scholarly journals Mortality differences between migrants and Italians residing in Rome before, during, and in the aftermath of the great recession. A longitudinal cohort study from 2001 to 2015

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Eleonora Trappolini ◽  
Claudia Marino ◽  
Nera Agabiti ◽  
Cristina Giudici ◽  
Marina Davoli ◽  
...  

Abstract Background In Europe, one of the most consistent findings is that of migrant mortality advantage in high-income countries. Furthermore, the literature shows that economic shocks, which bring worse health outcomes, can severely affect the most disadvantaged individuals. We analyse differences and changes in all-cause mortality between Italians and migrants residing in Rome before, during, and in the aftermath of the Great Recession (2001–2015) by birth-cohort. Methods The analysis is a longitudinal open cohort study. Mortality data come from the Register of the Causes of Death (58,637 deaths) and the population denominator (n = 2,454,410) comes from the Municipal Register of Rome. By comparing three time-periods (2001–2005, 2006–2010, and 2011–2015), we analyse all-cause mortality of Rome residents born, respectively, in the intervals 1937–1976, 1942–1981, 1947–1986 (aged 25–64 years at entry into observation). Computing birth-cohort-specific death rates and applying parametric survival models with age as the time-scale, we compare mortality differences between migrants and Italians by gender, area of origin, and time-period. Results Overall, we find a lower risk of dying for migrants than Italians regardless of gender (Women: HR = 0.61, 95% CI 0.56–0.66; Men: HR = 0.49, 95% CI 0.45–0.53), and a lower death risk over time for the total population. Nevertheless, such a pattern changes according to gender and migrants’ area of origin. Conclusion Given the relevance of international migrations in Europe, studying migrants’ health has proved increasingly important. The deterioration in migrant health and the gradual weakening of migrants’ mortality advantage is likely to become a public health issue with important consequences for the healthcare system of all European countries.

2020 ◽  
Vol 25 (6) ◽  
pp. 3821
Author(s):  
G I Simonova ◽  
S V Mustafina ◽  
O D Rymar ◽  
L V Scherbacova ◽  
T I Nikitenko ◽  
...  

Aim. To study the risk of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in patients with metabolic syndrome (MS) according to a 14-year prospective cohort study in Siberia.Material and methods. Based on the data from the Russian arm of the HAPIEE project, we assessed all-cause deaths occurred by 2017 in the population cohort examined at baseline in 2003-2005 (n=9273). The baseline examination included the assessment of blood pressure (BP), anthropometry, levels of fasting triglycerides, high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and blood glucose. The fatal cases in the studied cohort were identified from “Medical death certificates” for the period from February 1, 2003 to December 31, 2017, based on data from the Department of Civil Registration of Death Acts. Cardiovascular death was established using the International Classification of Diseases, the 10th revision (ICD-10): I (0-99).Results. The mortality rate in subjects with MS was 16,6% — 751 deaths (25,1% in men and 11,5% in women), and it was 20-30% higher than in those without MS. Cardiovascular mortality in subjects with MS was 12,6% — 572 deaths (20,5% in men and 8,9% in women), and it was nearly 30% higher than in those without MS. Multivariable Cox regression revealed that among the components of MS, the elevated BP level even with BP ≥135/80 mm Hg had the major impact on increasing the risk of all-cause mortality (HR=1,7 (1,4; 2,1) in men; HR=2,2 (1,7; 2,8) in women) and increasing the risk of cardiovascular mortality (HR=2,2 (1,5; 3,0) in men and HR=2,8 (1,8; 4.3) in women). Among men, already 1 component of MS increased the risk of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality by 2,0 or more times; among women, 2-4 components of MS increased the risk of death by 3 times, and 5 components — by 4.Conclusion. In the studied population sample, cardiovascular and all-cause mortality during the 14-year follow-up in individuals with MS was about 25-30% higher compared to those without MS. The risk of cardiovascular and all-cause deaths in subjects with MS is comparable to the risk in case of blood pressure ≥135/80 mm Hg. With an increase in the number of MS components from 1 to 5, the risk of all-cause and cardiovascular death increases.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Njabulo Ncube ◽  
Elena Kulinskaya ◽  
Nicholas Steel ◽  
Dmitry Pchejetski

Objective To estimate long-term hazards of all-cause mortality following a diagnosis of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) using electronic primary care data. Methodology Retrospective matched cohort study using electronic health records from THIN primary care database. The study included individuals born between 1930 and 1960, diagnosed with T2DM between 2000 and 2016 and aged 50-74 years and excluded those with pre-existing stroke, cancer, cognitive impairment, lower limb amputation or chronic kidney disease (CKD) stages 3 to 5. T2DM individuals were matched at diagnosis to at most 3 controls by age, gender and general practice (GP) and followed up to 1 January 2017. Time-varying hazards of all-cause mortality were then estimated using Gompertz-double-Cox model with frailty on GP, adjusting for medical history, socio-demographic and lifestyle factors. Results A total of 221 182 (57.6% Males, 30.8% T2DM) individuals were selected for the study of whom 29 618 (13.4%) died during follow-up. The adjusted mortality hazard of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) was estimated to be 1.21[1.12-1.3] and 1.52[1.44-1.6] among individuals diagnosed at 50-59 years and 60-74 years, respectively, compared to controls. Deprivation, obesity, smoking and comorbidities affected survival of cases and controls equally. Compared to the 1930-39 birth cohort, all-cause mortality hazards were reduced in the 1940-49 cohort, but increased at older ages in the 1950-60 birth cohort for both cases and controls. Conclusion T2DM is associated with raised all-cause mortality hazards which increase with age of diagnosis. These hazards associated with age at diagnosis are constant across all birth cohorts demonstrating a lack of progress over time in reducing the relative risks of all-cause mortality associated with T2DM. A further study that includes people born after 1960 is needed to fully understand the emerging higher mortality hazards among the younger birth cohorts.


BMJ Open ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. e026280 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tuija M Mikkola ◽  
Mikaela B von Bonsdorff ◽  
Minna K Salonen ◽  
Hannu Kautiainen ◽  
Leena Ala-Mursula ◽  
...  

ObjectivesTo examine the relationships of late-career physical heaviness of work and sitting at work with mortality. A national-level job exposure matrix was used to determine the occupation-specific level of physical heaviness and sitting.DesignProspective cohort study between years 1990 and 2015.SettingCommunity.Participants5210 men and 4725 women from the Helsinki Birth Cohort Study with an occupational code at baseline (ages 45–57 years).Primary and secondary outcome measuresTotal, cardiovascular (International Classification of Diseases 10th Revision I00–I99), cancer (C00–C97) and external (S00–Y84) mortality.ResultsThe exposures, physical heaviness and sitting had a non-linear, inverse relationship. During the 26-year follow-up, 1536 men and 759 women died. Among men, physical heaviness of work was positively associated and sitting at work was negatively associated with all-cause, cardiovascular and external cause mortality but they were not associated with cancer mortality. The HRs for men in the highest quartile of physical heaviness of work compared with men in the lowest quartile were 1.54 (1.31–1.80) for all-cause mortality, 1.70 (1.30–2.23) for cardiovascular mortality and 3.18 (1.75–5.78) for external cause mortality (adjusted for age and years of education). Compared with the lowest quartile, the HRs for the highest quartile of sitting at work among men were 0.71 (0.61–0.82) for all-cause mortality, 0.59 (0.45–0.77) for cardiovascular mortality and 0.38 (0.22–0.66) for external cause mortality. In women, neither physical heaviness of work nor sitting at work was associated with mortality.ConclusionsMen in physically heavy work at their late-work career are at higher risk of death than men in physically light work.


2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (6) ◽  
pp. 1189-1193
Author(s):  
Jonna Levola ◽  
Richard J Rose ◽  
Antti Mustonen ◽  
Marian Sarala ◽  
Jouko Miettunen ◽  
...  

Abstract Background More information on the health-related repercussions of age at onset of adolescent drinking is needed. The aim of this study was to examine the associations between self-reported age at first drink and age at first alcohol intoxication with the risk of death by age 30. Methods The sample (n = 6564; 49.1% males) included all participants of the Northern Finland Birth Cohort Study 1986 (NFBC1986) for whom the two measures of adolescent drinking were available. Self-reported age at onset of first drink and first alcohol intoxication were analyzed along with background variables and data regarding subsequent psychiatric diagnoses. Adolescents were dichotomized into those reporting age at first drink and age at first intoxication before or after age 14. Cox regression was used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence interval (95% CI) for death by age 30. Results By the age of 30, 0.7% (n = 47) of all 6564 participants were deceased. In the multivariable models, male gender and a history of illicit substance use in adolescence were associated with both all-cause mortality and mortality due to accidents or suicide. After controlling for confounding variables, age at first alcohol intoxication was associated with all-cause mortality (HR 2.33; 95% CI 1.04–5.20) as well as death due to accidents or suicide (HR 2.99; 95% CI 1.11–8.05). Conclusions Earlier age at first intoxication carries long-term repercussions with respect to premature loss of life. Efforts should be made targeting the prolongation of initiating binge drinking in adolescence to diminish this mortality risk.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erin Strumpf ◽  
Thomas Charters ◽  
Sam Harper ◽  
Arijit Nandi

Objectives: Mortality rates generally decline during economic recessions in high-income countries, however gaps remain in our understanding of the underlying mechanisms. This study estimates the impacts of increases in unemployment rates on both all-cause and cause-specific mortality across U.S. metropolitan regions during the Great Recession.Methods: We estimate the effects of economic conditions during the recent and severe recessionary period on mortality, including differences by age and gender subgroups, using fixed effects regression models. We identify a plausibly causal effect by isolating the impacts of within-metropolitan area changes in unemployment rates and controlling for common temporal trends. We aggregated vital statistics, population, and unemployment data at the area-month-year-age-gender-race level, yielding 527,040 observations across 366 metropolitan areas, 2005-2010.Results: We estimate that a one percentage point increase in the metropolitan area unemployment rate was associated with a decrease in all-cause mortality of 3.95 deaths per 100,000 person years (95%CI -6.80 to -1.10), or 0.5%. Estimated reductions in cardiovascular disease mortality contributed 60% of the overall effect and were more pronounced among women. Motor vehicle accident mortality declined with unemployment increases, especially for men and those under age 65, as did legal intervention and homicide mortality, particularly for men and adults ages 25-64. We find suggestive evidence that increases in metropolitan area unemployment increased accidental drug poisoning deaths for both men and women ages 25-64.Conclusions: Our finding that all-cause mortality increased during the Great Recession is consistent with previous studies. Some categories of cause-specific mortality, notably cardiovascular disease, also follow this pattern, and are more pronounced for certain gender and age groups. Our study also suggests that the recent recession contributed to the growth in deaths from overdoses of prescription drugs in working-age adults in metropolitan areas. Additional research investigating the mechanisms underlying the health consequences of macroeconomic conditions is warranted.


BMJ Open ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (8) ◽  
pp. e047849
Author(s):  
Kee Chee Cheong ◽  
Kuang Hock Lim ◽  
Sumarni Mohd Ghazali ◽  
Chien Huey Teh ◽  
Yong Kang Cheah ◽  
...  

ObjectivesThis study is aimed at determining the association between metabolic syndrome and risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality and all-cause mortality among Malaysian adults.DesignRetrospective cohort study.SettingThe Malaysian Non-Communicable Disease Surveillance (MyNCDS-1) 2005/2006.ParticipantsA total of 2525 adults (1013 men and 1512 women), aged 24–64 years, who participated in the MyNCDS-1 2005/2006.MethodsParticipants’ anthropometric indices, blood pressure, fasting lipid profile and fasting blood glucose levels were evaluated to determine the prevalence of metabolic syndrome by the Harmonized criteria. Participants’ mortality status were followed up for 13 years from 2006 to 2018. Mortality data were obtained via record linkage with the Malaysian National Registration Department. The Cox proportional hazards regression model was applied to determine association between metabolic syndrome (MetS) and risk of CVD mortality and all-cause mortality with adjustment for selected sociodemographic and lifestyle behavioural factors.ResultsThe overall point prevalence of MetS was 30.6% (95% CI: 28.0 to 33.3). Total follow-up time was 31 668 person-years with 213 deaths (111 (11.3%) in MetS subjects and 102 (6.1%) in non-MetS subjects) from all-causes, and 50 deaths (33 (2.9%) in MetS group and 17 (1.2%) in non-MetS group) from CVD. Metabolic syndrome was associated with a significantly increased hazard of CVD mortality (adjusted HR: 2.18 (95% CI: 1.03 to 4.61), p=0.041) and all-cause mortality (adjusted HR: 1.47 (95% CI: 1.00 to 2.14), p=0.048). These associations remained significant after excluding mortalities in the first 2 years.ConclusionsOur study shows that individuals with MetS have a higher hazard of death from all-causes and CVD compared with those without MetS. It is thus imperative to prescribe individuals with MetS, a lifestyle intervention along with pharmacological intervention to improve the individual components of MetS and reduce this risk.


Medicina ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 48 (12) ◽  
pp. 93 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miglė Bacevičienė ◽  
Dalia Lukšienė ◽  
Gailutė Bernotienė ◽  
Abdonas Tamošiūnas

Background and Objective. Epidemiologists agree that physical activity has a protective role in morbidity and mortality mainly through its positive impact on risk factors. So far, most studies have confirmed that CVD risk decreases with an increasing physical activity level, but it is not known what level of physical activity is already sufficient for mortality risk reduction. Thus, the aim of this study was to explore long-term associations between leisure-time physical activity and mortality risk in the Lithuanian urban population. Material and Methods. The MONICA study (1992–1993) and the repeated health examination survey in 2001–2002 were organized as a cohort study of 2642 middle-aged inhabitants from the general Lithuanian population of Kaunas. Two random samples aged 35–64 years were examined in 1992–2002. Leisure-time physical activity was assessed by an interview method, asking about physically demanding activities at leisure time measured in hours. The study sample was pooled into 2 groups: inactive (first quartile) and active (second to fourth quartiles). Follow-up was carried out in terms of the endpoints reached from the baseline until December 31, 2010. Mortality data from the National Death Register were obtained. Results. Multivariate adjusted Cox proportional hazards analyses revealed an HR of 1.46 (95% CI, 1.15–1.85) for all-cause mortality and 1.73 (95% CI, 1.23–2.45) for CVD mortality in the lowest quartile of leisure-time physical activity compared with the higher ones. As much as 16.2% of all-cause mortality and 22.2% of CVD mortality was attributable to the lowest quartile of leisuretime physical activity. Conclusions. This study demonstrated a beneficial effect of leisure time physical activity on predicting all-cause and CVD mortality risk.


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