scholarly journals Are Sudden Stratospheric Warmings Preceded by Anomalous Tropospheric Wave Activity?

2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (21) ◽  
pp. 7173-7189 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alvaro de la Cámara ◽  
Thomas Birner ◽  
John R. Albers

Abstract A combination of 240 years of output from a state-of-the-art chemistry–climate model and a twentieth-century reanalysis product is used to investigate to what extent sudden stratospheric warmings are preceded by anomalous tropospheric wave activity. To this end we study the fate of lower tropospheric wave events (LTWEs) and their interaction with the stratospheric mean flow. These LTWEs are contrasted with sudden stratospheric deceleration events (SSDs), which are similar to sudden stratospheric warmings but place more emphasis on the explosive dynamical nature of such events. Reanalysis and model output provide very similar statistics: Around one-third of the identified SSDs are preceded by wave events in the lower troposphere, while two-thirds of the SSDs are not preceded by a tropospheric wave event. In addition, only 20% of all anomalous tropospheric wave events are followed by an SSD in the stratosphere. This constitutes statistically robust evidence that the anomalous amplification of wave activity in the stratosphere that drives SSDs is not necessarily due to an anomalous amplification of the waves in the source region (i.e., the lower troposphere). The results suggest that the dynamics in the lowermost stratosphere and the vortex geometry are essential, and should be carefully analyzed in the search for precursors of SSDs.

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 215-232 ◽  
Author(s):  
Catrin I. Meyer ◽  
Manfred Ern ◽  
Lars Hoffmann ◽  
Quang Thai Trinh ◽  
M. Joan Alexander

Abstract. We investigate stratospheric gravity wave observations by the Atmospheric InfraRed Sounder (AIRS) aboard NASA's Aqua satellite and the High Resolution Dynamics Limb Sounder (HIRDLS) aboard NASA's Aura satellite. AIRS operational temperature retrievals are typically not used for studies of gravity waves, because their vertical and horizontal resolution is rather limited. This study uses data of a high-resolution retrieval which provides stratospheric temperature profiles for each individual satellite footprint. Therefore the horizontal sampling of the high-resolution retrieval is 9 times better than that of the operational retrieval. HIRDLS provides 2-D spectral information of observed gravity waves in terms of along-track and vertical wavelengths. AIRS as a nadir sounder is more sensitive to short-horizontal-wavelength gravity waves, and HIRDLS as a limb sounder is more sensitive to short-vertical-wavelength gravity waves. Therefore HIRDLS is ideally suited to complement AIRS observations. A calculated momentum flux factor indicates that the waves seen by AIRS contribute significantly to momentum flux, even if the AIRS temperature variance may be small compared to HIRDLS. The stratospheric wave structures observed by AIRS and HIRDLS often agree very well. Case studies of a mountain wave event and a non-orographic wave event demonstrate that the observed phase structures of AIRS and HIRDLS are also similar. AIRS has a coarser vertical resolution, which results in an attenuation of the amplitude and coarser vertical wavelengths than for HIRDLS. However, AIRS has a much higher horizontal resolution, and the propagation direction of the waves can be clearly identified in geographical maps. The horizontal orientation of the phase fronts can be deduced from AIRS 3-D temperature fields. This is a restricting factor for gravity wave analyses of limb measurements. Additionally, temperature variances with respect to stratospheric gravity wave activity are compared on a statistical basis. The complete HIRDLS measurement period from January 2005 to March 2008 is covered. The seasonal and latitudinal distributions of gravity wave activity as observed by AIRS and HIRDLS agree well. A strong annual cycle at mid- and high latitudes is found in time series of gravity wave variances at 42 km, which has its maxima during wintertime and its minima during summertime. The variability is largest during austral wintertime at 60∘ S. Variations in the zonal winds at 2.5 hPa are associated with large variability in gravity wave variances. Altogether, gravity wave variances of AIRS and HIRDLS are complementary to each other. Large parts of the gravity wave spectrum are covered by joint observations. This opens up fascinating vistas for future gravity wave research.


2018 ◽  
Vol 32 (1) ◽  
pp. 85-108 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ian White ◽  
Chaim I. Garfinkel ◽  
Edwin P. Gerber ◽  
Martin Jucker ◽  
Valentina Aquila ◽  
...  

AbstractTropospheric features preceding sudden stratospheric warming events (SSWs) are identified using a large compendium of events obtained from a chemistry–climate model. In agreement with recent observational studies, it is found that approximately one-third of SSWs are preceded by extreme episodes of wave activity in the lower troposphere. The relationship becomes stronger in the lower stratosphere, where ~60% of SSWs are preceded by extreme wave activity at 100 hPa. Additional analysis characterizes events that do or do not appear to subsequently impact the troposphere, referred to as downward and non-downward propagating SSWs, respectively. On average, tropospheric wave activity is larger preceding downward-propagating SSWs compared to non-downward propagating events, and associated in particular with a doubly strengthened Siberian high. Of the SSWs that were preceded by extreme lower-tropospheric wave activity, ~2/3 propagated down to the troposphere, and hence the presence of extreme lower-tropospheric wave activity can only be used probabilistically to predict a slight increase or decrease at the onset, of the likelihood of tropospheric impacts to follow. However, a large number of downward and non-downward propagating SSWs must be considered (>35), before the difference becomes statistically significant. The precursors are also robust upon comparison with composites consisting of randomly selected tropospheric northern annular mode (NAM) events. The downward influence and precursors to split and displacement events are also examined. It is found that anomalous upward wave-1 fluxes precede both cases. Splits exhibit a near instantaneous, barotropic response in the stratosphere and troposphere, while displacements have a stronger long-term influence.


2008 ◽  
Vol 65 (7) ◽  
pp. 2130-2151 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jen-Shan Hsieh ◽  
Kerry H. Cook

Abstract The relationship between the generation of African easterly waves and instability growing in regions with reversed potential vorticity gradients is studied using a regional climate model. Results indicate that the convective generation of potential vorticity (PV) due to the meridional and vertical gradients of diabatic heating in the upper and lower troposphere causes a vertically elongated PV anomaly on the southern flank of the African easterly jet. This PV maximum at 9°N in the midtroposphere, together with a PV minimum near 15°N at lower levels because of dry convection over the Sahara, reverses the meridional PV gradient between 9° and 15°N, which suggests that the zonal flow may be unstable in this region. Analysis of the seasonal mean Eliassen–Palm flux for African waves indicates that wave energy generated convectively through baroclinic overturning in the upper troposphere propagates downward and triggers barotropic conversions south of the jet and baroclinic conversions below and north of the jet. The barotropic conversion of the jet initiates primarily outside of the region of strengthened reversed potential vorticity (q) gradients, suggesting that this barotropic conversion is a result of convectively induced eddies extracting energy from the zonal flow rather than the release of zonal kinetic energy to the waves in the unstable region. In contrast, the residual barotropic conversion occurs inside the region of reversed q gradients during the waves’ decaying stage when ITCZ convection weakens. The baroclinic instability in the unstable region becomes distinguishable from that due to surface temperature gradients when the surface heat flux is weak, a condition under which the African easterly jet better acts as an internal jet. Thus, this analysis indicates that the shear instability of the jet occurs to sustain the waves at the decaying stage rather than to initiate the waves, since it does not appear strong enough to reenergize the waves.


2010 ◽  
Vol 67 (10) ◽  
pp. 3164-3189 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mototaka Nakamura ◽  
Minoru Kadota ◽  
Shozo Yamane

Abstract The climatology of transient wave activity flux defined by Plumb has been calculated for each calendar month, for high-frequency (HF) and low-frequency (LF) waves, using the NCAR–NCEP reanalyses for both hemispheres. Wave activity flux of both HF and LF waves shows upward propagation of waves from the lower troposphere into the upper troposphere, then into the lower stratosphere during the summer and at least up to the midstratosphere during other seasons. While the upward flux emanating from the lower troposphere is particularly large in the two storm tracks in the Northern Hemisphere (NH), it is large in most of the extratropics in the Southern Hemisphere (SH). The HF waves radiate equatorward most noticeably in the upper troposphere, whereas the LF waves do not show visible signs of equatorward radiation. The total horizontal flux is generally dominated by the advective flux that represents the eddy enstrophy advection by the mean flow and appears predominantly pseudoeastward. Divergence of the wave activity flux exhibits discernible large-scale characteristics at the lowest level in both hemispheres and in the upper troposphere in the NH. The divergence field indicates acceleration of the pseudoeastward mean flow near the surface in both hemispheres. In the NH, acceleration and deceleration, respectively, of the pseudoeastward mean flow in the storm tracks and downstream of the storm tracks in the upper troposphere are found. Seasonal variations in the wave flux are substantial in the NH but relatively minor in the SH. In the NH, the wave flux fields exhibit generally larger values during the cold months than during warm months. Also, the latitudes at which large wave flux values are seen are higher during warm months, as the jets and storm tracks shift northward from the winter to the summer. Anomalously large vertical flux of both HF and LF wave activity propagating up from the lower troposphere throughout the troposphere and stratosphere in the northern flank of the North Atlantic storm track is found to precede anomalous deceleration in the NH winter polar vortex, while anomalously small vertical flux in the same area precedes anomalous acceleration of the vortex. The accompanying horizontal flux anomalies tend to counteract the action of the anomalous vertical flux. These cases are found to be dissipation of strong anomalies in the polar vortex. The anomalous flux divergence does not prove the active role of the waves in the anomalous change in the polar vortex, however. No signs of the wave flux originating from specific areas preceding anomalous change in the polar vortex are found for the SH.


2007 ◽  
Vol 135 (12) ◽  
pp. 3950-3964 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert S. Ross ◽  
T. N. Krishnamurti

Abstract This paper provides new information on the low-level (850 hPa) structure and behavior of African easterly waves (AEWs) and relates this information to previous studies. Individual AEWs that occurred during June–September of 2001 are studied by a synoptic approach that employs Hovmöller diagrams, wave track maps, and case studies. The focus is on two AEW regimes in the lower troposphere over North Africa: a dry regime to the north of the African easterly jet (AEJ) coincident with the surface position of the monsoon trough near 20°N, and a wet regime to the south of the jet coincident with the near-equatorial rainbelt near 10°N. The following issues are addressed: the origin of the waves seen in the two wave regimes, relation of the wave activity to the mean positions of the surface monsoon trough and the 600–700-hPa AEJ, collocation of the tracks of the two wave regimes off the African coast, and diversity in low-level wave behavior that includes merging, splitting, and dissipation of the cyclonic vorticity centers associated with the wave troughs. The relationship between the waves following the two tracks is examined as well as the relationship between the low-level wave activity and Atlantic tropical cyclogenesis in 2001. It is shown that the two wave regimes can interact, and that both regimes were instrumental in Atlantic tropical cyclogenesis in 2001.


2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (6) ◽  
pp. 4217-4228 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maartje Sanne Kuilman ◽  
Bodil Karlsson

Abstract. High winter planetary wave activity warms the summer polar mesopause via a link between the two hemispheres. Complex wave–mean-flow interactions take place on a global scale, involving sharpening and weakening of the summer zonal flow. Changes in the wind shear occasionally generate flow instabilities. Additionally, an altering zonal wind modifies the breaking of vertically propagating gravity waves. A crucial component for changes in the summer zonal flow is the equatorial temperature, as it modifies latitudinal gradients. Since several mechanisms drive variability in the summer zonal flow, it can be hard to distinguish which one is dominant. In the mechanism coined interhemispheric coupling, the mesospheric zonal flow is suggested to be a key player for how the summer polar mesosphere responds to planetary wave activity in the winter hemisphere. We here use the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM) to investigate the role of the summer stratosphere in shaping the conditions of the summer polar mesosphere. Using composite analyses, we show that in the absence of an anomalous summer mesospheric temperature gradient between the equator and the polar region, weak planetary wave forcing in the winter would lead to a warming of the summer mesosphere region instead of a cooling, and vice versa. This is opposing the temperature signal of the interhemispheric coupling that takes place in the mesosphere, in which a cold and calm winter stratosphere goes together with a cold summer mesopause. We hereby strengthen the evidence that the variability in the summer mesopause region is mainly driven by changes in the summer mesosphere rather than in the summer stratosphere.


2008 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 29-45 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. A. K. Ford ◽  
A. L. Aruliah ◽  
E. M. Griffin ◽  
I. McWhirter

Abstract. Data from the Fabry-Perot Interferometers at KEOPS (Sweden), Sodankylä (Finland), and Svalbard (Norway), have been analysed for gravity wave activity on all the clear nights from 2000 to 2006. A total of 249 nights were available from KEOPS, 133 from Sodankylä and 185 from the Svalbard FPI. A Lomb-Scargle analysis was performed on each of these nights to identify the periods of any wave activity during the night. Comparisons between many nights of data allow the general characteristics of the waves that are present in the high latitude upper thermosphere to be determined. Comparisons were made between the different parameters: the atomic oxygen intensities, the thermospheric winds and temperatures, and for each parameter the distribution of frequencies of the waves was determined. No dependence on the number of waves on geomagnetic activity levels, or position in the solar cycle, was found. All the FPIs have had different detectors at various times, producing different time resolutions of the data, so comparisons between the different years, and between data from different sites, showed how the time resolution determines which waves are observed. In addition to the cutoff due to the Nyquist frequency, poor resolution observations significantly reduce the number of short-period waves (<1 h period) that may be detected with confidence. The length of the dataset, which is usually determined by the length of the night, was the main factor influencing the number of long period waves (>5 h) detected. Comparisons between the number of gravity waves detected at KEOPS and Sodankylä over all the seasons showed a similar proportion of waves to the number of nights used for both sites, as expected since the two sites are at similar latitudes and therefore locations with respect to the auroral oval, confirming this as a likely source region. Svalbard showed fewer waves with short periods than KEOPS data for a season when both had the same time resolution data. This gives a clear indication of the direction of flow of the gravity waves, and corroborates that the source is the auroral oval. This is because the energy is dissipated through heating in each cycle of a wave, therefore, over a given distance, short period waves lose more energy than long and dissipate before they reach their target.


2011 ◽  
Vol 68 (3) ◽  
pp. 457-476 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. Martinez ◽  
G. Brunet ◽  
M. K. Yau ◽  
X. Wang

Abstract A novel statistical technique called space–time empirical normal mode (ST-ENM) is applied in a diagnostic study of the genesis of a secondary eyewall in a simulated hurricane using the nonhydrostatic, high-resolution fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University (PSU)–National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Mesoscale Model (MM5). The bases obtained from the ST-ENM technique are nonstationary, dynamically relevant, and orthogonal in the sense of wave activity. The wave activity spectra of the wavenumber-1 anomalies show that the leading modes (1–6) exhibit mainly characteristics of vortex Rossby waves (VRWs). These modes together explain about 75% of the total wavenumber-1 variance in a period of 24 h. Analysis of the Eliassen–Palm (EP) flux and its time-mean divergence corresponding to the total contribution from these modes indicated that in the lower troposphere VRWs not only propagate inward (outward) in the primary eyewall region where the radial gradient of the basic-state potential vorticity is large and positive (large and negative), but there is also wave activity propagating outside the primary eyewall. Consequently, maximum cyclonic eddy angular momentum is transported not only inside the radius of maximum wind (RMW) by VRWs in the primary eyewall region, but also close to the location where the secondary eyewall forms by VRWs propagating outside the inner eyewall. The fact that the critical radius for some of the ST-ENMs is contained inside the region where the secondary eyewall forms and the existence of a signal of maximum eddy cyclonic angular momentum flux propagating outward up to the critical radius suggests that a wave–mean flow interaction mechanism and redistribution of angular momentum may be suitable to explain important dynamical aspects of concentric eyewall genesis.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Catrin I. Meyer ◽  
Manfred Ern ◽  
Lars Hoffmann ◽  
Quang Thai Trinh ◽  
M. Joan Alexander

Abstract. We investigate stratospheric gravity wave observations by the Atmospheric InfraRed Sounder (AIRS) aboard NASA's Aqua satellite and the High Resolution Dynamics Limb Sounder (HIRDLS) aboard NASA's Aura satellite. AIRS operational temperature retrievals are typically not used for studies of gravity waves, because their horizontal resolution is rather limited. This study uses data of a high-resolution retrieval which provides stratospheric temperature profiles for each individual satellite footprint. Therefore the horizontal sampling of the high-resolution retrieval is nine times better than that of the operational retrieval. HIRDLS provides 2D spectral formation of observed gravity waves in terms of along-track and vertical wavelengths. AIRS as a nadir sounder is more sensitive to short horizontal wavelength gravity waves and HIRDLS as a limb sounder is more sensitive to short vertical wavelength gravity waves. Therefore HIRDLS is ideally suited to complement AIRS observations. A calculated momentum flux factor indicates that the waves seen by AIRS contribute significantly to momentum flux, even if the AIRS temperature variance may be small compared to HIRDLS. The stratospheric wave structures observed by AIRS and HIRDLS agree often very well. Case studies of a mountain wave event and a non-orographic wave event demonstrate that the observed phase structures of AIRS and HIRDLS are conform. AIRS has a coarser vertical resolution, which results in an attenuation of the amplitude and coarser vertical wavelengths compared to HIRDLS. However, AIRS has a much higher horizontal resolution and the propagation direction of the waves can be clearly identified in geographical maps. The horizontal orientation of the phase fronts can be deduced from AIRS 3D temperature fields. This is a restricting factor for gravity wave analyses of limb measurements. Additionally, temperature variances with respect to stratospheric gravity wave activity are compared on a statistical basis. The complete HIRDLS measurement period from January 2005 to March 2008 is covered. The seasonal and latitudinal distributions of gravity wave activity as observed by AIRS and HIRDLS fit well. A strong annual cycle at mid and high latitudes is found in time series of gravity wave variances at 42 km, which has during wintertime its maxima and during summertime its minima. During austral wintertime at 60° S the variability is largest. Variations in the zonal winds at 2.5 hPa are associated with large variability in gravity wave variances. Altogether, gravity wave variances of AIRS and HIRDLS are conform and complementary to each other. Thereby large parts of the gravity wave spectrum are covered by joint observations. This opens up fascinating vistas for future gravity wave research.


2019 ◽  
Vol 71 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Takeru Yamada ◽  
Takeshi Imamura ◽  
Tetsuya Fukuhara ◽  
Makoto Taguchi

AbstractThe reason for stationary gravity waves at Venus’ cloud top to appear mostly at low latitudes in the afternoon is not understood. Since a neutral layer exists in the lower part of the cloud layer, the waves should be affected by the neutral layer before reaching the cloud top. To what extent gravity waves can propagate vertically through the neutral layer has been unclear. To examine the possibility that the variation of the neutral layer thickness is responsible for the dependence of the gravity wave activity on the latitude and the local time, we investigated the sensitivity of the vertical propagation of gravity waves on the neutral layer thickness using a numerical model. The results showed that stationary gravity waves with zonal wavelengths longer than 1000 km can propagate to the cloud-top level without notable attenuation in the neutral layer with realistic thicknesses of 5–15 km. This suggests that the observed latitudinal and local time variation of the gravity wave activity should be attributed to processes below the cloud. An analytical approach also showed that gravity waves with horizontal wavelengths shorter than tens of kilometers would be strongly attenuated in the neutral layer; such waves should originate in the altitude region above the neutral layer.


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