scholarly journals Anticoagulation Use and Outcomes Among Patients with Atrial Fibrillation and Von Willebrand Disease

Blood ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 138 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 590-590
Author(s):  
Lauren E. Merz ◽  
Duaa AbdelHameid ◽  
Dareen M. Kanaan ◽  
Guohai Zhou ◽  
Peter M. Manzo ◽  
...  

Abstract Intro: Von Willebrand disease (VWD) is a coagulopathy caused by deficiency or dysfunction of von Willebrand factor (VWF), resulting in prolonged and excessive bleeding. Patients are advised to avoid aspirin (ASA), P2Y12 inhibitors, or anticoagulation (AC) so as not to exacerbate this condition. However, typical treatment for atrial fibrillation (AF) includes anticoagulation, particularly if the risk of stroke by CHA 2DS 2-VASC score is 2+. Current recommendations suggest giving necessary antiplatelet (AP) or AC therapy over no treatment with assessment of bleeding risk throughout the course. However, this is a conditional recommendation based on low certainty in evidence, and there are no specific guidelines on treating AF in patients with VWD. This study aims to assess anticoagulation use, bleeding risk, and stroke risk in patients with VWF and AF. Methods: We conducted an IRB-approved analysis of coded data from institutional electronic medical records to select patients with diagnosis of VWD, low ristocetin cofactor level, or any abnormal VWF panel as well as patients with diagnosis of AF or atrial flutter. Three hundred and forty patients met criteria. Patients were manually screened for inclusion criteria and excluded for inaccurate diagnosis or insufficient data. Eighty-nine patients were included in the analysis. Primary endpoint was rate of major bleeding defined by ISTH criteria while on AC or AP. Categorical data were tested using the Fisher exact test at the nominal 0.05 two-sided significance level, and all person-time comparisons are made against the rate of bleeding on AC alone. Results: Most patients were female (64.0%; 57/89), and 28.1% (25/89) were deceased at the time of data collection. Date of diagnosis of AF ranged from 1980-2020. 42.7% (38/89) of patients were ever prescribed ASA, 43.8% (39/89) a P2Y12 inhibitor, 56.2% (50/89) AC, and 23.6% (21/89) had never been prescribed AP or AC. Of patients with a CHA 2DS 2-VASC of 2+, 57.5% (46/80) were ever prescribed AC. 32.0% (16/50) of patients ever prescribed AC and 25.6% (10/39) patients never prescribed AC had at least one major bleeding event (p=0.428). The rate of major bleeding on AC alone was 8.9 events per 100 person-years (32 events/359.2 years), 10.2 events per 100 person-years on AP alone (41 events/402.3 years) (p=0.572), and 1.06 events per 100 person-years (8 events/757.47 years) in patients never prescribed AC or AP (p=<0.0001). Notably, the rate of major bleeding on AC and AP together was 28.07 events per 100 person-years (23 events/81.94 years) (p=<0.0001) occurring in 7 patients, 6 of whom also had a diagnosis of acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Length of time to first major bleed is shown in Figure 1. 16.9% (15/89) of patients had thromboembolic strokes after diagnosis of AF, and 53.3% (8/15) of those strokes occurred when patients were not prescribed AC. Discussion: This retrospective observational study over 40 years characterizes AC and AP use in patients with VWD and AF. Only 57.5% of patients with CHA 2DS 2-VASC of 2+ received standard of care AC despite conditional recommendations to give necessary anticoagulation to patients with VWD. In parallel with the general population, AC use significantly increases the rate of major bleeding in patients with VWD, but there was no difference in bleeding rate between standard AC and AP monotherapy. However, major bleeding rates were notably elevated in patients prescribed concomitant AC and AP which most commonly occurred in the setting of ACS. This analysis is limited by its retrospective nature, the lack of granular details in the coded database, and incomplete data in older charts. Overall, these data do not support the use of AP monotherapy over standard AC to reduce bleeding rates for patients with VWD and AF. Additionally, AC and AP co-administration should be avoided due to high rates of major bleeding, but more studies are required to understand AP and AC strategies in patients with VWD, AF, and ACS. Although the rate of major bleeding is elevated with AC use in patients with VWD, there is no difference in lifetime prevalence of major bleeding events by AC vs no AC use. Finally, over half of thromboembolic strokes occurred when not prescribed AC. Shared decision-making around stroke and bleeding risk is advised in considering AC use for AF in patients with VWD. Prospective studies should further evaluate the risk of major bleeding and stroke in patients with VWD and AF on standard AC vs no AC. Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

Circulation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 132 (suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Michele Murphy ◽  
William Maddox ◽  
Stan Nahman ◽  
Matthew Diamond ◽  
Robert Sorrentino ◽  
...  

Introduction: Hemodialysis patients (HD pts) with atrial fibrillation (AF) have increased risk of stroke. The HASBLED (Hypertension (HTN), Abnl Renal/Liver Function, Stroke, Bleeding Hx, Labile INR, Elderly, Drugs/Alcohol) risk score predicts bleeding in the general AF population. It is unknown whether the HASBLED score can be applied to HD pts who are at additional bleeding risk due to uremic platelet dysfunction and the regular use of heparin. Hypothesis: To address this question, we queried the United States Renal Data System (USRDS) for bleeding events in HD pts with AF, and correlated those events with a modified HASBLED (mHASBLED) score. Methods: All incident HD pts with AF from the USRDS for 2006-2010 were queried for major bleeding events and mHASBLED parameters using ICD-9 diagnosis codes and data from CMS form 2728. For mHASBLED, the HTN parameter was defined as "HTN as the cause of renal failure", and labile INR as > 16 INRs/yr, but all other parameters could be derived from the dataset. Logistic regression (LR) analysis was used to estimate the odds ratio (OR) for the mHASBLED score to predict major bleeding events. Results: 74,631 HD pts had AF, and 9.8% had a major bleeding event (GI bleeding and hemorrhagic stroke). By univariate analysis, those who bled were more likely to be elderly, have an underlying cause of renal disease due to HTN, prior bleeding event, hepatitis C, labile INR, and be on oral anticoagulants. By LR, variables with the greatest impact on bleeding were HTN as a cause of underlying renal disease, prior bleeding history, and labile INR (OR of 1.10, 2.20 and 2.24, respectively). The OR for bleeding events increased by 1.28 for each unit increase in mHASBLED. Older age, prior stroke, abnormal renal or liver function, and drug use had the least effect. Note that the lowest possible score in this cohort is 1, given that all patients had renal failure. Conclusions: In HD pts with AF, the mHASBLED predicts major bleeding events. The universal presence of renal disease, and the lack of specific clinical data from the USRDS may limit the clinical precision of a given score, however mHASBLED may remain a useful indicator of bleeding risk in this population.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
A Cordero ◽  
J.M Garcia-Acuna ◽  
M Rodriguez-Manero ◽  
B Cid ◽  
B Alvarez Alvarez ◽  
...  

Abstract Background In 2019 the Academic Research Consortium of high-bleeding risk (ARC-HBR) proposed a new and binary definition of high-bleeding risk (HBR) patients based on the presence of 1 major or 2 minor criteria. Methods Prospective study of all consecutive patients admitted for ACS in two different centers. We analyzed bleeding incidence in patients with 1 major criteria (1MC) vs. 2 minor criteria (2mC) using the 2019 ARC-HBR consensus. Bleeding events were collected according those fitting definitions 3 or 5 of the BARC consortium. Results We included 8,724 patients included and 40.9% we classified as HBR; 20.9% for 1MC and 20.0% for 2mC. In-hospital mayor bleeding rate was 8.6%; no-HBR patients had 0.3%, 2mC 15.1% and 1MC 29.7% (p<0.001 for the comparison). In contrast, the statistically highest in-hospital mortality was observed in patients with 2mC (11.4%), followed by patients with 1MC (8.0%) and no-HBR patients (2.0%). During follow-up (median time 57.8 months) all-cause mortality rate was 21.0% and cardiovascular dead 14.2%. The incidence of post-discharge major bleeding was 10.5%. No-HBR patients had the lowest bleeding rate (7.4%) and no difference was observed in patients with 1MC (14.6%) or 2mC (15.8%) (figure). The multivariate analysis, adjusted by age, gender, medical treatment, atrial fibrillation and revascularization and considering all-cause mortality as competing risk, showed independent association of 1MC (sHR: 1.46, 95% 1.22–1.75) and 2mC (sHR: 1.31, 95% CI 1.05–1.63) with post-discharge major bleeding. Conclusions HBR patients according to the 2019 ARC-HBR containing 2mC or 1MC are at similar and higher risk of in-hospital or post-discharge bleeding events Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
L Bergamaschi ◽  
A Stefanizzi ◽  
M Coriano ◽  
P Paolisso ◽  
I Magnani ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Several risk scores have been proposed to assess the bleeding risk in patients with Atrial Fibrillation. Purpose To compare the efficacy of HAS-BLED, ATRIA and ORBIT scores to predict major bleedings in newly diagnosed non-valvular AF (NV-AF) treated with vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) or new oral anticoagulants (NOACs). Methods We analyzed all consecutive patients with AF at our outpatient clinic from January to December 2017. Only those with new diagnosed NV-AF starting new anticoagulant therapy were enrolled. Major hemorrhagic events were defined according to the ISTH definition in non-surgical patients. Results Out of the 820 patients admitted with AF, 305 were newly diagnosed with NV-AF starting oral anticoagulation. Overall, 51.3% were male with a mean age of 72.6±13.7 years. Thirty-six patients (11.8%) started VKAs whereas 269 (88.2%) patients were treated with NOACs. The median follow-up time was 10.4±3.4 months. During follow-up, 123 (32.2%) bleeding events were recorded, 21 (17,1%) in the VKA group and 102 (82,9%) in the NOAC group. Eleven (2.9%) major bleeding events occurred: 5 (45.5%) in the VKA group and 6 (54.5%) in the NOAC group. Overall, patients with major hemorrhagic events showed a mean value of the scores significantly higher when compared to patients without such bleeding complications (HASBLED 3.4 vs 2.4 p=0.007; ATRIA 5.6 vs 2.4 p<0.001; ORBIT 3.6 vs 1.8 p<0,001). Conversely, when analyzing the VKA subgroup, only the ATRIA score was significantly higher in patients with major adverse events (7.4 vs 3.5 p<0.001; HAS-BLED: 4.4 vs 3.6 p=0.27; ORBIT 4.4 vs 2.9 p=0.13). An ATRIA score ≥4 identified patients at high risk of bleeding (29.4% vs. 0% events. respectively, p=0.04). In the NOAC group, patients with major bleeding events had higher mean values of ATRIA (4.0 vs 2.3 p=0.02) and ORBIT (2.8 vs 1.6 p=0,04) but not the HAS-BLED (2.5 vs 2.3 p=0.57) scores. Similarly, patients on NOACs with an ATRIA score ≥4 had higher rates of major bleedings (8.1% vs. 1.6% p=0,02). Comparing the single elements of the ATRIA score, only glomerular filtration rate <30 ml/min/1.73 mq was associated with major bleedings in the VKA group (p<0.001) whereas, in the NOAC group, anemia was strongly associated with bleeding events (p=0,02). In fact, multivariate analysis in the NOAC group showed that hemoglobin level at admission was an independent predictor for major bleeding events (OR 0.41, 95% CI 0.23–0.75, P=0.003). Conversely, in the VKA group, baseline creatinine level was an independent predictor for these events (OR 12.76, 95% CI 1.6–101.7, P=0.016). Conclusions The ATRIA score showed the best efficacy in predicting major bleeding events. Hemoglobin and creatinine levels at admission were independent predictors for major hemorrhagic events in the NOAC and in the VKA groups, respectively. The latter finding might be helpful in stratifying the hemorrhagic risk at the beginning of treatment.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
K Ishigami ◽  
Y Aono ◽  
S Ikeda ◽  
K Doi ◽  
Y An ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Thrombocytopenia is sometimes found in routine blood tests and is reported as a risk factor of major bleeding events and incidence of all-cause death after percutaneous coronary intervention. However, the influence of thrombocytopenia on clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unknown. Purpose We aimed to investigate relationship between baseline platelet count and clinical outcomes such as all-cause death, hospitalization for heart failure, and the major bleeding event in AF patients. Methods The Fushimi AF Registry was designed to enroll all of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto. Fushimi-ku is densely populated with a total population of 283,000 and is assumed to represent a typical urban community in Japan. Follow-up data with baseline platelet counts were available in 4,179 patients from March 2011 to November 2018. We divided the entire cohort into 3 groups according to baseline platelet level: No thrombocytopenia (≥150,000/μL, n=3,323), Mild thrombocytopenia (100,000–149,999/μL, n=707), and Moderate/severe thrombocytopenia (≤99,999/μL, n=149). Results In the entire cohort, the mean age was 73 years, 40% were women, and the mean body weight and body mass index was 59 kg and 23.1 kg/m2, and the median platelet count were 192,000/μL (interquartile range 156,000 to 232,000/μL), respectively. Compared to No thrombocytopenia, patients with thrombocytopenia were older (No vs. Mild vs. Moderate/severe; 73.3 years vs. 76.5 years vs. 75.8 years, p<0.0001), more likely to have heart failure (27.0% vs. 32.8% vs. 41.6%, p<0.0001), more likely to have chronic renal disease (35.7% vs. 42.6% vs. 57.7%, p<0.0001), and had higher CHADS2 score (2.05 vs. 2.17 vs. 2.34, p=0.0039) and CHA2DS2-VASc score (3.40 vs. 3.52 vs. 3.71, p=0.0416). Patients with thrombocytopenia had lower hemoglobin (13.0 vs. 12.8 vs. 11.6, p<0.0001) than No thrombocytopenia. However, prevalence of previous major bleeding events was comparable between three groups (4.66% vs. 4.67% vs. 5.37%, p=0.92) On Kaplan-Meier analysis, the incidence of all-cause death was higher in Mild group (hazard ratio [HR] 1.51; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.28–1.77) and Moderate/severe group (HR 2.97; 95% CI 2.28–3.80) than No group (Figure 1). The incidence of hospitalization for heart failure was higher in Mild group (HR 1.62; 95% CI 1.31–1.99) and Moderate/severe group (HR 2.64; 95% CI 1.76–3.81) than No group (Figure 2). The incidence of major bleeding event was higher in Mild group (HR 1.46; 95% CI 1.11–1.91) and Moderate/severe group (HR 2.45; 95% CI 1.41–3.91) than No group (Figure 3). Conclusion Thrombocytopenia in AF patients was associated with higher incidence of all-cause death, hospitalization for heart failure, and major bleeding event in the Fushimi AF Registry. Acknowledgement/Funding Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare,and Daiichi-Sankyo


2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Y Minematsu ◽  
M Natsuaki ◽  
G Yoshioka ◽  
K Shinzato ◽  
Y Nishimura ◽  
...  

Abstract Background/Introduction CREDO-Kyoto bleeding risk score was developed to predict the post-discharge bleeding events in patients with percutaneous coronary intervention. However, there were limited reports of the effectiveness of this score to predict the in-hospital bleeding events in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Methods We evaluated 562 consecutive ACS patients in Saga university hospital between 2014 and 2019. Primary outcome was major bleeding during hospitalization. Major bleeding was defined as the GUSTO moderate/severe bleeding. Patients were classified into three groups according to the CREDO-Kyoto bleeding risk score (low, intermediate and high). Results Major bleeding events occurred in 12.1% of all patients during hospitalization. Patients in the high risk group (n=22) had significantly higher incidence of major bleeding than those in the intermediate (n=113) and the low risk groups (n=427) (22.7%, 18.6%, versus 9.8%, respectively, p=0.018, see figure). Multivariate analysis showed that intermediate and high risk groups were independent predictors for the in-hospital major bleeding. Conclusions CREDO-Kyoto risk score successfully identified high risk ACS patients for the major bleeding during hospitalization. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None. Results


BMJ Open ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. e022478 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miklos Rohla ◽  
Thomas W Weiss ◽  
Ladislav Pecen ◽  
Giuseppe Patti ◽  
Jolanta M Siller-Matula ◽  
...  

ObjectivesWe identified factors associated with thromboembolic and bleeding events in two contemporary cohorts of anticoagulated patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), treated with either vitamin K antagonists (VKA) or non-VKA oral anticoagulants (NOACs).DesignProspective, multicentre observational study.Setting461 centres in seven European countries.Participants5310 patients receiving a VKA (PREvention oF thromboembolic events - European Registry in Atrial Fibrillation (PREFER in AF), derivation cohort) and 3156 patients receiving a NOAC (PREFER in AF Prolongation, validation cohort) for stroke prevention in AF.Outcome measuresRisk factors for thromboembolic events (ischaemic stroke, systemic embolism) and major bleeding (gastrointestinal bleeding, intracerebral haemorrhage and other life-threatening bleeding).ResultsThe mean age of patients enrolled in the PREFER in AF registry was 72±10 years, 40% were female and the mean CHA2DS2-VASc Score was 3.5±1.7. The incidence of thromboembolic and major bleeding events was 2.34% (95% CI 1.93% to 2.74%) and 2.84% (95% CI 2.41% to 3.33%) after 1-year of follow-up, respectively.Abnormal liver function, prior stroke or transient ischaemic attack, labile international normalised ratio (INR), concomitant therapy with antiplatelet or non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, heart failure and older age (≥75 years) were independently associated with both thromboembolic and major bleeding events.With the exception of unstable INR values, these risk factors were validated in patients treated with NOACs (PREFER in AF Prolongation Study, 72±9 years, 40% female, CHA2DS2-VASc 3.3±1.6). For each single point decrease on a modifiable bleeding risk scale we observed a 30% lower risk for major bleeding events (OR 0.70, 95% CI 0.64 to 0.76, p<0.01) and a 28% lower rate of thromboembolic events (OR 0.72, 95% CI 0.66 to 0.82, p<0.01).ConclusionAttending to modifiable risk factors is an important treatment target in anticoagulated AF patients to reduce thromboembolic and bleeding events. Initiation of anticoagulation in those at risk of stroke should not be prevented by elevated bleeding risk scores.


Author(s):  
Matthew R Weir ◽  
Lloyd Haskell ◽  
Jeffrey S Berger ◽  
Veronica Ashton ◽  
François Laliberté ◽  
...  

Introduction: Renal functional impairment is linked to an increased risk of thromboembolic and bleeding events in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) treated with warfarin and rivaroxaban. Anticoagulants such as warfarin and rivaroxaban are often recommended to reduce the risk of stroke in NVAF patients. The purpose of this study was to evaluate and compare thromboembolic and bleeding event rates for warfarin and rivaroxaban patients stratified by presence of chronic kidney disease (CKD). Methods: Claims from the IMS Health Real-World Data Adjudicated Claims database from 05/2011-6/2015 were analyzed. Adult patients with NVAF who had ≥6 months of baseline data prior to the first dispensing of warfarin or rivaroxaban after 11/2011 were included. Patients were followed until the end of index therapy or end of data availability/insurance coverage. Outcomes were stratified by presence of CKD for ischemic stroke, major bleeding, and a composite measure of thromboembolic events (ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction (MI) or venous thromboembolism (VTE)) and analyzed using hazard ratios (HRs). Adjustments for confounding were made with inverse probability of treatment weights (IPTW). Results: The analysis included 39,872 rivaroxaban (9.0% [3,572 of 39,872] with CKD) and 48,637 warfarin patients (16.9% [8,230 of 48,637] with CKD). As expected, thromboembolic and bleeding events were more common in patients with CKD than those without CKD. Rivaroxaban patients had significantly lower risk of ischemic stroke, both in the overall population (HR = 0.79 [0.68-0.90], p=0.0008) and for those with CKD (HR = 0.55 [0.40-0.77], p=0.0004). A composite of thromboembolic events were lower with rivaroxaban irrespective of CKD. Major bleeding rates were comparable across all groups. Table 1 reports incidence rates and HRs stratified by presence of CKD. Conclusions: This study suggests that, in an adult population with NVAF, rivaroxaban-treated patients had fewer ischemic strokes across all patients, including patients with renal impairment. Rivaroxaban-treated patients also had significantly better outcomes for the composite (VTE, MI, or stroke) measure across all groups. Bleeding rates were comparable across all groups.


Circulation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 132 (suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
John A Dodson ◽  
Andrew Petrone ◽  
David Gagnon ◽  
Mary E Tinetti ◽  
Harlan M Krumholz ◽  
...  

Introduction: Clinicians are hesitant to prescribe oral anticoagulants to older adults with atrial fibrillation (AF) due to concerns over bleeding risk. Hypothesis: As many data on bleeding events are from trials of rigorously selected patients, we hypothesized that major bleeding events (requiring hospitalization) would be more common than previously reported. Methods: We created a retrospective cohort of 31,951 Veterans with AF aged ≥75 years who were new referrals to VA anticoagulation clinics (warfarin) from 1/1/02 - 12/31/12. Patients with comorbid conditions requiring warfarin (e.g. pulmonary embolus) were excluded. Data were extracted from the VA electronic medical record and linked with Medicare claims data for subsequent hospitalizations. The primary outcome was any hospitalization for bleeding. We identified bleeding subtypes by source, and compared characteristics of patients with and without bleeding hospitalizations. Results: Mean population age was 81.1 years, 98.1% were male, and 8.4% were nonwhite. Over a median follow-up period of 2.62 years, 7288 patients (22.8%) were hospitalized for bleeding. There were 12,004 total bleeding events; overall, 980 (13.4%) patients experienced multiple events. The most common bleeding sources (first event) were gastrointestinal (50.8%), genitourinary (21.6%), and intracranial (9.4%) (Figure). The median time to first bleeding event was 1.59 years. Patients hospitalized for bleeding were more likely to have coronary disease (48.4% vs. 40.9%, P<0.01); COPD (28.4% vs. 24.7%, P<0.01); chronic kidney disease (17.8% vs. 16.0%, P<0.01); CHF (34.7% vs. 29.5%, P<0.01), and labile INR (63.3% vs. 53.7%, P<0.01). The rate of hospitalization for stroke over the same time period was 5.0%. Conclusions: After initiating warfarin, over one in five older Veterans are hospitalized for bleeding, most commonly from a gastrointestinal source. Comorbidity burden and labile INR place these patients at increased risk.


Heart ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. heartjnl-2021-319702
Author(s):  
Ofra Barnett-Griness ◽  
Nili Stein ◽  
Antonio Kotler ◽  
Walid Saliba ◽  
Naomi Gronich

ObjectiveClinical models such as the HAS-BLED (standing for Hypertension, Abnormal liver/renal function, Stroke history, Bleeding history or predisposition, Labile INR, Elderly, Drug/alcohol usage) were developed to predict risk of major bleeding on vitamin K antagonists/antiplatelet therapy. We aimed to develop a model that will improve the ability to predict major bleeding events in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF) treated with new oral anticoagulants (NOACs).MethodsClalit Health Services is the largest of four integrated healthcare organisations in Israel, which insures 4.7 million patients (53% of the population). We identified in Clalit Health Services all patients with AF, new users of an NOAC (2013–2017), and followed them until first occurrence of a major bleeding event, death, switch to another oral anticoagulant, 30 days after discontinuation of NOAC or end of follow-up (31 December 2019). Importance of the candidate model variables was estimated by inclusion frequencies across forward selection algorithm applied to 50 bootstrap samples. Then, backward selection algorithm using the modified Bayesian Information Criterion for competing risks was applied to select predictors for the final model.Results47 623 patients with AF prescribed NOAC were studied. 28 055 patients with AF, initiators of apixaban (mean age 78.7, SD 9.0), were included in the first phase and had 662 major bleeding events. Nine variables were selected for inclusion in a final points-based risk-scoring system: male sex, anaemia, thrombocytopaenia (<99×103/µL), concurrent antiplatelet therapy, hypertension, prior major bleeding, risk factors for a fall, low cholesterol level and low estimated glomerular filtration rate, with apparent area-under-curve (AUC) of 0.6546. Applicability of the model was then shown for 14 118 and 5450 patients with AF, initiators of dabigatran and rivaroxaban, where the score achieved c indices of 0.62 and 0.61, respectively.ConclusionsWe present a novel and simple risk score for prediction of major bleeding in patients with non-valvular AF treated with NOACs. Validation in additional cohorts is warranted.


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