scholarly journals In Situ–Based Reanalysis of the Global Ocean Temperature and Salinity with ISAS: Variability of the Heat Content and Steric Height

2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (4) ◽  
pp. 1305-1323 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fabienne Gaillard ◽  
Thierry Reynaud ◽  
Virginie Thierry ◽  
Nicolas Kolodziejczyk ◽  
Karina von Schuckmann

Abstract The In Situ Analysis System (ISAS) was developed to produce gridded fields of temperature and salinity that preserve as much as possible the time and space sampling capabilities of the Argo network of profiling floats. Since the first global reanalysis performed in 2009, the system has evolved, and a careful delayed-mode processing of the 2002–12 dataset has been carried out using version 6 of ISAS and updating the statistics to produce the ISAS13 analysis. This last version is now implemented as the operational analysis tool at the Coriolis data center. The robustness of the results with respect to the system evolution is explored through global quantities of climatological interest: the ocean heat content and the steric height. Estimates of errors consistent with the methodology are computed. This study shows that building reliable statistics on the fields is fundamental to improve the monthly estimates and to determine the absolute error bars. The new mean fields and variances deduced from the ISAS13 reanalysis and dataset show significant changes relative to the previous ISAS estimates, in particular in the Southern Ocean, justifying the iterative procedure. During the decade covered by Argo, the intermediate waters appear warmer and saltier in the North Atlantic and fresher in the Southern Ocean than in World Ocean Atlas 2005 long-term mean. At interannual scale, the impact of ENSO on the ocean heat content and steric height is observed during the 2006/07 and 2009/10 events captured by the network.

2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (23) ◽  
pp. 9221-9234 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. A. M. Green ◽  
A. Schmittner

Abstract An intermediate-complexity climate model is used to simulate the impact of an accelerated Pine Island Glacier mass loss on the large-scale ocean circulation and climate. Simulations are performed for preindustrial conditions using hosing levels consistent with present-day observations of 3000 m3 s−1, at an accelerated rate of 6000 m3 s−1, and at a total collapse rate of 100 000 m3 s−1, and in all experiments the hosing lasted 100 years. It is shown that even a modest input of meltwater from the glacier can introduce an initial cooling over the upper part of the Southern Ocean due to increased stratification and ice cover, leading to a reduced upward heat flux from Circumpolar Deep Water. This causes global ocean heat content to increase and global surface air temperatures to decrease. The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) increases, presumably owing to changes in the density difference between Antarctic Intermediate Water and North Atlantic Deep Water. Simulations with a simultaneous hosing and increases of atmospheric CO2 concentrations show smaller effects of the hosing on global surface air temperature and ocean heat content, which the authors attribute to the melting of Southern Ocean sea ice. The sensitivity of the AMOC to the hosing is also reduced as the warming by the atmosphere completely dominates the perturbations.


2014 ◽  
Vol 27 (5) ◽  
pp. 1945-1957 ◽  
Author(s):  
John M. Lyman ◽  
Gregory C. Johnson

Abstract Ocean heat content anomalies are analyzed from 1950 to 2011 in five distinct depth layers (0–100, 100–300, 300–700, 700–900, and 900–1800 m). These layers correspond to historic increases in common maximum sampling depths of ocean temperature measurements with time, as different instruments—mechanical bathythermograph (MBT), shallow expendable bathythermograph (XBT), deep XBT, early sometimes shallower Argo profiling floats, and recent Argo floats capable of worldwide sampling to 2000 m—have come into widespread use. This vertical separation of maps allows computation of annual ocean heat content anomalies and their sampling uncertainties back to 1950 while taking account of in situ sampling advances and changing sampling patterns. The 0–100-m layer is measured over 50% of the globe annually starting in 1956, the 100–300-m layer starting in 1967, the 300–700-m layer starting in 1983, and the deepest two layers considered here starting in 2003 and 2004, during the implementation of Argo. Furthermore, global ocean heat uptake estimates since 1950 depend strongly on assumptions made concerning changes in undersampled or unsampled ocean regions. If unsampled areas are assumed to have zero anomalies and are included in the global integrals, the choice of climatological reference from which anomalies are estimated can strongly influence the global integral values and their trend: the sparser the sampling and the bigger the mean difference between climatological and actual values, the larger the influence.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-47
Author(s):  
Xinfeng Liang ◽  
Chao Liu ◽  
Rui M. Ponte ◽  
Don P. Chambers

AbstractOcean heat content (OHC) is key to estimating the energy imbalance of the earth system. Over the past two decades, an increasing number of OHC studies were conducted using oceanic objective analysis (OA) products. Here we perform an intercomparison of OHC from eight OA products with a focus on their robust features and significant differences over the Argo period (2005-2019), when the most reliable global scale oceanic measurements are available. For the global ocean, robust warming in the upper 2000 m is confirmed. The 0-300 m layer shows the highest warming rate but is heavily modulated by interannual variability, particularly the El Niño–Southern Oscillation. The 300-700 m and 700-2000 m layers, on the other hand, show unabated warming. Regionally, the Southern Ocean and mid-latitude North Atlantic show a substantial OHC increase, and the subpolar North Atlantic displays an OHC decrease. A few apparent differences in OHC among the examined OA products were identified. In particular, temporal means of a few OA products that incorporated other ocean measurements besides Argo show a global-scale cooling difference, which is likely related to the baseline climatology fields used to generate those products. Large differences also appear in the interannual variability in the Southern Ocean and in the long-term trends in the subpolar North Atlantic. These differences remind us of the possibility of product-dependent conclusions on OHC variations. Caution is therefore warranted when using merely one OA product to conduct OHC studies, particularly in regions and on timescales that display significant differences.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kanwal Shahzadi ◽  
Nadia Pinardi ◽  
Marco Zavaterelli ◽  
Simona Simoncelli

<p>The estimation of climatology is a key element for improving our understanding of the ocean state. Historical data sets available today enables an almost complete reconstruction of global ocean fields. In this study, a new global ocean climatological estimate of basic physical parameters such as temperature, salinity, density, dissolved oxygen, and apparent oxygen utilization is computed using the World Ocean Database (WOD18). The reliability of estimate is closely tied to the quality assurance of the in-situ observations and statistical interpolation schemes of the mapping. Therefore, in this context, WOD18 used for this study has gone through a non-linear quality control procedure developed by Shahzadi (2020) on a global domain. The mapping of resulting data is carried out using Data Interpolating Variational Analysis (DIVA). Sensitivity experiments are carried out to choose the key parameters of DIVA, namely the horizontal correlation lengths, and the Noise to Signal ratio (N/S). Furthermore, two new indices such as roughness index, and root mean square of residuals are designed to show the impact of the correlation length, and N/S ratio choices. For temperature and salinity, two different versions of the climatological estimates are produced: (i) a long-term (1900 to 2017) climatology using multiple platforms in-situ data, and (ii) a shorter time estimate (2003-2017) using data from ocean drifting platforms such as profiling floats. The two versions are intercompared and differences are evaluated.  Similar procedures are applied for global mapping of Density, Oxygen, and Apparent Oxygen utilization. The new climatological estimates are compared with previous estimates such as World Ocean Atlas and World Argo Global Hydrographic climatological estimates, and thereby the differences are analysed.</p><p><strong>Keywords:</strong> WOD18, temperature, salinity, apparent oxygen, DIVA, climatology, non-linear quality control.</p><p>Shahzadi, K., (2020): “A New Global Ocean Climatology”, Ph.D. Thesis (under evaluation), University of Bologna, Italy, pp. (19-35. of pages)</p>


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arin D. Nelson ◽  
Jeffrey B. Weiss ◽  
Baylor Fox-Kemper ◽  
Royce K. P. Zia ◽  
Fabienne Gaillard

Abstract. We quantify skill and uncertainty in observing the statistics of natural variability using observing system simulation experiments on an ensemble of climate simulations and an observing strategy of in situ measurements and objective mapping. The targeted statistic is the 0–700 m global ocean heat content anomaly as observed by the In Situ Analysis System 2013 (ISAS13) strategy of a long, equilibriated simulation of the Community Climate System Model (CCSM) version 3.5. Subannual variability is found to be significantly contaminated by the observing strategy, especially before 2005, primarily due to the sparseness and seasonality in the number and location of pre-Argo observations. However, one-year running means from 2005 onward are found to faithfully capture the natural variability of the model's true ocean heat content variability. During these years, synthetic observed annual running means are strongly correlated with the actual annual running means of the model, with a median correlation of 95 %, versus only 60 % for the observational record before 2005. When scaled to account for the fact that the real ocean is more variable than the model, root mean square errors in observing the annual-running mean natural variability of the global ocean heat content are estimated to be 6.2 ZJ for the pre-Argo era (1990–2005) and 2.1 ZJ for the Argo era (2005–2013) with relative signal-to-noise ratios of 1.9 and 14.7. Combining the estimated, scaled uncertainties of the observing strategy with its estimated trend, the 1990–2013 trend in global ocean heat content is found to be 5.3 ± 1.0 ZJ/yr.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michaël Ablain ◽  
Benoit Meyssignac ◽  
Alejandro Blazquez ◽  
Marti Florence ◽  
Rémi Jugier ◽  
...  

<p>The Earth Energy Imbalance (EEI) is a key indicator to understand the Earth’s changing. However, measuring this indicator is challenging since it is a globally integrated variable whose variations are small, of the order of several tenth of W.m-2, compared to the amount of energy entering and leaving the climate system of ~340 W.m-2. Recent studies suggest that the EEI response to anthropogenic GHG and aerosols emissions is 0.5-1 W.m-2. It implies that an accuracy of <0.3 W.m-2 at decadal time scales is necessary to evaluate the long term mean EEI associated with anthropogenic forcing. Ideally an accuracy of <0.1 W.m-2 at decadal time scales is desirable if we want to monitor future changes in EEI. The ocean heat content (OHC) is a very good proxy to estimate EEI as ocean concentrates the vast majority of the excess of energy (~93%) associated with EEI. Several methods exist to estimate OHC:</p><ul><li>the direct measurement of in situ temperature based on temperature/Salinity profiles (e.g. ARGO floats),</li> <li>the measurement of the net ocean surface heat fluxes from space (CERES),</li> <li>the estimate from ocean reanalyses that assimilate observations from both satellite and in situ instruments,</li> <li>the measurement of the thermal expansion of the ocean from space based on differences between the total sea-level content derived from altimetry measurements and the mass content derived from GRACE data (noted “Altimetry-GRACE”).</li> </ul><p>To date, the best results are given by the first method based on ARGO network. However ARGO measurements do no sample deep ocean below 2000 m depth and marginal seas as well as the ocean below sea ice. Re-analysis provides a more complete estimation but large biases in the polar oceans and spurious drifts in the deep ocean mask a significant part of the OHC signal related to EEI. The method based on estimation of ocean net heat fluxes (CERES) is not appropriate for OHC calculation due to a too strong uncertainty (±15 W.m-2). </p><p>In the MOHeaCAN project supported by ESA, we are being developed the “Altimetry-GRACE” approach  which is promising since it provides consistent spatial and temporal sampling of the ocean, it samples the entire global ocean, except for polar regions, and it provides estimates of the OHC over the ocean’s entire depth. Consequently, it complements the OHC estimation from ARGO.  However, to date the uncertainty in OHC from this method is close to 0.5 W.m-2, and thus greater than the requirement of 0.3 W.m-2 needed to a good EEI estimation. Therefore the scientific objective of the MOHeaCan project is  to improve these estimates :</p><ol><li>by developing novel algorithms in order to reach the challenging target for the uncertainty quantification of 0.3 W. m−2;</li> <li>by estimating realistic OHC uncertainties thanks to an error budget of measurements applying a rigorous mathematical formalism;</li> <li>by developing a software prototype systems that allow to perform sensitivities studies and OHC product and its uncertainty generation;</li> <li>by assessing our estimation by performing comparison against independent estimates based on ARGO network, and based on the Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant energy System (CERES) measurements at the top of the atmosphere.</li> </ol>


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thierry Penduff ◽  
Fei-Er Yan ◽  
Imane Benabicha ◽  
Jean-Marc Molines ◽  
Bernard Barnier

<p>The OCCIPUT eddy-permitting (1/4°) global ocean/sea-ice 50-member ensemble simulation is analyzed over the period 1980-2015 to identify how the atmosphere and the intrinsic/chaotic ocean variability modulate the basin-scale Ocean Heat Content (OHC) at various timescales. In all regions of the simulated world ocean, the atmospherically-forced interannual OHC variability is driven by both air-sea heat fluxes (Qnet) and advective heat transport convergences (Conv), while the intrinsic component is driven by Conv, and damped by Qnet. </p><p>We focus on the Atlantic sector of the Southern Ocean (SA), where the oceanic “chaos” explains 36 to 90% of the interannual and decadal heat transport variability across the limits of the basin, and 22% of this huge basin’s OHC variability at interannual and decadal timescales.</p><p>The model also simulates the Antarctic Circumpolar Wave (ACW) that was observed in the 80-90’s, with large impacts on OHC and heat transports in the Southern Ocean. This forced signal appears south of Australia, propagates eastward around Antarctica and northward into the Tropical Atlantic and the Tropical Indian Ocean. </p><p>These results highlight the substantial contribution of large-scale low-frequency chaotic heat advection in eddy-active regions, and its major impact on decadal OHC variations over key basins. They suggest that climate simulations using eddying ocean models include an oceanic and random source of large-scale low-frequency variability whose atmospheric impacts remain to be assessed.</p>


1997 ◽  
Vol 25 ◽  
pp. 111-115 ◽  
Author(s):  
Achim Stössel

This paper investigates the long-term impact of sea ice on global climate using a global sea-ice–ocean general circulation model (OGCM). The sea-ice component involves state-of-the-art dynamics; the ocean component consists of a 3.5° × 3.5° × 11 layer primitive-equation model. Depending on the physical description of sea ice, significant changes are detected in the convective activity, in the hydrographic properties and in the thermohaline circulation of the ocean model. Most of these changes originate in the Southern Ocean, emphasizing the crucial role of sea ice in this marginally stably stratified region of the world's oceans. Specifically, if the effect of brine release is neglected, the deep layers of the Southern Ocean warm up considerably; this is associated with a weakening of the Southern Hemisphere overturning cell. The removal of the commonly used “salinity enhancement” leads to a similar effect. The deep-ocean salinity is almost unaffected in both experiments. Introducing explicit new-ice thickness growth in partially ice-covered gridcells leads to a substantial increase in convective activity, especially in the Southern Ocean, with a concomitant significant cooling and salinification of the deep ocean. Possible mechanisms for the resulting interactions between sea-ice processes and deep-ocean characteristics are suggested.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Bagnell ◽  
T. DeVries

AbstractThe historical evolution of Earth’s energy imbalance can be quantified by changes in the global ocean heat content. However, historical reconstructions of ocean heat content often neglect a large volume of the deep ocean, due to sparse observations of ocean temperatures below 2000 m. Here, we provide a global reconstruction of historical changes in full-depth ocean heat content based on interpolated subsurface temperature data using an autoregressive artificial neural network, providing estimates of total ocean warming for the period 1946-2019. We find that cooling of the deep ocean and a small heat gain in the upper ocean led to no robust trend in global ocean heat content from 1960-1990, implying a roughly balanced Earth energy budget within −0.16 to 0.06 W m−2 over most of the latter half of the 20th century. However, the past three decades have seen a rapid acceleration in ocean warming, with the entire ocean warming from top to bottom at a rate of 0.63 ± 0.13 W m−2. These results suggest a delayed onset of a positive Earth energy imbalance relative to previous estimates, although large uncertainties remain.


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