Phase Locking of the Boreal Summer Atmospheric Response to Dry Land Surface Anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere

2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (4) ◽  
pp. 1081-1099 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hailan Wang ◽  
Siegfried D. Schubert ◽  
Randal D. Koster ◽  
Yehui Chang
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
North America ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Phase Locking ◽  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Wave Source ◽  
West Central ◽  
Tropospheric Circulation ◽  
Upper Level

Past modeling simulations, supported by observational composites, indicate that during boreal summer, dry soil moisture anomalies in very different locations within the U.S. continental interior tend to induce the same upper-tropospheric circulation pattern: a high anomaly forms over west-central North America and a low anomaly forms to the east. The present study investigates the causes of this apparent phase locking of the upper-level circulation response and extends the investigation to other land regions in the Northern Hemisphere. The phase locking over North America is found to be induced by zonal asymmetries in the local basic state originating from North American orography. Specifically, orography-induced zonal variations of air temperature, those in the lower troposphere in particular, and surface pressure play a dominant role in placing the soil moisture–forced negative Rossby wave source (dominated by upper-level divergence anomalies) over the eastern leeside of the Western Cordillera, which subsequently produces an upper-level high anomaly over west-central North America, with the downstream anomalous circulation responses phase locked by continuity. The zonal variations of the local climatological atmospheric circulation, manifested as a climatological high over central North America, help shape the spatial pattern of the upper-level circulation responses. Considering the rest of the Northern Hemisphere, the northern Middle East exhibits similar phase locking, also induced by local orography. The Middle Eastern phase locking, however, is not as pronounced as that over North America; North America is where soil moisture anomalies have the greatest impact on the upper-tropospheric circulation.

scholarly journals Impacts of Local Soil Moisture Anomalies on the Atmospheric Circulation and on Remote Surface Meteorological Fields during Boreal Summer: A Comprehensive Analysis over North America

2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (20) ◽  
pp. 7345-7364 ◽  
Author(s):  
Randal D. Koster ◽  
Yehui Chang ◽  
Hailan Wang ◽  
Siegfried D. Schubert
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
North America ◽  
Atmospheric Circulation ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Local Soil ◽  
Lower Mississippi River ◽  
Continental Interior ◽  
The U.S

Abstract A series of stationary wave model (SWM) experiments are performed in which the boreal summer atmosphere is forced, over a number of locations in the continental United States, with an idealized diabatic heating anomaly that mimics the atmospheric heating associated with a dry land surface. For localized heating within a large portion of the continental interior, regardless of the specific location of this heating, the spatial pattern of the forced atmospheric circulation anomaly (in terms of 250-hPa eddy streamfunction) is largely the same: a high anomaly forms over west-central North America and a low anomaly forms to the east. In supplemental atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) experiments, similar results are found; imposing soil moisture dryness in the AGCM in different locations within the U.S. interior tends to produce the aforementioned pattern, along with an associated near-surface warming and precipitation deficit in the center of the continent. The SWM-based and AGCM-based patterns generally agree with composites generated using reanalysis and precipitation gauge data. The AGCM experiments also suggest that dry anomalies imposed in the lower Mississippi River valley have remote surface impacts of particularly large spatial extent, and a region along the eastern half of the U.S.–Canadian border is particularly sensitive to dry anomalies in a number of remote areas. Overall, the SWM and AGCM experiments support the idea of a positive feedback loop operating over the continent: dry surface conditions in many interior locations lead to changes in atmospheric circulation that act to enhance further the overall dryness of the continental interior.

Future Change of Northern Hemisphere Summer Tropical–Extratropical Teleconnection in CMIP5 Models*

2014 ◽  
Vol 27 (10) ◽  
pp. 3643-3664 ◽  
Author(s):  
June-Yi Lee ◽  
Bin Wang ◽  
Kyong-Hwan Seo ◽  
Jong-Seong Kug ◽  
Yong-Sang Choi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North America ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Western North Pacific ◽  
Cmip5 Models ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Moderate Increase ◽  
Coupled Models ◽  
Teleconnection Patterns

Abstract Two dominant global-scale teleconnections in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) extratropics during boreal summer season (June–August) have been identified: the western North Pacific–North America (WPNA) and circumglobal teleconnection (CGT) patterns. These teleconnection patterns are of critical importance for the NH summer seasonal climate prediction. Here, how these teleconnections will change under anthropogenic global warming is investigated using representative concentration pathway 4.5 (RCP4.5) experiments by 20 coupled models that participated in phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). The six best models are selected based on their performance in simulation of the two teleconnection patterns and climatological means and variances of atmospheric circulation, precipitation, and sea surface temperature. The selected models capture the CGT and its relationship with the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) reasonably well. The models can also capture the WPNA circulation pattern but with striking deficiencies in reproducing its associated rainfall anomalies due to poor simulation of the western North Pacific summer monsoon rainfall. The following changes are anticipated in the latter half of twenty-first century under the RCP4.5 scenario: 1) significant weakening of year-to-year variability of the upper-level circulation due to increased atmospheric stability, although the moderate increase in convective heating over the tropics may act to strengthen the variability; 2) intensification of the WPNA pattern and major spectral peaks, particularly over the eastern Pacific–North America and North Atlantic–Europe sectors, which is attributed to the strengthening of its relationship with the preceding mature phase of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO); and 3) weakening of the CGT due to atmospheric stabilization and decreasing relationship with ISM as well as weakening of the ISM–ENSO relationship.

scholarly journals Circumglobal Response to Prescribed Soil Moisture over North America

2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (14) ◽  
pp. 4525-4545 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haiyan Teng ◽  
Grant Branstator ◽  
Ahmed B. Tawfik ◽  
Patrick Callaghan
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
North America ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
North Pacific Ocean ◽  
Stationary Wave ◽  
High Impact ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Boreal Winter ◽  
Dry Land ◽  
The North

Abstract A series of idealized prescribed soil moisture experiments is performed with the atmosphere/land stand-alone configuration of the Community Earth System Model, version 1, in an effort to find sources of predictability for high-impact stationary wave anomalies observed in recent boreal summers. We arbitrarily prescribe soil water to have a zero value at selected domains in the continental United States and run 100-member ensembles to examine the monthly and seasonal mean response. Contrary to the lack of a substantial response in the boreal winter, the summertime circulation response is robust, consistent, and circumglobal. While the stationary wave response over the North America and North Atlantic sectors can be well explained by the reaction of a linear dynamical system to heating anomalies caused by the imposed dry land surface, nonlinear processes involving synoptic eddies play a crucial role in forming the remote response in Eurasia and the North Pacific Ocean. A number of other possible factors contributing to the circulation responses are also discussed. Overall, the experiments suggest that, in the boreal summer, soil moisture may contribute to the predictability of high-impact stationary wave events, which can impact regions that are great distances from these source regions.

scholarly journals Stratospheric impact on the Northern Hemisphere winter and spring ozone interannual variability in the troposphere

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (11) ◽  
pp. 6417-6433
Author(s):  
Junhua Liu ◽  
Jose M. Rodriguez ◽  
Luke D. Oman ◽  
Anne R. Douglass ◽  
Mark A. Olsen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North America ◽  
Interannual Variability ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
North American ◽  
Tropospheric Ozone ◽  
Interannual Variation ◽  
Stratospheric Ozone ◽  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
Pinatubo Eruption ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. In this study we use ozone and stratospheric ozone tracer simulations from the high-resolution (0.5∘×0.5∘) Goddard Earth Observing System, Version 5 (GEOS-5), in a replay mode to study the impact of stratospheric ozone on tropospheric ozone interannual variability (IAV). We use these simulations in conjunction with ozonesonde measurements from 1990 to 2016 during the winter and spring seasons. The simulations include a stratospheric ozone tracer (StratO3) to aid in the evaluation of the impact of stratospheric ozone IAV on the IAV of tropospheric ozone at different altitudes and locations. The model is in good agreement with the observed interannual variation in tropospheric ozone, except for the post-Pinatubo period (1992–1994) over the region of North America. Ozonesonde data show a negative ozone anomaly in 1992–1994 following the Pinatubo eruption, with recovery thereafter. The simulated anomaly is only half the magnitude of that observed. Our analysis suggests that the simulated stratosphere–troposphere exchange (STE) flux deduced from the analysis might be too strong over the North American (50–70∘ N) region after the Mt. Pinatubo eruption in the early 1990s, masking the impact of lower stratospheric ozone concentration on tropospheric ozone. European ozonesonde measurements show a similar but weaker ozone depletion after the Mt. Pinatubo eruption, which is fully reproduced by the model. Analysis based on the stratospheric ozone tracer identifies differences in strength and vertical extent of stratospheric ozone impact on the tropospheric ozone interannual variation (IAV) between North America and Europe. Over North American stations, the StratO3 IAV has a significant impact on tropospheric ozone from the upper to lower troposphere and explains about 60 % and 66 % of the simulated ozone IAV at 400 hPa and ∼11 % and 34 % at 700 hPa in winter and spring, respectively. Over European stations, the influence is limited to the middle to upper troposphere and becomes much smaller at 700 hPa. The Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2), assimilated fields exhibit strong longitudinal variations over Northern Hemisphere (NH) mid-high latitudes, with lower tropopause height and lower geopotential height over North America than over Europe. These variations associated with the relevant variations in the location of tropospheric jet flows are responsible for the longitudinal differences in the stratospheric ozone impact, with stronger effects over North America than over Europe.

scholarly journals Summertime circumglobal Rossby waves in climate models: Small biases in upper-level circulation create substantial biases in surface imprint

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fei Luo ◽  
Frank Selten ◽  
Kathrin Wehrli ◽  
Kai Kornhuber ◽  
Philippe Le Sager ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Rossby Waves ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Sea Level Pressure ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Level Pressure ◽  
Upper Level

Abstract. In boreal summer, circumglobal Rossby waves can promote stagnating weather systems that favor extreme events like heatwaves or droughts. Recent work highlighted the risks associated with amplified Rossby wavenumber 5 and 7 in triggering simultaneous warm anomalies in specific agricultural breadbaskets in the Northern Hemisphere. These type of wave patterns thus pose potential risks for food production, as well as human health, and other impacts. The representation of such summertime wave events and their surface imprints in general circulation models (GCMs) has not been  systematically analyzed. Here we validate three state-of-the-art global climate models (EC-Earth, CESM, and MIROC), quantify their biases and provide insights into the underlying physical reasons for the biases. To do so, the ExtremeX  experiments output data were used, which are (1) historic simulations (1979–2015/2016) of a freely running atmosphere with prescribed ocean, and experiments that additionally nudge toward the observed (2) upper-level horizontal winds in the atmosphere, (3) soil moisture conditions, or (4) both. The nudged experiments are used to trace the sources of the model biases to either the large-scale atmospheric circulation or surface feedback processes. We show that while the wave position and magnitude is represented well compared to ERA5 reanalysis data. During high amplitudes (> 1.5 s.d.) wave-5 and wave- 7 events, the imprint on surface variables temperature, precipitation and sea level pressure is substantially underestimated: typically, by a factor of 1.5 in correlation and normalized standard deviations (n.s.d.) for near-surface temperature and mean sea level pressure. As for the precipitation, it’s still a factor of 1.5 for n.s.d. but 2 for correlation. The correlations and n.s.d. for surface variables do not improve if only the soil moisture is prescribed, but considerably increased when the upper-level atmosphere circulation is nudged. The underestimation factors are corrected almost entirely. When applying both soil moisture prescription and the nudging of upper-level atmosphere, both the correlation and n.s.d. values are quite similar to  only atmosphere component is nudged experiments. Hence, the near-surface biases can be substantially improved when nudging the upper-level circulation providing evidence that relatively small biases in the models’ representation of the upper-level waves can strongly affect associated temperature and rainfall anomalies.

scholarly journals Tularemia as a Mosquito-Borne Disease

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 26
Author(s):  
Zakaria Abdellahoum ◽  
Max Maurin ◽  
Idir Bitam
Keyword(s):  
North America ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Francisella Tularensis ◽  
Research Work ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Epidemiological Data ◽  
Human Infection ◽  
Etiological Agent ◽  
Etiologic Agents

Francisella tularensis (Ft) is the etiological agent of tularemia, a disease known for over 100 years in the northern hemisphere. Ft includes four subspecies, of which two are the etiologic agents of tularemia: Ft subsp. tularensis (Ftt) and Ft subsp. holarctica (Fth), mainly distributed in North America and the whole northern hemisphere, respectively. Several routes of human infection with these bacteria exist, notably through bites of Ixodidae ticks. However, mosquitoes represent the main vectors of Fth in Scandinavia, where large tularemia outbreaks have occurred, usually during the warm season. The mechanisms making mosquitoes vectors of Fth are still unclear. This review covers the inventory of research work and epidemiological data linking tularemia to mosquitoes in Scandinavia and highlights the gaps in understanding mosquitoes and Ft interactions.

Wildfires in the southern Canadian Rocky Mountains and their relationship to mid-tropospheric anomalies

1993 ◽  
Vol 23 (6) ◽  
pp. 1213-1222 ◽  
Author(s):  
E.A. Johnson ◽  
D.R. Wowchuk
Keyword(s):  
North America ◽  
Rocky Mountains ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Fire Frequency ◽  
Fuel Moisture ◽  
Large Fire ◽  
Canadian Rocky Mountains ◽  
Area Burned ◽  
Upper Level ◽  
Moisture Conditions

In this paper we present evidence for a large-scale (synoptic-scale) meteorological mechanism controlling the fire frequency in the southern Canadian Rocky Mountains. This large-scale control may explain the similarity in average fire frequencies and timing of change in average fire frequencies for the southern Canadian Rocky Mountains. Over the last 86 years the size distribution of fires (annual area burned) in the southern Canadian Rockies was distinctly bimodal, with a separation between small- and large-fire years at approximately 10–25 ha annual area burned. During the last 35 years, large-fire years had significantly lower fuel moisture conditions and many mid-tropospheric surface-blocking events (high-pressure upper level ridges) during July and August (the period of greatest fire activity). Small-fire years in this period exhibited significantly higher fuel moisture conditions and fewer persistent mid-tropospheric surface-blocking events during July and August. Mid-tropospheric surface-blocking events during large-fire years were teleconnected (spatially and temporally correlated in 50 kPa heights) to upper level troughs in the North Pacific and eastern North America. This relationship takes the form of the positive mode of the Pacific North America pattern.

scholarly journals Dynamical Processes Related to the Appearance of the Okhotsk High during Early Midsummer

2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (19) ◽  
pp. 4982-4994 ◽  
Author(s):  
Naoki Sato ◽  
Masaaki Takahashi
Keyword(s):  
Energy Conversion ◽  
Heat Budget ◽  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
Positive Pressure ◽  
Basic Field ◽  
Anomaly Field ◽  
Anomaly Pattern ◽  
Pressure Anomaly ◽  
Okhotsk High ◽  
Upper Level

Abstract The authors identified an upper-level pressure anomaly pattern corresponding to the interannual variability of the Okhotsk high in midsummer (late July and early August) as a predominant anomaly pattern in the Northern Hemisphere, by using objectively analyzed data. According to the results of empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analyses and composite analyses, a positive pressure anomaly appeared near the tropopause over eastern Siberia in years with strong Okhotsk highs. Examination of the heat budget in the lower troposphere revealed that a negative surface temperature anomaly observed in northern Japan was brought by the advection of the climatological temperature gradient from the anomalous wind associated with the upper-level anticyclonic anomaly. It was also demonstrated that the anomaly field over Siberia does not accompany predominant vorticity forcing or Rossby wave propagation from the west with a specific phase. However, positive kinetic energy conversion from the climatological basic field to the anomaly field is estimated. The energy conversion contributes to maintaining the anomaly pattern. By the numerical experiments using a linear barotropic model, it is suggested that the upper-level anomaly pattern related to the anomalous Okhotsk high appears through the interaction with the climatological basic field, even though the external forcings are homogeneously distributed.

scholarly journals Dynamical mechanisms linking Indian monsoon precipitation and the circumglobal teleconnection

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonathan D. Beverley ◽  
Steven J. Woolnough ◽  
Laura H. Baker ◽  
Stephanie J. Johnson ◽  
Antje Weisheimer ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North America ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Rossby Waves ◽  
Wave Train ◽  
Forecast Model ◽  
Seasonal Forecast ◽  
The North ◽  
Circumglobal Teleconnection ◽  
Rossby Wave Train ◽  
Ecmwf Model

AbstractThe circumglobal teleconnection (CGT) is an important mode of circulation variability, with an influence across many parts of the northern hemisphere. Here, we examine the excitation mechanisms of the CGT in the ECMWF seasonal forecast model, and the relationship between the Indian summer monsoon (ISM), the CGT and the extratropical northern hemisphere circulation. Results from relaxation experiments, in which the model is corrected to reanalysis in specific regions, suggest that errors over northwest Europe are more important in inhibiting the model skill at representing the CGT, in addition to northern hemisphere skill more widely, than west-central Asia and the ISM region, although the link between ISM precipitation and the extratropical circulation is weak in all experiments. Thermal forcing experiments in the ECMWF model, in which a heating is applied over India, suggest that the ISM does force an extratropical Rossby wave train, with upper tropospheric anticyclonic anomalies over east Asia, the North Pacific and North America associated with increased ISM heating. However, this eastward-propagating branch of the wave train does not project into Europe, and the response there occurs largely through westward-propagating Rossby waves. Results from barotropic model experiments show a response that is highly consistent with the seasonal forecast model, with similar eastward- and westward-propagating Rossby waves. This westward-propagating response is shown to be important in the downstream reinforcement of the wave train between Asia and North America.

Local and remote atmospheric responses to soil moisture anomalies in Australia

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-48
Author(s):  
Olivia Martius ◽  
Kathrin Wehrli ◽  
Marco Rohrer
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Storm Tracks ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Flow Response ◽  
Moisture Advection ◽  
Anomalous Surface ◽  
Community Earth System Model ◽  
Upper Level

AbstractThree sets of model experiments are performed with the Community Earth System Model to study the role of soil moisture anomalies as a boundary forcing for the formation of upper-level Rossby wave patterns during Southern Hemisphere summer. In the experiments, soil moisture over Australia is set to ±1STD of an ERA-Interim reanalysis derived soil moisture reconstruction for the years 2009 to 2016 and 50 ensemble members are run. The local response is a positive heating anomaly in the dry simulations that results in a thermal low-like circulation anomaly with an anomalous surface low and upper-level anticyclone. Significant differences in convective rainfall over Australia are related to differences in convective instability and associated with changes in near surface moisture and moisture advection patterns. A circum-hemispheric flow response is identified both in the upper-level flow and in the surface storm tracks that overall resembles a positive Southern Annular Mode-like flow anomaly in the dry simulations. The structure of this atmospheric response strongly depends on the background flow. The results point to a modulation of the hemispheric flow response to the forcing over Australia by the El Niño Southern Oscillation. Significant changes of precipitation over the Maritime continent and South Africa are found and significant differences in the frequency of surface cyclones are present all along the storm tracks.

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