Anomalous Dynamics of QBO Disruptions Explained by 1D Theory With External Triggering

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aaron Match ◽  
Stephan Fueglistaler
Keyword(s):  
Shear Zone ◽  
Shear Zones ◽  
Flux Divergence ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Zonal Winds ◽  
Momentum Budget ◽  
1D Model ◽  
Triggering Events ◽  
Anomalous Dynamics ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

AbstractThe Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) is an alternating, descending pattern of zonal winds in the tropical stratosphere with a period averaging 28 months. The QBO was disrupted in 2016, and arguably again in 2020, by the formation of an anomalous easterly shear zone, and unprecedented stagnation and ascent of shear zones aloft. Several mechanisms have been implicated in causing the 2016 disruption, most notably triggering by horizontal eddy momentum flux divergence, but also anomalous upwelling and wave stress. In this paper, the 1D theory of the QBO is used to show how seemingly disparate features of disruptions follow directly from the dynamics of the QBO response to triggering. The perturbed QBO is interpreted using a heuristic version of the 1D model, which establishes that: (1) stagnation of shear zones aloft resulted from wave dissipation in the shear zone formed by the triggering, and (2) ascent of shear zones aloft resulted from climatological upwelling advecting the stagnant shear zones. Obstacles remain in the theory of triggering. In the 1D theory, the phasing of the triggering is key to determining the response, but the dependence on magnitude is less steep. Yet in MERRA-2, there are triggering events only 20% weaker than the 2016 triggering and equal to the 2020 triggering that did not lead to disruptions. Complicating matters further, MERRA-2 has record-large analysis tendencies during the 2016 disruption, reducing confidence in the resolved momentum budget.

scholarly journals Revisiting the Quasi Biennial Oscillation as Seen in ERA5. Part I: Description and Momentum Budget

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hamid A. Pahlavan ◽  
Qiang Fu ◽  
John M. Wallace ◽  
George N. Kiladis
Keyword(s):  
Shear Zones ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Wave Forcing ◽  
Momentum Budget ◽  
Flow Interactions ◽  
Mean Fields ◽  
Mean Meridional Circulation ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

AbstractThe dynamics and momentum budget of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) are examined in the ERA5 reanalysis. Because of ERA5’s higher spatial resolution compared to its predecessors, it is capable of resolving a broader spectrum of atmospheric waves and allows for a better representation of the wave-mean flow interactions, both of which are of crucial importance for QBO studies. It is shown that the QBO-induced mean meridional circulation, which is mainly confined to the winter hemisphere, is strong enough to interrupt the tropical upwelling during the descent of the westerly shear zones. Since the momentum advection tends to damp the QBO, the wave forcing is responsible for both the downward propagation and for the maintenance of the QBO. It is shown that half the required wave forcing is provided by resolved waves during the descent of both westerly and easterly regimes. Planetary-scale waves account for most of the resolved wave forcing of the descent of westerly shear zones and small-scale gravity (SSG) waves with wavelengths shorter than 2000 km account for the remainder. SSG waves account for most of the resolved forcing of the descent of the easterly shear zones. The representation of the mean fields in the QBO is very similar in ERA5 and ERA-I but the resolved wave forcing is substantially stronger in ERA5. The contributions of the various equatorially-trapped wave modes to the QBO forcing are documented in Part II.

scholarly journals On the Momentum Budget of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation in the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model

2018 ◽  
Vol 76 (1) ◽  
pp. 69-87 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rolando R. Garcia ◽  
Jadwiga H. Richter
Keyword(s):  
Gravity Waves ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Equatorial Waves ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Community Climate Model ◽  
Westerly Jet ◽  
Momentum Budget ◽  
Zonal Wavenumber ◽  
Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Community Climate

Abstract This study documents the contribution of equatorial waves and mesoscale gravity waves to the momentum budget of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) in a 110-level version of the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model. The model has high vertical resolution, 500 m, above the boundary layer and through the lower and middle stratosphere, decreasing gradually to about 1.5 km near the stratopause. Parameterized mesoscale gravity waves and resolved equatorial waves contribute comparable easterly and westerly accelerations near the equator. Westerly acceleration by resolved waves is due mainly to Kelvin waves of zonal wavenumber in the range k = 1–15 and is broadly distributed about the equator. Easterly acceleration near the equator is due mainly to Rossby–gravity (RG) waves with zonal wavenumbers in the range k = 4–12. These RG waves appear to be generated in situ during both the easterly and westerly phases of the QBO, wherever the meridional curvature of the equatorial westerly jet is large enough to produce reversals of the zonal-mean barotropic vorticity gradient, suggesting that they are excited by the instability of the jet. The RG waves produce a characteristic pattern of Eliassen–Palm flux divergence that includes strong easterly acceleration close to the equator and westerly acceleration farther from the equator, suggesting that the role of the RG waves is to redistribute zonal-mean vorticity such as to neutralize the instability of the westerly jet. Insofar as unstable RG waves might be present in the real atmosphere, mixing due to these waves could have important implications for transport in the tropical stratosphere.

scholarly journals Stratospheric semi-decadal oscillations in NCEP data

2008 ◽  
Vol 26 (8) ◽  
pp. 2143-2157 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. G. Mayr ◽  
J. G. Mengel ◽  
F. T. Huang ◽  
E. R. Talaat ◽  
E. R. Nash ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Spectral Analysis ◽  
Data Analysis ◽  
Temperature Data ◽  
Spectral Features ◽  
Altitude Range ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Atmospheric Research ◽  
Zonal Winds ◽  
Environmental Prediction ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

Abstract. An analysis of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP)/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) data is presented to provide a more complete description of the stratospheric 5-year semi-decadal (SD) oscillation (Mayr et al., 2007). The zonal-mean temperature and zonal wind data from the Atmospheric Research R-1 analysis are employed, covering the years from 1962 to 2002 in the altitude range from 10 to 30 km. For diagnostic purposes, the data are separated into the hemispherically symmetric and anti-symmetric components, and spectral analysis is applied to identify the signatures of the SD oscillations. Through the synthesis or filtering of spectral features, the SD modulations of the annual oscillation (AO) and quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) are delineated. In agreement with the earlier findings, the magnitude of the SD oscillation is more pronounced when the 30-month QBO dominates during the years from 1975 to 1995. This is consistent with results from a numerical model, which shows that such a QBO generates the SD oscillation through interaction with the 12-month AO. In the zonal winds, the SD oscillation in the NCEP data is confined to equatorial latitudes, where it modulates the symmetric AO and QBO by about 5 m/s below 30 km. In the temperature data, the effect is also seen around the equator, but it is much larger at polar latitudes where the SD oscillation produces variations as large as 2 K. Our data analysis indicates that the SD oscillation is mainly hemispherically symmetric, and it appears to originate at equatorial latitudes where most of the energy resides.

scholarly journals The Emergence of Shallow Easterly Jets within QBO Westerlies

2018 ◽  
Vol 75 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-40 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Hitchcock ◽  
Peter H. Haynes ◽  
William J. Randel ◽  
Thomas Birner
Keyword(s):  
Potential Vorticity ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Shear Zones ◽  
Wave Activity ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Westerly Jet ◽  
Eddy Fluxes ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

A configuration of an idealized general circulation model has been obtained in which a deep, stratospheric, equatorial, westerly jet is established that is spontaneously and quasi-periodically disrupted by shallow easterly jets. Similar to the disruption of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) observed in early 2016, meridional fluxes of wave activity are found to play a central role. The possible relevance of two feedback mechanisms to these disruptions is considered. The first involves the secondary circulation produced in the shear zones on the upper and lower flanks of the easterly jet. This is found to play a role in maintaining the aspect ratio of the emerging easterly jet. The second involves the organization of the eddy fluxes by the mean flow: the presence of a weak easterly anomaly within a tall, tropical, westerly jet is demonstrated to produce enhanced and highly focused wave activity fluxes that reinforce and strengthen the easterly anomalies. The eddies appear to be organized by the formation of strong potential vorticity gradients on the subtropical flanks of the easterly anomaly. Similar wave activity and potential vorticity structures are found in the ERA-Interim for the observed QBO disruption, indicating this second feedback was active then.

scholarly journals Tropical Waves and the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation in a 7-km Global Climate Simulation

2016 ◽  
Vol 73 (9) ◽  
pp. 3771-3783 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laura A. Holt ◽  
M. Joan Alexander ◽  
Lawrence Coy ◽  
Andrea Molod ◽  
William Putman ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Shear Zones ◽  
Horizontal Resolution ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Healthy Population ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Wave Forcing ◽  
Tropical Waves ◽  
Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Very High

Abstract This study investigates tropical waves and their role in driving a quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO)-like signal in stratospheric winds in a global 7-km-horizontal-resolution atmospheric general circulation model. The Nature Run (NR) is a 2-yr global mesoscale simulation of the Goddard Earth Observing System Model, version 5 (GEOS-5). In the tropics, there is evidence that the NR supports a broad range of convectively generated waves. The NR precipitation spectrum resembles the observed spectrum in many aspects, including the preference for westward-propagating waves. However, even with very high horizontal resolution and a healthy population of resolved waves, the zonal force provided by the resolved waves is still too low in the QBO region and parameterized gravity wave drag is the main driver of the NR QBO-like oscillation (NR-QBO). The authors suggest that causes include coarse vertical resolution and excessive dissipation. Nevertheless, the very-high-resolution NR provides an opportunity to analyze the resolved wave forcing of the NR-QBO. In agreement with previous studies, large-scale Kelvin and small-scale waves contribute to the NR-QBO driving in eastward shear zones and small-scale waves dominate the NR-QBO driving in westward shear zones. Waves with zonal wavelength < 1000 km account for up to half of the small-scale (<3300 km) resolved wave forcing in eastward shear zones and up to 70% of the small-scale resolved wave forcing in westward shear zones of the NR-QBO.

scholarly journals Global Balanced Wind Derived from SABER Temperature and Pressure Observations and its Validations

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiao Liu ◽  
Jiyao Xu ◽  
Jia Yue ◽  
You Yu ◽  
Paulo P. Batista ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Zonal Wind ◽  
Meteor Radar ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Height Range ◽  
Zonal Winds ◽  
Wind Theory ◽  
Temperature And Pressure ◽  
Identical Zero ◽  
Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Good Agreement

Abstract. Zonal winds in the stratosphere and mesosphere play important roles in the atmospheric dynamics and aeronomy. However, the direct measurement of winds in this height range is difficult. We present a dataset of the monthly mean zonal wind in the height range of 18–100 km and at latitudes of 50° S–50° N from 2002 to 2019, which is derived by the gradient balance wind theory and the temperature and pressure observed by the SABER instrument. The tide alias above 80 km at the equator is replaced by the monthly mean zonal wind measured by a meteor radar at 0.2° S. The dataset (named as BU) is validated by comparing with the zonal wind from MERRA2 (MerU), UARP (UraU), HWM14 empirical model (HwmU), meteor radar (MetU) and lidar (LidU) at seven stations from 53.5° N to 29.7° S. At 18–70 km, BU and MerU have (1) nearly identical zero wind lines, (2) year-to-year variations of the eastward/westward wind jets at middle and high latitudes, (3) the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) and semi-annual oscillation (SAO), especially the anormal QBO in early 2016. The comparisons among BU, UraU and HwmU show good agreement in general below 80 km. Above 80 km, the agreements among BU, UraU, HwmU, MetU and LidU are good in general, except some discrepancies at limited heights and months. The BU data are archived as netCDF files and can be available at https://dx.doi.org/10.12176/01.99.00574 (Liu et al., 2021). 

Development of the Extratropical Response to the Stratospheric Quasi-Biennial Oscillation

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-44
Author(s):  
Jian Rao ◽  
Chaim I. Garfinkel ◽  
Ian P. White
Keyword(s):  
Climate Models ◽  
Meridional Circulation ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Late Winter ◽  
Flux Divergence ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Atlantic Sector ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Surface Response ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

AbstractUsing the Model of an Idealized Moist Atmosphere (MiMA) capable of spontaneously generating a Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO), the gradual establishment of the extratropical response to the QBO is explored. The period and magnitude of the QBO and the magnitude of the polar Holton-Tan (HT) relationship is simulated in a free-running configuration of MiMA, comparable to that in state-of-the-art climate models. In order to isolate mechanisms whereby the QBO influences variability outside of the tropical atmosphere, a series of branch experiments are performed with nudged QBO winds. When easterly QBO winds maximized around 30 hPa are relaxed, an Eliassen-Palm (E-P) flux divergence dipole quickly forms in the extratropical middle stratosphere as a direct response to the tropical meridional circulation, in contrast to the HT mechanism which is associated with wave propagation near the zero wind line. This meridional circulation response to the relaxed QBO winds develops within the first 10 days in seasonally-varying and fixed-seasonal experiments. No detectable changes in upward propagation of waves in the midlatitude lowermost stratosphere are evident for at least 20 days after branching, with the first changes only evident after 20 days in perpetual midwinter and season-varying runs, but after 40 days in perpetual November runs. The polar vortex begins to respond around the 20th day, and subsequently a near-surface response in the Atlantic sector forms in mid-to-late winter runs. These results suggest that the maximum near-surface response observed in mid-to-late winter is not simply due to a random seasonal synchronization of the QBO phase, but also due to the long (short) lag of the surface response to a QBO relaxation in early (mid-to-late) winter.

scholarly journals Constraints on Wave Drag Parameterization Schemes for Simulating the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation. Part I: Gravity Wave Forcing

2005 ◽  
Vol 62 (12) ◽  
pp. 4178-4195 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lucy J. Campbell ◽  
Theodore G. Shepherd
Keyword(s):  
Gravity Wave ◽  
Zonal Wind ◽  
Shear Zones ◽  
Wave Drag ◽  
Planetary Waves ◽  
Vertical Diffusion ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Parameterization Schemes ◽  
Downward Propagation ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

Abstract Parameterization schemes for the drag due to atmospheric gravity waves are discussed and compared in the context of a simple one-dimensional model of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO). A number of fundamental issues are examined in detail, with the goal of providing a better understanding of the mechanism by which gravity wave drag can produce an equatorial zonal wind oscillation. The gravity wave–driven QBOs are compared with those obtained from a parameterization of equatorial planetary waves. In all gravity wave cases, it is seen that the inclusion of vertical diffusion is crucial for the descent of the shear zones and the development of the QBO. An important difference between the schemes for the two types of waves is that in the case of equatorial planetary waves, vertical diffusion is needed only at the lowest levels, while for the gravity wave drag schemes it must be included at all levels. The question of whether there is downward propagation of influence in the simulated QBOs is addressed. In the gravity wave drag schemes, the evolution of the wind at a given level depends on the wind above, as well as on the wind below. This is in contrast to the parameterization for the equatorial planetary waves in which there is downward propagation of phase only. The stability of a zero-wind initial state is examined, and it is determined that a small perturbation to such a state will amplify with time to the extent that a zonal wind oscillation is permitted.

scholarly journals Structure and Dynamics of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation in MERRA-2

2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (14) ◽  
pp. 5339-5354 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lawrence Coy ◽  
Krzysztof Wargan ◽  
Andrea M. Molod ◽  
William R. McCarty ◽  
Steven Pawson
Keyword(s):  
Meridional Circulation ◽  
Wave Drag ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Zonal Winds ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Mean Meridional Circulation ◽  
Downward Propagation ◽  
Phase Amplitude ◽  
Modern Era ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

Abstract The structure, dynamics, and ozone signal of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) produced by the 35-yr NASA Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2), are examined based on monthly mean output. Along with the analysis of the QBO in assimilation winds and ozone, the QBO forcings created by assimilated observations, dynamics, parameterized gravity wave drag (GWD), and ozone chemistry parameterization are examined and compared with the original MERRA system. Results show that MERRA-2 produces a realistic QBO in the zonal winds, mean meridional circulation, and ozone over the 1980–2015 time period. In particular, the MERRA-2 zonal winds show improved representation of the QBO 50-hPa westerly phase amplitude at Singapore when compared to MERRA. The use of limb ozone observations creates improved vertical structure and realistic downward propagation of the ozone QBO signal during times when the MLS ozone limb observations are available (from October 2004 to present). The increased equatorial GWD in MERRA-2 has reduced the zonal wind data analysis contribution compared to MERRA so that the QBO mean meridional circulation can be expected to be more physically forced and therefore more physically consistent. This can be important for applications in which MERRA-2 winds are used to drive transport experiments.

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