Predictors of Survival in Continuous Ambulatory Peritoneal Dialysis Patients: A Five-Year Prospective Study

1996 ◽  
Vol 16 (1_suppl) ◽  
pp. 190-194 ◽  
Author(s):  
Morrell M. Avram ◽  
Paul A. Fein ◽  
Luigi Bonomini ◽  
Neal Mittman ◽  
Raphael Loutoby ◽  
...  

Our objective was to examine the influence of various demographic, clinical, and enrollment biochemical variables on the long-term survival of continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis (CAPD) patients. This was a prospective cohort study investigating the relationship between demographics and enrollment biochemical markers and mortality in CAPD patients in a CAPD unit in a large tertiary care teaching hospital. One hundred and sixtynine patients in the CAPD program were enrolled between 1989 and 1994, and were followed up to 60 months. Independent predictors of mortality determined by Cox proportional hazards model included age, diabetes, serum albumin and creatinine. Enrollment level of serum albumin, and creatinine can predict mortality in CAPD patients up to 60 months. Markers of visceral and somatic nutrition at enrollment are important predictors of mortality in CAPD patients up to five years.

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
pp. 1179545X1985836
Author(s):  
Masatomo Ebina ◽  
Kazunori Fujino ◽  
Akira Inoue ◽  
Koichi Ariyoshi ◽  
Yutaka Eguchi

Background:Severe sepsis is commonly associated with mortality among critically ill patients and is known to cause coagulopathy. While antithrombin is an anticoagulant used in this setting, serum albumin levels are known to influence serum antithrombin levels. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the outcomes of antithrombin supplementation in patients with sepsis-associated coagulopathy, as well as the relationship between serum albumin levels and the effects of antithrombin supplementation.Methods:This retrospective study evaluated patients who were >18 years of age and had been admitted to either of two intensive care units for sepsis-associated coagulopathy. The groups that did and did not receive antithrombin supplementation were compared for outcomes up to 1 year after admission. Subgroup analyses were performed for patients with serum albumin levels of <2.5 g/dL or ⩾2.5 g/dL.Results:Fifty-one patients received antithrombin supplementation and 163 patients did not. The Cox proportional hazards model revealed that antithrombin supplementation was independently associated with 28-day survival (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.374, P = 0.025) but not with 1 year survival (HR: 0.915, P = 0.752). In addition, among patients with serum albumin levels of <2.5 g/dL, antithrombin supplementation was associated with a significantly lower 28-day mortality rate (9.4% vs 36.8%, P = .009).Conclusion:Antithrombin supplementation may improve short-term survival, but not long-term survival, among patients with sepsis-associated coagulopathy.


2015 ◽  
Vol 35 (2) ◽  
pp. 199-205 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fan Zhang ◽  
Hong Liu ◽  
Xiaoli Gong ◽  
Fuyou Liu ◽  
Youming Peng ◽  
...  

ObjectiveThe intent of this study was to evaluate the clinical outcome and risk factors affecting mortality of the continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis (CAPD) patients in a single peritoneal dialysis (PD) center over a period of 10 years.Patients and methodsWe retrospectively analyzed patients on PD from June 2001 to June 2011. The clinical and biochemical data were collected from the medical records. Clinical variables included gender, age at the start of PD, smoking status, body mass index (BMI), cause of end-stage renal disease (ESRD), presence of diabetes mellitus and blood pressure. Biochemical variables included hemoglobin, urine volume, residual renal function (RRF), serum albumin, blood urea nitrogen (BUN), creatinine, total cholesterol, triglyceride, comorbidities, and outcomes. Survival curves were made by the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate analyses to identify mortality risk factors were performed using the Cox proportional hazard regression model.ResultsA total of 421 patients were enrolled, 269 of whom were male (63.9%). The mean age at the start of PD was 57.9 ± 14.8 years. Chronic glomerulonephritis was the most common cause of ESRD (39.4%). Estimation of patient survival by Kaplan-Meier was 92.5%, 80.2%, 74.4%, and 55.7% at 1, 3, 5, and 10 years, respectively. Patient survival was associated with age (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.641 [1.027 – 2.622], p = 0.038), cardiovascular disease (HR: 1.731 [1.08 – 2.774], p = 0.023), hypertriglyceridemia (HR: 1.782 [1.11 – 2.858], p = 0.017) in the Cox proportional hazards model analysis. Estimation of technique survival by Kaplan-Meier was 86.7%, 68.8%, 55.7%, and 37.4% at 1, 3, 5, and 10 years, respectively. In the Cox proportional hazards model analysis, age (HR: 1.672 [1.176 – 2.377], p = 0.004) and hypertriglyceridemia (HR: 1.511 [1.050 – 2.174], p = 0.026) predicted technique failure.ConclusionThe PD patients in our center exhibited comparable or even superior patient survival and technical survival rates, compared with reports from other centers in China and other countries.


2014 ◽  
Vol 34 (3) ◽  
pp. 289-298 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jernej Pajek ◽  
Alastair J. Hutchison ◽  
Shiv Bhutani ◽  
Paul E.C. Brenchley ◽  
Helen Hurst ◽  
...  

BackgroundWe performed a review of a large incident peritoneal dialysis cohort to establish the impact of current practice and that of switching to hemodialysis.MethodsPatients starting peritoneal dialysis between 2004 and 2010 were included and clinical data at start of dialysis recorded. Competing risk analysis and Cox proportional hazards model with time-varying covariate (technique failure) were used.ResultsOf 286 patients (median age 57 years) followed for a median of 24.2 months, 76 were transplanted and 102 died. Outcome probabilities at 3 and 5 years respectively were 0.69 and 0.53 for patient survival (or transplantation) and 0.33 and 0.42 for technique failure. Peritonitis caused technique failure in 42%, but ultrafiltration failure accounted only for 6.3%. Davies comorbidity grade, creatinine and obesity (but not residual renal function or age) predicted technique failure. Due to peritonitis deaths, technique failure was an independent predictor of death hazard. When successful switch to hemodialysis (surviving more than 60 days after technique failure) and its timing were analyzed, no adverse impact on survival in adjusted analysis was found. However, hemodialysis via central venous line was associated with an elevated death hazard as compared to staying on peritoneal dialysis, or hemodialysis through a fistula (adjusted analysis hazard ratio 1.97 (1.02 – 3.80)).ConclusionsOnce the patients survive the first 60 days after technique failure, the switch to hemodialysis does not adversely affect patient outcomes. The nature of vascular access has a significant impact on outcome after peritoneal dialysis failure.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shibre Mengesha ◽  
Bekele Belayihun ◽  
Abera Kumie

Introduction. ART has improved the survival of HIV-infected patients. However, patients in resource-poor countries have higher mortality rates, particularly the first months after initiating ART. In this study we tried to determine the survival factors in HIV-infected patients treated with HAART in Zewditu Memorial Hospital. Methods. A retrospective cohort study was conducted from 2008 to 2012. All HIV-infected patients above the age of 14 took first line ART. Data were collected, entered, and analyzed using Epi Info 7 and SPSS Version 20. Life table was used to estimate mortality after initiation of ART, and Kaplan-Meier was used to compare survival curves. Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess the predictors of mortality. Results. The incidence of mortality was 3.8/100 person-years. Independent predictors of mortality were WHO clinical stages 3-4 (HR=2.39 at 95% CI (1.26, 5.31)), anemia (hemoglobin level < 10 gm/dL (HR=5.54 at 95% CI (2.58, 11.86)). Conclusion. Incidence of mortality was found relatively low, majority of deaths occurring within 3 months of starting ART. WHO stages 3-4, anemia (hemoglobin count < 10 gm/dL), and past TB coinfection were the main predictors of mortality. The underlying causes for early death in patients presenting at late stages should be investigated.


2000 ◽  
Vol 20 (6) ◽  
pp. 715-721 ◽  
Author(s):  
David W. Johnson ◽  
Karen A. Herzig ◽  
David M. Purdie ◽  
Wendy Chang ◽  
Allison M. Brown ◽  
...  

Objective To determine the influence of an elevated body mass index (BMI) on cardiovascular outcomes and survival in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients. Design Prospective, observational study of a prevalent PD cohort at a single center. Setting Tertiary care institutional dialysis center. Patients The study included all patients with a BMI of at least 20 who had been receiving PD for at least 1 month as of 31 January 1996 ( n = 43). Patients were classified as overweight [BMI > 27.5; mean ± standard error of mean (SEM): 32.1 ± 1.1; n = 14] or normal weight (BMI 20 – 27.5; mean ± SEM: 23.8 ± 0.4; n = 29). Outcome Measures Patient survival and adverse cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, congestive cardiac failure, cerebrovascular accident, and symptomatic peripheral vascular disease) were recorded over a 3-year period. Results At baseline, no significant differences were seen between the groups in clinical, biochemical, nutritional, or echocardiographic parameters, except for a lower dietary protein intake (0.97 ± 0.10 g/kg/day vs 1.44 ± 0.10 g/ kg/day, p = 0.004) and a higher proportion of well-nourished patients by subjective global assessment (100% vs 72%, p < 0.05) in the overweight group. After 3 years of follow-up, 29% of overweight patients and 69% of normal-weight patients had died ( p < 0.05). Using a Cox proportional hazards model, a BMI greater than 27.5 was shown to be an independent positive predictor of patient survival, with an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 0.09 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.01 – 0.85; p < 0.05]. However, being overweight did not significantly influence myocardial infarction-free survival (adjusted HR: 0.33; 95% CI: 0.07 – 1.48; p = 0.15) or combined adverse cardiovascular event-free survival (adjusted HR: 0.67; 95% CI: 0.23 – 1.93; p = 0.46). Conclusions Obesity conferred a significant survival advantage in our PD population. Obese patients should therefore not be discouraged from receiving PD purely on the basis of BMI. Moreover, maintaining a higher-than-average BMI to preserve “nutritional reserve” may help to reduce the mortality and morbidity rates associated with PD.


2018 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. 230949901880774 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joost AAM van den Hout ◽  
Koen LM Koenraadt ◽  
Robert Wagenmakers ◽  
Stefan BT Bolder

Purpose: Modern hip stem design includes a prosthesis that has a predictable outcome in all total hip arthroplasty (THA) patients, regardless of approach, surgeon or patient characteristics. Introduction without a learning curve and, in cases of problems, the possibility for a simple revision are other prerequisites. The purpose of this study is to evaluate whether the Accolade TMZF stem (Stryker Orthopedics, Mahwah, New Jersey, USA) is suitable to fulfil these demands. We report our mid-term survival of the Accolade TMZF hip stem in all patients from the first implantation at our institute. Methods: From the start of using the Accolade TMZF stem (March 2009) until February 2011, 937 THA were performed by 12 surgeons using a posterolateral or anterolateral approach. Survival of the stem was calculated using Kaplan–Meier analysis. Effect of approach, patient age and comorbidity were analysed with a Cox proportional hazards’ model. The learning effect was determined by comparing the number of revisions in the surgeons’ first 20 THAs with their next 30 THAs and the subsequent THAs. Results: At 5 years, cumulative stem survival was 97.9% based on revisions for all reasons and 98.8% with aseptic loosening as endpoint. We found no effect of surgical approach, patient age or comorbidity on stem survival. No learning effect was found. Conclusion: The Accolade TMZF stem fulfilled the demands of modern stem design.


2009 ◽  
Vol 29 (2) ◽  
pp. 163-170 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Fang ◽  
Xiao Yang ◽  
Joanne M. Bargman ◽  
Dimitrios G. Oreopoulos

Background Pulse pressure has been shown to be associated with adverse outcomes in the general population and in patients on hemodialysis (HD). However, the significance of pulse pressure has not been studied in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients. This study examined the association between pulse pressure and mortality in patients undergoing chronic PD. Methods All patients aged 18 years or older that commenced PD between 1 January 2000 and 31 December 2005 at the University Health Network, Toronto, were included. The association between pulse pressure and mortality was assessed using the Cox proportional hazards model. Results A total of 306 patients were included in the study. Mean pulse pressure of the study cohort was 56.8 ± 17.8 mmHg. Age and diabetes were significant predictors of elevated pulse pressure ( p < 0.001). After adjusting for the level of systolic blood pressure and other demographic and clinical parameters, multivariable Cox proportional hazards modeling showed a direct and consistent association between pulse pressure and death risk. Each increment of 1 mmHg in pulse pressure was associated with a 2.7% increased hazard of all-cause death [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.001 – 1.054, p = 0.039] and a 4.1% increase in risk for cardiovascular mortality (hazard ratio 1.041, 95% CI 1.003 – 1.081; p = 0.035). Conclusion Elevated pulse pressure is associated with an increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular death in patients on PD. Recognition of this characteristic as an important predictor of mortality suggests that one goal of antihypertensive therapy in PD patients should be to decrease elevated pulse pressure.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chenglong Ge ◽  
Qianyi Peng ◽  
Yuan Jiang ◽  
Zhiyong Liu ◽  
Wenchao Li ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Although colloid solution has been widely used in practice, its impact on mortality in patients with septic shock remains unknown. We evaluated the association of colloid infusion with outcomes in septic shock patients.Methods: Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC)-III was used to identify patients with septic shock. Propensity score matching (PSM) was employed to balance the baseline differences. Cox proportional hazards model, Wilcoxon rank-sum test, and logistic regression were utilized to determine the associations of colloid infusion with mortality, length of stay, and recovery of kidney function, respectively.Results: A total of 4,553 septic shock patients were studied, including 1,158 with colloid infusion, and 3,395 without colloid infusion. After PSM, 1,012 pairs of patients were matched. Significant benefits in the mortality rate were observed in the colloid group compared with the non-colloid group, with the 28-day mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 0.62; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.52-0.73; P < 0.001], and the 90-day mortality [HR 0.76; 95% CI 0.65-0.88; P < 0.001]. Colloid infusion was not associated with the renal function recovery [HR 1.06; 95% CI 0.87–1.29; P = 0.547] in either population. Nevertheless, subgroup analysis revealed that colloid infusion did not affect the 28-day mortality in people with sepsis of AKI stage 1. In addition, the use of dextran did not decrease the 28-day mortality (HR 1.41; 95% CI 0.19-10.59; P = 0.736). Conclusion: In septic shock patients, colloid infusion (albumin or hydroxyethyl starch) improved short-term survival, but had no clear effect on the recovery of renal function.


1993 ◽  
Vol 3 (8) ◽  
pp. 1501-1507 ◽  
Author(s):  
P G Blake ◽  
G Flowerdew ◽  
R M Blake ◽  
D G Oreopoulos

Serum albumin (SA) is a powerful predictor of patient morbidity and mortality in hemodialysis, but data are limited for continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis (CAPD). SA was monitored in 76 new CAPD patients over 222 6-month periods and mean SA was correlated with morbidity and mortality during those periods. The influence of initial SA on duration of technique survival was also investigated. To determine which factors best predict SA, correlations with patient demographics and with 6-month measurements of dialytic dose, protein intake, and peritoneal transport were sought. Mean SA overall was 34.1 +/- 3.3 g/L, and mean initial SA was 33.4 +/- 3.1 g/L. Mean SA was lower in diabetics and in those aged 65 or over. Mean SA tended to increase during the first year on CAPD, and this increase was maintained, except in patients aged 65 or over, where it tended to revert to initial values. SA correlated with hospital days (r = -0.20; P < 0.005), fatigue index (r = -0.20; P < 0.005), nerve conduction (P < 0.001), and a variety of laboratory values, and lower SA was associated with technique failure (P < 0.03) and death (P < 0.07). Initial, as well as ongoing, SA was predictive of technique failure (P < 0.05) and Cox proportional hazards regression showed that this predictive power was independent of age, sex, diabetes, and other factors (P = 0.05). The strongest predictors of low SA by stepwise multiple regression were diabetes, a higher dialysate-to-plasma creatinine equilibration ratio, older age, lower body weight, and shorter time on CAPD.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 476-476
Author(s):  
Samuel L. Washington ◽  
Stephen Gregorich ◽  
Sikai Song ◽  
Maxwell V. Meng ◽  
Anne Suskind ◽  
...  

476 Background: For individuals with muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC), studies focused on racial disparities have shown black race is associated with 21% lower odds of guideline-based treatment (GBT) and differences in treatment explain 35% of observed black-white differences in survival. To characterize how the interaction between race/ethnicity and receipt of GBT drive within- and between-race differences in survival for black, white, and Latino individuals with MIBC. Methods: We identified a cohort of individuals with cT2-4 MIBC from 2004-2013 in the National Cancer Database. GBT was defined by American Urological Association guidelines. A Cox proportional hazards model of patient mortality estimated effects of patient GBT status, race/ethnicity, and the GBT-by-race/ethnicity interaction, adjusting for covariates. Results: Of 54,910 MIBC individuals with 125,821 person-years of post-treatment observation (max=11 years), 90.1% were white, 6.9% black, and 3.0% Latino. Half (50.2%) received GBT. Averaging across GBT status, Latino individuals had lower hazard of death compared to black (HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.75-0.87) and white individuals (HR 0.92, 0.86-0.98). With GBT, Latino and white individuals had similar outcomes (HR=1.00, 0.91-1.10) and both groups fared significantly better than black individuals (HR=0.88, 0.79-0.99 and HR=0.88, 0.83-0.94, respectively). Without GBT, Latino individuals fared better than white (HR=0.85, 0.77-0.93) and black individuals (HR=0.74, 0.67-0.82) while white individuals fared better than black individuals (HR=0.87, 0.83-0.92). Latino without GBT fared better than black individuals with GBT (H=0.98, 0.88-1.09), although not statistically significant. Conclusions: Our study finds that not only are GBT levels generally low, which is concerning, but there is also an apparent 'under-allocation' of GBT to a patient group who arguably needs it the most-- black individuals. Future efforts to improve the delivery of GBT, a factor directly impacted by urologic care providers, may mitigate the race-based survival differences observed in individuals with MIBC.


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