scholarly journals Seismic Fragility Analysis of Structures Based on Adaptive Gaussian Process Regression Metamodel

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-16
Author(s):  
Yanjie Xiao ◽  
Feng Yue ◽  
Xun'an Zhang

Metamodel-based seismic fragility analysis methods can overcome the challenge of high computational costs of problems considering the uncertainties of earthquakes and structural parameters; however, the accuracy of metamodels is difficult to control. To enhance the efficiency of analyses without compromising accuracy, a metamodeling method using Gaussian process regression (GPR) and active learning (AL) for seismic fragility analysis is proposed. In this method, a GPR metamodel is built to estimate the stochastic seismic response of a structure, in which the record-to-record variability is considered as in the dual-metamodel-based fragility analysis approach. The metamodel can also predict the estimation error. Taking advantage of this ability, we present an AL strategy for adaptive sampling, so that the metamodel can be improved adaptively according to the problem. Using this metamodel and Monte Carlo simulation, seismic fragility curves can be obtained with a small number of calls for time history analysis. To verify its effectiveness, the proposed method was applied to three examples of nonlinear structures and compared with existing methods. The results show that this method has high computational efficiency and can ensure the accuracy of fragility curves without making the metamodel globally accurate.

Abstract. Seismic fragility analysis is essential for seismic risk assessment of structures. This study focuses on the damage probability assessment of the mid-story isolation buildings with different locations of the isolation system. To this end, the performance-based fragility analysis method of the mid-story isolation system is proposed, adopting the maximum story drifts of structures above and below the isolation layer and displacement of the isolation layer as performance indicators. Then, the entire process of the mid-story isolation system, from the initial elastic state to the elastic-plastic state, then to the limit state, is simulated on the basis of the incremental dynamic analysis method. Seismic fragility curves are obtained for mid-story isolation buildings with different locations of the isolation layer, each with fragility curves for near-field and far-field ground motions, respectively. The results indicate that the seismic fragility probability subjected to the near-field ground motions is much greater than those subjected to the far-field ground motions. In addition, with the increase of the location of the isolation layer, the dominant components for the failure of mid-story isolated structures change from superstructure and isolation system to substructure and isolation system.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yutao Pang ◽  
Li Wu

Although the knowledge and technology of performance-based earthquake engineering have rapidly advanced in the past several decades, current seismic design codes simply ignore the effect of aftershocks on the performance of structures. Thus, the present paper investigated the effect of aftershocks on seismic responses of multispan reinforced concrete (RC) bridges using the fragility-based numerical approach. For that purpose, a continuous girder RC bridge class containing 8 bridges was selected based on the statistical analysis of the existing RC bridges in China. 75 recorded mainshock-aftershock seismic sequences from 10 well-known earthquakes were selected in this study. In order to account for the uncertainty of modeling parameters, uniform design method was applied as the sampling method for generating the samples for fragility analysis. Fragility curves were then developed using nonlinear time-history analysis in terms of the peak curvature of pier column and displacement of bearings. Finally, the system fragility curves were derived by implementing Monte Carlo simulation on multinormal distribution of two components. From the results of this investigation, it was found that, for the RC continuous bridges, the influence of aftershocks can be harmful to both bridge components and system, which increases both the component fragility of the displacement of bearings and seismic curvature of pier sections and system fragility.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Zhuo Zhao ◽  
Xiaowei Lu ◽  
Yu Guo ◽  
Xiaofeng Zhao

Steel water storage tanks (WSTs) are among the important components of water treatment industry facilities that are expected to remain functional and applicable after strong earthquakes. In this study, the seismic vulnerability of base-isolated steel WST is investigated. A three-dimensional finite element stick model of the targeted tank is created using OpenSees. This model is capable of reproducing convective, impulsive, and rigid responses of fluid-tank systems. Time-history responses of convective displacement, bearing displacement, and base shear force for base-isolated tank subjected to a typical ground motion are compared. Furthermore, time-history analysis based on a suite of 80 ground motions is conducted. The seismic demand models for various responses are established and the most efficient intensity measure (IM) is determined based on the dispersion and coefficient of determination. Seismic fragility curves for different responses are derived for all three damage states using cloud analysis. The results from this study reveal that (i) the convective displacement is significantly greater than bearing displacement; (ii) peak ground displacement (PGD) is the most efficient and sufficient IM for the targeted tank; and (iii) the characteristic of isolation bearing significantly influences the seismic fragilities of convective displacement and bearing displacement and has a little impact on base shear force, which makes the selection of the proper characteristic parameters for isolation bearing very essential. The analysis technique and procedure mentioned above as well as derived insights are of significance to general liquid storage tank system configuration.


2013 ◽  
Vol 739 ◽  
pp. 309-313 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pei Ju Chang

This study focus on derivation of such fragility curves using classic mid-story isolation and reduction structures (MIRS) in China metropolis. This study focus on derivation of such fragility curves using conventional industrial frames with masonry infill wall. A set of stochastic earthquake waves compatible with the response spectrum of China seismic code selected to represent the variability in ground motion. Dynamic inelastic time history analysis was used to analyze the random sample of structures. MIRS seismic capability of longitudinal and transversal orientation is different. Stochastic damage scatter diagrams based different seismic intensity index are obtained. Seismic fragility of longitudinal axis (Y axis) is larger than transversal axis (X axis) of frames under major earthquake obviously.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (24) ◽  
pp. 11709
Author(s):  
Xinyong Xu ◽  
Xuhui Liu ◽  
Li Jiang ◽  
Mohd Yawar Ali Khan

The Concrete Damaged Plasticity (CDP) constitutive is introduced to study the dynamic failure mechanism and the law of damage development to the aqueduct structure during the seismic duration using a large-scale aqueduct structure from the South-to-North Water Division Project (SNWDP) as a research object. Incremental dynamic analysis (IDA) and multiple stripe analysis (MSA) seismic fragility methods are introduced. The spectral acceleration is used as the scale of ground motion record intensity measure (IM), and the aqueduct pier top offset ratio quantifies the limit of structural damage measure (DM). The aqueduct structure’s seismic fragility evaluation curves are constructed with indicators of different seismic intensity measures to depict the damage characteristics of aqueduct structures under different seismic intensities through probability. The results show that penetrating damage is most likely to occur on both sides of the pier cap and around the pier shaft in the event of a rare earthquake, followed by the top of the aqueduct body, which requires the greatest care during an earthquake. The results of two fragility analysis methodologies reveal that the fragility curves are very similar. The aqueduct structure’s first limit state level (LS1) is quite steep and near the vertical line, indicating that maintaining the excellent condition without damage in the seismic analysis will be challenging. Except for individual results, the overall fragility results are in good agreement, and the curve change rule is the same. The exceedance probability in the case of any ground motion record IM may be estimated using only two factors when using the MSA approach, and the computation efficiency is higher. The study of seismic fragility analysis methods in this paper can provide a reference for the seismic safety evaluation of aqueducts and similar structures.


2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 112401 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuki K. Wakabayashi ◽  
Takuma Otsuka ◽  
Yoshitaka Taniyasu ◽  
Hideki Yamamoto ◽  
Hiroshi Sawada

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Panpan Zhai ◽  
Peng Zhao ◽  
Yang Lu ◽  
Chenying Ye ◽  
Feng Xiong

Most conventional seismic fragility analyses of RC buildings usually ignore or greatly simplify the soil-structure interaction (SSI), and the maximum interstory drift ratio (MIDR) is often adopted to establish seismic fragility curves. In this work, an eight-story RC building was designed to study the influence of the SSI on the seismic fragility of RC buildings. Three double-parameter damage models (DPDMs) were considered for the fragility assessment: the Park–Ang model, the Niu model, and the Lu–Wang model. Results show that considering SSI induces a higher fragility than that of the fixed model and that employing the DPDMs for the fragility analysis provides more reasonable results than those evaluated using the MIDR damage index.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-17
Author(s):  
Chao Zhang ◽  
Chengwang Wu ◽  
Piguang Wang

The cross-sea bridges play an important role to promote the development of regional economy. These bridges located in earthquake-prone areas may be subjected to severe earthquakes during their lifetime. Group pile foundations have been widely used in cross-sea bridges due to their structural efficiency, ease of construction, and low cost. This paper investigates the seismic performance of bridge pile foundation based on the seismic fragility analysis. Based on the analysis platform OpenSees, the three-dimensional finite model of the bridge pile foundation is developed, where the pile-water interaction is replaced by the added mass method, nonlinear p-y, t-z, and q-z elements are used to simulate pile-soil interaction, and the displacement of the surface ground motion due to seismic excitations is applied on all spring supports. The seismic fragility curves of the bridge pile foundation are generated by using the earthquake records recommended by FEMA P695 as input motions. The curvature ductility based fragility curves are obtained using seismic responses for different peak ground accelerations. The effects of pile-water interaction, soil conditions, and different types of ground motions on the bridge pier fragilities are studied and discussed. Seismic fragility of the pier-group pile system shows that Sec C (the bottom section of the pier) is the most vulnerable section in the example fluid-structure-soil interaction (FSSI) system for all four damage LSs. The seismic responses of Sec E (a pile section located at the interface of the soil layer and water layer) are much lower than other sections. The parameter analysis shows that pile-water interaction has slight influence (less than 5%) on the fragility curves of the bridge pier. For the bridge group pile foundations considering the fluid-pile-soil interaction, PNF may induce larger seismic response than far-field (FF) and no-pulse near field (NNF). The bridge pile foundation in stiff soil is most vulnerable to seismic damage than soft condition.


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