Suicidal risk factors in major affective disorders

2019 ◽  
Vol 215 (04) ◽  
pp. 621-626 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ross J. Baldessarini ◽  
Leonardo Tondo ◽  
Marco Pinna ◽  
Nicholas Nuñez ◽  
Gustavo H. Vázquez
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Hospital Admission ◽  
Mood Disorders ◽  
Roc Analysis ◽  
Conflicts Of Interest ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Type I ◽  
Suicidal Risk ◽  
Percentage Time ◽  
Mixed Features

BackgroundRates and risk factors for suicidal behaviour require updating and comparisons among mood disorders.AimsTo identify factors associated with suicidal risk in major mood disorders.MethodWe considered risk factors before, during and after intake assessments of 3284 adults with/without suicidal acts, overall and with bipolar disorder (BD) versus major depressive disorder (MDD), using bivariate comparisons, multivariable regression modelling and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.ResultsSuicidal prevalence was greater in BD versus MDD: ideation, 29.2 versus 17.3%; attempts, 18.8 versus 4.78%; suicide, 1.73 versus 0.48%; attempts/suicide ratio indicated similar lethality, 10.9 versus 9.96. Suicidal acts were associated with familial BD or suicide, being divorced/unmarried, fewer children, early abuse/trauma, unemployment, younger onset, longer illness, more dysthymic or cyclothymic temperament, attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), substance misuse, mixed features, hospital admission, percentage time unwell, less antidepressants and more antipsychotics and mood stabilisers. Logistic regression found five independent factors: hospital admission, more depression at intake, BD diagnosis, onset age ≤25 years and mixed features. These factors were more associated with suicidal acts in BD than MDD: percentage time depressed/ill, alcohol misuse, >4 pre-intake depressions, more dysthymic/cyclothymic temperament and prior abuse/trauma. ADHD and total years ill were similar in BD and MDD; other factors were more associated with MDD. By ROC analysis, area under the curve was 71.3%, with optimal sensitivity (76%) and specificity (55%) with any two factors.ConclusionsSuicidal risks were high in mood disorders: ideation was highest with BD type II, attempts and suicides (especially violent) with BD type I. Several risk factors for suicidal acts differed between BD versus MDD patients.Declaration of interestNo author or immediate family member has financial relationships with commercial entities that might appear to represent potential conflicts of interest with the information presented.

scholarly journals Determining Postoperative Thrombocyte Reduction Cut Off to Predict 30-Day Mortality in Patients Undergo Coronary Artery Bypass Graft Surgery

Blood ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 134 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 4914-4914
Author(s):  
Ikhwan Rinaldi ◽  
Arif Mansjoer
Keyword(s):  
Sensitivity And Specificity ◽  
Roc Analysis ◽  
Conflicts Of Interest ◽  
Artery Bypass ◽  
Bypass Graft ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Early Mortality ◽  
Receiver Operating Curve ◽  
Thrombocyte Count ◽  
Cabg Surgery

Background There are many factors associated with early mortality after CABG, including postoperative thrombocytopenia (Kertai, 2016). Many factors during CABG surgery, such as administration of heparin or cardio pulmonary bypass during surgery are related to thrombocyte count reduction (Hamid, Akhtar, Naqvi, & Ahsan, 2017; Arepally, 2017). However, it is possible for a post-CABG patient to suffer a significant thrombocyte reduction without reaching the thrombocytopenic state (thrombocyte count <150000/µL). Up to this time, there is still lack of study about association between thrombocyte reduction after surgery and 30-day mortality in patients undergo CABG. This study aim to determine cut off point for postoperative thrombocyte reduction as a predictor of 30-day mortality after CABG surgery. Method This is a retrospective cohort study using medical record of 263 adult patients who underwent CABG surgery in dr. Ciptomangunkusumo National Hospital on 2012-2015. Thrombocyte reduction was determined by substracting preoperative thrombocyte count from postoperative thrombocyte count. Receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis between percentage of thrombocyte reduction and 30-day mortality after surgery was done to obtain the sensitivity and specificity value of a particular degree of thrombocyte reduction. Cut off point was obtained from intersection between sensitivity and specificity value. Result Thirty-day mortality rate after CABG surgery in this study was 11.9%. Cut off point obtained from ROC analysis was 30% with area under the curve (AUC) 0.671. The sensitivity of this cut off point to predict early mortality after CABG surgery was 64.5%, while the specificity was 64.7% Conclusion Thrombocyte reduction more than or equal to 30% can be used as a predictor of 30-day mortality after CABG surgery. Figure Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

scholarly journals Defining Accelerometer Thresholds for Physical Activity in Girls Using ROC Analysis

2010 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 45-53 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sofiya Alhassan ◽  
Thomas N. Robinson
Keyword(s):  
Physical Activity ◽  
Risk Factors ◽  
Roc Analysis ◽  
Operating Characteristic ◽  
Risk Measures ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Screening Tests ◽  
Cvd Risk Factors ◽  
Cvd Risk ◽  
Using Data

Background:Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis is a common method used in diagnostic and screening tests to define thresholds levels of a factor that discriminates between 2 levels of another factor. The purpose of this analysis was to use ROC analysis to determine the optimal accelerometer-measured physical activity (PA) thresholds for predicting selective cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors.Methods:ROC was performed using data from Stanford Girls Health Enrichment Multisite Studies trial. PA was assessed for multiple days using accelerometers. CVD variables were overweight, elevated triglyceride, reduced HDL-C, hypertension, impaired fasting glucose, fasting insulin, and clustering of multiple CVD risk factors.Results:A sample of 261 girls participated, of which 208 had complete CVD risk measures (mean ± SD age = 9.4 ± 0.9yrs, BMI = 20.7 ± 4.8kg/m2). An average of ≥11.1 minutes/day at ≥2,600 counts/min was the maximally sensitive and specific threshold for discriminating girls who were overweight, ≥16.6 minutes/day at ≥2,000 counts/min for hyperinsulinemia or with ≥2 CVD risk factors. The Area Under the Curve for overweight, hyperinsulinemia, and ≥2 CVD risk factors was of 0.66, 0.58, and 0.60, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity associated with overweight, hyperinsulinemia, and ≥2 CVD risk factors were 60.3% and 72.9%, 53.3% and 83.9%, 44.0% and 84.7%, respectively.Conclusion:Empirically-derived thresholds of PA to optimally discriminate between girls with and without CVD risk were lower in this sample than generally recommended. This ROC approach should be repeated in other populations to determine optimal PA thresholds with clinical validity for research, surveillance and program evaluation.

scholarly journals Speckle-tracking echocardiography in comparison to ejection fraction for prediction of cardiovascular mortality in patients with end-stage renal disease

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Janna Terhuerne ◽  
Merel van Diepen ◽  
Rafael Kramann ◽  
Johanna Erpenbeck ◽  
Friedo Dekker ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
End Stage Renal Disease ◽  
Speckle Tracking ◽  
Roc Analysis ◽  
Speckle Tracking Echocardiography ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Stage Renal Disease ◽  
End Stage ◽  
Conventional Echocardiography

Abstract Background Cardiovascular disease is the major cause of death in end-stage renal disease (ESRD). To develop better means to assess cardiovascular risk in these patients, we compared conventional echocardiography-derived left ventricular ejection fraction (EF) with the novel method of 2D speckle-tracking echocardiography to determine cardiac strain. Methods Predictive performances of conventional EF and speckle-tracking echocardiography-derived global longitudinal strain (GLS) were compared using receiver-operator curve (ROC) analyses and calibration by calibration plots. We also took into account other known cardiovascular risk factors through multivariable logistic regression analysis. Results The study comprised 171 ESRD patients (mean age 64 years, 64% male) on maintenance dialysis therapy (93% haemodialysis, 7% peritoneal dialysis) for an average period of 39 months. During 2.1 years of follow-up, 42 patients (25%) died from cardiovascular disease. ROC analysis of GLS resulted in an area under the curve of 0.700 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.603–0.797] compared with an area under the curve of EF of 0.615 (95% CI 0.514–0.716) (P = 0.059 for difference). The total absolute deviation between predicted and observed outcome frequencies obtained by calibration plots were 13.8% for EF compared with only 6.4% for GLS. Best results of ROC analysis (area under the curve = 0.759; P = 0.06), calibration and goodness-of-fit (χ2 = 28.34, P ≤ 0.0001, R2 = 0.25) were achieved for GLS added to a baseline model consisting of known cardiovascular risk factors in a multivariate regression analysis. Conclusions In summary, in chronic dialysis patients, GLS is a more precise predictor of cardiovascular mortality than conventional echocardiography-derived EF.

Protective Factors and Suicidality in Members of Arab Kindred

Crisis ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 33 (2) ◽  
pp. 80-86 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sami Hamdan ◽  
Nadine Melhem ◽  
Israel Orbach ◽  
Ilana Farbstein ◽  
Mohammad El-Haib ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Protective Factors ◽  
Suicidal Behavior ◽  
Composite International Diagnostic Interview ◽  
Diagnostic Interview ◽  
Suicidal Risk ◽  
Arab Population ◽  
Psychiatric Interview ◽  
History Of

Background: Relatively little is known about the role of protective factors in an Arab population in the presence of suicidal risk factors. Aims: To examine the role of protective factors in a subsample of in large Arab Kindred participants in the presence of suicidal risk factors. Methods: We assessed protective and risk factors in a sample of 64 participants (16 suicidal and 48 nonsuicidal) between 15 and 55 years of age, using a comprehensive structured psychiatric interview, the Composite International Diagnostic Interview (CIDI), self-reported depression, anxiety, hopelessness, impulsivity, hostility, and suicidal behavior in first-degree and second-relatives. We also used the Religiosity Questionnaire and suicide attitude (SUIATT) and multidimensional perceived support scale. Results: Suicidal as opposed to nonsuicidal participants were more likely to have a lifetime history of major depressive disorder (MDD) (68.8% vs. 22.9% χ2 = 11.17, p = .001), an anxiety disorder (87.5% vs. 22.9, χ2 = 21.02, p < .001), or posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) (25% vs. 0.0%, Fisher’s, p = .003). Individuals who are otherwise at high risk for suicidality have a much lower risk when they experience higher perceived social support (3.31 ± 1.36 vs. 4.96 ± 1.40, t = 4.10, df = 62, p < .001), and they have the view that suicide is somehow unacceptable (1.83 ± .10 vs. 1.89 ± .07, t = 2.76, df = 60, p = .008). Conclusions: Taken together with other studies, these data suggest that the augmentation of protective factors could play a very important role in the prevention of incidental and recurrent suicidal behavior in Arab populations, where suicidal behavior in increasing rapidly.

CARDIOVASCULAR RISK FACTORS PECULIARITIES IN MEN UNDER 60 YEARS OLD WITH MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION AND CHRONIC INFLAMMATORY LUNG DISEASES

2020 ◽  
pp. 21-25
Author(s):  
Tupitsyn V.V. ◽  
Bataev Kh.M. ◽  
Men’shikova A.N. ◽  
Godina Z.N.
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Myocardial Infarction ◽  
Heart Disease ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
Digestive System ◽  
Control Group ◽  
Study Group ◽  
Type I ◽  
Internal Organs ◽  
History Of

Relevance. Information about the cardiovascular diseases risk factors (CVD RF) for in men with chronic lung inflam-matory pathology (CLID) is contradictory and requires clarification. Aim. To evaluate the peculiarities of CVD RF in men under 60 years of age with CLID in myocardial infarction (MI) to improve prevention. Material and methods. The study included men aged 19-60 years old with type I myocardial infarction. Patients are divided into two age-comparable groups: I - the study group, with CLID - 142 patients; II - control, without it - 424 patients. A comparative analysis of the frequency of observation of the main and additional cardiovascular risk fac-tors in groups was performed. Results. In patients of the study group, more often than in the control group we observed: hereditary burden of is-chemic heart disease (40.8 and 31.6%, respectively; p = 0.0461) and arterial hypertension (54.2 and 44.6%; p = 0.0461), frequent colds (24.6 and 12.0%; p = 0.0003), a history of extrasystoles (19.7 and 12.7%; p = 0.04); chronic foci of infections of internal organs (75.4 and 29.5%; p˂0.0001), non-ulcer lesions of the digestive system (26.1 and 14.6%; p = 0.007), smoking (95.1 and 66.3%; p˂0.0001), MI in winter (40.8 and 25.9%; p = 0.006). Less commonly were observed: oral cavity infections (9.2 and 23.6%; p˂0.0001); hypodynamia (74.5 and 82.5%; p = 0.0358), over-weight (44.4 and 55.2%; p = 0.0136), a subjective relationship between the worsening of the course of coronary heart disease and the season of the year (43.7 and 55.2%; p = 0.0173) and MI - in the autumn (14.1 and 21.9%; p = 0.006) period. Conclusions. The structure of CVD RF in men under 60 years of age with CLID with MI is characterized by the pre-dominance of smoking, non-ulcer pathology of the digestive system, frequent pro-student diseases, meteorological dependence, a history of cardiac arrhythmias and foci of internal organ infections. It is advisable to use the listed factors when planning preventive measures in such patients.

scholarly journals Emergency Department Visits During Outpatient Parenteral Antimicrobial Therapy: A Cohort Study

2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (suppl_1) ◽  
pp. S333-S334
Author(s):  
So Lim Kim ◽  
Angela Everett ◽  
Susan J Rehm ◽  
Steven Gordon ◽  
Nabin Shrestha
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Emergency Department ◽  
Hospital Admission ◽  
Vascular Access ◽  
Antimicrobial Therapy ◽  
Cleveland Clinic ◽  
Emergency Department Visits ◽  
Outpatient Parenteral Antimicrobial Therapy ◽  
Ed Visits ◽  
Access Complications

Abstract Background Outpatient parenteral antimicrobial therapy (OPAT) carries risk of vascular access complications, antimicrobial adverse effects, and worsening of infection. Both OPAT-related and unrelated events may lead to emergency department (ED) visits. The purpose of this study was to describe adverse events that result in ED visits and risk factors associated with ED visits during OPAT. Methods OPAT courses between January 1, 2013 and December 31, 2016 at Cleveland Clinic were identified from the institution’s OPAT registry. ED visits within 30 days of OPAT initiation were reviewed. Reasons and potential risk factors for ED visits were sought in the medical record. Results Among 11,440 OPAT courses during the study period, 603 (5%) were associated with 1 or more ED visits within 30 days of OPAT initiation. Mean patient age was 58 years and 57% were males. 379 ED visits (49%) were OPAT-related; the most common visit reason was vascular access complication, which occurred in 211 (56%) of OPAT-related ED visits. The most common vascular access complications were occlusion and dislodgement, which occurred in 99 and 34 patients (47% and 16% of vascular access complications, respectively). In a multivariable logistic regression model, at least one prior ED visit in the preceding year (prior ED visit) was most strongly associated with one or more ED visits during an OPAT course (OR 2.96, 95% CI 2.38 – 3.71, p-value &lt; 0.001). Other significant factors were younger age (p 0.01), female sex (p 0.01), home county residence (P &lt; 0.001), and having a PICC (p 0.05). 549 ED visits (71%) resulted in discharge from the ED within 24 hours, 18 (2%) left against medical advice, 46 (6%) were observed up to 24 hours, and 150 ED visits (20%) led to hospital admission. Prior ED visit was not associated with hospital admission among patients who visited the ED during OPAT. Conclusion OPAT-related ED visits are most often due to vascular access complications, especially line occlusions. Patients with a prior ED visit in the preceding year have a 3-fold higher odds of at least one ED visit during OPAT compared with patients without a prior ED visit. A strategy of managing occlusions at home and a focus on patients with prior ED visits could potentially prevent a substantial proportion of OPAT-related ED visits. Disclosures All authors: No reported disclosures.

Umbilical Fascial Defects are Common and Predict Trocar Site Hernias After Laparoscopic Appendectomy

2021 ◽  
pp. 000313482199506
Author(s):  
Steven M. Hernandez ◽  
Elizabeth A. Kiselak ◽  
Tania Zielonka ◽  
Scarlett Tucker ◽  
Melissa Blatt ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Laparoscopic Appendectomy ◽  
Medical Center ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Demographic Information ◽  
Fascial Defect ◽  
Trocar Site ◽  
Trocar Site Hernia ◽  
Preoperative Ct ◽  
Tomography Scan

Introduction Investigations have demonstrated that trocar site hernia (TSH) is an under-appreciated complication of laparoscopic surgery, occurring in as many as 31%. We determined the incidence of fascial defects prior to laparoscopic appendectomy and its impact relative to other risk factors upon the development of TSH. Methods TSH was defined as a fascial separation of ≥ 1 cm in the abdominal wall umbilical region on abdominal computerized tomography scan (CT) following laparoscopic appendectomy. Patients admitted to our medical center who had both a preoperative CT and postoperative CT for any reason (greater than 30 days after surgery) were reviewed for the presence of TSH from May 2010 to December 2018. CT scans were measured for fascial defects, while investigators were blinded to film timing (preoperative or postoperative) and patient identity. Demographic information was collected. Results 241 patients undergoing laparoscopic appendectomy had both preoperative and late postoperative CT. TSH was identified in 49 (20.3%) patients. Mean preoperative fascial gap was 3.3 ± 4.3 mm in those not developing a postoperative hernia versus 14.8 ± 7.3 mm in those with a postoperative hernia ( P < .0001). Preoperative fascial defect on CT was predictive of TSH ( P < .001, OR = 1.44), with an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of .921 (95%CI: .88–.92). Other major risk factors for TSH were: age greater than 59 years ( P < .031, OR = 2.48); and obesity, BMI > 30 ( P < .012, OR = 2.14). Conclusions The incidence of trocar site hernia was one in five following laparoscopic appendectomy. The presence of a pre-existing fascial defect, advanced age, and obesity were strong predictors for the development of trocar site hernia.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document