Impact of Assimilating PECAN Profilers on the Prediction of Bore-Driven Nocturnal Convection: A Multiscale Forecast Evaluation for the 6 July 2015 Case Study

2020 ◽  
Vol 148 (3) ◽  
pp. 1147-1175 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hristo G. Chipilski ◽  
Xuguang Wang ◽  
David B. Parsons

Abstract Using data from the 6 July 2015 PECAN case study, this paper provides the first objective assessment of how the assimilation of ground-based remote sensing profilers affects the forecasts of bore-driven convection. To account for the multiscale nature of the phenomenon, data impacts are examined separately with respect to (i) the bore environment, (ii) the explicitly resolved bore, and (iii) the bore-initiated convection. The findings from this work suggest that remote sensing profiling instruments provide considerable advantages over conventional in situ observations, especially when the retrieved data are assimilated at a high temporal frequency. The clearest forecast improvements are seen in terms of the predicted bore environment where the assimilation of kinematic profilers reduces a preexisting bias in the structure of the low-level jet. Data impacts with respect to the other two forecast components are mixed in nature. While the assimilation of thermodynamic retrievals from the Atmospheric Emitted Radiance Interferometer (AERI) results in the best convective forecast, it also creates a positive bias in the height of the convectively generated bore. Conversely, the assimilation of wind profiler data improves the characteristics of the explicitly resolved bore, but tends to further exacerbate the lack of convection in the control forecasts. Various dynamical diagnostics utilized throughout this study provide a physical insight into the data impact results and demonstrate that a successful prediction of bore-driven convection requires an accurate depiction of the internal bore structure as well as the ambient environment ahead of it.

2017 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 1187-1205 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guangliang Fu ◽  
Fred Prata ◽  
Hai Xiang Lin ◽  
Arnold Heemink ◽  
Arjo Segers ◽  
...  

Abstract. Using data assimilation (DA) to improve model forecast accuracy is a powerful approach that requires available observations. Infrared satellite measurements of volcanic ash mass loadings are often used as input observations for the assimilation scheme. However, because these primary satellite-retrieved data are often two-dimensional (2-D) and the ash plume is usually vertically located in a narrow band, directly assimilating the 2-D ash mass loadings in a three-dimensional (3-D) volcanic ash model (with an integral observational operator) can usually introduce large artificial/spurious vertical correlations.In this study, we look at an approach to avoid the artificial vertical correlations by not involving the integral operator. By integrating available data of ash mass loadings and cloud top heights, as well as data-based assumptions on thickness, we propose a satellite observational operator (SOO) that translates satellite-retrieved 2-D volcanic ash mass loadings to 3-D concentrations. The 3-D SOO makes the analysis step of assimilation comparable in the 3-D model space.Ensemble-based DA is used to assimilate the extracted measurements of ash concentrations. The results show that satellite DA with SOO can improve the estimate of volcanic ash state and the forecast. Comparison with both satellite-retrieved data and aircraft in situ measurements shows that the effective duration of the improved volcanic ash forecasts for the distal part of the Eyjafjallajökull volcano is about 6 h.


Arts ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 59
Author(s):  
Eve Grinstead

How has COVID-19 affected the global art market? This virus interrupted 2020 in unforeseen ways globally, including the cancellation of the most important art events of the year. Through a close chronological study of the Emirati art scene’s response, both in commercial and noncommercial venues, this essay explains how, and why, the UAE’s art scene was able to react quickly and perhaps more effectively than that of other nations, and what that means for its future. Based on fieldwork and press articles, this article posits that the Emirati art scene evolved from being virtually non-existent to a thriving contemporary art hub in a matter of decades because it has always had to adapt to challenges such as nonexistent art infrastructure or the 2008 financial crisis. By studying the UAE, we find examples of exhibitions that quickly moved from being in situ to online, a rare instance of galleries and art auction house collaborating, government and institutional structures stepping up to support artists and galleries, and the renaissance of Art Dubai taking place in person in 2021 after being abruptly cancelled in 2020. This knowledge provides insight into how the global art market is changing to face the consequences of COVID-19.


2017 ◽  
Vol 68 (4) ◽  
pp. 873-878
Author(s):  
Alexandru Dandocsi ◽  
Anca Nemuc ◽  
Cristina Marin ◽  
Simona Andrei

An intensive measurement campaign was performed during September 2014 in southern Romania in two different locations: Magurele, Ilfov County and Turceni, Gorj County. This paper presents one case study with analysis of the aerosol properties from in-situ, passive remote sensing and active remote sensing measurements. A Multiwavelength Raman Lidar (RALI) provided one hour averaged vertical profiles of extinction and backscatter from the 532 nm and 1064 nm channels in Magurele. The UV scanning Lidar (MILI) provided one hour averaged backscattered and extinction vertical profiles for Turceni. Planetary Boundary Layer Height (PBLH) was calculated using the altitude of the maximum negative gradient of the range corrected signal. Mass concentrations for different aerosol species (organics, nitrate, sulphate, ammonium and chloride) were obtained from in-situ measurements using Aerosol Mass Spectrometer located in M�gurele and Aerosol Chemical Speciation Monitor (ACSM) located in Turceni.


Irriga ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 585-598
Author(s):  
Pedro Henrique Jandreice Magnoni ◽  
Cesar De Oliveira Ferreira Silva ◽  
Rodrigo Lilla Manzione

SENSORIAMENTO REMOTO APLICADO AO MANEJO DA IRRIGAÇÃO EM ÁREAS COM ESCASSEZ DE DADOS: ESTUDO DE CASO EM PIVÔ CENTRAL EM ITATINGA-SP*     PEDRO HENRIQUE JANDREICE MAGNONI1; CÉSAR DE OLIVEIRA FERREIRA SILVA1 E RODRIGO LILLA MANZIONE2   1 Departamento de Engenharia Rural, Faculdade de Ciências Agronômicas, Universidade Estadual Paulista", Avenida Universitária, n° 3780, Altos do Paraíso, 18610-034, Botucatu, São Paulo, Brasil,  [email protected]; [email protected]. 2 Departamento de Engenharia de Biossistemas, Faculdade de Ciências e Engenharia, Universidade Estadual Paulista “Júlio de Mesquita Filho”, Rua Domingos da Costa Lopes, 780, CEP 17602496, Tupã – SP, Brasil. E-mail: [email protected]. *Este artigo é proveniente das dissertações de mestrado dos dois primeiros autores.     1 RESUMO   Ferramentas baseadas em sensoriamento remoto possibilitam o monitoramento do balanço hídrico da água em diferentes resoluções espaciais e temporais. Ainda assim, modelos que exigem dados in-situ impossibilitam sua aplicação em áreas com escassez de dados. No sentido de lidar com esse desafio, o presente trabalho apresenta uma abordagem de escolha do momento de irrigar, pelo balanço hídrico da água no solo, baseada em estimativa da evapotranspiração real (ETA) obtida com o uso conjunto de imagens multiespectrais do sensor MSI/SENTINEL-2 e dados de uma estação meteorológica pública. A área de estudo foi um pivô central localizado no munícipio de Itatinga-SP. Para a tomada de decisão do momento de irrigar, com base em um manejo por lâmina de irrigação fixa, foi feita a interpolação da fração evapotranspirativa entre os dias com imagens disponíveis para obter a ETA nos dias sem imagens por meio do seu produto com a evapotranspiração de referência. Essa abordagem captou variações climáticas essenciais para a estimativa do balanço hídrico em dias sem imagem. Destaca-se nessa aplicação conjunta sua capacidade de ser realizada sem necessitar de parâmetros específicos da cultura, do microclima ou do relevo, tornando-se interessante para regiões com escassez de dados.   Palavras-chave:  evapotranspiração, momento de irrigar, agriwater.     MAGNONI, P. H. J.; SILVA, C. O. F.; MANZIONE, R. L. REMOTE SENSING APPLIED TO IRRIGATION MANAGEMENT IN AREAS WITH LACK OF DATA: A CASE STUDY IN A CENTRAL PIVOT IN ITATINGA-SP     2 ABSTRACT   Remote sensing-based tools allow the monitoring of water budgets over different spatial and temporal resolutions. Nevertheless, some models require in situ data, preventing their application in areas with a lack of data. To address this challenge, this work presents an approach for irrigation scheduling, based on soil water budget estimation using actual evapotranspiration (ETA) obtained using MSI/SENTINEL-2 multispectral images and data from a public meteorological station. The study area consisted of a central pivot located in the municipality of Itatinga-SP, Brazil. For decision-making of irrigation scheduling, considering a fixed irrigation rate, the evapotranspiration fraction was interpolated between the days with available images to obtain the ETA on the days without images using its product with the reference evapotranspiration. This approach captured essential climate variations for estimating the water budget on non-image days. Noteworthy in this joint application is its suitability to be performed not requiring crop-, microclimate- or relief-specific parameters, making it useful for regions with a lack of data.   Keywords: evapotranspiration, irrigation scheduling, agriwater.


2018 ◽  
Vol 40 ◽  
pp. 63 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rayonil Gomes Carneiro ◽  
Alice Henkes ◽  
Gilberto Fisch ◽  
Camilla Kassar Borges

In the present study, the evolution the diurnal cycle of planetary boundary layer in the wet season at Amazon region during a period of intense observations carried out in the GOAmazon Project 2014/2015 (Green Ocean Amazon).The analysis includes radiosonde and remote sensing data. In general case, the results of the daily cycle in the wet season indicate a Nocturnal boundary layer with a small oscillation in its depth and with a tardy erosion. The convective boundary layer did not present great depth, responding to the low values of sensible heat of the wet season. A comparison between the different techniques(in situ observations and remote sensing)  for estimating the planetary boundary layer is also presented.


2018 ◽  
Vol 123 (16) ◽  
pp. 8599-8622 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shengbiao Wu ◽  
Jianguang Wen ◽  
Dongqin You ◽  
Dalei Hao ◽  
Xingwen Lin ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Han Dolman

This chapter focuses on tools for climate research: biogeochemical observations and models. It discusses physical climate observations, such as temperature and humidity, and in situ observations of atmospheric composition. Turning these into reliable climate records appears to be non-trivial. The chapter describes how isotopes are used to get insight into biogeochemical processes. A special category of observations is biogeochemical proxy observations, used to gain insight into geological processes when no direct observations are possible. The example of climate proxy observations, such as those obtained via ice cores, is described. Models are increasingly used to gain insight into sensitivity of climate to changes in the forcing. Earth system modelling has become increasingly complex over the last two decades, including often detailed biogeochemical processes in the ocean and on land. The parametrization of these remains an important research subject. Inverse modelling is being used to identify sources and sinks of greenhouse gases.


2014 ◽  
Vol 14 (6) ◽  
pp. 1505-1515 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Alfieri ◽  
F. Pappenberger ◽  
F. Wetterhall

Abstract. Systems for the early detection of floods over continental and global domains have a key role in providing a quick overview of areas at risk, raise the awareness and prompt higher detail analyses as the events approach. However, the reliability of these systems is prone to spatial inhomogeneity, depending on the quality of the underlying input data and local calibration. This work proposes a simple approach for flood early warning based on ensemble numerical predictions of surface runoff provided by weather forecasting centers. The system is based on a novel indicator, referred to as an extreme runoff index (ERI), which is calculated from the input data through a statistical analysis. It is designed for use in large or poorly gauged domains, as no local knowledge or in situ observations are needed for its setup. Daily runs over 32 months are evaluated against calibrated hydrological simulations for all of Europe. Results show skillful flood early warning capabilities up to a 10-day lead time. A dedicated analysis is performed to investigate the optimal timing of forecasts to maximize the detection of extreme events. A case study for the central European floods of June 2013 is presented and forecasts are compared to the output of a hydro-meteorological ensemble model.


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