R]. Από την ανάλυση υποομάδων, φάνηκε ότι η συσχέτιση αυτή αφορούσε στους παθολογικούς ασθενείς και οριακά στους τραυματίες, ενώ στους χειρουργικούς ασθενείς δεν παρατηρήθηκε συσχέτιση. Η φορεία του TACI-C104R SNP είχε καλή προβλεπτική αξία μετά από διόρθωση ως προς συγχυτικούς παράγοντες [hazard ratio 5,01 (1,14–22,03, p=0,033). Ο BAFFR-H159Y SNP δεν συσχετίστηκε με την εμφάνιση σήψης και τη θνητότητα, ενώ ο πολυμορφισμός C2del28bp δεν ανευρέθηκε στο δείγμα της μελέτης.Συμπεράσματα: Η μελέτη μας έδειξε ότι σε βαρέως πάσχοντες ασθενείς ΜΕΘ, οι πολυμορφισμοί TLR4-D299G (rs4986790), TLR4-T399I (rs4986791) και TNFRSF13C/BAFFR-P21R (rs77874543) ασκούν προστατευτική επίδραση αναφορικά με την εμφάνιση σήψης, ενώ ο πολυμορφισμός TNFRSF13B/TACI-C104R (rs34557412) συσχετίζεται σημαντικά με αύξηση της θνητότητας στη ΜΕΘ. Ο πολυμορφισμός TNFRSF13C/BAFFR-H159Y (rs61756766) δεν συσχετίστηκε με την εμφάνιση σήψης ή τη θνητότητα στη ΜΕΘ. Διαπιστώθηκε ανισορροπία σύνδεσης για τους πολυμορφισμούς TLR4-D299G (rs4986790) και TLR4-T399I (rs4986791) και για τους πολυμορφισμούς TNFRSF13C/BAFFR-P21R (rs77874543) και TNFRSF13C/BAFFR-H159Y (rs61756766). Ο πολυμορφισμός C2-c.841_849+19del28 (rs9332736) δεν ανιχνεύτηκε στο δείγμα των ασθενών της μελέτης.

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