Impacts of Real Depreciation and Appreciation on Aggregate Output in Taiwan

2018 ◽  
Vol 65 (1) ◽  
pp. 123-130
Author(s):  
Yu Hsing
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Real Interest Rate ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Real Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Expected Inflation ◽  
Deficit Spending

Extending the IS-MP-AS model, this article finds that real depreciation helped to raise real gross domestic product (GDP) during 1999.Q1-2010.Q2 whereas real appreciation helped to increase real GDP during 2010.Q3-2016.Q4. In addition, a lower world real interest rate, a higher stock price, a higher real oil price or a lower expected inflation would increase real GDP. More deficit spending as a percent of GDP does not affect real GDP.JEL Classification: F41, E62

scholarly journals External macroeconomic shocks and stock price behavior in Nigeria

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (6) ◽  
pp. 174-180
Author(s):  
Mojeed Olanrewaju Saliu
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Real Interest Rate ◽  
Research Work ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Price Behavior ◽  
Macroeconomic Shocks ◽  
Vector Autoregressive

This research work investigates the relationship between external macroeconomic shocks and stock price behavior in Nigeria. Variables such as exchange rate (EXR), US real interest rate (USRINTR), and world oil price (WOP) are adopted to capture external macroeconomic shocks while all share price index is used to proxy stock price. The research work uses Johansen cointegration and structural vector autoregressive model as the estimation method. Findings from the study confirm that no long-term co-movement exists between the stock price and the selected external shocks. Findings from the study equally show that both US real interest rate (USRINTR) and world oil price (WOP) are the major external shock predictors of the stock price in Nigeria.

scholarly journals Effects of Depreciation and Appreciation of the Vietnamese Dong on Aggregate Output

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 45
Author(s):  
Yu Hsing ◽  
Minh Q. Huynh
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Real Interest Rate ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Aggregate Output ◽  
The Real ◽  
Expected Inflation ◽  
The World ◽  
The Government

Applying an extended IS-MP-AS model (Romer, 2000, 2006), this paper finds that real appreciation of the Vietnamese dong raised aggregate output during 2000-2012 whereas real depreciation of the Vietnamese dong increased aggregate output during 2013-2017. In addition, aggregate output is positively affected by the government debt-to-GDP ratio, the real stock price, and the real oil price and negatively influenced by the world real interest rate and the expected inflation rate. Therefore, real depreciation may affect aggregate output positively or negatively depending upon the stage of economic development.

scholarly journals Is Currency Appreciation or Depreciation Expansionary in Kosovo?

2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-54
Author(s):  
Yu Hsing
Keyword(s):  
Euro Area ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Expected Inflation ◽  
Lending Rate ◽  
Government Deficit ◽  
Deficit Spending

Abstract Applying an extended IS-MP-AS model (Romer, 2000), this paper shows that real depreciation of the euro raises real GDP in Kosovo and that a lower real lending rate in the euro area, a higher real GDP in Germany, a lower real oil price, or a lower expected inflation rate would help increase real GDP. More government deficit spending as a percent of GDP does not affect real GDP.

scholarly journals The dynamic relationship of interest rate, price level, money supply and real gross domestic product: case study of Iran

2016 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 180-187
Author(s):  
Ramyar Fazlara ◽  
Soheila Khoshnevis Yazdi
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Price Level ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Economic Sanction ◽  
Real Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Dynamic Relationship ◽  
Endogenous Variables

The main purpose of the present study is to investigate the relationship between macroeconomic variables such as interest rate, price level, money supply and real gross domestic product for Iran by considering the effect of economic sanctions during a time period 1980-2014. To analyze the collected data, the VARX method was used and the data were analyzed by Eviews 9 software. Also, for data analysis, the variable of economic sanction was considered as exogenous variable and other variables were considered as endogenous variables. The empirical findings of the study show that there is a significant and bilateral relationship between most endogenous variables of the model. Also, it was observed that the variable of economic sanction has a significant effect on the intended macro variables. Keywords: interest rate, price level, money supply, real gross domestic product, economic sanction. JEL Classification: E40, E51, F51

Financial Deepening, Financial Intermediation and Nigerian Economic Growth: Time Variant Analysis

2019 ◽  
pp. 60-73
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Financial Deepening ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Real Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Long Run

This study examines financial deepening, financial intermediation and Nigerian economic growth. The main purpose is to examine the relationship between financial deepening and Nigerian economic growth while the specific objectives are to examine the impact of interest rate, capital market development, rational savings, credit to private sector and broad money supply on the growth of Nigerian. Secondary data of the variables were sourced from the publications of Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) from 1981-2017. Nigerian Real Gross Domestic Product (RGDP) was used as dependent variable while Broad money supply (M2), Credit to Private Sector (CPS), National Savings (NS), Capital Market Capitalization (CAMP) and Interest Rate (INTR) was used as independent variables. Multiple regressions with E-view statistical package were used as data analysis techniques. Cointegration test, Augmented Dickey Fuller Unit Root Test, Granger causality test was used to determine the relationship between the variable in the long-run and short-run. R2, F – statistics and β Coefficients were used to determine the extent to which the independent variable affects the dependent variable. It was found from the regression result that Broad Money Supply, credit to private sector have position effect on the growth of Nigerian Real Gross Domestic Product while National Savings, Capitalization and Interest Rate on Nigeria Real Gross Domestic Product. The co-integration test revealed presence of long-run relationship among the variables, the stationary test indicated stationarity of the variables at level. The Granger Causality Test found bi – variant relationship from the dependent to the independent and from the independent to the dependent variables. The regression summary found 99.0% explained variation, 560.5031, F – statistics and probability of 0.00000. From the above, the study concludes that financial deepening has significant relationships with Nigerian economic growth. We recommend that government and the financial sector operators should make policies that will further deepen the functions of the financial system to enhance Nigerian economic growth.

scholarly journals THE FALLACY OF FISCAL DISCIPLINE

2018 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 55-68 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paolo Canofari ◽  
Alessandro Piergallini ◽  
Giovanni Piersanti
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Real Interest Rate ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Flow Variable ◽  
Fiscal Discipline ◽  
Transversality Conditions ◽  
Sustainability Index ◽  
Endogenous Growth Model ◽  
Debt Policy

Fiscal discipline is commonly evaluated on the basis of the debt–gross domestic product ratio, which exhibits a stock variable measured relative to a flow variable. This way of monitoring debt solvency is arguably not consistent with transversality conditions obtained from optimizing macroeconomic frameworks. In this paper, we consider a wealth-based sustainability index of government debt policy derived from a baseline endogenous growth model. We calculate the index from 1999 onward for countries in which the after-growth real interest rate is positive, consistently with the theoretical setup. Results are radically different from common wisdom. We show that the fiscal position is sustainable for both Germany and Italy, and strongly unsustainable for both Japan and France. Policy implications of our findings are discussed.

Possible Misinterpretations of Equivalent Annual Incomes in Inflationary Times

1987 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 210-211
Author(s):  
W. David Klemperer
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Real Interest Rate ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Present Value ◽  
Expected Inflation

Abstract Equivalent annual incomes (EATs) are often computed to compare investments with similar size but different lives. One common form of EAT fails to readily illustrate that before-tax present values of new projects should not change with inflationary expectations, given the same real interest rate. This type of EAI also fails to reflect reduction in after-tax present value of new projects as expected inflation rises. An EAI formulation is suggested that eliminates these problems and assures correct project rankings regardless of the inflation rate. North. J. Appl. For. 4:210-211, December 1987.

scholarly journals The Determinants of Money Demand in Jordan: ARDL Approach

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 61
Author(s):  
Ali Mustafa Al-Qudah
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Money Demand ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Real Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Recursive Residuals ◽  
Bound Test

The current study examined the relationship between real money demand (M2) and its determinants represented by real gross domestic product, real interest rate, inflation rate and budget deficit in Jordan for the period (2000Q1-20018Q1). The study used unit root test, Autoregressive Distributive Lag (ARDL), cointegration and long run, bound test to examine the study hypotheses. ARDL cointegration equation and ARDL Bound test show that there is a long run relationship between money demand M2 and its determinants, real interest rate, inflation rate, budget deficit and real gross domestic product. The short run ARDL results shows that the past period of money demand has a negative and significant impact on money demand, while inflation rate and Gross domestic product have a positive and significant impact on money demand in Jordan. The long run ARDL results show that the inflation rate, real gross domestic product and budget deficit have a positive long run relationship with money demand (M2)and Its impact on (M2 ) is positive and statistically significant at 1 percent level, while interest rate has a negative and significant impact on Money demand (M2 ). Inflation rate, real gross domestic product, budget deficit and interest rate are good determinants for money demand M2. The cumulative sum (CUSUM) of recursive residuals and cumulative sum of squares (CUSUMQ) of recursive residuals confirm that the estimated money demand M2 model is stable.

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