scholarly journals A Comprehensive Analysis of Supervised Learning Techniques for Electricity Theft Detection

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Farah Aqilah Bohani ◽  
Azizah Suliman ◽  
Mulyana Saripuddin ◽  
Sera Syarmila Sameon ◽  
Nur Shakirah Md Salleh ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Supervised Learning ◽  
Predictive Accuracy ◽  
Research Direction ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Electricity Theft ◽  
Supervised Learning Algorithms ◽  
Artificial Neural

There are many methods or algorithms applicable for detecting electricity theft. However, comparative studies on supervised learning methods for electricity theft detection are still insufficient. In this paper, comparisons based on predictive accuracy, recall, precision, AUC, and F1-score of several supervised learning methods such as decision tree (DT), artificial neural network (ANN), deep artificial neural network (DANN), and AdaBoost are presented and their performances are analyzed. A public dataset from the State Grid Corporation of China (SGCC) was used for this study. The dataset consisted of power consumption in kWh unit. Based on the analysis results, the DANN outperforms compared to other supervised learning classifiers such as ANN, AdaBoost, and DT in recall, F1-Score, and AUC. A future research direction is the experiments can be performed on other supervised learning algorithms with different types of datasets and suitable preprocessing methods can be applied to produce better performance.

Forecasting Stock Returns with Artificial Neural Networks

2011 ◽  
pp. 47-79 ◽  
Author(s):  
Suraphan Thawornwong ◽  
David Enke
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Network Architectures ◽  
Network Applications ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Neural Network Applications

During the last few years there has been growing literature on applications of artificial neural networks to business and financial domains. In fact, a great deal of attention has been placed in the area of stock return forecasting. This is due to the fact that once artificial neural network applications are successful, monetary rewards will be substantial. Many studies have reported promising results in successfully applying various types of artificial neural network architectures for predicting stock returns. This chapter reviews and discusses various neural network research methodologies used in 45 journal articles that attempted to forecast stock returns. Modeling techniques and suggestions from the literature are also compiled and addressed. The results show that artificial neural networks are an emerging and promising computational technology that will continue to be a challenging tool for future research.

Comparing Predictive Ability of Classifiers in Forecasting Online Buying Behaviour

2020 ◽  
pp. 1279-1296
Author(s):  
Sanjeev Prashar ◽  
S.K. Mitra
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Online Shopping ◽  
Predictive Ability ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Promotional Strategies ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann ◽  
Buying Behaviour ◽  
Online Buying

With Internet invading geographic boundaries and diverse demographic strata, online shopping is growing at exponential rate. Expected to grow by 45 per cent to $7.69 billion by the end of 2015, India's ecommerce market has emerged as one of the most anticipated destinations for both multinational and domestic retailers. Since their success will depend on their ability to attract shoppers to buy online, it becomes relevant for them to decipher Indian consumers' attitude and behaviour towards online shopping and to predict online buying potential in India. The effectiveness of marketing and promotional strategies and action plans also will have to be pivoted around the potential available in the market. This empirical study explores the accuracy, precision and recall of four different classifying techniques used in predicting online buying. The forecasting ability of logistic regression (LR), artificial neural network (ANN), support vector machines (SVM) and random forest (RF) in the context of willingness of shoppers' to buy online has been compared. Analysis of the data supported most of the predictions albeit with varying level of accuracy. The outcome of the study reflects the superiority of artificial neural network over the other three models in terms of the predicting power. This paper adds to the knowledge body for online retailers in reducing their vulnerability with respect to market demand and improves their preparedness to handle the market response. Managerial implications of the findings and scope for future research have been deliberated.

scholarly journals Viscosity–Temperature–Pressure Relationship of Extra-Heavy Oil (Bitumen): Empirical Modelling versus Artificial Neural Network (ANN)

Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 2390 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olalekan Alade ◽  
Dhafer Al Shehri ◽  
Mohamed Mahmoud ◽  
Kyuro Sasaki
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Heavy Oil ◽  
Atmospheric Pressure ◽  
Predictive Accuracy ◽  
Empirical Models ◽  
Viscosity Data ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

The viscosity data of two heavy oil samples X and Y, with asphaltene contents 24.8% w/w and 18.5% w/w, respectively, were correlated with temperature and pressure using empirical models and the artificial neural network (ANN) approach. The viscosities of the samples were measured over a range of temperatures between 70 °C and 150 °C; and from atmospheric pressure to 7 MPa. It was found that the viscosity of sample X, at 85 °C and atmospheric pressure (0.1 MPa), was 1894 cP and that it increased to 2787 cP at 7 MPa. At 150 °C, the viscosity increased from 28 cP (at 0.1 MPa) to 33 cP at 7 MPa. For sample Y, the viscosity at 70 °C and 0.1 MPa increased from 2260 cP to 3022 cP at 7 MPa. At 120 °C, the viscosity increased from 65 cP (0.1 MPa) to 71 cP at 7 MPa. Notably, using the three-parameter empirical models (Mehrotra and Svrcek, 1986 and 1987), the correlation constants obtained in this study are very close to those that were previously obtained for the Canadian heavy oil samples. Moreover, compared to other empirical models, statistical analysis shows that the ANN model has a better predictive accuracy (R2 ≈ 1) for the viscosity data of the heavy oil samples used in this study.

Predictive Models for Pre-Operative Diagnosis of Rotator Cuff Tear: A Comparison Study of Two Methods between Logistic Regression and Artificial Neural Network

2014 ◽  
Vol 595 ◽  
pp. 263-268
Author(s):  
Chen Chiang Lin ◽  
Hsin Hui Chan ◽  
Chen Yuan Huang ◽  
Nang Shu Yang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Rotator Cuff ◽  
Logistic Model ◽  
Predictive Accuracy ◽  
Rotator Cuff Tears ◽  
Comparison Study ◽  
Accuracy Rate ◽  
Artificial Neural

Rotator cuff tears are the most common disorder of the shoulders.agnetic resonance Image (MRI) is the diagnostic gold standard of rotator cuff tears. However, there are some dilemmas in the rotator cuff tears treatment. Clinically, surgical results of rotator cuff tears are sometimes different from MRI results of rotator cuff tears. The main purpose of this study is to build up predicative models for pre-operative diagnosis of rotator cuff tears There are two models of this study are proposed: logistic regression model and artificial neural network model. Patients are divided into two sets: Set1 is patients with full thickness rotators cuff tears. Set 2 is patients with partial thickness rotators cuff tears. The charts of 158 patients are completely reviewed and the collected data were analyzed. The results showed that the predictive accuracy of artificial neural networks model is higher than the predictive accuracy of logistic model. The application of this study can assist doctors to increase the accuracy rate of pre-operative diagnosis and to decrease the legal problems.

scholarly journals Plant disease prediction using classification algorithms

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 257
Author(s):  
Maria Morgan ◽  
Carla Blank ◽  
Raed Seetan
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Nearest Neighbor ◽  
Disease Classification ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Classification Algorithms ◽  
Disease Prediction ◽  
K Nearest Neighbor ◽  
Artificial Neural

<p>This paper investigates the capability of six existing classification algorithms (Artificial Neural Network, Naïve Bayes, k-Nearest Neighbor, Support Vector Machine, Decision Tree and Random Forest) in classifying and predicting diseases in soybean and mushroom datasets using datasets with numerical or categorical attributes. While many similar studies have been conducted on datasets of images to predict plant diseases, the main objective of this study is to suggest classification methods that can be used for disease classification and prediction in datasets that contain raw measurements instead of images. A fungus and a plant dataset, which had many differences, were chosen so that the findings in this paper could be applied to future research for disease prediction and classification in a variety of datasets which contain raw measurements. A key difference between the two datasets, other than one being a fungus and one being a plant, is that the mushroom dataset is balanced and only contained two classes while the soybean dataset is imbalanced and contained eighteen classes. All six algorithms performed well on the mushroom dataset, while the Artificial Neural Network and k-Nearest Neighbor algorithms performed best on the soybean dataset. The findings of this paper can be applied to future research on disease classification and prediction in a variety of dataset types such as fungi, plants, humans, and animals.</p>

The Validity of Multinomial Logistic Regression and Artificial Neural Network in Predicting Sukuk Rating: Evidence from Indonesian Stock Exchange

2020 ◽  
Vol 23 (04) ◽  
pp. 2050032
Author(s):  
Muhammad Luqman Nurhakim ◽  
Zainul Kisman ◽  
Faizah Syihab
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Predictive Accuracy ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Multinomial Logistic Regression ◽  
Global Market ◽  
Analysis Model ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

The Sukuk (shariah bond) market is developing in Indonesia and potentially will capture the global market in the future. It is an attractive investment product and a hot current issue in the capital market. Especially, the problem of predicting an accurate and trustworthy rating. As the Sukuk market developed, the issue of Sukuk rating emerged. As ordinary investors will have difficulty predicting their ratings going forward, this research will provide solutions to the problems above. The objective of this study is to determine the Indonesian Sukuk rating determinants and comparing the Sukuk rating predictive model. This research uses Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Multinomial Logistic Regression (MLR) as the predictive analysis model. Data in this study are collected by purposive sampling and employing Sukuk rated by PEFINDO, an Indonesian rating agency. Findings in this study are debt, profitability and firm size significantly affecting Sukuk rating category and the ANN performs better predictive accuracy than MLR. The implications of the results of the research for the issuer and bondholder are a higher level of credit enhancement, a higher level of profitability, and the bigger size of firm rewarding higher Sukuk rating.

scholarly journals A New Method for Human Posture Recognition Using Principal Component Analysis and Artificial Neural Network

2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 11-19 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Z. Uddin ◽  
M. A. Yousuf
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Principal Component Analysis ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Supervised Learning ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Component Analysis ◽  
Human Action ◽  
Human Posture ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

The recognition of human posture from images is currently a very active area of research in computer vision. This paper presents a novel recognition method to determine a human posture is of walking or sitting using Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN). In this paper, two types of learning are used to recognize the human posture. One is unsupervised and another is supervised learning. We have used PCA for unsupervised learning and ANN for supervised learning. To evaluate the performance of the proposed method, we have considered four types of human posture; walking, sitting, right leg up-down and left leg up-down. The experimental results on the human action of walking, sitting, right leg up-down and left leg up-down database show that our approach produces accurate recognition.

Predicting The Number of Tourists Based on Backpropagation Algorithm

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 439-445
Author(s):  
Dwi Marlina ◽  
Fatchul Arifin
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Network Architecture ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Predictive Accuracy ◽  
Training Process ◽  
Backpropagation Algorithm ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Target Data

The number of tourists always fluctuates every month, as happened in Kaliadem Merapi, Sleman. The purpose of this research is to develop a prediction system for the number of tourists based on artificial neural networks. This study uses an artificial neural network for data processing methods with the backpropagation algorithm. This study carried out two processes, namely the training process and the testing process with stages consisting of: (1) Collecting input and target data, (2) Normalizing input and target data, (3) Creating artificial neural network architecture by utilizing GUI (Graphical User Interface) Matlab facilities. (4) Conducting training and testing processes, (5) Normalizing predictive data, (6) Analysis of predictive data. In the data analysis, the MSE (Mean Squared Error) value in the training process is 0.0091528 and in the testing process is 0.0051424. Besides, the validity value of predictive accuracy in the testing process is around 91.32%. The resulting MSE (Mean Squared Error) value is relatively small, and the validity value of prediction accuracy is relatively high, so this system can be used to predict the number of tourists in Kaliadem Merapi, Sleman.  

Comparing Predictive Ability of Classifiers in Forecasting Online Buying Behaviour

2015 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 54-71
Author(s):  
Sanjeev Prashar ◽  
S.K. Mitra
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Online Shopping ◽  
Predictive Ability ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Market Demand ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Buying Behaviour ◽  
Online Buying

With Internet invading geographic boundaries and diverse demographic strata, online shopping is growing at exponential rate. Expected to grow by 45 per cent to $7.69 billion by the end of 2015, India's ecommerce market has emerged as one of the most anticipated destinations for both multinational and domestic retailers. Since their success will depend on their ability to attract shoppers to buy online, it becomes relevant for them to decipher Indian consumers' attitude and behaviour towards online shopping and to predict online buying potential in India. The effectiveness of marketing and promotional strategies and action plans also will have to be pivoted around the potential available in the market. This empirical study explores the accuracy, precision and recall of four different classifying techniques used in predicting online buying. The forecasting ability of logistic regression (LR), artificial neural network (ANN), support vector machines (SVM) and random forest (RF) in the context of willingness of shoppers' to buy online has been compared. Analysis of the data supported most of the predictions albeit with varying level of accuracy. The outcome of the study reflects the superiority of artificial neural network over the other three models in terms of the predicting power. This paper adds to the knowledge body for online retailers in reducing their vulnerability with respect to market demand and improves their preparedness to handle the market response. Managerial implications of the findings and scope for future research have been deliberated.

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