scholarly journals Power Prediction of Combined Cycle Power Plant (CCPP) Using Machine Learning Algorithm-Based Paradigm

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Raheel Siddiqui ◽  
Hafeez Anwar ◽  
Farman Ullah ◽  
Rehmat Ullah ◽  
Muhammad Abdul Rehman ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Power Plant ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Combined Cycle ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Power Prediction ◽  
Boosted Regression Tree ◽  
Combined Cycle Power Plant

Power prediction is important not only for the smooth and economic operation of a combined cycle power plant (CCPP) but also to avoid technical issues such as power outages. In this work, we propose to utilize machine learning algorithms to predict the hourly-based electrical power generated by a CCPP. For this, the generated power is considered a function of four fundamental parameters which are relative humidity, atmospheric pressure, ambient temperature, and exhaust vacuum. The measurements of these parameters and their yielded output power are used to train and test the machine learning models. The dataset for the proposed research is gathered over a period of six years and taken from a standard and publicly available machine learning repository. The utilized machine algorithms are K -nearest neighbors (KNN), gradient-boosted regression tree (GBRT), linear regression (LR), artificial neural network (ANN), and deep neural network (DNN). We report state-of-the-art performance where GBRT outperforms not only the utilized algorithms but also all the previous methods on the given CCPP dataset. It achieves the minimum values of root mean square error (RMSE) of 2.58 and absolute error (AE) of 1.85.

scholarly journals Development and Evaluation of the Combined Machine Learning Models for the Prediction of Dam Inflow

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (10) ◽  
pp. 2927
Author(s):  
Jiyeong Hong ◽  
Seoro Lee ◽  
Joo Hyun Bae ◽  
Jimin Lee ◽  
Woon Ji Park ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Multilayer Perceptron ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Dam Inflow

Predicting dam inflow is necessary for effective water management. This study created machine learning algorithms to predict the amount of inflow into the Soyang River Dam in South Korea, using weather and dam inflow data for 40 years. A total of six algorithms were used, as follows: decision tree (DT), multilayer perceptron (MLP), random forest (RF), gradient boosting (GB), recurrent neural network–long short-term memory (RNN–LSTM), and convolutional neural network–LSTM (CNN–LSTM). Among these models, the multilayer perceptron model showed the best results in predicting dam inflow, with the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) value of 0.812, root mean squared errors (RMSE) of 77.218 m3/s, mean absolute error (MAE) of 29.034 m3/s, correlation coefficient (R) of 0.924, and determination coefficient (R2) of 0.817. However, when the amount of dam inflow is below 100 m3/s, the ensemble models (random forest and gradient boosting models) performed better than MLP for the prediction of dam inflow. Therefore, two combined machine learning (CombML) models (RF_MLP and GB_MLP) were developed for the prediction of the dam inflow using the ensemble methods (RF and GB) at precipitation below 16 mm, and the MLP at precipitation above 16 mm. The precipitation of 16 mm is the average daily precipitation at the inflow of 100 m3/s or more. The results show the accuracy verification results of NSE 0.857, RMSE 68.417 m3/s, MAE 18.063 m3/s, R 0.927, and R2 0.859 in RF_MLP, and NSE 0.829, RMSE 73.918 m3/s, MAE 18.093 m3/s, R 0.912, and R2 0.831 in GB_MLP, which infers that the combination of the models predicts the dam inflow the most accurately. CombML algorithms showed that it is possible to predict inflow through inflow learning, considering flow characteristics such as flow regimes, by combining several machine learning algorithms.

scholarly journals Modulation Recognition of Communication Signal Based on Convolutional Neural Network

Symmetry ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (12) ◽  
pp. 2302
Author(s):  
Kaiyuan Jiang ◽  
Xvan Qin ◽  
Jiawei Zhang ◽  
Aili Wang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Communication Systems ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Recognition Task ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Convolution Neural Network ◽  
Modulation Recognition ◽  
Signal Modulation ◽  
Communication Signal

In the noncooperation communication scenario, digital signal modulation recognition will help people to identify the communication targets and have better management over them. To solve problems such as high complexity, low accuracy and cumbersome manual extraction of features by traditional machine learning algorithms, a kind of communication signal modulation recognition model based on convolution neural network (CNN) is proposed. In this paper, a convolution neural network combines bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) with a symmetrical structure to successively extract the frequency domain features and timing features of signals and then assigns importance weights based on the attention mechanism to complete the recognition task. Seven typical digital modulation schemes including 2ASK, 4ASK, 4FSK, BPSK, QPSK, 8PSK and 64QAM are used in the simulation test, and the results show that, compared with the classical machine learning algorithm, the proposed algorithm has higher recognition accuracy at low SNR, which confirmed that the proposed modulation recognition method is effective in noncooperation communication systems.

scholarly journals Predicting Alert Source Device using Machine Learning Algorithms

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 1-10
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Model Building ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Research Work ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Training Dataset ◽  
Imbalanced Dataset ◽  
Daunting Task

In a large distributed virtualized environment, predicting the alerting source from its text seems to be daunting task. This paper explores the option of using machine learning algorithm to solve this problem. Unfortunately, our training dataset is highly imbalanced. Where 96% of alerting data is reported by 24% of alerting sources. This is the expected dataset in any live distributed virtualized environment, where new version of device will have relatively less alert compared to older devices. Any classification effort with such imbalanced dataset present different set of challenges compared to binary classification. This type of skewed data distribution makes conventional machine learning less effective, especially while predicting the minority device type alerts. Our challenge is to build a robust model which can cope with this imbalanced dataset and achieves relative high level of prediction accuracy. This research work stared with traditional regression and classification algorithms using bag of words model. Then word2vec and doc2vec models are used to represent the words in vector formats, which preserve the sematic meaning of the sentence. With this alerting text with similar message will have same vector form representation. This vectorized alerting text is used with Logistic Regression for model building. This yields better accuracy, but the model is relatively complex and demand more computational resources. Finally, simple neural network is used for this multi-class text classification problem domain by using keras and tensorflow libraries. A simple two layered neural network yielded 99 % accuracy, even though our training dataset was not balanced. This paper goes through the qualitative evaluation of the different machine learning algorithms and their respective result. Finally, two layered deep learning algorithms is selected as final solution, since it takes relatively less resource and time with better accuracy values.

scholarly journals Dementia Prognostication using Machine Learning

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 1199-1203
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Neurological Disease ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Early Stage ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithm ◽  
Treatment Analysis ◽  
Disease Analysis ◽  
Correct Implementation

Since the introduction of Machine Learning in the field of disease analysis and diagnosis, it has been revolutionized the industry by a big margin. And as a result, many frameworks for disease prognostics have been developed. This paperfocuses on the analysis of three different machine learning algorithms – Neural network, Naïve bayes and SVM on dementia. While the paper focuses more on comparison of the three algorithms, we also try to find out about the important features and causes related to dementia prognostication. Dementia is a severe neurological disease which renders a person unable to use memory and logic if not treated at the early stage so a correct implementation of fast machine learning algorithm may increase the chances of successful treatment. Analysis of the three algorithms will provide algorithm pathway to do further research and create a more complex system for disease prognostication.

scholarly journals A Novel Multi Hidden Layer Convolutional Neural Network for Content Based Image Retrieval

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 365-370
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Image Retrieval ◽  
Convolutional Neural Network ◽  
Network Architecture ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Content Based Image Retrieval ◽  
Neural Network Architecture ◽  
Query Image

The applications of a content-based image retrieval system in fields such as multimedia, security, medicine, and entertainment, have been implemented on a huge real-time database by using a convolutional neural network architecture. In general, thus far, content-based image retrieval systems have been implemented with machine learning algorithms. A machine learning algorithm is applicable to a limited database because of the few feature extraction hidden layers between the input and the output layers. The proposed convolutional neural network architecture was successfully implemented using 128 convolutional layers, pooling layers, rectifier linear unit (ReLu), and fully connected layers. A convolutional neural network architecture yields better results of its ability to extract features from an image. The Euclidean distance metric is used for calculating the similarity between the query image and the database images. It is implemented using the COREL database. The proposed system is successfully evaluated using precision, recall, and F-score. The performance of the proposed method is evaluated using the precision and recall.

scholarly journals Prediction of Option Price using Ensemble of Machine Learning Algorithms for Indian Stock Market

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 3231-3241
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Option Price ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Parametric Models ◽  
Accuracy Of Prediction ◽  
Indian Stock Market

The non-deterministic behavior of stock market creates ambiguities for buyers. The situation of ambiguities always finds the loss of user financial assets. The variations of price make a very difficult task to predict the option price. For the prediction of option used various non-parametric models such as artificial neural network, machine learning, and deep neural network. The accuracy of prediction is always a challenging task of for individual model and hybrid model. The variation gap of hypothesis value and predicted value reflects the nature of stock market. In this paper use the bagging method of machine learning for the prediction of option price. The bagging process merge different machine learning algorithm and reduce the variation gap of stock price.

scholarly journals Wheat Lodging Detection from UAS Imagery Using Machine Learning Algorithms

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 1838 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhao Zhang ◽  
Paulo Flores ◽  
C. Igathinathane ◽  
Dayakar L. Naik ◽  
Ravi Kiran ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Standard Deviation ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Superior Performance ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Unmanned Aerial Systems

The current mainstream approach of using manual measurements and visual inspections for crop lodging detection is inefficient, time-consuming, and subjective. An innovative method for wheat lodging detection that can overcome or alleviate these shortcomings would be welcomed. This study proposed a systematic approach for wheat lodging detection in research plots (372 experimental plots), which consisted of using unmanned aerial systems (UAS) for aerial imagery acquisition, manual field evaluation, and machine learning algorithms to detect the occurrence or not of lodging. UAS imagery was collected on three different dates (23 and 30 July 2019, and 8 August 2019) after lodging occurred. Traditional machine learning and deep learning were evaluated and compared in this study in terms of classification accuracy and standard deviation. For traditional machine learning, five types of features (i.e. gray level co-occurrence matrix, local binary pattern, Gabor, intensity, and Hu-moment) were extracted and fed into three traditional machine learning algorithms (i.e., random forest (RF), neural network, and support vector machine) for detecting lodged plots. For the datasets on each imagery collection date, the accuracies of the three algorithms were not significantly different from each other. For any of the three algorithms, accuracies on the first and last date datasets had the lowest and highest values, respectively. Incorporating standard deviation as a measurement of performance robustness, RF was determined as the most satisfactory. Regarding deep learning, three different convolutional neural networks (simple convolutional neural network, VGG-16, and GoogLeNet) were tested. For any of the single date datasets, GoogLeNet consistently had superior performance over the other two methods. Further comparisons between RF and GoogLeNet demonstrated that the detection accuracies of the two methods were not significantly different from each other (p > 0.05); hence, the choice of any of the two would not affect the final detection accuracies. However, considering the fact that the average accuracy of GoogLeNet (93%) was larger than RF (91%), it was recommended to use GoogLeNet for wheat lodging detection. This research demonstrated that UAS RGB imagery, coupled with the GoogLeNet machine learning algorithm, can be a novel, reliable, objective, simple, low-cost, and effective (accuracy > 90%) tool for wheat lodging detection.

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