scholarly journals Point Downscaling of Surface Wind Speed for Forecast Applications

2018 ◽  
Vol 57 (3) ◽  
pp. 659-674 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brian H. Tang ◽  
Nick P. Bassill

AbstractA statistical downscaling algorithm is introduced to forecast surface wind speed at a location. The downscaling algorithm consists of resolved and unresolved components to yield a time series of synthetic wind speeds at high time resolution. The resolved component is a bias-corrected numerical weather prediction model forecast of the 10-m wind speed at the location. The unresolved component is a simulated time series of the high-frequency component of the wind speed that is trained to match the variance and power spectral density of wind observations at the location. Because of the stochastic nature of the unresolved wind speed, the downscaling algorithm may be repeated to yield an ensemble of synthetic wind speeds. The ensemble may be used to generate probabilistic predictions of the sustained wind speed or wind gusts. Verification of the synthetic winds produced by the downscaling algorithm indicates that it can accurately predict various features of the observed wind, such as the probability distribution function of wind speeds, the power spectral density, daily maximum wind gust, and daily maximum sustained wind speed. Thus, the downscaling algorithm may be broadly applicable to any application that requires a computationally efficient, accurate way of generating probabilistic forecasts of wind speed at various time averages or forecast horizons.

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 2034 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hongsu Liu ◽  
Shuanggen Jin ◽  
Qingyun Yan

Ocean surface wind speed is an essential parameter for typhoon monitoring and forecasting. However, traditional satellite and buoy observations are difficult to monitor the typhoon due to high cost and low temporal-spatial resolution. With the development of spaceborne GNSS-R technology, the cyclone global navigation satellite system (CYGNSS) with eight satellites in low-earth orbit provides an opportunity to measure the ocean surface wind speed of typhoons. Though observations are made at the extremely efficient spatial and temporal resolution, its accuracy and reliability are unclear in an actual super typhoon case. In this study, the wind speed variations over the life cycle of the 2018 Typhoon Mangkhut from CYGNSS observations were evaluated and compared with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Re-Analysis-5 (ERA-5). The results show that the overall root-mean-square error (RMSE) of CYGNSS versus ECMWF was 4.12 m/s, the mean error was 1.36 m/s, and the correlation coefficient was 0.96. For wind speeds lower and greater than 15 m/s, the RMSE of CYGNSS versus ECMWF were 1.02 and 4.36 m/s, the mean errors were 0.05 and 1.61 m/s, the correlation coefficients were 0.91 and 0.90, and the average relative errors were 9.8% and 11.6%, respectively. When the typhoon reached a strong typhoon or super typhoon, the RMSE of CYGNSS with respect to ERA-5 from ECMWF was 5.07 m/s; the mean error was 3.57 m/s; the correlation coefficient was 0.52 and the average relative error was 11.0%. The CYGNSS estimation had higher precision for wind speeds below 15 m/s, but degraded when the wind speed was above 15 m/s.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 80-88
Author(s):  
Waluyo Waluyo ◽  
Meli Ruslinar

The microcontroller is one technology that is developing so rapidly with various types and functions, one of which is Arduino Uno which can be used as a microcontroller for various functions in the field of electronics technology. This research was conducted at the Laboratory of Ocean Engineering Modeling, Marine and Fisheries Polytechnic of Karawang in March-June 2020. The purpose of this study was to create a microcontroller-based sea surface wind speed measuring instrument. Based on the results of the acquisition of wind data using a fan simulation and natural wind gusts with different wind speeds in the field show a significant tool response. The results of the comparison of data recording between the results of research with the existing wind speed measuring instrument show that there is an average tool error of 3.24%, a relative error of 3.78%, and an instrument accuracy rate of 96.76%. Thus it can be said that the ability of the tool is able to record wind data with high accuracy.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (12) ◽  
pp. 6889-6899
Author(s):  
Robert R. Nelson ◽  
Annmarie Eldering ◽  
David Crisp ◽  
Aronne J. Merrelli ◽  
Christopher W. O'Dell

Abstract. Satellite measurements of surface wind speed over the ocean inform a wide variety of scientific pursuits. While both active and passive microwave sensors are traditionally used to detect surface wind speed over water surfaces, measurements of reflected sunlight in the near-infrared made by the Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2) are also sensitive to the wind speed. In this work, retrieved wind speeds from OCO-2 glint measurements are validated against the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer-2 (AMSR2). Both sensors are in the international Afternoon Constellation (A-Train), allowing for a large number of co-located observations. Several different OCO-2 retrieval algorithm modifications are tested, with the most successful being a single-band Cox–Munk-only model. Using this, we find excellent agreement between the two sensors, with OCO-2 having a small mean bias against AMSR2 of −0.22 m s−1, an RMSD of 0.75 m s−1, and a correlation coefficient of 0.94. Although OCO-2 is restricted to clear-sky measurements, potential benefits of its higher spatial resolution relative to microwave instruments include the study of coastal wind processes, which may be able to inform certain economic sectors.


Author(s):  
Shakeel Asharaf ◽  
Duane E. Waliser ◽  
Derek J. Posselt ◽  
Christopher S. Ruf ◽  
Chidong Zhang ◽  
...  

AbstractSurface wind plays a crucial role in many local/regional weather and climate processes, especially through the exchanges of energy, mass and momentum across the Earth’s surface. However, there is a lack of consistent observations with continuous coverage over the global tropical ocean. To fill this gap, the NASA Cyclone Global Navigation Satellite System (CYGNSS) mission was launched in December 2016, consisting of a constellation of eight small spacecrafts that remotely sense near surface wind speed over the tropical and sub-tropical oceans with relatively high sampling rates both temporally and spatially. This current study uses data obtained from the Tropical Moored Buoy Arrays to quantitatively characterize and validate the CYGNSS derived winds over the tropical Indian, Pacific, and Atlantic Oceans. The validation results show that the uncertainty in CYGNSS wind speed, as compared with these tropical buoy data, is less than 2 m s-1 root mean squared difference, meeting the NASA science mission Level-1 uncertainty requirement for wind speeds below 20 m s-1. The quality of the CYGNSS wind is further assessed under different precipitation conditions, and in convective cold-pool events, identified using buoy rain and temperature data. Results show that CYGNSS winds compare fairly well with buoy observations in the presence of rain, though at low wind speeds the presence of rain appears to cause a slight positive wind speed bias in the CYGNSS data. The comparison indicates the potential utility of the CYGNSS surface wind product, which in turn may help to unravel the complexities of air-sea interaction in regions that are relatively under-sampled by other observing platforms.


2007 ◽  
Vol 24 (6) ◽  
pp. 1131-1142 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anant Parekh ◽  
Rashmi Sharma ◽  
Abhijit Sarkar

A 2-yr (June 1999–June 2001) observation of ocean surface wind speed (SWS) and sea surface temperature (SST) derived from microwave radiometer measurements made by a multifrequency scanning microwave radiometer (MSMR) and the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Microwave Imager (TMI) is compared with direct measurements by Indian Ocean buoys. Also, for the first time SWS and SST values of the same period obtained from 40-yr ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA-40) have been evaluated with these buoy observations. The SWS and SST are shown to have standard deviations of 1.77 m s−1 and 0.60 K for TMI, 2.30 m s−1 and 2.0 K for MSMR, and 2.59 m s−1 and 0.68 K for ERA-40, respectively. Despite the fact that MSMR has a lower-frequency channel, larger values of bias and standard deviation (STD) are found compared to those of TMI. The performance of SST retrieval during the daytime is found to be better than that at nighttime. The analysis carried out for different seasons has raised an important question as to why one spaceborne instrument (TMI) yields retrievals with similar biases during both pre- and postmonsoon periods and the other (MSMR) yields drastically different results. The large bias at low wind speeds is believed to be due to the poorer sensitivity of microwave emissivity variations at low wind speeds. The extreme SWS case study (cyclonic condition) showed that satellite-retrieved SWS captured the trend and absolute magnitudes as reflected by in situ observations, while the model (ERA-40) failed to do so. This result has direct implications on the real-time application of satellite winds in monitoring extreme weather events.


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