scholarly journals Assessing Risk in Patients with Stable Coronary Disease: When Should We Intensify Care and Follow-Up? Results from a Meta-Analysis of Observational Studies of the COURAGE and FAME Era

Scientifica ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Umberto Barbero ◽  
Fabrizio D’Ascenzo ◽  
Freek Nijhoff ◽  
Claudio Moretti ◽  
Giuseppe Biondi-Zoccai ◽  
...  

Background. A large number of clinical and laboratory markers have been appraised to predict prognosis in patients with stable angina, but uncertainty remains regarding which variables are the best predictors of prognosis. Therefore, we performed a meta-analysis of studies in patients with stable angina to assess which variables predict prognosis.Methods. MEDLINE and PubMed were searched for eligible studies published up to 2015, reporting multivariate predictors of major adverse cardiac events (MACE, a composite endpoint of death, myocardial infarction, and revascularization) in patients with stable angina. Study features, patient characteristics, and prevalence and predictors of such events were abstracted and pooled with random-effect methods (95% CIs). Major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) was the primary endpoint.Results. 42 studies (104,559 patients) were included. After a median follow-up of 57 months, cardiovascular events occurred in 7.8% of patients with MI in 6.2% of patients and need for repeat revascularization (both surgical and percutaneous) in 19.5% of patients. Male sex, reduced EF, diabetes, prior MI, and high C-reactive protein were the most powerful predictors of cardiovascular events.Conclusions. We show that simple and low-cost clinical features may help clinicians in identifying the most appropriate diagnostic and therapeutic approaches within the broad range of outpatients presenting with stable coronary artery disease.

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
A Brown ◽  
H Thomas ◽  
I Matthews ◽  
C Runnett ◽  
A Lee ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Recent studies have compared the performance of cardiac MRI (CMR) with coronary angiography. The CE-MARC trial established CMR's high diagnostic accuracy for coronary artery disease (CAD). Following these results, and those of CE-MARC 2, which showed reduced unnecessary angiography rates with CMR-guided care, we increased our adoption of CMR as an investigation of choice for CAD at our centre. Purpose In patients who have a CMR for stable angina, what is the outcome after detection of CAD, how do findings compare with angiography, and do those without CAD identified go on to have a major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE)? Method We performed a retrospective audit of all stress CMR performed from August 2016 to March 2017 at our hospital in North England. All patients were followed up for a minimum of 12 months. NICE guideline care was used during the study period. The CE-MARC trial was used for quality standards and to compare results. Results 91 stress CMRs were performed. 13 were excluded as they were performed on out-of-area patients. Median follow up was 14.5 months. Of the remaining 78 patients, 34 (43%) had a positive CMR. 20/34 (59%) proceeded to angiogram. In 16/20 of patients, CMR findings correlated with angiogram findings. A PPV of 80%. The PPV in CE-MARC was 77.2% (72.1–81.6). Of those who did not proceed to angiography, 8/14 had non-viable myocardium, 3 continued with medical management, in two it was unclear. 3/34 (8.8%) with positive CMR had a MACE. 44 patients had a negative CMR. Three had an angiogram during follow up. All were negative. There was a MACE in 1/44 (2.3%). Conclusion The audit population has a similar PPV to that of CE-MARC. MACE rates at 12 months were similar to CE-MARC which suggests that the trial results are reproducible in our setting. The wider use of CMR can therefore improve investigation and management for patients with stable angina. The audit is limited by the small number of patients proceeding to angiogram and the ability to confirm negative CMR results.


BMJ ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. e066306
Author(s):  
Edouard L Fu ◽  
Marie Evans ◽  
Juan-Jesus Carrero ◽  
Hein Putter ◽  
Catherine M Clase ◽  
...  

Abstract Objective To identify the optimal estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at which to initiate dialysis in people with advanced chronic kidney disease. Design Nationwide observational cohort study. Setting National Swedish Renal Registry of patients referred to nephrologists. Participants Patients had a baseline eGFR between 10 and 20 mL/min/1.73 m 2 and were included between 1 January 2007 and 31 December 2016, with follow-up until 1 June 2017. Main outcome measures The strict design criteria of a clinical trial were mimicked by using the cloning, censoring, and weighting method to eliminate immortal time bias, lead time bias, and survivor bias. A dynamic marginal structural model was used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios and absolute risks for five year all cause mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events (composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, or non-fatal stroke) for 15 dialysis initiation strategies with eGFR values between 4 and 19 mL/min/1.73 m 2 in increments of 1 mL/min/1.73 m 2 . An eGFR between 6 and 7 mL/min/1.73 m 2 (eGFR 6-7 ) was taken as the reference. Results Among 10 290 incident patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (median age 73 years; 3739 (36%) women; median eGFR 16.8 mL/min/1.73 m 2 ), 3822 started dialysis, 4160 died, and 2446 had a major adverse cardiovascular event. A parabolic relation was observed for mortality, with the lowest risk for eGFR 15-16 . Compared with dialysis initiation at eGFR 6-7 , initiation at eGFR 15-16 was associated with a 5.1% (95% confidence interval 2.5% to 6.9%) lower absolute five year mortality risk and 2.9% (0.2% to 5.5%) lower risk of a major adverse cardiovascular event, corresponding to hazard ratios of 0.89 (95% confidence interval 0.87 to 0.92) and 0.94 (0.91 to 0.98), respectively. This 5.1% absolute risk difference corresponded to a mean postponement of death of 1.6 months over five years of follow-up. However, dialysis would need to be started four years earlier. When emulating the intended strategies of the Initiating Dialysis Early and Late (IDEAL) trial (eGFR 10-14 v eGFR 5-7 ) and the achieved eGFRs in IDEAL (eGFR 7-10 v eGFR 5-7 ), hazard ratios for all cause mortality were 0.96 (0.94 to 0.99) and 0.97 (0.94 to 1.00), respectively, which are congruent with the findings of the randomised IDEAL trial. Conclusions Very early initiation of dialysis was associated with a modest reduction in mortality and cardiovascular events. For most patients, such a reduction may not outweigh the burden of a substantially longer period spent on dialysis.


2021 ◽  
Vol 28 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
S Simantiris ◽  
AS Antonopoulos ◽  
A Angelopoulos ◽  
P Papanikolaou ◽  
EK Oikonomou ◽  
...  

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Background Measurement of vascular inflammation biomarkers is supported for estimation of residual inflammatory risk and cardiovascular risk stratification, but to date there is no systematic assessment of the added value of such biomarkers in predicting cardiovascular events and their comparative performance. Methods We systematically searched in MEDLINE published literature before Apr 14, 2020 for prospective cohort studies assessing the prognostic value of common biomarkers of vascular inflammation in stable patients with or without cardiovascular disease. The primary outcome was the difference in the c-index (Δ[c-index]) of the best clinical model with the use of inflammatory biomarkers for the prediction of the composite endpoint of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) and mortality. The secondary outcome was the Δ[c-index] for MACEs only. We calculated I² to test heterogeneity. We used random-effects modelling for the meta-analyses to assess the primary and secondary outcome. Results We identified 92,507 studies in MEDLINE after duplicates were removed, of which 90,882 (96%) studies were excluded after screening the titles and abstracts, and 1,507 (93%) of the 1,625 remaining studies were excluded after assessment of the full texts. We included 93 (6%) studies in our quantitative evaluation, in which 351,628 individuals participated. The combination of high-risk plaque features and Fat attenuation Index (FAI) by CCTA was associated with the highest prognostic value i.e. Δ[c-index] for the composite endpoint per biomarker type (A). In meta-analysis, both plasma and imaging biomarkers of vascular inflammation offered incremental prognostic value for the primary outcome (pooled estimate for Δ[c-index]% 2.9, 95%CI 2.1-3.6, B) and for MACEs only (pooled estimate for Δ[c-index]% 2.9, 95%CI 2.1-3.8). The prognostic value of imaging biomarkers significantly surpassed that of plasma biomarkers for the primary outcome (Δ[c-index]% 11.3, 95%CI 8.3-14.3 vs. 1.4, 95%CI 0.9-1.8 respectively, p = 1.7x10-10, C). Notably, biomarkers of vascular inflammation offered higher incremental prognostic value in studies with a shorter duration of follow-up (i.e. <5 years), in primary CHD prevention setting and lower cardiovascular risk populations i.e. (studies with <5% cumulative event incidence, D) Conclusions The combination of HRP features and FAI by CCTA imaging had the highest prognostic value for cardiovascular events among plasma or imaging biomarkers of vascular inflammation. CCTA imaging to detect residual inflammatory risk and the vulnerable patient at risk for events is a rational approach to improve risk stratification and prognostication. Abstract Figure.


2020 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lu Han ◽  
Fuxiang Liu ◽  
Qing Li ◽  
Tao Qing ◽  
Zhenyu Zhai ◽  
...  

Long QT syndrome (LQTS) is an arrhythmic heart disease caused by congenital genetic mutations, and results in increased occurrence rates of polymorphic ventricular tachyarrhythmias and sudden cardiac death (SCD). Clinical evidence from numerous previous studies suggested that beta blockers (BBs), including atenolol, propranolol, metoprolol, and nadolol, exhibit different efficacies for reducing the risk of cardiac events (CEs), such as syncope, arrest cardiac arrest (ACA), and SCD, in patients with LQTS. In this study, we identified relevant studies in MEDLINE, PubMed, embase, and Cochrane databases and performed a meta-analysis to assess the relationship between the rate of CEs and LQTS individuals with confounding variables, including different gender, age, and QTc intervals. Moreover, a network meta-analysis was not only established to evaluate the effectiveness of different BBs, but also to provide the ranked efficacies of BBs treatment for preventing the recurrence of CEs in LQT1 and LQT2 patients. In conclusion, nadolol was recommended as a relatively effective strategy for LQT2 in order to improve the prognosis of patients during a long follow-up period.


2018 ◽  
Vol 25 (8) ◽  
pp. 844-853 ◽  
Author(s):  
Safi U Khan ◽  
Swapna Talluri ◽  
Haris Riaz ◽  
Hammad Rahman ◽  
Fahad Nasir ◽  
...  

Background The comparative effects of statins, ezetimibe with or without statins and proprotein convertase subtilisin-kexin type 9 (PCSK9) inhibitors remain unassessed. Design Bayesian network meta-analysis was conducted to compare treatment groups. Methods Thirty-nine randomized controlled trials were selected using MEDLINE, EMBASE, and CENTRAL (inception – September 2017). Results In network meta-analysis of 189,116 patients, PCSK9 inhibitors were ranked as the best treatment for prevention of major adverse cardiovascular events (Surface Under Cumulative Ranking Curve (SUCRA), 85%), myocardial infarction (SUCRA, 84%) and stroke (SUCRA, 80%). PCSK9 inhibitors reduced the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events compared with ezetimibe + statin (odds ratio (OR): 0.72; 95% credible interval (CrI), 0.55–0.95; Grading of Recommendation Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) criteria: moderate), statin (OR: 0.78; 95% CrI: 0.62–0.97; GRADE: moderate) and placebo (OR: 0.63; 95% CrI: 0.49–0.79; GRADE: high). The PCSK9 inhibitors were consistently superior to groups for major adverse cardiovascular event reduction in secondary prevention trials (SUCRA, 95%). Statins had the highest probability of having lowest rates of all-cause mortality (SUCRA, 82%) and cardiovascular mortality (SUCRA, 84%). Compared with placebo, statins reduced the risk of all-cause mortality (OR: 0.88; 95% CrI: 0.83–0.94; GRADE: moderate) and cardiovascular mortality (OR: 0.84; 95% CrI: 0.77–0.90; GRADE: high). For cardiovascular mortality, PCSK9 inhibitors were ranked as the second best treatment (SUCRA, 78%) followed by ezetimibe + statin (SUCRA, 50%). Conclusion PCSK9 inhibitors were ranked as the most effective treatment for reducing major adverse cardiovascular events, myocardial infarction and stroke, without having major safety concerns. Statins were ranked as the most effective therapy for reducing mortality.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Ruiz Ortiz ◽  
J J Sanchez Fernandez ◽  
C Ogayar Luque ◽  
E Romo Penas ◽  
M Delgado Ortega ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Safety trials of antidiabetic drugs have included a main endpoint of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. However, “real world” data on long term prognosis of diabetic patients with stable coronary artery disease (sCAD) are limited. This study aimed to assess long-term incidence of major cardiovascular events in this population and to identify clinical predictors of this end-point. Methods The CICCOR registry is a prospective, monocentric, cohort study. From February 1, 2000 to January 31, 2004, all consecutive patients with sCAD attended at two outpatient cardiology clinics in a city of the south of Spain were included in the study and prospectively followed. Patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus were selected for this analysis. None of these patients received sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors at first visit, as they were not commercially available at that time. Survival free of major cardiovascular events (combined end-point: acute myocardial infarction, stroke, or cardiovascular death) and variables associated with this end-point were investigated. Results The study sample included 394 patients (mean age 68±9 years, 61% male). After up to 17 years of follow-up (median 9 years, IQR 4–14 years, only 2 patients lost in follow-up, with a total of 3517 patients-years of observation), 66 had an acute myocardial infarction, 55 had an stroke and 165 died for cardiovascular causes. Survival free of major cardiovascular events was 88%, 70%, 57%, 47% and 32% at 3, 6, 9, 12 and 15 years. Multivariate predictors of the combined end-point are shown in the table. Predictors of major cardiovascular event Variable Hazard Ratio (95% CI) p value Age (year) 1.06 (1.04–1.08) <0.0005 Tobacco use 0.02 Never smoker 1 (reference) Ex-smoker 1.43 (1.02–1.99) 0.04 Active smoker 2.23 (1.16–4.30) 0.02 Functional Class ≥II (angina) 1.57 (1.14–2.16) 0.006 Resting heart rate (10 bpm increase) 1.12 (1.01–1.24) 0.04 Diuretic treatment at first visit 1.71 (1.26–2.30) 0.001 Conclusions Probability of major event-free survival was only 47% at 12 years in this “real world” cohort of diabetic patients with sCAD followed in the first 17 years of this century in a single center in the south of Spain. Simple clinical variables can identify patients at higher risk of events. Acknowledgement/Funding This work has been partially financed by an investigational grant by Boehringher Ingelheim


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (7_suppl6) ◽  
pp. 2325967120S0041
Author(s):  
Blake Bodendorfer ◽  
Brian McCormick ◽  
David Wang ◽  
Christine Conroy ◽  
Caroline Fryar ◽  
...  

Objectives: The incidence of pectoralis major tendon tears is rising, and repair is generally considered, but there is a paucity of comparative data to demonstrate the superiority of operative treatment. We sought to compare the outcomes of operative and nonoperative treatment of pectoralis major tendon tears. We hypothesized that repair would result in superior outcomes compared to nonoperative treatment. Methods: In accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines, a systematic review of the literature was completed using MEDLINE, SPORTDiscus, CINAHL, Cochrane, Embase and Web of Science databases. English-language studies were included with a minimum of 6 months average follow-up and 5 cases per study. Methodological Index for Nonrandomized Studies was utilized to assess the quality of the existing literature. Meta-analysis of pooled mechanisms of injury and outcomes was completed. Pooled effect-sizes were calculated from random effects models. Continuous variables were assessed using mixed model analysis with the individual study designated as a random effect and the desired treatment for comparison as a fixed effect. Bivariate frequency data was transformed using the Freeman-Tukey log-linear transformation for variance stabilization and then assessed using a mixed model with a study-level random effect and subsequently back-transformed. Significance was set at P<.05. Results: Twenty-three articles with 664 injuries met the inclusion criteria for comparison (Figure 1). All patients were male with 63.2% of injuries occurring during weight training, with an average age of 31.48 years and follow-up of 37.02 months. Included studies had moderately high methodological quality. Operative treatment was significantly superior to nonoperative treatment with a relative improvement of functional outcome by 0.70 (P=.027), full isometric strength by 77.07% (P<.001), isokinetic strength by 28.86% (P<.001) compared to the uninjured arm, cosmesis satisfaction by 13.79% (P=.037), and resting deformity by 98.85% (P<.001) (Table 1). There was an overall complication rate of 14.21%, including a 3.08% rate of rerupture, for operative treatment. Conclusion: Pectoralis major tendon repair resulted in significantly superior outcomes as compared to nonoperative treatment with an associated 14.21% complication rate. There was a statistically significant improvement in functional outcome, isokinetic strength, isometric strength, cosmesis, and resting deformity. [Figure: see text][Table: see text]


2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yipei Yang ◽  
Ziyue Li ◽  
Haifeng Liang ◽  
Jing Tian

Abstract Objective Metabolic syndrome (MetS) has been associated with hypercoagulative status. However, previous studies evaluating the association between MetS and incidence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) after total joint arthroplasty (TJA) showed inconsistent results. We performed a meta-analysis to evaluate the influence of MetS on the risk of VTE following TJA. Methods Cohort studies were identified by the search of PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane’s Library databases. A random-effect model was used if considerable heterogeneity was detected; otherwise, a fixed-effect model was used. Subgroup analyses according to the category of VTE, definition of MetS, category of procedure, and follow-up durations were performed. Results Seven cohort studies with 1,341,457 patients that underwent TJA were included, with 118,060 MetS patients (8.8%) at baseline. With a follow-up duration up to 3 months after surgery, 9788 patients had VTE. Pooled results with a random-effect model showed that MetS was not associated with increased overall VTE after TJA (adjusted risk ratio [RR] = 1.24, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.89 ~ 1.72, p = 0.20; I2 = 69%). The results were not significantly affected by the diagnostic criteria of MetS, category of the procedure, and follow-up durations. Subgroup analyses showed that MetS was not associated with an increased the risk of pulmonary embolism ([PE], RR 1.06, 95% CI 0.37 ~ 3.02, p = 0.91), but an increased risk of deep vein thrombosis (DVT) after TJA (RR 3.38, 95% CI 1.83 ~ 6.24, p < 0.001). Conclusions Current evidence from observational studies suggests MetS might be associated with an increased risk of DVT but not PE after TJA.


Author(s):  
Leonardo De Luca ◽  
Dario Formigli ◽  
Jennifer Meessen ◽  
Massimo Uguccioni ◽  
Nicola Cosentino ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims Recently, the cardiovascular outcomes for people using anticoagulation strategies (COMPASS) trial demonstrated that dual therapy reduced cardiovascular outcomes compared with aspirin alone in patients with stable atherosclerotic disease. Methods and results We sought to assess the proportion of patients eligible for the COMPASS trial and to compare the epidemiology and outcome of these patients with those without COMPASS inclusion or with any exclusion criteria in a contemporary, nationwide cohort of patients with stable coronary artery disease. Among the 4068 patients with detailed information allowing evaluation of eligibility, 1416 (34.8%) did not fulfil the inclusion criteria (COMPASS-Not-Included), 841 (20.7%) had exclusion criteria (COMPASS-Excluded), and the remaining 1811 (44.5%) were classified as COMPASS-Like. At 1 year, the incidence of major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE), a composite of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, and stroke, was 0.9% in the COMPASS-Not-Included and 2.0% in the COMPASS-Like (P = 0.01), and 5.0% in the COMPASS-Excluded group (P &lt; 0.0001 for all comparisons). Among the COMPASS-Like population, patients with multiple COMPASS enrichment criteria presented a significant increase in the risk of MACE (from 1.0% to 3.3% in those with 1 and ≥3 criteria, respectively; P = 0.012), and a modest absolute increase in major bleeding risk (from 0.2% to 0.4%, respectively; P = 0.46). Conclusion In a contemporary real-world cohort registry of stable coronary artery disease, most patients resulted as eligible for the COMPASS. These patients presented a considerable annual risk of MACE that consistently increases in the presence of multiple risk factors.


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