scholarly journals An Error Correction Model on the Impact of Government Expenditure on Economic Growth in Liberia from 1970 to 2020: Keynesian Economics Visited

Author(s):  
Lester Zomatic Tenny
2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 28-36
Author(s):  
Gautam Maharjan

The main objective of this paper is to examine the relationship between tax revenue and economic growth in Nepal. The 43 years' annual time series data from 1974/75 to 2016/17 of GDP, tax revenue and nontax revenue have been used to test the causal relationship of the variables. A unit root test, Engle-Granger’s co-integration and Error Correction Model have been applied for the data analysis. The variables have been found stationary after first differencing I(1) when Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test is employed. From Engel-Granger test, it has been found that the variables are co-integrated. The short-term coefficients are not significant, however error correction term (ECT) is significant and contains a negative sign in the error correction model (ECM). It validates the ECM model. The ECT has shown that the annual speed of adjustment from disequilibrium to equilibrium is 34.3 percent. So far as the relationship is concerned, there is a long run relationship between tax revenue and economic growth in Nepal controlling the non-tax revenue. The impact of tax revenue on economic growth could be a good impetus for the policy maker and planner to increase the collection of revenue for the country.


2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 329-345
Author(s):  
Hadi Sasana ◽  
Deni Ramdani ◽  
Ivo Novitaningtyas

Abstract: The role and contribution of Islamic finance on economic growth in Indonesia has increased gradually and steadily. This is because the Islamic economy's universal and comprehensively basic principle is the primary foundation of Islamic banking. This research aimed to analyze the role of Islamic Banking on Indonesia's real sector during 2007.01 – 2016.04. This study used the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) as a tool to analyze secondary data. The result showed that in Indonesia, sharia deposit positively and significantly influenced actual output in the short term. In addition, in the long-term, sharia financing positively and significantly influenced actual output. Moreover, Granger Causality Test proved the occurrence of one-way causality between actual output and inflation. Thus, Islamic banking can encourage actual output in Indonesia. The results of this study become a consideration for stakeholders and policymakers to pay more attention to strategies and policies that support economic growth in Indonesia.Abstrak: Perkembangan keuangan syariah di Indonesia semakin meningkat setiap tahunnya. Prinsip-prinsip dasar ekonomi syariah yang universal dan komprehensif merupakan landasan utama perbankan syariah. Tujuan penelitian ini untuk menginvestigasi peran perbankan syariah terhadap sektor riil di Indonesia selama periode 2007.01 – 2016.04. Penelitian ini menggunakan Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) sebagai alat untuk menganalisis data sekunder. Hasil penelitian menemukan bahwa dalam jangka pendek deposito syariah berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap output rill. Selain itu, dalam jangka panjang pembiayaan syariah berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap output riil di Indonesia. Lebih lanjut, Uji Kausalitas Granger membuktikan terjadinya kausalitas satu arah antara output riil dan inflasi. Dengan demikian, perbankan syariah mampu mendorong output riil di Indonesia. Hasil penelitian ini menjadi bahan pertimbangan bagi para pemangku kepentingan dan pengambil kebijakan untuk lebih memperhatikan strategi dan kebijakan yang mendukung pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia.


Author(s):  
. Kuswanto

The Human Development Index (HDI) is an index used to measure the achievement of human development in the aspects of health, education and income expenditure. The research is based on the trend of fluctuations in the HDI of Jambi Province in 2004-2019. This study aims to determine the impact of economic growth on the human development index in Jambi Province in 2004-2019 using the Error Correction Model (ECM) method. This type of research is quantitative research using the error correction model (ECM) method to correct imbalances. The results showed that economic growth (GRDP) had a positive and significant effect on the human development index both in the long and short term. The coefficient of ECTt variable in the ECM model is 0.380157 or 0.4 which indicates that short-term equilibrium fluctuations will be corrected towards long-term equilibrium, where about 40% of the adjustment process occurs in the first year and 60% occurs in the following year. year. Based on the results of this study, local governments are expected to pay more attention to improving areas that experience inequality in human development through increasing public awareness in order to increase productivity and to reduce inequalityetween districts in Jambi Province and achieve the expected community welfare.


Author(s):  
Nejib Hachicha ◽  
Amine Ben Amar

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to investigate empirically the impact of the Islamic Bank Financing on Malaysia’s economic growth over the period 2000Q1-2011Q4. Design/methodology/approach – A neoclassical production function augmented by some indicators of Islamic bank finance has been the theoretical framework for this paper’s empirical investigation. The unit root tests show that all the variables are integrated of order 1. The test of Johansen and Juselius (1990) has shown the existence of a single cointegrating relationship between the gross domestic product (GDP), the investment, the labor force and the indicator of Islamic bank finance. Hence, an error correction model has been constructed to estimate the economic growth elasticity with respect to the different Islamic bank finance indicators. Findings – The estimated elasticities show that, in the long run, the GDP in Malaysia is not sensitive to the Islamic financing. The estimation of an error correction model shows that the elasticity of the Malaysian output with respect to the different Islamic financing indicators in the short run turn around 0.35. Thus, the effect of the different Islamic finance indicators on the economic growth in the long run is less important than their effect in the short run. This economic result can be explained by the structure of the Islamic bank financing that marginalizes the profit-and-loss sharing (PLS)-based instruments. This turns out to be consistent with the economic reality in Malaysia, as the Islamic banks engage much more in non-participatory activities whose impact is, generally, of short term. Social implications – To improve the efficiency of the Malaysian Islamic banks as financial inter-mediaries that facilitate the capital accumulation and the economic growth, the paper suggests to strengthen the weight of the PLS-based instruments in the loan portfolios of the Malaysian Islamic banks. This may reduce inequalities and improve economic opportunities for people who have a high potential to contribute to the capital accumulation and the creation of the value-added. Originality/value – The contribution of this paper is two-fold. On the one hand, it provides a further contribution to the rare empirical literature relative to the impact of the Islamic finance on growth by determining the elasticity of economic growth with respect to Islamic bank financing in Malaysia. On the other hand, and to the best of the authors’ knowledge, this paper remains the first to correctly resort to the error correction model in determining this elasticity.


Author(s):  
Jihad Lukis Panjawa ◽  
Bhimo Rizky Samudro

This study analyzes spatial inequality through a causal relationship between inequality and economic growth within-recidency, between-recidency and overall in Central Java.The analytical tool used is the Direct Error Correction Model causality. This study shows that spatial concentrations throughout the observation period are quite high. In the 2001-2008 period there was an increasing tendency for spatialconcentration, reflecting the decline in the distribution of the Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) share of districts and cities in Central Java. We also obtained similar findings in a number of regions both within and between-recidency. Post-2008, spatial concentration tends to decrease, indicating the distribution of the Gross Regional Domestic Product share. Other findings indicate a one-way relationship shown economic growth towards inequality. Another important contribution is that economic growth in inequality only occurs in the long term. Thus there has been convergence because of the increase ineconomic growth which is able to reduce inequality in all areas of Central Java, including within and between-recidency. This proves that during the implementation of regional autonomy there is a spread effect greater than the backwash effect in Central Java, including within and between-recidency.


Author(s):  
Wasiaturrahma Wasiaturrahma ◽  
Yuliana Tri Wahyuningtyas ◽  
Shochrul Rohmatul Ajija

The study analyses the impact of non-cash payment on demand for real money in Indonesia from 2010 to 2015. Utilizing the Error Correction Model (ECM), the results reveal that the use of both debit and credit card influence the demand for real money in the long term. Moreover, debit card also significantly affects the demand for real money in the short term, while the use of credit card does not have the implication.


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (6) ◽  
pp. 1272
Author(s):  
Hasymi Nur Baehaqy ◽  
Eko Fajar Cahyono

This research aims to know Impact of conventional banking financing and Islamic banking financing on economic growth 2008-2018. In this study the authors used a saturated sampling technique found in Non-Probability Sampling. The analysis technique used is VECM (Vector Error Correction Model). Based on the results of the study indicate that there is a one-way relationship on several variables, namely Conventional Banking Financing to GDP and Conventional Banking Financing to Islamic Banking Financing, In the long run, Conventional Banking Financing has a positive and significant relationship to GDP, whereas Islamic Banking Financing has a negative and significant relationship to GDP.Keywords: Banking Financing, Economic Growth, GDP (Gross Domestic Product), VECM (Vector Error Correction Model)


Author(s):  
Yohana James Mgale

This article analyzes the transmission of prices between marketing agents and the factors affecting onion prices at the consumer level. The Error Correction Model-Engle Granger (ECM-EG) was used to test the price transmission by including the impact of the rise and fall of producer, wholesale and retail prices in past periods. The Error Correction Model (ECM) was applied to the factors affecting onion prices. The test results showed that price transmission was asymmetrical in the short and long-run. With regard to factors, the results show that consumer price in the short-run was influenced by wholesale prices, producer prices and the price of fuel while in the long-run it was influenced by wholesale prices, producer price, price of fuel and consumer prices in the previous period (t-1). These results suggest the existence of a short-term adjustment cost and a long-term market power which distorts price transmission.


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