scholarly journals Exposure-weighted scoring for metabolic syndrome and the risk of myocardial infarction and stroke: a nationwide population-based study

2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Eun Young Lee ◽  
Kyungdo Han ◽  
Da Hye Kim ◽  
Yong-Moon Park ◽  
Hyuk-Sang Kwon ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Metabolic syndrome (MetS) status changes over time, but few studies have investigated the relationship between the extent or duration of exposure to MetS and the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). We investigated the cumulative effects of MetS and its components on the risk of myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke. Methods From the Korean National Health Insurance database, 2,644,851 people who received annual health examinations from 2010 to 2013 were recruited. Exposure-weighted scores for MetS during this 4-year period were calculated in two ways: cumulative number of MetS diagnoses (MetS exposure score, range: 0–4) and the composite of its five components (MetS component exposure score, range: 0–20). The multivariable Cox proportional-hazards model was used to assess CVD risk according to the exposure-weighted scores for MetS. Results MetS was identified at least once in 37.6% and persistent MetS in 8.2% of subjects. During the follow-up (median, 4.4 years), 10,522 cases of MI (0.4%) and 10,524 cases of stoke (0.4%) occurred. The risk of MI and stroke increased gradually with increasing exposure scores of MetS and its components (each P for trend < 0.0001). The hazard ratio [(HR) (95% CI)] of MI and stroke were 5.27 (4.20–6.62) and 3.90 (3.09–4.93), respectively, in those with a score of 20 compared with those with a MetS component exposure score of 0. People fulfilling only two MetS components out of 20 already had 22% increased risk of MI, and those with three MetS components had 24% increased risk of stroke. These associations were consistent in the subgroup and sensitivity analyses. Conclusions A dose–response relationship between the cumulative exposure to metabolic disturbances and incident MI or stroke was evident. Even minimal exposure to MetS components was sufficient to increase the risk of CVD significantly, highlighting the importance of intensive risk management for the prevention of CVD.

2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hyo-Jeong Ahn ◽  
Kyung-Do Han ◽  
Eue-Keun Choi ◽  
Jin-Hyung Jung ◽  
Soonil Kwon ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The metabolic syndrome (MetS) and its components are associated with the development of atrial fibrillation (AF). However, the impact of time-burden of MetS on the risk of AF is unknown. We investigated the effect of the cumulative longitudinal burden of MetS on the development of AF. Methods We included 2 885 189 individuals without AF who underwent four annual health examinations during 2009–2013 from the database of the Korean national health insurance service. Metabolic burdens were evaluated in the following three ways: (1) cumulative number of MetS diagnosed at each health examination (0–4 times); (2) cumulative number of each MetS component diagnosed at each health examination (0–4 times per MetS component); and (3) cumulative number of total MetS components diagnosed at each health examination (0 to a maximum of 20). The risk of AF according to the metabolic burden was estimated using Cox proportional-hazards models. Results Of all individuals, 62.4%, 14.8%, 8.7%, 6.5%, and 7.6% met the MetS diagnostic criteria 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4 times, respectively. During a mean follow-up of 5.3 years, the risk of AF showed a positive association with the cumulative number of MetS diagnosed over four health examinations: adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of 1, 2, 3, and 4 times compared to 0 times were 1.18 (1.13–1.24), 1.31 (1.25–1.39), 1.46 (1.38–1.55), and 1.72 (1.63–1.82), respectively; P for trend < 0.001. All five components of MetS, when diagnosed repeatedly, were independently associated with an increased risk of AF: adjusted HR (95% CI) from 1.22 (1.15–1.29) for impaired fasting glucose to 1.96 (1.87–2.07) for elevated blood pressure. As metabolic components were accumulated from 0 to 20 counts, the risk of AF also gradually increased up to 3.1-fold (adjusted HR 3.11, 95% CI 2.52–3.83 in those with 20 cumulative components of MetS), however, recovery from MetS was linked to a decreased risk of AF. Conclusions Given the positive correlations between the cumulative metabolic burdens and the risk of incident AF, maximal effort to detect and correct metabolic derangements even before MetS development might be important to prevent AF and related cardiovascular diseases.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hyo-Jeong Ahn ◽  
Kyung-Do Han ◽  
Eue-Keun Choi ◽  
Jin-Hyung Jung ◽  
Soonil Kwon ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: The metabolic syndrome (MetS) and its components are associated with the development of atrial fibrillation (AF). However, the impact of time-burden of MetS on the risk of AF is unknown. We investigated the effect of the cumulative longitudinal burden of MetS on the development of AF. Methods: We included 2 885 189 individuals without AF who underwent four annual health examinations during 2009–2013. Metabolic burdens were evaluated in the following three ways: (1) cumulative number of MetS diagnosed at each health examination (0–4 times); (2) cumulative number of each MetS component diagnosed at each health examination (0–4 times per MetS component); and (3) cumulative number of total MetS components diagnosed at each health examination (0 to a maximum of 20). The risk of AF according to the metabolic burden was estimated using Cox proportional-hazards models.Results: Of all individuals, 62.4%, 14.8%, 8.7%, 6.5%, and 7.6% met the MetS diagnostic criteria 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4 times, respectively. During a mean follow-up of 5.3 years, the risk of AF showed a positive association with the cumulative number of MetS diagnosed over four health examinations: adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of 1, 2, 3, and 4 times compared to 0 times were 1.18 (1.13–1.24), 1.31 (1.25–1.39), 1.46 (1.38–1.55), and 1.72 (1.63–1.82), respectively; P for trend < 0.001. All five components of MetS, when diagnosed repeatedly, were independently associated with an increased risk of AF: adjusted HR (95% CI) from 1.22 (1.15–1.29) for impaired glucose intolerance to 1.96 (1.87–2.07) for elevated blood pressure. As metabolic components were accumulated from 0 to 20 counts, the risk of AF also gradually increased up to 3.1-fold (adjusted HR 3.11, 95% CI 2.52–3.83 in those with 20 cumulative components of MetS), however, recovery from MetS was linked to a decreased risk of AF. Conclusions: Given the positive correlations between the cumulative metabolic burdens and the risk of incident AF, maximal effort to detect and correct metabolic derangements even before MetS development might be important to prevent AF and related cardiovascular diseases.


Author(s):  
Yuko Yamaguchi ◽  
Marta Zampino ◽  
Toshiko Tanaka ◽  
Stefania Bandinelli ◽  
Yusuke Osawa ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Anemia is common in older adults and associated with greater morbidity and mortality. The causes of anemia in older adults have not been completely characterized. Although elevated circulating growth and differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) has been associated with anemia in older adults, it is not known whether elevated GDF-15 predicts the development of anemia. Methods We examined the relationship between plasma GDF-15 concentrations at baseline in 708 non-anemic adults, aged 60 years and older, with incident anemia during 15 years of follow-up among participants in the Invecchiare in Chianti (InCHIANTI) Study. Results During follow-up, 179 (25.3%) participants developed anemia. The proportion of participants who developed anemia from the lowest to highest quartile of plasma GDF-15 was 12.9%, 20.1%, 21.2%, and 45.8%, respectively. Adults in the highest quartile of plasma GDF-15 had an increased risk of developing anemia (Hazards Ratio 1.15, 95% Confidence Interval 1.09, 1.21, P&lt;.0001) compared to those in the lower three quartiles in a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model adjusting for age, sex, serum iron, soluble transferrin receptor, ferritin, vitamin B12, congestive heart failure, diabetes mellitus, and cancer. Conclusions Circulating GDF-15 is an independent predictor for the development of anemia in older adults.


Author(s):  
Anwar Santoso ◽  
Yulianto Yulianto ◽  
Hendra Simarmata ◽  
Abhirama Nofandra Putra ◽  
Erlin Listiyaningsih

AbstractMajor adverse cardio-cerebrovascular events (MACCE) in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) are still high, although there have been advances in pharmacology and interventional procedures. Proprotein convertase subtilisin/Kexin type 9 (PCSK9) is a serine protease regulating lipid metabolism associated with inflammation in acute coronary syndrome. The MACCE is possibly related to polymorphisms in PCSK9. A prospective cohort observational study was designed to confirm the association between polymorphism of E670G and R46L in the PCSK9 gene with MACCE in STEMI. The Cox proportional hazards model and Spearman correlation were utilized in the study. The Genotyping of PCSK9 and ELISA was assayed.Sixty-five of 423 STEMI patients experienced MACCE in 6 months. The E670G polymorphism in PCSK9 was associated with MACCE (hazard ratio = 45.40; 95% confidence interval: 5.30–390.30; p = 0.00). There was a significant difference of PCSK9 plasma levels in patients with previous statin consumption (310 [220–1,220] pg/mL) versus those free of any statins (280 [190–1,520] pg/mL) (p = 0.001).E670G polymorphism of PCSK9 was associated with MACCE in STEMI within a 6-month follow-up. The plasma PCSK9 level was higher in statin users.


Circulation ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 137 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ryan P Hickson ◽  
Jennifer G Robinson ◽  
Izabela E Annis ◽  
Ley A Killeya-Jones ◽  
Gang Fang

Introduction: Hospitalization for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) affects medication adherence in prevalent statin users. Our objective was to estimate the association between changes in statin adherence and all-cause mortality after AMI discharge. Hypothesis: Patients who are adherent both pre- and post-AMI have the lowest risk of all-cause mortality. Methods: Medicare administrative claims were used to identify AMI hospitalizations in 2008-2010. Patients were ≥66 years old, continuously enrolled ≥360 days pre-AMI with a statin prescription claim, discharged to home/self-care, and survived ≥180 days post-AMI with continuous enrollment. Statin adherence was measured in the 180 days pre- and post-AMI hospitalization using proportion of days covered and categorized as severely nonadherent, moderately nonadherent, and adherent. The exposure was categorical change in statin adherence from pre- to post-AMI (9 categories, see Figure); adherent/adherent was the reference group. Patients were followed for all-cause mortality from 180 days post-discharge for up to 18 months. A multivariable Cox proportional hazards model estimated hazard ratios (HRs). Results: Of 101,011 eligible patients, 15% decreased, 20% increased, and 64% did not change statin adherence categories. Compared to patients who were adherent pre- and post-AMI, the adjusted HR (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) for patients who increased from severely nonadherent to adherent was 0.93 (95% CI: 0.85-1.02); other increases in adherence had similar HRs (see Figure). Compared to patients who were adherent pre- and post-AMI, the adjusted HR for patients who decreased from adherent to severely nonadherent was 1.22 (95% CI: 1.13-1.33); other decreases in adherence had similar HRs. Conclusions: Although patients with decreased statin adherence had the worst mortality outcomes, those with increased adherence had similar or better outcomes than continuously adherent patients, showing that, even after an AMI, it is not too late to improve statin adherence.


2019 ◽  
Vol 39 (2) ◽  
pp. 147-154 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yasuhiro Kawai ◽  
Shigeru Tanaka ◽  
Hisako Yoshida ◽  
Masatoshi Hara ◽  
Hiroaki Tsujikawa ◽  
...  

Background Residual kidney function (RKF) is an important factor influencing both technique and patient survival in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients. B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) is considered a marker of cardio-renal syndrome. The relationship between BNP and RKF in PD patients remains unclear. Methods We conducted a prospective study of 89 patients who had started and continued PD for 6 months or more in Kyushu University Hospital between June 2006 and September 2015. Participants were divided into low BNP (≤ 102.1 ng/L) and high BNP (> 102.1 ng/L) groups according to median plasma BNP level at PD initiation. The primary outcome was RKF loss, defined as 24-hour urine volume less than 100 mL. We estimated the association between BNP and RKF loss using a Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards model and compared the rate of RKF decline between the 2 groups. To evaluate the consistency of the association, we performed subgroup analysis stratified by baseline characteristics. Results During the median follow-up of 30 months, 30 patients lost RKF. Participants in the high BNP group had a 5.87-fold increased risk for RKF loss compared with the low BNP group after adjustment for clinical and cardiac parameters. A high plasma BNP level was more clearly associated with RKF loss in younger participants compared with older participants in subgroup analysis. Conclusions B-type natriuretic peptide may be a useful risk marker for RKF loss in PD patients. The clinical importance of plasma BNP level as a marker of RKF loss might be affected by age.


Stroke ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 46 (5) ◽  
pp. 1365-1367 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sunil K. Agarwal ◽  
Jennifer Chao ◽  
Frederick Peace ◽  
Suzanne E. Judd ◽  
Brett Kissela ◽  
...  

Background and Purpose— Premature ventricular complexes (PVCs) detected from long-term ECG recordings have been associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke. Whether PVCs seen on routine ECG, commonly used in clinical practice, are associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke remains unstudied. Methods— This analysis included 24 460 participants (aged, 64.5+9.3 years; 55.1% women; 40.0% blacks) from the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study who were free of stroke at the time of enrollment. PVCs were ascertained from baseline ECG (2003–2007), and incident stroke cases through 2011 were confirmed by an adjudication committee. Results— A total of 1415 (5.8%) participants had at least 1 PVC at baseline, and 591 developed incident ischemic stroke during an average (SD) follow-up of 6.0 (2.0) years. In a cox proportional hazards model adjusted for age, sex, race, geographic region, education, previous heart disease, systolic blood pressure, blood pressure–lowering medications, current smoking, diabetes mellitus, left ventricular hypertrophy by ECG, and aspirin use and warfarin use, the presence of PVCs was associated with 38% increased risk of ischemic stroke (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval], 1.38 [1.05–1.81]). Conclusions— PVCs are common on routine screening ECGs and are associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke.


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 00543-2020
Author(s):  
Balázs Csoma ◽  
András Bikov ◽  
Ferenc Tóth ◽  
György Losonczy ◽  
Veronika Müller ◽  
...  

Background and objectiveThe relationship between hospitalisation with an eosinophilic acute exacerbation of COPD (AE-COPD) and future relapses is unclear. We aimed to explore this association by following 152 patients for 12 months after hospital discharge or until their first moderate or severe flare-up.MethodsPatients hospitalised with AE-COPD were divided into eosinophilic and non-eosinophilic groups based on full blood count results on admission. All patients were treated with a course of systemic corticosteroid. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to study the association with the time to first re-exacerbation; a generalised linear regression model was applied to identify clinical variables related to the recurrence of relapses.ResultsWe did not find a difference in the time to the next moderate or severe exacerbation between the eosinophilic (≥2% of total leukocytes and/or ≥200 eosinophils·µL−1, n=51, median (interquartile range): 21 (10–36) weeks) and non-eosinophilic groups (n=101, 17 (9–36) weeks, log-rank test: p=0.63). No association was found when other cut-off values (≥3% of total leukocytes and/or ≥300 eosinophils·µL−1) were used for the eosinophilic phenotype. However, the higher number of past severe exacerbations, a lower forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) at discharge and higher pack-years were related to shorter exacerbation-free time. According to a subgroup analysis (n=73), 48.1% of patients with initial eosinophilic exacerbations had non-eosinophilic relapses on readmission.ConclusionsOur data do not support an increased risk of earlier recurring moderate or severe relapses in patients hospitalised with eosinophilic exacerbations of COPD. Eosinophilic severe exacerbations present a variable phenotype.


Circulation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 132 (suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel Lindholm ◽  
Emil Hagström ◽  
Stefan K James ◽  
Richard C Becker ◽  
Christopher P Cannon ◽  
...  

Introduction: Levels of Growth Differentiation Factor-15 (GDF-15) are associated with major bleeding events in acute coronary syndromes (ACS), when measured at the time of initial presentation. We hypothesized that an additional measurement of GDF-15 at 1 month after ACS provides additional information regarding risk of major bleeding. Methods: In the PLATO trial, levels of GDF-15 were determined in 4049 ACS patients at both baseline and at 1 month, using an immunoassay (Roche). The primary endpoint was non-CABG related major bleeding. A 1-month landmark analysis was performed, in relation to GDF-15 elevation status at baseline and 1 month, using a cutoff of 1800 ng/L. The relation between GDF-15 at 1 month and the primary endpoint from 1 month onward was evaluated using a Cox proportional hazards model; adjusting for baseline GDF-15, age, anemia (hemoglobin <130 g/L in men, <120 g/L in women), impaired renal function (eGFR <50 mL/min/1.73m2), and history of gastrointestinal bleeding. Results: In the unadjusted analysis, patients with GDF-15 >1800 ng/L at 1 month had increased bleeding rates during follow-up, irrespective of the baseline value. Patients with GDF-15 ≤1800 ng/L at 1 month had lower bleeding risk regardless of initial level (see figure). In the adjusted analysis, GDF-15 >1800 ng/L at 1 month was independently associated with the outcome, hazard ratio 3.39 (95% CI 1.89-6.09). Conclusions: The level of GDF-15 at 1 month after ACS is related to the risk of bleeding during dual antiplatelet treatment. Assessment of GDF-15 level at 1 month provides additional information on the subsequent bleeding risk, regardless of the patient’s index GDF-15 level in the acute phase, and may therefore be helpful for decision-making on continued dual antiplatelet treatment.


Stroke ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 44 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
James Torner ◽  
Jie Zhang ◽  
David Piepgras ◽  
John Huston ◽  
Irene Meissner ◽  
...  

INTRODUCTION: The decision regarding whether to perform an interventional procedure as a strategy to prevent hemorrhage of an unruptured intracranial aneurysm (UIA) requires careful consideration of procedural risk and the UIA natural history. No randomized trial data are available. The International Study of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms (ISUIA) included a prospective cohort, examining hemorrhage risk and treatment risk. Hypothesis: The purpose of this analysis was to compare the factors related to treatment selection and determination of the number of hemorrhages prevented. Methods: Patients were allocated into the initial treatment and untreated cohorts based upon observation or treatment practices in 61 centers from 1991-1998. 1691 patients were in the observational cohort, 471 were in the endovascular cohort and 1917 patients were in the surgical cohort. The cohorts were followed for a median follow-up of 9.2 years. Outcomes were determined prospectively and with central review. The data were grouped together and analyzed to determine treatment decisions. A Cox proportional hazards model predicting hemorrhage developed in the observation cohort and was applied to the surgery and endovascular cohorts across the follow-up period. Results: Significant baseline variable differences between treated and observed patients were aneurysm size, symptoms, age, prior SAH group, geographical region, treatment percentage, aneurysm daughter sacs or multiple lobes, and history of hypertension, smoking and myocardial infarction. Aneurysm site and family history were not significant. Site, size, and aspirin use were significant predictors of hemorrhage. Long-term the predicted hemorrhage rates were 6.7% at 5 years and 8.0% at 10 years in the surgery group and 8.1% and 9.6% for the endovascular group, respectively. For comparison the rates in the observed cohort were 4.1% and 4.8%, respectively. Conclusions: Decisions for treatment are influenced by patient characteristics such as age and medical history, aneurysm characteristics such as size and morphology and center and regional practices. Patients in the treated cohorts were at moderately increased risk for hemorrhage compared to those in the observed cohort.


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