Abstract 13740: Validation of Paris Risk Score to Predict Long-term Bleeding Events After Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in Japanese Population

Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Takeshi Shimizu ◽  
Takuya Ando ◽  
Joh Akama ◽  
Fumiya Anzai ◽  
Yuki Muto ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Japanese Population ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Bleeding Risk ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Coronary Intervention ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Bleeding Events

Introduction: It has been reported that East Asian people have higher bleeding risks than Western people. The Patterns of non-Adherence to Anti-Platelet Regimen in Stented Patients (PARIS) bleeding risk score was developed to estimate the bleeding risk after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). However, the utility of PARIS bleeding score for predicting long-term bleeding risks has not been validated in Japanese population. Methods: Consecutive 1061 patients who underwent PCI and survived to discharge were divided into three groups based on the category of PARIS bleeding risk score: low risk group (0-3 risk points), intermediate risk group (4-7 risk points) and high risk group (8-15 risk points), then we compared patient characteristics and followed bleeding events. Results: The numbers of patients at low, intermediate and high risk groups were 113 (10.7%), 420 (39.6%) and 528 (49.8%), respectively. Clinical characteristics for three groups were as follows: atrial fibrillation (low, intermediate and high risk groups; 8.2%, 8.9% and 21.6%, P &lt 0.001, respectively), peripheral artery disease (3.1%, 9.1% and 22.1%, P &lt 0.001), coronary multi-vessel disease (38.9%, 44.3% and 54.4%, P = 0.001), use of statin (97.3%, 89.6% and 71.7%, P &lt 0.001) and proton-pump inhibitors (69.1%, 72.5%, and 78.9%, P = 0.02). Among 1061 patients, a total of 74 bleeding events were occurred during the follow-up period (mean of 1742 days). In the Kaplan-Meier analysis, the cumulative incidence of bleeding events significantly increased from low risk group to intermediate and high risk group (P &lt 0.001). The risk score showed a significant prognostic value in predicting bleeding events (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.674; 95% confidence interval, 0.615-0.733). Conclusions: The PARIS bleeding risk score successfully stratified the long-term bleeding risk in patients with coronary artery disease after PCI in Japanese population.

Abstract 13581: Prognostic Value of the Patterns of Non-adherence to Anti-platelet Regimen in Stented Patients (PARIS) Bleeding Risk Score for Long Term All-cause and Cardiac Mortalities After Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Joh Akama ◽  
Takeshi Shimizu ◽  
Takuya Ando ◽  
Fumiya Anzai ◽  
Yuuki Muto ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Percutaneous Coronary Intervention ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Prognostic Value ◽  
Bleeding Risk ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Coronary Intervention ◽  
Bleeding Events ◽  
Percutaneous Coronary

Background: The Patterns of non-Adherence to Anti-Platelet Regimen in Stented Patients (PARIS) bleeding risk score has been proposed to predict the risk of bleeding events after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). However, the prognostic value of the PARIS bleeding risk score for long term all-cause and cardiac mortalities has not been evaluated. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate the predictive value of the PARIS bleeding risk score for all-cause and cardiac mortalities after PCI. Methods and Results: Consecutive 1061 patients, who had admitted to our hospital and performed or undergone PCI, were divided into 3 groups based on PARIS bleeding risk score: low (n = 113), intermediate (n = 420) and high risk groups (n = 528). We compared comorbidities and characteristics of patients among 3 groups. Furthermore, we prospectively followed up all-cause and cardiac mortalities. Clinical characteristics of 3 groups were as follows: mean age (low, intermediate and high risk groups; 56.5, 65.6 and 73.9 years, P < 0.001, respectively), prevalence of chronic kidney disease (2.7%, 24.2% and 67.8%, P < 0.001), atrial fibrillation (8.2%, 8.9% and 21.6%, P < 0.001) and peripheral artery disease (3.1%, 9.1% and 22.1%, P < 0.001). During the mean follow-up period of 1809 days, there were 205 deaths and 64 cardiac deaths. The Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that both all-cause and cardiac mortalities were highest in high risk group among 3 groups (P < 0.001 and P < 0.001, respectively, Figure). In multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis adjusted for confounding factors, PARIS bleeding score was an independent predictor of both all-cause and cardiac mortalities (adjusted hazard ratio 1.27 and 1.21 per 1 point increase, P < 0.001 and P = 0.004, respectively). Conclusion: The PARIS bleeding risk score showed significant prognostic values for all-cause and cardiac mortalities in patients after PCI.

scholarly journals Retrospective Comparative Analysis of POPF Using Fistula Risk Score According to Pancreaticoenterostomy Method

2021 ◽  
Vol 105 (1-3) ◽  
pp. 559-563
Author(s):  
Seungmin Lee ◽  
Kwang Yeol Paik
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Pancreatic Fistula ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Postoperative Pancreatic Fistula ◽  
Clinical Risk Score ◽  
Reconstructive Methods ◽  
Fistula Risk Score

Background The aim of this study is to examine whether pancreaticogastrostomy (PG) or pancreaticojejunostomy (PJ) is the better reconstructive method to reduce postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) according to the fistula risk. Methods An institutional database was reviewed for patients undergoing PD between January 2008 and August 2019. A total of 159 patients were stratified into 4 groups according to the Clinical Risk Score-Pancreatic Fistula. POPF according to 4 risk groups was compared between PJ and PG. Results Of the 159 patients, 82 underwent PG (51.6%) and 77 underwent PJ (48.4%) reconstruction. POPF rate was 17.1% (n = 14) in the PG group and 12.9% (n = 10) in the PJ group (P = 0.51). POPF rates were not different in intermediate, low, and negligible risks between 2 reconstructive methods. In the high-risk group (n = 47), there were 4 POPFs (22.2%) in PJ group and 9 (31.0%) in the PG group, respectively (P = 0.74). Conclusion In PD, there was no superior method of reconstruction with regard to POPF, even in high-risk glands.

scholarly journals Clinical impact of CREDO-kyoto risk score on in-hospital bleeding in patients with acute coronary syndrome

2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Y Minematsu ◽  
M Natsuaki ◽  
G Yoshioka ◽  
K Shinzato ◽  
Y Nishimura ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Acute Coronary Syndrome ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Major Bleeding ◽  
Bleeding Risk ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
University Hospital ◽  
Severe Bleeding ◽  
Bleeding Events ◽  
Coronary Syndrome

Abstract Background/Introduction CREDO-Kyoto bleeding risk score was developed to predict the post-discharge bleeding events in patients with percutaneous coronary intervention. However, there were limited reports of the effectiveness of this score to predict the in-hospital bleeding events in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Methods We evaluated 562 consecutive ACS patients in Saga university hospital between 2014 and 2019. Primary outcome was major bleeding during hospitalization. Major bleeding was defined as the GUSTO moderate/severe bleeding. Patients were classified into three groups according to the CREDO-Kyoto bleeding risk score (low, intermediate and high). Results Major bleeding events occurred in 12.1% of all patients during hospitalization. Patients in the high risk group (n=22) had significantly higher incidence of major bleeding than those in the intermediate (n=113) and the low risk groups (n=427) (22.7%, 18.6%, versus 9.8%, respectively, p=0.018, see figure). Multivariate analysis showed that intermediate and high risk groups were independent predictors for the in-hospital major bleeding. Conclusions CREDO-Kyoto risk score successfully identified high risk ACS patients for the major bleeding during hospitalization. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None. Results

scholarly journals A Ferroptosis and Pyroptosis Molecular Subtype-Related Signature Applicable for Prognosis and Immune Microenvironment Estimation in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Junyu Huo ◽  
Jinzhen Cai ◽  
Ge Guan ◽  
Huan Liu ◽  
Liqun Wu
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Molecular Subtype ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Type I ◽  
Immune Microenvironment ◽  
Risk Patients

Background: Due to the heterogeneity of tumors and the complexity of the immune microenvironment, the specific role of ferroptosis and pyroptosis in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is not fully understood, especially its impact on prognosis.Methods: The training set (n = 609, merged by TCGA and GSE14520) was clustered into three subtypes (C1, C2, and C3) based on the prognosis-related genes associated with ferroptosis and pyroptosis. The intersecting differentially expressed genes (DEGs) among C1, C2, and C3 were used in univariate Cox and LASSO penalized Cox regression analysis for the construction of the risk score. The median risk score served as the unified cutoff to divide patients into high- and low-risk groups.Results: Internal (TCGA, n = 370; GSE14520, n = 239) and external validation (ICGC, n = 231) suggested that the 12-gene risk score had high accuracy in predicting the OS, DSS, DFS, PFS, and RFS of HCC. As an independent prognostic indicator, the risk score could be applicable for patients with different clinical features tested by subgroup (n = 26) survival analysis. In the high-risk patients with a lower infiltration abundance of activated B cells, activated CD8 T cells, eosinophils, and type I T helper cells and a higher infiltration abundance of immature dendritic cells, the cytolytic activity, HLA, inflammation promotion, and type I IFN response in the high-risk group were weaker. The TP53 mutation rate, TMB, and CSC characteristics in the high-risk group were significantly higher than those in the low-risk group. Low-risk patients have active metabolic activity and a more robust immune response. The high- and low-risk groups differed significantly in histology grade, vascular tumor cell type, AFP, new tumor event after initial treatment, main tumor size, cirrhosis, TNM stage, BCLC stage, and CLIP score.Conclusion: The ferroptosis and pyroptosis molecular subtype-related signature identified and validated in this work is applicable for prognosis prediction, immune microenvironment estimation, stem cell characteristics, and clinical feature assessment in HCC.

scholarly journals Predictors for major bleeding in elderly (75 years and over) patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation at high risk of bleeding: sub-analysis of the ANAFIE Registry

2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
K Okumura ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Major Bleeding ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Reference Group ◽  
Bleeding Risk ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Bleeding Events ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
High Bleeding Risk

Abstract Background In patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) receiving anticoagulant therapy, bleeding events are associated with reduced survival. Previous studies showed that bleeding events during anticoagulant therapy were more frequent in elderly AF patients than in younger patients. HAS-BLED score has been used to assess the risk of bleeding in AF patients. In patients at high bleeding risk (HAS-BLED score ≥3), we sought to identify other risk factors associated with major bleeding not included in HAS-BLED score in elderly non-valvular AF (NVAF) patients. Purpose The All Nippon Atrial Fibrillation In the Elderly (ANAFIE) Registry is a prospective, multicenter, observational study to collect real-world data on clinical status and prognosis in more than 30,000 Japanese patients (aged ≥75 y) with NVAF. This sub-analysis of the ANAFIE Registry assessed the 2-year outcomes and identified predictors for major bleeding in elderly NVAF patients with a high bleeding risk. Methods A total of 32,275 patients from the ANAFIE Registry were divided into 2 groups according to HAS-BLED score (≥3 [high-risk group] and ≤2 [reference group]). The annualized incidence rate, hazard ratio (HR) for clinical outcomes, and independent predictors for major bleeding were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and the Cox proportional-hazards model. Results A total of 6,826 patients constituted the high-risk group: mean age, 81.8 years old (75–80 years, 37.8%; 81–84 years, 33.9%; ≥85 years, 28.3%); male ratio, 72.2%; mean creatinine clearance (CrCL), 42.7 mL/min; history of major bleeding, 14.2%; presence of non-paroxysmal AF, 62.2%; mean total number of medicines used, 7.8. Anticoagulants were used in 91.2% (warfarin [WF], 29.9%; direct oral anticoagulants [DOACs], 61.2%). Proton-pump inhibitors (PPI) were administered in 46.5%. Compared to the reference group, the high-risk group had higher annualized incidence rates (/100 patient-year) of major bleeding (1.49 vs 0.97), intracranial hemorrhage (0.95 vs 0.70), gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding (2.63 vs 1.73), and all-cause mortality (5.50 vs 3.24). All-cause mortality more frequently occurred in patients aged ≥85 years compared to 75–79 years and those with CrCL &lt;50 mL/min compared to CrCL ≥50 mL/min. In the high-risk group, DOAC subgroup had lower incidences of the above-mentioned outcomes other than GI bleeding than WF subgroup. The following relevant factors for major bleeding not included in HAS-BLED score were identified in the high-risk group: Body mass index (BMI) ≥25.0 kg/m2 (HR, 0.40), heart failure (HF) with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) (HR, 1.38), a fall within 1 year (HR, 2.29), and use of PPI (HR, 0.65). Conclusions Among elderly (≥75 years) Japanese NVAF patients in the high bleeding risk group (HAS-BLED score ≥3), HF with reduced LVEF, and a fall within 1 year were identified as independent predictors of major bleeding. BMI ≥25.0 kg/m2 and PPI use were protective for major bleeding. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: Private company. Main funding source(s): Daiichi Sankyo Co., Ltd.

scholarly journals Matched Analysis of Postoperative Pancreatic Fistula Using Fistula Risk Score According to Pancreaticoenterostomy Methods

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seungmin Lee ◽  
Kwang Yeol Paik ◽  
Ji Seon Oh ◽  
Eung Kook Kim
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Pancreatic Fistula ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Postoperative Pancreatic Fistula ◽  
Clinical Risk Score ◽  
Reconstructive Methods ◽  
Fistula Risk Score

Abstract Background To examine whether pancreaticogastrostomy (PG) or pancreaticojejunostomy (PJ) is the better reconstructive method to reduce Postoperative Pancreatic Fistula (POPF), after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) according to the fistula risk. Methods An institutional database was reviewed for patients undergoing PD between January 2008 and August 2019. 159 patients were stratified into four groups according to the Clinical Risk Score-Pancreatic Fistula (CRS-PF). POPF according to 4 risk groups was compared between PJ and PG. Results Of the 159 patients, 82 underwent PG (51.6%) and 77 underwent PJ (48.4%) reconstruction. POPF rate was 15.1% and 17.1% (n=14) in the PG group and 12.9% (n=10) in the PJ group (P =0.51). POPF rates were not different in intermediate, low and negligible risks between two reconstructive methods. In High risk group (n=47), there was 4 (22.2%) POPF in PJ group and 9 (31.0%) in PG group, respectively (p=0.74). Conclusions In PD, there was no superior method of reconstruction with regards of POPF, even in high risk glands.

scholarly journals Ferroptosis-Related lncRNA Signature Predicts Prognosis and Immunotherapy Efficacy in Cutaneous Melanoma

2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yujian Xu ◽  
Youbai Chen ◽  
Zehao Niu ◽  
Zheng Yang ◽  
Jiahua Xing ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
T Cells ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Immune Checkpoint ◽  
Cutaneous Melanoma ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk

Abstract Ferroptosis-related lncRNAs are promising biomarkers for predicting the prognosis of many cancers. However, a ferroptosis-related signature to predict the prognosis of cutaneous melanoma (CM) has not been identified. The purpose of our study was to construct a ferroptosis-related lncRNA signature to predict prognosis and immunotherapy efficacy in CM. Ferroptosis-related differentially expressed genes (FDEGs) and lncRNAs (FDELs) were identified using TCGA, GTEx, and FerrDb datasets. We performed Cox and LASSO regressions to identify key FDELs, and constructed a risk score to stratify patients into high- and low-risk groups. A nomogram was developed for clinical use. We performed gene set enrichment analyses (GSEA) to identify significantly enriched pathways. Differences in the tumor microenvironment (TME) between the 2 groups were assessed using 7 algorithms. To predict the efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI), we analyzed the association between PD1 and CTLA4 expression and the risk score. Finally, differences in Tumor Mutational Burden (TMB) and molecular drugs Sensitivity between the 2 groups were performed. Here, we identified 5 lncRNAs (AATBC, AC145423.2, LINC01871, AC125807.2, and AC245041.1) to construct the risk score. The AUC of the lncRNA signature was 0.743 in the training cohort and was validated in the testing and entire cohorts. Kaplan-Meier analyses revealed that the high-risk group had poorer prognosis. Multivariate Cox regression showed that the lncRNA signature was an independent predictor of OS with higher accuracy than traditional clinicopathological features. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival probabilities for CM patients were 92.7%, 57.2%, and 40.2% with an AUC of 0.804, indicating a good accuracy and reliability of the nomogram. GSEA showed that the high-risk group had lower ferroptosis and immune response. TME analyses confirmed that the high-risk group had lower immune cell infiltration (e.g., CD8+ T cells, CD4+ memory-activated T cells, and M1 macrophages) and lower immune functions (e.g., immune checkpoint activation). Low-risk patients whose disease expressed PD1 or CTLA4 were likely to respond better to ICIs. The analysis demonstrated that the TMB had significantly difference between low- and high- risk groups. Chemotherapy drugs, such as sorafenib, Imatinib, ABT.888 (Veliparib), Docetaxel, and Paclitaxel showed Significant differences in the estimated IC50 between the two risk groups. Overall, our novel ferroptosis-related lncRNA signature was able to accurately predict the prognosis and ICI outcomes of CM patients. These ferroptosis-related lncRNAs might be potential biomarkers and therapeutic targets for CM.

scholarly journals Multiple Myeloma Patients Undergoing Carfilzomib: Development and Validation of a Risk Score for Cardiovascular Adverse Events Prediction

Cancers ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (7) ◽  
pp. 1631
Author(s):  
Anna Astarita ◽  
Giulia Mingrone ◽  
Lorenzo Airale ◽  
Fabrizio Vallelonga ◽  
Michele Covella ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Blood Pressure ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Multiple Myeloma ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Adverse Events ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk Assessment

Cardiovascular adverse events (CVAEs) are linked to Carfilzomib (CFZ) therapy in multiple myeloma (MM); however, no validated protocols on cardiovascular risk assessment are available. In this prospective study, the effectiveness of the European Myeloma Network protocol (EMN) in cardiovascular risk assessment was investigated, identifying major predictors of CVAEs. From January 2015 to March 2020, 116 MM patients who had indication for CFZ therapy underwent a baseline evaluation (including blood pressure measurements, echocardiography and arterial stiffness estimation) and were prospectively followed. The median age was 64.53 ± 8.42 years old, 56% male. Five baseline independent predictors of CVAEs were identified: office systolic blood pressure, 24-h blood pressure variability, left ventricular hypertrophy, pulse wave velocity value and global longitudinal strain. The resulting ‘CVAEs risk score’ distinguished a low- and a high-risk group, obtaining a negative predicting value for the high-risk group of 90%. 52 patients (44.9%) experienced one or more CVAEs: 17 (14.7%) had major and 45 (38.7%) had hypertension-related events. In conclusion, CVAEs are frequent and a specific management protocol is crucial. The EMN protocol and the risk score proved to be useful to estimate the baseline risk for CVAEs during CFZ therapy, allowing the identification of higher-risk patients.

Short-term risk stratification using CADILLAC risk score in patients with ST elevation myocardial infarction

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
T Satou ◽  
H Kitahara ◽  
K Ishikawa ◽  
T Nakayama ◽  
Y Fujimoto ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Myocardial Infarction ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Adverse Events ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Recurrent Myocardial Infarction ◽  
St Elevation

Abstract Background The recent reperfusion therapy for ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) has made the length of hospital stay shorter without adverse events. CADILLAC risk score is reportedly one of the risk scores predicting the long-term prognosis in STEMI patients. Purpose To invenstigate the usefulness of CADILLAC risk score for predicting short-term outcomes in STEMI patients. Methods Consecutive patients admitted to our university hospital and our medical center with STEMI (excluding shock, arrest case) who underwent primary PCI between January 2012 and April 2018 (n=387) were enrolled in this study. The patients were classified into 3 groups according to the CADILLAC risk score: low risk (n=176), intermediate risk (n=87), and high risk (n=124). Data on adverse events within 30 days after hospitalization, including in-hospital death, sustained ventricular arrhythmia, recurrent myocardial infarction, heart failure requiring intravenous treatment, stroke, or clinical hemorrhage, were collected. Results In the low risk group, adverse events within 30 days were significantly less observed, compared to the intermediate and high risk groups (n=13, 7.4% vs. n=13, 14.9% vs. n=58, 46.8%, p&lt;0.001). In particular, all adverse events occurred within 3 days in the low risk group, although adverse events, such as heart failure (n=4), recurrent myocardial infarction (n=1), stroke (n=1), and gastrointestinal bleeding (n=1), were substantially observed after day 4 of hospitalization in the intermediate and high risk groups. Conclusions In STEMI patients with low CADILLAC risk score, better short-term prognosis was observed compared to the intermediate and high risk groups, and all adverse events occurred within 3 days of hospitalization, suggesting that discharge at day 4 might be safe in this study population. CADILLAC risk score may help stratify patient risk for short-term prognosis and adjust management of STEMI patients. Initial event occurrence timing Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

A Hypoxia-related LncRNA Signature Predicts Survival of Primary Lower-grade glioma

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanjia Hu ◽  
Jing Zhang ◽  
Jing Chen
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Enrichment Analysis ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Gene Set Enrichment Analysis ◽  
Lower Grade ◽  
Prognostic Signature ◽  
Gene Set Enrichment

Abstract Background Hypoxia-related long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) have been proven to play a role in multiple cancers and can serve as prognostic markers. Lower-grade gliomas (LGGs) are characterized by large heterogeneity. Methods This study aimed to construct a hypoxia-related lncRNA signature for predicting the prognosis of LGG patients. Transcriptome and clinical data of LGG patients were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and the Chinese Glioma Genome Atlas (CGGA). LGG cohort in TCGA was chosen as training set and LGG cohorts in CGGA served as validation sets. A prognostic signature consisting of fourteen hypoxia-related lncRNAs was constructed using univariate and LASSO Cox regression. A risk score formula involving the fourteen lncRNAs was developed to calculate the risk score and patients were classified into high- and low-risk groups based on cutoff. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to compare the survival between two groups. Cox regression analysis was used to determine whether risk score was an independent prognostic factor. A nomogram was then constructed based on independent prognostic factors and assessed by C-index and calibration plot. Gene set enrichment analysis and immune cell infiltration analysis were performed to uncover further mechanisms of this lncRNA signature. Results LGG patients with high risk had poorer prognosis than those with low risk in both training and validation sets. Recipient operating characteristic curves showed good performance of the prognostic signature. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression confirmed that the established lncRNA signature was an independent prognostic factor. C-index and calibration plots showed good predictive performance of nomogram. Gene set enrichment analysis showed that genes in the high-risk group were enriched in apoptosis, cell adhesion, pathways in cancer, hypoxia etc. Immune cells were higher in high-risk group. Conclusion The present study showed the value of the 14-lncRNA signature in predicting survival of LGGs and these 14 lncRNAs could be further investigated to reveal more mechanisms involved in gliomas.

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