scholarly journals A Deep Learning Prediction Model for Structural Deformation Based on Temporal Convolutional Networks

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Xianglong Luo ◽  
Wenjuan Gan ◽  
Lixin Wang ◽  
Yonghong Chen ◽  
Enlin Ma
Keyword(s):  
Prediction Model ◽  
Structural Engineering ◽  
Orthogonal Experiment ◽  
Deformation Monitoring ◽  
Structural Deformation ◽  
Long Term Memory ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Deformation Prediction ◽  
Convolutional Networks ◽  
Proposed Model

The structural engineering is subject to various subjective and objective factors, the deformation is usually inevitable, the deformation monitoring data usually are nonstationary and nonlinear, and the deformation prediction is a difficult problem in the field of structural monitoring. Aiming at the problems of the traditional structural deformation prediction methods, a structural deformation prediction model is proposed based on temporal convolutional networks (TCNs) in this study. The proposed model uses a one-dimensional dilated causal convolution to reduce the model parameters, expand the receptive field, and prevent future information leakage. By obtaining the long-term memory of time series, the internal time characteristics of structural deformation data can be effectively mined. The network hyperparameters of the TCN model are optimized by the orthogonal experiment, which determines the optimal combination of model parameters. The experimental results show that the predicted values of the proposed model are highly consistent with the actual monitored values. The average RMSE, MAPE, and MAE with the optimized model parameters reduce 44.15%, 82.03%, and 66.48%, respectively, and the average running time is reduced by 45.41% compared with the results without optimization parameters. The average RMSE, MAE, and MAPE reduce by 26.88%, 62.16%, and 40.83%, respectively, compared with WNN, DBN-SVR, GRU, and LSTM models.

scholarly journals A Prediction Model of Structural Settlement Based on EMD-SVR-WNN

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Xianglong Luo ◽  
Wenjuan Gan ◽  
Lixin Wang ◽  
Yonghong Chen ◽  
Xue Meng
Keyword(s):  
Prediction Model ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Deformation Monitoring ◽  
Monitoring Data ◽  
Structural Deformation ◽  
Random Fluctuation ◽  
Structural Safety ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Foundation Pit ◽  
Deformation Prediction

Timely and accurate prediction of structural settlement is of great significance to eliminate the hidden danger of structural and prevent structural safety accidents. Since the deformation monitoring data usually is nonstationary and nonlinear, the deformation prediction is a difficult problem in the structural monitoring research. Aiming at the problems in the structural deformation prediction model and considering the internal characteristics of deformation monitoring data and the influence of different components in the data on the prediction accuracy, a combined prediction model based on the Empirical Mode Decomposition, Support Vector Regression, and Wavelet Neural Network (EMD-SVR-WNN) is proposed. EMD model is used to decompose the structure settlement monitoring data, and the settlement data can be effectively divided into relatively stable trend terms and residual components of random fluctuation by energy matrix. According to the different characteristics of random items and trend items, WNN and SVR methods are, respectively, used for prediction, and the final settlement prediction is obtained by integrating the prediction results. The measured ground settlement data of foundation pit in subway construction is used to test the performance of the model, and the test results show that the prediction accuracy of the combined prediction model proposed in this paper reaches 99.19%, which is 77.30% higher than the traditional SVR, WNN, and DBN-SVR models. The experimental results show that the proposed prediction model is an effective model of structural settlement.

Arch Dam Deformation Prediction Model Based on PSO-SVM

2013 ◽  
Vol 351-352 ◽  
pp. 1306-1311 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jing Yang Liu ◽  
He Zhi Liu
Keyword(s):  
Prediction Model ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Small Sample ◽  
Arch Dam ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Deformation Prediction ◽  
Dam Foundation ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Dam Deformation

Arch dam has gradually evolved as one of dam type as main large-scale hydraulic project, dam deformation prediction is an important part of dam safety monitoring, and it is difficult to forecast because of the complicated nonlinear characteristics of the monitoring data. Support Vector Machine (SVM) could solve the small sample, nonlinear high dimension problem due to the excellent generalization ability, and hence it has been widely used in the forecast of arch dam deformation. However, the forecast results considerably depend on the choice of SVM model parameters. In this paper, Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), which has the characteristic of fast global optimization, was applied to optimize the parameters in SVM, and then the dam deformation prediction model based on PSO-SVM could be established. The model is applied to a certain arch dam foundation prediction. The accuracy of this employed approach was examined by comparing it with multiple regression method. In a word, the experimental results indicate that the proposed method based on PSO-SVM can be used in arch dam deformation prediction.

Research on Time Series Analysis Based Deformation Prediction Model

2011 ◽  
Vol 250-253 ◽  
pp. 2888-2891 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hao Zhang ◽  
Xi Shi ◽  
Li Fang Lai
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Dynamic Deformation ◽  
Deformation Monitoring ◽  
Ar Model ◽  
Deformation Prediction ◽  
Series Analysis ◽  
Deformation Features ◽  
Dam Deformation

This paper introduces a method to apply time series analysis in dam deformation monitoring and prediction. We provide a simplified AR prediction model, which is relatively optimized in fitting constructive dynamic deformation features, analyzing deformation data and predicting deformation trend. We use this AR model in a certain dam’s deformation data processing, and prove it is an effective dynamic deformation prediction model.

In-Plane Flexible Ring Tire Model—Part 1: Modeling and Parameter Identification

2018 ◽  
Vol 46 (3) ◽  
pp. 174-219 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bin Li ◽  
Xiaobo Yang ◽  
James Yang ◽  
Yunqing Zhang ◽  
Zeyu Ma
Keyword(s):  
Static Load ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Tire Model ◽  
Test Results ◽  
Lumped Mass ◽  
Virtual Test ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Particle Swarm Method ◽  
Vehicle Dynamic Simulation ◽  
Flexible Ring

ABSTRACT The tire model is essential for accurate and efficient vehicle dynamic simulation. In this article, an in-plane flexible ring tire model is proposed, in which the tire is composed of a rigid rim, a number of discretized lumped mass belt points, and numerous massless tread blocks attached on the belt. One set of tire model parameters is identified by approaching the predicted results with ADAMS® FTire virtual test results for one particular cleat test through the particle swarm method using MATLAB®. Based on the identified parameters, the tire model is further validated by comparing the predicted results with FTire for the static load-deflection tests and other cleat tests. Finally, several important aspects regarding the proposed model are discussed.

EXPONENTIATED HALF-LOGISTIC LOMAX DISTRIBUTION WITH PROPERTIES AND APPLICATION

2019 ◽  
Vol XVI (2) ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Farrukh Jamal ◽  
Hesham Mohammed Reyad ◽  
Soha Othman Ahmed ◽  
Muhammad Akbar Ali Shah ◽  
Emrah Altun
Keyword(s):  
Real Data ◽  
Continuous Model ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Lomax Distribution ◽  
Mathematical Properties ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Probability Weighted Moment ◽  
Record Statistics ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Criterion

A new three-parameter continuous model called the exponentiated half-logistic Lomax distribution is introduced in this paper. Basic mathematical properties for the proposed model were investigated which include raw and incomplete moments, skewness, kurtosis, generating functions, Rényi entropy, Lorenz, Bonferroni and Zenga curves, probability weighted moment, stress strength model, order statistics, and record statistics. The model parameters were estimated by using the maximum likelihood criterion and the behaviours of these estimates were examined by conducting a simulation study. The applicability of the new model is illustrated by applying it on a real data set.

scholarly journals Real-time automatic uncertainty estimation of coseismic single rectangular fault model using GNSS data

2021 ◽  
Vol 73 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Keitaro Ohno ◽  
Yusaku Ohta ◽  
Satoshi Kawamoto ◽  
Satoshi Abe ◽  
Ryota Hino ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Disaster Response ◽  
Order Approximation ◽  
Nonlinear Problems ◽  
Large Earthquake ◽  
Fault Model ◽  
Deformation Monitoring ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
The Sea Of Japan ◽  
Plate Interface

AbstractRapid estimation of the coseismic fault model for medium-to-large-sized earthquakes is key for disaster response. To estimate the coseismic fault model for large earthquakes, the Geospatial Information Authority of Japan and Tohoku University have jointly developed a real-time GEONET analysis system for rapid deformation monitoring (REGARD). REGARD can estimate the single rectangular fault model and slip distribution along the assumed plate interface. The single rectangular fault model is useful as a first-order approximation of a medium-to-large earthquake. However, in its estimation, it is difficult to obtain accurate results for model parameters due to the strong effect of initial values. To solve this problem, this study proposes a new method to estimate the coseismic fault model and model uncertainties in real time based on the Bayesian inversion approach using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method. The MCMC approach is computationally expensive and hyperparameters should be defined in advance via trial and error. The sampling efficiency was improved using a parallel tempering method, and an automatic definition method for hyperparameters was developed for real-time use. The calculation time was within 30 s for 1 × 106 samples using a typical single LINUX server, which can implement real-time analysis, similar to REGARD. The reliability of the developed method was evaluated using data from recent earthquakes (2016 Kumamoto and 2019 Yamagata-Oki earthquakes). Simulations of the earthquakes in the Sea of Japan were also conducted exhaustively. The results showed an advantage over the maximum likelihood approach with a priori information, which has initial value dependence in nonlinear problems. In terms of application to data with a small signal-to-noise ratio, the results suggest the possibility of using several conjugate fault models. There is a tradeoff between the fault area and slip amount, especially for offshore earthquakes, which means that quantification of the uncertainty enables us to evaluate the reliability of the fault model estimation results in real time.

scholarly journals Life Prediction Model of Mineral Admixture Cement Based-Materials under Early Age CO2-Erosion

Coatings ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 413
Author(s):  
Saisai Wang ◽  
Jian Chen ◽  
Xiaodong Wen
Keyword(s):  
Prediction Model ◽  
Life Prediction ◽  
Experimental Tests ◽  
Mineral Admixture ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Influence Coefficient ◽  
Test Pieces ◽  
Cement Based Materials ◽  
Particle Group ◽  
Life Prediction Model

Most of the existing models of structural life prediction in early carbonized environment are based on accelerated erosion after standard 28 days of cement-based materials, while cement-based materials in actual engineering are often exposed to air too early. These result in large predictions of the life expectancy of mineral-admixture cement-based materials under early CO2-erosion and affecting the safe use of structures. To this end, different types of mineral doped cement-based material test pieces are formed, and early CO2-erosion experimental tests are carried out. On the basis of the analysis of the existing model, the influence coefficient of CO2-erosion of the mineral admixture Km is introduced, the relevant function is given, and the life prediction model of the mineral admixture cement-based material under the early CO2-erosion is established and the model parameters are determined by using the particle group algorithm (PSO). It has good engineering applicability and guiding significance.

scholarly journals A General Temperature-Dependent Stress–Strain Constitutive Model for Polymer-Bonded Composite Materials

Polymers ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 1393
Author(s):  
Xiaochang Duan ◽  
Hongwei Yuan ◽  
Wei Tang ◽  
Jingjing He ◽  
Xuefei Guan
Keyword(s):  
Composite Materials ◽  
Constitutive Model ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Temperature Dependent ◽  
Stress Strain ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Single Temperature ◽  
Testing Data ◽  
Bonded Composite ◽  
Tension And Compression

This study develops a general temperature-dependent stress–strain constitutive model for polymer-bonded composite materials, allowing for the prediction of deformation behaviors under tension and compression in the testing temperature range. Laboratory testing of the material specimens in uniaxial tension and compression at multiple temperatures ranging from −40 ∘C to 75 ∘C is performed. The testing data reveal that the stress–strain response can be divided into two general regimes, namely, a short elastic part followed by the plastic part; therefore, the Ramberg–Osgood relationship is proposed to build the stress–strain constitutive model at a single temperature. By correlating the model parameters with the corresponding temperature using a response surface, a general temperature-dependent stress–strain constitutive model is established. The effectiveness and accuracy of the proposed model are validated using several independent sets of testing data and third-party data. The performance of the proposed model is compared with an existing reference model. The validation and comparison results show that the proposed model has a lower number of parameters and yields smaller relative errors. The proposed constitutive model is further implemented as a user material routine in a finite element package. A simple structural example using the developed user material is presented and its accuracy is verified.

scholarly journals Flexural behavior of composite structural insulated panels with magnesium oxide board facings

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Łukasz Smakosz ◽  
Ireneusz Kreja ◽  
Zbigniew Pozorski
Keyword(s):  
Magnesium Oxide ◽  
Material Model ◽  
Expanded Polystyrene ◽  
Flexural Behavior ◽  
Joint Analysis ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Fe Model ◽  
Computational Results ◽  
Four Point Bending ◽  
Proposed Model

Abstract The current report is devoted to the flexural analysis of a composite structural insulated panel (CSIP) with magnesium oxide board facings and expanded polystyrene (EPS) core, that was recently introduced to the building industry. An advanced nonlinear FE model was created in the ABAQUS environment, able to simulate the CSIP’s flexural behavior in great detail. An original custom code procedure was developed, which allowed to include material bimodularity to significantly improve the accuracy of computational results and failure mode predictions. Material model parameters describing the nonlinear range were identified in a joint analysis of laboratory tests and their numerical simulations performed on CSIP beams of three different lengths subjected to three- and four-point bending. The model was validated by confronting computational results with experimental results for natural scale panels; a good correlation between the two results proved that the proposed model could effectively support the CSIP design process.

Multi-day flow forecasting using the Kalman filter

1991 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 320-327 ◽  
Author(s):  
Murray A. Fitch ◽  
Edward A. McBean
Keyword(s):  
Kalman Filter ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Linear Prediction ◽  
Measured Data ◽  
System Model ◽  
Parameter Estimates ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Forecasting Performance ◽  
Optimal Forecasting ◽  
Linear Prediction Model

A model is developed for the prediction of river flows resulting from combined snowmelt and precipitation. The model employs a Kalman filter to reflect uncertainty both in the measured data and in the system model parameters. The forecasting algorithm is used to develop multi-day forecasts for the Sturgeon River, Ontario. The algorithm is shown to develop good 1-day and 2-day ahead forecasts, but the linear prediction model is found inadequate for longer-term forecasts. Good initial parameter estimates are shown to be essential for optimal forecasting performance. Key words: Kalman filter, streamflow forecast, multi-day, streamflow, Sturgeon River, MISP algorithm.

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