scholarly journals Stationary distribution of a stochastic SIRD epidemic model of Ebola with double saturated incidence rates and vaccination

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Panpan Wang ◽  
Jianwen Jia

Abstract In this paper, a stochastic SIRD model of Ebola with double saturated incidence rates and vaccination is considered. Firstly, the existence and uniqueness of a global positive solution are obtained. Secondly, by constructing suitable Lyapunov functions and using Khasminskii’s theory, we show that the stochastic model has a unique stationary distribution. Moreover, the extinction of the disease is also analyzed. Finally, numerical simulations are carried out to portray the analytical results.

Filomat ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 32 (15) ◽  
pp. 5239-5253 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li-Li Wang ◽  
Nan-Jing Huang ◽  
Donal O’Regan

The purpose of this paper is to propose and investigate a stochastic SIQR epidemic model with saturated incidence rate. Firstly, we give some conditions to guarantee the stochastic SIQR epidemic model has a unique global positive solution. Then we verify that the disease in this model will die out exponentially if Rs 0 < 1, while the disease will be persistent in the mean if Rs 0 > 1. Moreover, by constructing suitable Lyapunov functions, we establish some sufficient conditions for the existence of an ergodic stationary distribution for the model. Finally, we provide some numerical simulations to illustrate the analytical results.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Driss Kiouach ◽  
Yassine Sabbar

Hepatitis B epidemic was and is still a rich subject that sparks the interest of epidemiological researchers. The dynamics of this epidemic is often modeled by a system with constant parameters. In reality, the parameters associated with the Hepatitis B model are not certain, but the interval in which it belongs to can readily be determined. Our paper focuses on an imprecise Hepatitis B model perturbed by Lévy noise due to unexpected environmental disturbances. This model has a global positive solution. Under an appropriate assumption, we prove the existence of a unique ergodic stationary distribution by using the mutually exclusive possibilities lemma demonstrated by Stettner in 1986. Our main effort is to establish an almost perfect condition for the existence of the stationary distribution. Numerical simulations are introduced to illustrate the analytical results.


2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (11) ◽  
pp. 12359-12378
Author(s):  
Yuhuai Zhang ◽  
◽  
Xinsheng Ma ◽  
Anwarud Din ◽  
◽  
...  

<abstract><p>In this paper, we propose a novel stochastic SEIQ model of a disease with the general incidence rate and temporary immunity. We first investigate the existence and uniqueness of a global positive solution for the model by constructing a suitable Lyapunov function. Then, we discuss the extinction of the SEIQ epidemic model. Furthermore, a stationary distribution for the model is obtained and the ergodic holds by using the method of Khasminskii. Finally, the theoretical results are verified by some numerical simulations. The simulation results show that the noise intensity has a strong influence on the epidemic spreading.</p></abstract>


Author(s):  
Khadija Akdim ◽  
Adil Ez-Zetouni ◽  
Mehdi Zahid

In this paper, we investigate a stochastic vaccinated epidemic model with a general awareness-induced incidence perturbed by Lévy noise. First, we show that this model has a unique global positive solution. Therefore, we establish the dynamic behavior of the solution around both disease-free and endemic equilibrium points. Furthermore, when [Formula: see text], we give sufficient conditions for the existence of an ergodic stationary distribution to the model when the jump part in the Lévy noise is null. Finally, we present some examples to illustrate the analytical results by numerical simulations.


Author(s):  
Hao Peng ◽  
Xinhong Zhang ◽  
Daqing Jiang

In this paper, we analyze a stochastic rabies epidemic model which is perturbed by both white noise and telegraph noise. First, we prove the existence of the unique global positive solution. Second, by constructing an appropriate Lyapunov function, we establish a sufficient condition for the existence of a unique ergodic stationary distribution of the positive solutions to the model. Then we establish sufficient conditions for the extinction of diseases. Finally, numerical simulations are introduced to illustrate our theoretical results.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Qiuhua Zhang ◽  
Kai Zhou

In this paper, we consider a stochastic SIQR epidemic model with saturated incidence rate. By constructing a proper Lyapunov function, we obtain the existence and uniqueness of positive solution for this SIQR model. Furthermore, we study the dynamical properties of this stochastic SIQR model; that is, (i) we establish the sufficient condition for the existence of ergodic stationary distribution of the model; (ii) we obtain the extinction of the disease under some conditions. At last, numerical simulations are introduced to illustrate our theoretical results.


Symmetry ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 745 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tongqian Zhang ◽  
Tingting Ding ◽  
Ning Gao ◽  
Yi Song

In this paper, a stochastic SIRC epidemic model for Influenza A is proposed and investigated. First, we prove that the system exists a unique global positive solution. Second, the extinction of the disease is explored and the sufficient conditions for extinction of the disease are derived. And then the existence of a unique ergodic stationary distribution of the positive solutions for the system is discussed by constructing stochastic Lyapunov function. Furthermore, numerical simulations are employed to illustrate the theoretical results. Finally, we give some further discussions about the system.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-21
Author(s):  
XIAOJUAN LIU ◽  
SHULIN SUN

In this paper, a model of stochastic competition between plasmid-bearing and plasmid-free organisms in a chemostat is investigated. First, we show that there is a unique global positive solution for the stochastic system. Second, by employing stochastic Lyapunov functions, Itô formula, strong law of large number and some other important inequalities, stochastic characteristics of the stochastic competition chemostat model are studied such as the stochastic asymptotic behaviors of the system. Finally, some numerical simulations are given.


Author(s):  
Xiangyun Shi ◽  
Yimeng Cao

Dynamical behaviors of a stochastic periodic SIRS epidemic model with time delay are investigated. By constructing suitable Lyapunov functions and applying Itô’s formula, the existence of the global positive solution and the property of stochastically ultimate boundedness of model (1.1) are proved. Moreover, the extinction and the persistence of the disease are established. The results are verified by numerical simulations.


Filomat ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 33 (8) ◽  
pp. 2219-2235
Author(s):  
Songnan Liu ◽  
Xiaojie Xu

The paper introduces DS-I-A model with periodical coefficients. First of all, we show that there is a unique positive solution of the stochastic model. Furthermore we deduce the conditions under which the disease will end and continue. At last, we draw a conclusion that there exists nontrivial positive periodic solution for the stochastic system by stochastic Lyapunov functions. Simulations are also carried out to confirm our analytical results.


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