scholarly journals A Puzzling Disagreement between Observations and Numerical Models in the Central Gulf of Mexico

2013 ◽  
Vol 43 (12) ◽  
pp. 2673-2681 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wilton Sturges ◽  
Alexandra Bozec

Abstract Two large, independent sets of direct observations in the central Gulf of Mexico show a mean near-surface flow of ~10 cm s−1 to the west, concentrated in the northern and southern Gulf. Numerical models that the authors have examined do not produce this mean westward flow. The observed speeds appear to be almost an order of magnitude larger than the estimated errors; this paper studies the observations to estimate carefully the possible errors involved and compares the observations with model results. The flow to the west in the southern Gulf is presumably wind driven on the shallow parts of the shelf, and, in slightly deeper water at the outer edges of the shelf, is possibly the result of southward Sverdrup interior flow driven by the negative curl of the wind stress. In another possibly related issue, long-term deep current-meter observations in the northern Gulf at ~1000 m and below find flow to the west, whereas some models find flow to the east. The flow proposed here assumes a mean flow to the west above roughly 300 m, with a required return flow in deep water. The difference between the deep observations and the models will produce a slope of pressure surfaces of the opposite sign below 1000 m, reversing the direction of upper-layer geostrophic flow in the models.

2020 ◽  
Vol 50 (7) ◽  
pp. 1983-1988
Author(s):  
Wilton Sturges

AbstractShip-drift data in the Gulf of Mexico have led to a perplexing result, that the near-surface flow in the west has a north–south mean, of the east–west flow, ~5–10 cm s−1 into a closed basin. Ship-drift data have been used in the past hundred years under the assumption that they are reasonably accurate; the present study examines that assumption carefully, finding that the standard deviation of individual observations is typically ~20 cm s−1. In a monthly mean composed of order 400 observations or more, as examined here, the standard error of the mean will be reduced accordingly. In the southern part of the western Gulf of Mexico, the observed upper-layer flow is clearly to the west and is consistent with our expectations. In the northern part, however, the apparent flow as reported by ship drift in deep water is not significantly different from zero. Thus, the puzzling result remains: three different datasets in the southern half of the basin clearly show flow to the west, with speeds of 10 cm s−1 or more, yet there is no clear evidence of a near-surface return flow back to the east. The convergent wind stress forces downwelling of the upper layer; its return flow could be at some intermediate depth. The transport to the west from Loop Current rings is possibly returned in a deep boundary flow driven by the rectification of deep topographic Rossby waves.


2016 ◽  
Vol 46 (10) ◽  
pp. 2915-2924 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wilton Sturges

AbstractPrevious studies have found a puzzling disagreement between two large datasets and the results of numerical models in the central Gulf of Mexico. The observations suggest an upper-layer mean flow to the west of order 10 cm s−1, while the numerical models find no such mean flow. A new technique is used here, using 23 yr of satellite-derived sea surface height data, to estimate the mean flow. This third, independent set of data yields the same westward flow found in previous studies. These findings require that there be sinking in the western Gulf. The details of the return flow remain an intriguing problem.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 17-23
Author(s):  
Subiyanto Subiyanto ◽  
Nira na Nirwa ◽  
Yuniarti Yuniarti ◽  
Yudi Nurul Ihsan ◽  
Eddy Afrianto

The purpose of this study was to determine the hydrodynamic conditions at Bojong Salawe beach. The method used in this research is a quantitative method, where numerical data is collected to support the formation of numerical models such as wind, bathymetry, and tide data. The hydrodynamic model will be made using Mike 21 with the Flow Model FM module to determine the current movement pattern based on the data used. In the west monsoon with a maximum instantaneous speed of 0.04 - 0.08 m/s, while in the east monsoon it moves with a maximum instantaneous speed of 0,4 – 0,44 m/s. The dominant direction of current movement tends to the northeast. The results indicate the current speed during the east monsoon is higher than the west monsoon. The difference in the current speed is also influenced by the tide conditions; higher during high tide and lower during low tide. Monsoons also have a role in the current movements, though the effect is not very significant.


1997 ◽  
Vol 43 (144) ◽  
pp. 339-351 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard E. Brandt ◽  
Stephen G. Warren

AbstractTo study near-surface heat flow on the Antarctíc ice sheet, snow temperatures were measured at South Pole Station to a depth of 3 m at 15 min intervals during most of 1992. Solar heating and water-vapor transport were negligible during the 6 month Winter, as was inter-grain net thermal radiation, leaving conduction as the dominant heat-transport mechanism. The rate of temperature change at depth over 15 min intervals was smaller than that at the surface, by one order of magnitude at 20 cm depth and two orders of magnitude at 1 m depth. A finite-difference model, with conduction as the only heat-transfer mechanism and measured temperatures as the upper and lower boundary conditions, was applied to foursets of three thermistors each. The thermal conductivity was estimated as that which minimized the difference between modeled and measured 15 min changes in temperatures at the center thermistor. The thermal conductivity obtained at shallow depths (above 40 cm) was lower than that given by existing parameterizations based on density, probably because the snow grains were freshly deposited, cold and poorly bonded. A model using only vertical conduction explains on average 87% ofthe observed 15 min temperature changes at less than 60 cm depth and 92% below 60 cm. The difference between modeled andmeasured temperature changes decreased with depth. The discrepancies between model and observation correlated more strongly with the air-snow temperature difference than with the product of that difference with the square of the wind speed,suggesting that the residual errors are due more to non-vertical conduction and to sub-grid-scale variabilis of the conductivity than to windpumping. The residual heating rate not explained by the model of vertical conduction exceeds 0.2 W m−3only in the top 60 cm of the near-surface snow.


2008 ◽  
Vol 38 (7) ◽  
pp. 1501-1514 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wilton Sturges ◽  
Kern E. Kenyon

Abstract Several independent data sources suggest that there is a net upper-layer mass flux O(3 Sv) (Sv ≡ 106 m3 s−1) to the west in the central Gulf of Mexico, even though the western gulf is a closed basin. A plausible explanation is that this net flux is pumped downward by the convergent wind-driven Ekman pumping, as is typical of all midlatitude anticlyclonic gyres. The downward flux can follow isopycnals to depths O(500–600 m) and deeper by eddy mixing; a mechanism for forcing deep water to the south through the Yucatan Channel is provided by the intrusion and ring-shedding cycle of the Loop Current. Potential vorticity maps show that a deep flow from the western gulf back to the Yucatan Channel is likely.


2013 ◽  
Vol 94 (6) ◽  
pp. 835-846 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joshua Wurman ◽  
Karen Kosiba ◽  
Paul Robinson

Direct observations of the winds inside a tornado were obtained with an instrumented armored vehicle, the Tornado Intercept Vehicle (TIV), and integrated with finescale mobile Doppler radar (Doppler on Wheels) data revealing, for the first time, the structure of the near-ground three-dimensional wind field in and around the core region of a strong tornado, and permitting comparison with conceptual models. Inward and upward spiraling near-surface flow, upward motion near the surface, and an axial downdraft aloft are documented, as well as a periodic oscillation in tornado intensity. Simultaneous video documentation of damage occurring during the tornado is related to the direct wind observations, permitting the first comparisons of the time history of damage to the time history of directly measured winds and a limited evaluation of the underlying assumptions and quantitative relationships in the enhanced Fujita (EF) scale.


1997 ◽  
Vol 43 (144) ◽  
pp. 339-351 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard E. Brandt ◽  
Stephen G. Warren

AbstractTo study near-surface heat flow on the Antarctíc ice sheet, snow temperatures were measured at South Pole Station to a depth of 3 m at 15 min intervals during most of 1992. Solar heating and water-vapor transport were negligible during the 6 month Winter, as was inter-grain net thermal radiation, leaving conduction as the dominant heat-transport mechanism. The rate of temperature change at depth over 15 min intervals was smaller than that at the surface, by one order of magnitude at 20 cm depth and two orders of magnitude at 1 m depth. A finite-difference model, with conduction as the only heat-transfer mechanism and measured temperatures as the upper and lower boundary conditions, was applied to foursets of three thermistors each. The thermal conductivity was estimated as that which minimized the difference between modeled and measured 15 min changes in temperatures at the center thermistor. The thermal conductivity obtained at shallow depths (above 40 cm) was lower than that given by existing parameterizations based on density, probably because the snow grains were freshly deposited, cold and poorly bonded. A model using only vertical conduction explains on average 87% ofthe observed 15 min temperature changes at less than 60 cm depth and 92% below 60 cm. The difference between modeled andmeasured temperature changes decreased with depth. The discrepancies between model and observation correlated more strongly with the air-snow temperature difference than with the product of that difference with the square of the wind speed,suggesting that the residual errors are due more to non-vertical conduction and to sub-grid-scale variabilis of the conductivity than to windpumping. The residual heating rate not explained by the model of vertical conduction exceeds 0.2 W m−3 only in the top 60 cm of the near-surface snow.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jason Duguay ◽  
Pascale Biron ◽  
Thomas Buffin-Bélanger

<p>The large-scale turbulent structures that develop at confluences fall into three main categories: vertically orientated (Kelvin-Helmholtz) vortices, large-scale secondary flow helical cells and smaller strongly coherent streamwise orientated vortices. The causal mechanisms of each class, how they interact with one another and their respective contributions to mixing is still unclear. Our investigation emphasises the role played by the instantaneous flow field in mixing at a mesoscale confluence (Mitis-Neigette, Quebec, Canada) by complementing aerial drone observations of turbulent suspended sediment mixing processes with results from a high-resolution eddy-resolved numerical simulation. The high velocity near-surface flow of the main channel (Mitis) separates at the crest of the scour hole before downwelling upon collision with the slower tributary (Neigette). Fed by incursions of lateral momentum of the Mitis, shear generated Kelvin-Helmholtz instabilities expand as they advect along the mixing-interface. As the instabilities shed, water from the deeper Neigette passes underneath the fast, over-topping Mitis, causing a large portion of the Neigette’s discharge to cross under the mixing-interface in a short distance. The remaining flow of the tributary crosses over inside large-scale lateral incursions farther downstream. The downwelling Mitis, upwelling Neigette and recirculatory cell interact to generate coherent streamwise vortical structures which assist in rapidly mixing the waters of the two rivers in the vicinity of the mixing-interface. Evidence of large-scale helical cells were not observed in the flow field. Results suggest that flow interaction with bathymetry, and both vertical and streamwise orientated coherent turbulent structures play important roles in mixing at confluences. Our findings strongly suggest that investigating mixing at confluences cannot be based solely on mean flow field variables as this approach can be misleading. Visualization of a confluence’s mixing processes as revealed by suspended sediment gradients captured in aerial drone imagery complemented with eddy-resolved numerical modelling of the underlying flow is a promising means to gain insights on the role of large-scale turbulent structures on mixing at confluences.</p>


1998 ◽  
Vol 539 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. M. Schulson ◽  
D. Iliescu ◽  
C. E. Renshaw

AbstractDirect observations are presented of the micromechanical events that contribute to the localization of deformation within brittle compressive shear faults. The observations were made on ice and show that faults are composed of both wing cracks and splay cracks. The latter features initiate from one side of inclined parent cracks and create sets of slender microcolumns fixed on one end and free on the other. It is proposed that the fault-triggering mechanism is the breaking of near-surface microcolumns owing to frictional sliding across their free ends. A lower-bound estimate of the compressive strength of ice is found to be in order of magnitude agreement with experiment.


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