Modeling Speed Disturbance Absorption following Current State–Control Action–Expected State Chains

Author(s):  
Ruihua Tao ◽  
Heng Wei ◽  
Yinhai Wang ◽  
Virginia P. Sisiopiku

This paper explores driver behavior in a paired car-following mode in response to a speed disturbance from a front vehicle. A current state– control action–expected state (SAS) chain is developed to provide a framework for modeling of the hierarchy of expected actions incurred during the need for speed disturbance absorption. Three car-following scenarios and one lane-changing scenario are identified with defined perceptual informative variables to describe the process of speed disturbance absorption. Those variables include dynamic spacing versus the follower's speed, disturbance-effecting and -ending spacing, headway, acceleration– deceleration, speed recovery period, speed advantage, and lane-changing duration. A significant improvement in car-following modeling introduced in the paper is the integration of car-following and lane-changing behaviors in the SAS chain. Moreover, critical values of perceptual informative variables are statistically developed as a function of the follower's speed by using observed vehicle trajectory data. Furthermore, models that determine the probability of a lane change in response to a speed disturbance and models for acceptable lane-changing decision-making conditions at the adjacent lanes are developed on the basis of the analysis of observed vehicle trajectory data. The work presented in this paper provides an analysis of speed disturbance and speed absorption phenomena and car-following and lane-changing behaviors at the microscopic level. This work establishes the foundation for further research on multiple speed disturbance absorption and its impact on traffic stabilities at the macroscopic analysis level.

Author(s):  
Kequan Chen ◽  
Pan Liu ◽  
Zhibin Li ◽  
Yuxuan Wang ◽  
Yunxue Lu

Modeling lane changing driving behavior has attracted significant attention recently. Most of the existing models are homogeneous and do not recognize the anticipation and relaxation phenomena occurring during the maneuver. To fill this gap, we adopted long short-term memory (LSTM) network and used large quantities of trajectory data extracted from video footage collected by an unmanned automated vehicle in Nanjing, China. Then, we divided complete lane changing behavior into two stages, that is, anticipation and relaxation. Description analysis of lane changing behavior revealed that the factors affecting the two stages are significantly different. In this context, two LSTM models with different input variables were proposed to predict the anticipation and the relaxation during the lane changing activity, respectively. The vehicle trajectory data were further divided into an anticipation dataset and a relaxation dataset to train the two LSTM models. Then we applied numerical tests to compare our models with two baseline models using real trajectory data of lane changing behavior. The results suggest that our models achieved the best performance for trajectory prediction in both lateral and longitudinal positions. Moreover, the simulation results show that the proposed models can precisely replicate the impact of the anticipation phenomenon on the target lane, and the relationship between the speed and spacing of the lane changing vehicle during the relaxation process can be reproduced with reasonable accuracy.


2010 ◽  
Vol 108-111 ◽  
pp. 805-810 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hao Wang ◽  
Wei Wang ◽  
Jun Chen

This paper presents a methodology for car-following models calibration with vehicle trajectory data. A two-step optimization method is performed for searching the best-fit parameters of two popular car-following models, namely, the Helly model and the IDM model. The model calibration results verify the validity of the optimization method. Based on the results of calibrations, the intra-driver heterogeneity of driving behavior between the acceleration process and the deceleration process is studied. It is found that obvious intra-driver heterogeneities exist in driving behaviours between acceleration processes and deceleration processes of car-following. Besides, some criteria are proposed for the selection of sub-trajectories corresponding to both the acceleration and the deceleration processes of car-following. This work not only develops a general approach for car-following model calibration with vehicle trajectory data, but also provides insight into the intra-driver heterogeneity in car-following behaviours.


Author(s):  
Tomer Toledo ◽  
Haris N. Koutsopoulos ◽  
Moshe E. Ben-Akiva

The lane-changing model is an important component within microscopic traffic simulation tools. Following the emergence of these tools in recent years, interest in the development of more reliable lane-changing models has increased. Lane-changing behavior is also important in several other applications such as capacity analysis and safety studies. Lane-changing behavior is usually modeled in two steps: ( a) the decision to consider a lane change, and ( b) the decision to execute the lane change. In most models, lane changes are classified as either mandatory (MLC) or discretionary (DLC). MLC are performed when the driver must leave the current lane. DLC are performed to improve driving conditions. Gap acceptance models are used to model the execution of lane changes. The classification of lane changes as either mandatory or discretionary prohibits capturing trade-offs between these considerations. The result is a rigid behavioral structure that does not permit, for example, overtaking when mandatory considerations are active. Using these models within a microsimulator may result in unrealistic traffic flow characteristics. In addition, little empirical work has been done to rigorously estimate the parameters of lane-changing models. An integrated lane-changing model, which allows drivers to jointly consider mandatory and discretionary considerations, is presented. Parameters of the model are estimated with detailed vehicle trajectory data.


Author(s):  
Md Mijanoor Rahman ◽  
Mohd. Tahir Ismail ◽  
Majid Majahar Ali

Road safety is imperative theme because increasing road fatalities deaths in world. Besides road fatalities, traffic jam is increasing, human is frustrated for uncomfortable journey. The roads safety and passengers comfortable of the roadway system are vastly depended on the Car following (CF) and Lane Changing (LC) features of drivers. CF and LC theory describe the driver behavior by following paths in a traffic stream. In this research, researchers have compared to US-101 Next-Generation-Simulation (NGSIM) data with Beijing forth ring road, China freeways real trajectory data by CF and LC models. The CF data has been calibrated with Genetic Algorithm (GA). Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS) is generated the LC beginning and finishing points. Findings revealed that the CF parameters as maximum acceleration, minimum deceleration, free speed, minimum headway and stopping distance percentages of Chinese data are 74.71%, 79.95%, 66.57%, 0.018% and 65.65% respectively of NGSIM data. After completing the comparison, researchers have been found out optimization safety and comfortable acceleration-deceleration and LC beginning-finishing points of driver behavior. Here this analysis generates the driver behavior at real traffic network on the express highways of specific two roads US-101 (NGSIM) data and Chinese freeways data. Since NGSIM data is well simulated so road traffic is more safety and comfortable for journey.


Author(s):  
Benjamin Coifman ◽  
Lizhe Li ◽  
Wen Xiao

The 1974 paper by Treiterer and Myers is a seminal work in traffic flow theory. This longevity is in part because of the impressive collection of manually extracted vehicle trajectories. To date, only a few studies have rivaled the scale of the empirical vehicle trajectory data used in Treiterer and Myers. Their data collection used high-speed aerial photography and manual data reduction to follow hundreds of vehicles. In spite of the Herculean collection effort, the trajectory data set was never released and has since been lost. Fortunately, the plots survive and the present work re-extracts the vehicle trajectory data from the time–space diagrams. The discussion places the value of the data in context and then uses the data to put an end to decades of misinterpretation that started with Treiterer himself. The central thesis of Treiterer and Myers generated considerable interest: a hysteresis whereby drivers exhibit different fundamental behavior depending on whether they are entering or exiting a disturbance. There has been extensive debate about the authors’ findings in the literature, but without the original data set any interpretation has required considerable speculation. With the resurrected trajectories, this work reexamines the vehicles underlying the hysteresis and finally quells the speculation. Rather than arising from car following behavior, it turns out that the enigmatic progression arose from a combination of lane change maneuvers and unremarkable transitions into or out of the congested regime. On publication, the re-extracted data from this paper will be released to the research community.


Author(s):  
Tomer Toledo ◽  
Charisma F. Choudhury ◽  
Moshe E. Ben-Akiva

The lane-changing model is an important component of microscopic traffic simulation tools. With the increasing popularity of these tools, a number of lane-changing models have been proposed and implemented in various simulators in recent years. Most of these models are based on the assumption that drivers evaluate the current and adjacent lanes and choose a direction of change (or no change) on the basis of the utilities of these lanes only. The lane choice set is therefore dictated by the current position of the vehicle and in multilane facilities would be restricted to a subset of the available lanes. Thus, existing models lack an explicit tactical choice of a target lane and therefore cannot explain a sequence of lane changes from the current lane to this lane. In this paper, a generalized lane-changing model that explicitly incorporates the choice of target lane is presented. The target lane is the lane that the driver perceives to be the best when a wide range of factors and goals are taken into account. The immediate direction in which a driver changes lanes is determined by the target lane choice. All parameters of the model were jointly estimated with detailed vehicle trajectory data. The model was validated and compared with an existing lane-changing model with the use of a microscopic traffic simulator. The results indicate that the proposed model performs significantly better than the previous model.


Author(s):  
Sina Dabiri ◽  
Montasir Abbas

Car-following models, as the essential part of traffic microscopic simulations, have been utilized to analyze and estimate longitudinal drivers’ behavior for sixty years. The conventional car-following models use mathematical formulas to replicate human behavior in car-following phenomenon. The incapability of these approaches to capture the complex interactions between vehicles calls for deploying advanced learning frameworks to consider more detailed behavior of drivers. In this study, we apply the gradient boosting of regression tree (GBRT) algorithm to vehicle trajectory data sets, which have been collected through the Next Generation Simulation (NGSIM) program, to develop a new car-following model. First, the regularization parameters of the proposed method are tuned using cross-validation technique and sensitivity analysis. Second, prediction performance of the GBRT is compared to the world-famous Gazis-Herman-Rothery (GHR) model, when both models have been trained on the same data sets. The estimation results of the models on unseen records indicate the superiority of the GBRT algorithm in capturing the motion characteristics of two successive vehicles.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bin Lu ◽  
Shaoquan Ni ◽  
Scott S. Washburn

This paper presents a Support Vector Regression (SVR) approach that can be applied to predict the multianticipative driving behavior using vehicle trajectory data. Building upon the SVR approach, a multianticipative car-following model is developed and enhanced in learning speed and predication accuracy. The model training and validation are conducted by using the field trajectory data extracted from the Next Generation Simulation (NGSIM) project. During the model training and validation tests, the estimation results show that the SVR model performs as well as IDM model with respect to the model prediction accuracy. In addition, this paper performs a relative importance analysis to quantify the multianticipation in terms of the different stimuli to which drivers react in platoon car following. The analysis results confirm that drivers respond to the behavior of not only the immediate leading vehicle in front but also the second, third, and even fourth leading vehicles. Specifically, in congested traffic conditions, drivers are observed to be more sensitive to the relative speed than to the gap. These findings provide insight into multianticipative driving behavior and illustrate the necessity of taking into account multianticipative car-following model in microscopic traffic simulation.


2012 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 241-251
Author(s):  
Seyyed Mohammad Sadat Hoseini

The difficulties of microscopic-level simulation models to accurately reproduce real traffic phenomena stem not only from the complexity of calibration and validation operations, but also from the structural inadequacies of the sub-models themselves. Both of these drawbacks originate from the scant information available on real phenomena because of the difficulty in gathering accurate field data. This paper studies the traffic behaviour of individual drivers utilizing vehicle trajectory data extracted from digital images collected from freeways in Iran. These data are used to evaluate the four proposed microscopic traffic models. One of the models is based on the traffic regulations in Iran and the three others are probabilistic models that use a decision factor for calculating the probability of choosing a position on the freeway by a driver. The decision factors for three probabilistic models are increasing speed, decreasing risk of collision, and increasing speed combined with decreasing risk of collision. The models are simulated by a cellular automata simulator and compared with the real data. It is shown that the model based on driving regulations is not valid, but that other models appear useful for predicting the driver’s behaviour on freeway segments in Iran during noncongested conditions.


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