scholarly journals Age, Diagnostic Category, Tumor Grade, and Mitosis-Karyorrhexis Index Are Independently Prognostic in Neuroblastoma: An INRG Project

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (17) ◽  
pp. 1906-1918 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elizabeth Sokol ◽  
Ami V. Desai ◽  
Mark A. Applebaum ◽  
Dominique Valteau-Couanet ◽  
Julie R. Park ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Group ◽  
Recursive Partitioning ◽  
Diagnostic Category ◽  
Staging System ◽  
Tumor Grade ◽  
Risk Classification ◽  
Event Free Survival ◽  
Cox Models ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
The Individual

PURPOSE The Children’s Oncology Group (COG) stratifies the treatment of patients with neuroblastoma on the basis of a combination of biomarkers that include age and tumor histology classified by age-linked International Neuroblastoma Pathology Classification (INPC) criteria. By definition, this leads to a duplication of the prognostic contribution of age. The individual histologic features underlying the INPC have prognostic strength and are incorporated in the International Neuroblastoma Risk Group classification schema. Here, we analyzed data in the International Neuroblastoma Risk Group Data Commons to validate the prognostic strength of the underlying INPC criteria and to determine whether a risk classification devoid of the confounding of age and INPC criteria will identify new prognostic subgroups. PATIENTS AND METHODS Event-free survival of patients diagnosed between 1990 and 2002 (cohort 1; n = 10,104) and between 2003 and 2016 (cohort 2; n = 8,761) was analyzed. Recursive partitioning with univariate Cox models of event-free survival (“survival tree regression”) was performed using (1) individual INPC criteria (age at diagnosis, histologic category, mitosis-karyorrhexis index (MKI), grade of differentiation) and (2) factors in (1) plus other COG-risk biomarkers (International Neuroblastoma Staging System [INSS] stage, MYCN status, ploidy). RESULTS The independent prognostic ability of age, histologic category, MKI, and grade were validated. Four histologic prognostic groups were identified (< 18 months with low v high MKI, and ≥ 18 months with differentiating v undifferentiated/poorly differentiating tumors). Compared with survival trees generated with established COG risk criteria, an additional prognostic subgroup was identified and validated when individual histologic features were analyzed in lieu of INPC. CONCLUSION Replacing INPC with individual histologic features in the COG risk classification will eliminate confounding, facilitate international harmonization of risk classification, and provide a schema for more precise prognostication and refined therapeutic approaches.

Revised Neuroblastoma Risk Classification System: A Report From the Children's Oncology Group

2021 ◽  
pp. JCO.21.00278
Author(s):  
Meredith S. Irwin ◽  
Arlene Naranjo ◽  
Fan F. Zhang ◽  
Susan L. Cohn ◽  
Wendy B. London ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Overall Survival ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Staging System ◽  
Risk Classification ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
Oncology Group ◽  
Event Free Survival ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Pathology Classification

PURPOSE Treatment planning for children with neuroblastoma requires accurate assessment of prognosis. The most recent Children's Oncology Group (COG) risk classification system used tumor stage as defined by the International Neuroblastoma Staging System. Here, we validate a revised classifier using the International Neuroblastoma Risk Group Staging System (INRGSS) and incorporate segmental chromosome aberrations (SCA) as an additional genomic biomarker. METHODS Newly diagnosed patients enrolled on the COG neuroblastoma biology study ANBL00B1 between 2007 and 2017 with known age, International Neuroblastoma Staging System, and INRGSS stage were identified (N = 4,832). Tumor MYCN status, ploidy, SCA status (1p and 11q), and International Neuroblastoma Pathology Classification histology were determined centrally. Survival analyses were performed for combinations of prognostic factors used in COG risk classification according to the prior version 1, and to validate a revised algorithm (version 2). RESULTS Most patients with locoregional tumors had excellent outcomes except for those with image-defined risk factors (INRGSS L2) with MYCN amplification (5-year event-free survival and overall survival: 76.3% ± 5.8% and 79.9% ± 5.5%, respectively) or patients age ≥ 18 months with L2 MYCN nonamplified tumors with unfavorable International Neuroblastoma Pathology Classification histology (72.7% ± 5.4% and 82.4% ± 4.6%), which includes the majority of L2 patients with SCA. For patients with stage M (metastatic) and MS (metastatic, special) disease, genomic biomarkers affected risk group assignment for those < 12 months ( MYCN) or 12-18 months ( MYCN, histology, ploidy, and SCA) of age. In a retrospective analysis of patient outcome, the 5-year event-free survival and overall survival using COG version 1 were low-risk: 89.4% ± 1.1% and 97.9% ± 0.5%; intermediate-risk: 86.1% ± 1.3% and 94.9% ± 0.8%; high-risk: 50.8% ± 1.4% and 61.9% ± 1.3%; and using COG version 2 were low-risk: 90.7% ± 1.1% and 97.9% ± 0.5%; intermediate-risk: 85.1% ± 1.4% and 95.8% ± 0.8%; high-risk: 51.2% ± 1.4% and 62.5% ± 1.3%, respectively. CONCLUSION A revised 2021 COG neuroblastoma risk classifier (version 2) that uses the INRGSS and incorporates SCAs has been adopted to prospectively define COG clinical trial eligibility and treatment assignment.

scholarly journals Statistical Framework in Support of a Revised Children's Oncology Group Neuroblastoma Risk Classification System

2018 ◽  
pp. 1-15 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arlene Naranjo ◽  
Meredith S. Irwin ◽  
Michael D. Hogarty ◽  
Susan L. Cohn ◽  
Julie R. Park ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Classification System ◽  
Recursive Partitioning ◽  
Diagnostic Category ◽  
Staging System ◽  
Risk Classification ◽  
Imaging Data ◽  
Oncology Group ◽  
Clinical Validity ◽  
International Consensus ◽  
Str Analysis

Purpose The International Neuroblastoma Risk Group (INRG) Staging System (INRGSS) was developed through international consensus to provide a presurgical staging system that uses clinical and imaging data at diagnosis. A revised Children's Oncology Group (COG) neuroblastoma (NB) risk classification system is needed to incorporate the INRGSS and within the context of modern therapy. Herein, we provide statistical support for the clinical validity of a revised COG risk classification system. Patients and Methods Nine factors were tested for potential statistical and clinical significance in 4,569 patients diagnosed with NB who were enrolled in the COG biology/banking study ANBL00B1 (2006-2016). Recursive partitioning was performed to create a survival-tree regression (STR) analysis of event-free survival (EFS), generating a split by selecting the strongest prognostic factor among those that were statistically significant. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) was applied to obtain the most parsimonious model for EFS. COG patients were risk classified using STR, LASSO, and per the 2009 INRG classification (generated using an STR analysis of INRG data). Results were descriptively compared among the three classification approaches. Results The 3-year EFS and overall survival (± SE) were 72.9% ± 0.9% and 84.5% ± 0.7%, respectively (N = 4,569). In each approach, the most statistically and clinically significant factors were diagnostic category (eg, NB, ganglioneuroblastoma), INRGSS, MYCN status, International Neuroblastoma Pathology Classification, ploidy, and 1p/11q status. The results of the STR analysis were more concordant with those of the INRG classification system than with LASSO, although both methods showed moderate agreement with the INRG system. Conclusion These analyses provide a framework to develop a new COG risk classification incorporating the INRGSS. There is statistical evidence to support the clinical validity of each of the three classifications: STR, LASSO, and INRG.

Clinical significance of translocation t(1;19) in childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia in the context of contemporary therapies: a report from the Children's Cancer Group.

1998 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 527-535 ◽  
Author(s):  
F M Uckun ◽  
M G Sensel ◽  
H N Sather ◽  
P S Gaynon ◽  
D C Arthur ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia ◽  
Lymphoblastic Leukemia ◽  
Prognostic Significance ◽  
Newly Diagnosed ◽  
Event Free Survival ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Cancer Group ◽  
Improved Outcomes ◽  
B Lineage ◽  
The Individual

PURPOSE The nonrandom translocation t(1;19) has been associated with poor outcome in pediatric B-lineage acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL). Because most patients treated by contemporary therapies now achieve improved outcomes, we have reassessed the prognostic significance of t(1;19). PATIENTS AND METHODS Cytogenetic data were accepted for 1,322 children (<21 years old) with newly diagnosed ALL enrolled between 1988 and 1994 on risk-adjusted studies of the Children's Cancer Group (CCG). Forty-seven patients (3.6%) were t(1;19) positive (+); 1,275 (96.4%) were t(1;19) negative (-). Clinical characteristics and treatment outcome were compared using standard methods. RESULTS Translocation (1;19)+ patients were more likely than t(1;19)- patients to be 10 years of age or greater (P < .001) or CD10+ CD19+ CD34- (P < .0001), or nonwhite (P = .02). Patients with a balanced t(1;19) were less likely to be hyperdiploid than patients with an unbalanced der(19)t(1;19). Event-free survival (EFS) was similar for the overall group of t(1;19)+ and t(1;19)- patients, with 4-year estimates of 69.5% (SD, 6.8%) and 74.8% (SD, 1.3%; P = .48), respectively. However, patients with unbalanced der(19)t(1;19) had significantly better outcomes than patients with balanced t(1;19): 4-year EFS were 80.6% (SD, 7.1%) and 41.7% (SD, 13.5%), respectively (P = .003). These differences were maintained within the individual studies analyses and after exclusion of t(1;19)+ patients whose cells were hyperdiploid with more than 50 chromosomes. CONCLUSION The overall group of t(1;19)+ patients, as well as the subgroup with an unbalanced der(19)+ (1;19) had outcomes similar to that of t(1;19)- patients, whereas patients with balanced t(1;19) had poorer outcomes. Thus, although the overall prognostic significance of t(1;19) has been obviated by contemporary risk-adjusted protocols, the balanced t(1;19) translocation remains an adverse prognostic factor.

scholarly journals Chemotherapy in 998 unselected childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia patients. Results and conclusions of the multicenter trial ALL-BFM 86

Blood ◽  
1994 ◽  
Vol 84 (9) ◽  
pp. 3122-3133 ◽  
Author(s):  
A Reiter ◽  
M Schrappe ◽  
WD Ludwig ◽  
W Hiddemann ◽  
S Sauter ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Lymphoblastic Leukemia ◽  
Multicenter Trial ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Event Free Survival ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
To Receive

Abstract In trial ALL-BFM 86, the largest multicenter trial of the Berlin- Frankfurt-Munster (BFM) study group for childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL), treatment response was used as an overriding stratification factor for the first time. In the previous trial ALL-BFM 83, the in vivo response to initial prednisone treatment was evaluated prospectively. A blast cell count of > or = 1,000/microL peripheral blood after a 7-day exposure to prednisone and one intrathecal dose of methotrexate (MTX) identified 10% of the patients as having a significantly worse prognosis. In trial ALL-BFM 86 patients with > or = 1,000/microL blood blasts on day 8 were included in an experimental branch EG. Patients with < 1,000/microL blood blasts on day 8 were stratified by their leukemic cell burden into two branches, Standard Risk Group (SRG) and Risk Group (RG). SRG patients received an eight- drug induction followed by consolidation protocol M (6-mercaptopurine, high-dose [HD] MTX 4 x 5 g/m2) and maintenance. RG patients were treated with an additional eight-drug reinduction element. For EG patients protocol M was replaced by protocol E (prednisone, HD-MTX, HD- cytarabine, ifosfamide, mitoxantrone). All patients received intrathecal MTX therapy; only those of branches RG and EG received cranial irradiation. In branch RG, patients were randomized to receive or not to receive late intensification (prednisone, vindesine, teniposide, ifosfamide, HD-cytarabine) in the 13th month. During the trial reinduction therapy was introduced in branch SRG, because in the follow-up of trial ALL-BFM 83 the randomized low-risk patients receiving reinduction did significantly better. Nine hundred ninety- eight evaluable patients were enrolled, 28.6% in SRG, 61.1% in RG, 10.3% in EG. At a median follow-up of 5.0 (range 3.4 to 6.9) years, the estimated 6-year event-free survival was 72% +/- 2% for the study population, 58% +/- 5% in branch SRG for the first 110 patients without reinduction therapy, 87% +/- 3% for the next 175 patients with reinduction therapy, 75% +/- 2% in branch RG, and 48% +/- 5% in branch EG. Late intensification did not significantly affect treatment outcome of RG patients; however, only 23% of the eligible patients were randomized. Prednisone poor response remained a negative prognostic parameter despite intensified therapy. The results confirmed the benefit of intensive reinduction therapy even for low-risk patients. The strategy of induction, consolidation, and intensive reinduction may offer roughly 75% of unselected childhood ALL patients the chance for an event-free survival.

scholarly journals Prognostic Factors for Event-Free Survival in Pediatric Patients with Hepatoblastoma Based on the 2017 PRETEXT and CHIC-HS Systems

Cancers ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 1387 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hee Mang Yoon ◽  
Jisun Hwang ◽  
Kyung Won Kim ◽  
Jung-Man Namgoong ◽  
Dae Yeon Kim ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pediatric Patients ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Hazard Analysis ◽  
Staging System ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Event Free Survival ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Tertiary Referral Center ◽  
C Statistic ◽  
Pre Treatment

This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of variables used in the 2017 PRE-Treatment EXTent of tumor (PRETEXT) system and the Children’s Hepatic tumors International Collaboration-Hepatoblastoma Stratification (CHIC-HS) system in pediatric patients with hepatoblastoma. A retrospective analysis of data from the pediatric hepatoblastoma registry of a tertiary referral center was conducted to evaluate the clinical and imaging variables (annotation factors) of the PRETEXT staging system. The primary outcome was event-free survival (EFS). Data from 84 patients (mean age: 2.9 ± 3.5 years) identified between 1998 and 2017 were included. Univariable Cox proportional hazards analysis revealed that PRETEXT annotation factors P (portal vein involvement), F (multifocality of tumor), and M (distant metastasis) showed a significant negative association with EFS. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis showed that factor F was the strongest predictor (HR (hazard ratio), 2.908; 95% CI (confidence interval), 1.061–7.972; p = 0.038), whereas factor M showed borderline significance (HR, 2.416; 95% CI, 0.918–6.354; p = 0.074). The prediction model based on F and M (F + M) showed good performance to predict EFS (C-statistic, 0.734; 95% CI, 0.612–0.854). In conclusion, the PRETEXT annotation factor F was the strongest predictor of EFS, and the F + M model showed good performance to predict EFS in pediatric patients with hepatoblastoma.

A Comparison of 3 Staging Systems for the Outcome Following Autologous Stem Cell Transplantation (ASCT) in Patients with Multiple Myeloma (MM).

Blood ◽  
2005 ◽  
Vol 106 (11) ◽  
pp. 5479-5479
Author(s):  
Hee-Jung Sohn ◽  
Kihyun Kim ◽  
Jae-Hoon Lee ◽  
Soo-Mee Bang ◽  
Dong Hwan Kim ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Overall Survival ◽  
Gold Standard ◽  
Staging System ◽  
Stage I ◽  
Event Free Survival ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Staging Systems ◽  
International Staging System ◽  
Beta 2 Microglobulin

Abstract The Durie-Salmon (DS) stage has been the gold standard for stratification of MM patients. However, the system does not contain beta-2 microglobulin (B2M) widely recognized as the single most powerful prognostic parameter. Recently, The Southwest Oncology Group (SWOG) staging system (Jacobson JL, et al. Br J Haematol122:441–50, 2003) and the International Staging System (ISS) (Greipp PR, et al. J Clin Oncol23:3412–20, 2005) utilizing B2M have been proposed. We aimed to evaluate whether the stage assessed at the time of ASCT by DS, SWOG, or ISS predict outcome following ASCT in patients with MM. Between November 1996 and December 2004, a total of 141 patients with MM who were treated with ASCT at 5 institutions in Korea were available for this analysis. The distribution of patients’ stage at ASCT by 3 staging systems was as Table 1. With a median follow-up of 20 months from ASCT, the median event-free survival (EFS) and overall survival (OS) were 16 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 11–21) and 56 months (95% CI, 38–74), respectively. The median survival of each stage group according to 3 staging systems at ASCT was as Table 2. Differences in EFS among the stage groups were not statistically significant. However, OS after ASCT was dependent on the SWOG stage at the time of ASCT and also significantly longer in patients with ISS stage I than others (NR vs. 39 months, P =.001). In this study, OS following ASCT was influenced by the stage according to SWOG or ISS, but not DS. The distribution of patients by 3 staging systems Stage I II III IV DS 32 (23%) 23 (16%) 86 (61%) - SWOG 53 (38%) 66 (47%) 16 (11%) 6 (4%) ISS 85 (60%) 34 (24%) 22 (16%) - Median event-free survial and overall survival by 3 staging systems Stage I II III IV P EFS=evnet-free survival, OS=overall survival, NR=not reached, * in months EFS* DS 27 17 13 - .40 SWOG 22 15 24 4 .21 ISS 17 13 10 - .63 OS* DS NR 58 40 - .17 SWOG NR 41 32 17 .045 ISS NR 32 40 - .0042

Influence of Race and Nutritional Status on the Long Term Event Free Survival in Childhood Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia (ALL): A 14-year Follow-up with a Reduced BFM-Based Treatment Protocol (GBTLI ALL-93)

Blood ◽  
2008 ◽  
Vol 112 (11) ◽  
pp. 13-13
Author(s):  
Silvia Regina Brandalise ◽  
Maria Pombo-de-Oliveira ◽  
Vitoria Régia Pereira Pinheiro ◽  
Maria Jose Mastellaro ◽  
Waldir Veiga Pereira ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Complete Remission ◽  
Nutritional Status ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Treatment Protocol ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Event Free Survival ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
All Treatment

Abstract Background: Different event-free survival rates (EFS) of childhood ALL treatment regarding race, were published in the literature. However, a better consensus exists considering the bad prognosis of undernutrition. Taking into account the social economic reality of a low-income country such as Brazil, the systematic evaluation of these variables is of utmost importance, while inserted in a modern ALL treatment protocol. Objective: To compare, prospectively, the long-term EFS rates of previously untreated children with ALL, according to race and nutritional status at diagnosis. Methods: Patients were classified as Low Risk and High Risk according to NCI Criteria. Treatment schedule: Low Risk group: Remission induction therapy with DEXA 6mg/m2/d × 28 days, VCR 1.5 mg/m2/wk × 4, Daunomycin 25 mg/m2/wk × 4, L-ASP 10.000 U/m2/dose × 8, Ara-C 75mg/m2/dose × 8 and TIT therapy (day 0,28 and 42). Intensification therapy with MTX 2g/m2/wk × 4, 24 h continuous infusion with LCV rescue 15mg/m2/dose × 4, 6MP-50mg/m2 d × 21days and TIT therapy (x 4). Re-induction therapy: Dexa 6mg/m2 d × 21days, VCR 1.5mg/m2/wk × 4, L-ASP 10.000 U/m2/d × 4, 6-MP 50mg/m2/d × 14days, Ara-C 75 mg/m2/d × 4 and TIT therapy (x3). Central randomization was done for maintenance therapy duration (130 vs 103 wk). Maintenance: 6-MP 50mg/m2/d, MTX 25mg/m2/wk and TIT therapy every 8 weeks during all treatment. No CNS radiation was done. For High Risk patients, an induction intensification with intermediate dose of AraC (750 mg/m2/d × 6) was introduced, as well as, a rotational maintenance therapy with different pair of drugs were proposed (AraC 750mg/m2 × 4/Asp 6 000 U; Dexa/VCR/wk × 3 and 6-MP 75 mg/m2/d × 21 days/MTX 40 mg/m2/wk × 3). Prophylatic CNS radiation(18Gy) was done at wks 19–21 of therapy. Statistical analysis: EFS is defined as the time from diagnosis till any failure, relapse, death, or the development of a second malignancy. Continuous complete remission duration (CCR) is defined as EFS, contingent upon induction of a complete remission. EFS and CCR rates have been estimated by Kaplan and Meier’s method. Results: From October 1993 to September 1999, 867 patients were consecutively enrolled in the protocol GBTLI ALL-93. Fourteen pts were excluded (1.5%), due to wrong diagnosis or previous corticosteroid treatment. 853 pts were evaluated in this study. 447 pts were classified as Low Risk group (52%) and 406(48%) as High Risk. According to race, 226 pts (26.5%)were classified as black and 627 (73.5%) as white. Overall undernutrition was diagnosed among 7.0 % of the patients. In the black population 10.4% were undernourished, comparing with 5.7% in the white group. The 14yrs-EFS for all the study patients is 80% ± 2% and 55% ± 2.5% for the Low Risk and High Risk pts, respectively. Concerning race, the 14yrs-EFS is of 71.7% ± 4.5% for the black children, comparatively to 83% ± 2.1% for the white ones (p=0.01). According to the nutritional status, the EFS is of 70.2%± 1.7% and 53.0%± 6.8% for the nourished and undernourished children, respectively. Malnutrition had the worst desfavorable impact among the High Risk pts, with a 14yrs-EFS of 40.1% ± 8.7%, compared to those without malnutrition of 57.8% ± 2.7% (p = 0.05). Social and economical issues directly involved with treatment, were provided by means of free medical attention and drugs supplies. Treatment abandon was &lt; 1%. Conclusion: The black race and undernutrition had significant adverse effect on the long-term EFS among the patients of this study.

Prerequisites to improvement of predictive model of childhood Hodgkin’s lymphoma

2015 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 13-18
Author(s):  
Svetlana Aleksandrovna Kulyova ◽  
Andrei Petrovich Karitsky ◽  
Svetlana Viacheslavovna Ivanova
Keyword(s):  
Overall Survival ◽  
Hodgkin’S Lymphoma ◽  
Roc Analysis ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Survival Rates ◽  
Late Results ◽  
Tumor Burden ◽  
Hodgkin's Lymphoma ◽  
Event Free Survival ◽  
Free Survival

Background. Calculation of relative tumor burden in Hodgkin’s lymphoma patients is the simplest and significant parameter which can be used in daily clinical practice as a risk factor. The aim of study was the assessment of influence of relative tumor burden on the late results of a disease. Material and methods. This research included data on 126 patients with Hodgkin’s lymphoma aged from 0 till 18 years (middle age of 11 years), treated risk-adapted treatment according to the DAL-HD and SPBLH-05. Boys was 70, girls - 56 (a ratio 1,25 : 1). Fifty-eight patients (46 %) are stratified in favorable risk group, 50 (39,7 %) - in intermediate risk group, and 50 (39,7 %) are included in unfavorable risk group. Results. Overall survival at 5 years was 93 % (range 91-95 %), event-free survival - 88 % (85-91 %). The average relative tumor burden was 129,4 cm3/m2 (7-609,7 cm3/m2). When carrying out ROC-analysis value of 122,7 cm3/m2 (р ˂ 0,0001) appeared the critical parameter, which worsen the prognosis of a disease. Overall survival in a patients cohort with this volume was 69,6 %, with the volume less than 122,7 cm3/m2 overall survival was 97,2 % (р = 0,00002). Conclusions. The relative tumor burden is the parameter which is significantly reducing survival rates in children with Hodgkin’s lymphoma. Opinion on interrelation of clinical and laboratory parameters with “sarkoma’s saturation” or tumor volume as end result of immunological frustration, it is represented the most perspective direction of studying of Hodgkin’s lymphoma.

Demographic, clinical, and outcome features of children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia and CRLF2 deregulation: results from the MRC ALL97 clinical trial

Blood ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 117 (7) ◽  
pp. 2129-2136 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hannah M. Ensor ◽  
Claire Schwab ◽  
Lisa J. Russell ◽  
Sue M. Richards ◽  
Heather Morrison ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Clinical Trial ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Lymphoblastic Leukemia ◽  
White Cell Count ◽  
Univariate Analysis ◽  
Chromosomal Translocations ◽  
Event Free Survival ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Outcome Event

Abstract Deregulated expression of CRLF2 (CRLF2-d) arises via its juxtaposition to the IGH@ enhancer or P2RY8 promoter. Among 865 BCP-ALL children treated on MRC ALL97, 52 (6%) had CRLF2-d, but it was more prevalent among Down syndrome patients (54%). P2RY8-CRLF2 (n = 43) was more frequent than IGH@-CRLF2 (n = 9). CRLF2-d was not associated with age, sex, or white cell count, but IGH@-CRLF2 patients were older than P2RY8-CRLF2 patients (median 8 vs 4 years, P = .0017). Patients with CRLF2-d were more likely to present with enlarged livers and spleens (38% vs 18%, P < .001). CRLF2-d was not seen in conjunction with established chromosomal translocations but 6 (12%) cases had high hyperdiploidy, and 5 (10%) had iAMP21. Univariate analysis suggested that CRLF2-d was associated with an inferior outcome: (event-free survival [EFS] hazard ratio 2.27 [95% confidence interval 1.48-3.47], P < .001; OS 3.69 [2.34-5.84], P < .001). However, multivariate analysis indicated that its effect was mediated by other risk factors such as cytogenetics and DS status (EFS 1.45 [0.88-2.39], P = .140; OS 1.90 [1.08-3.36], P = .027). Although the outcome of IGH@-CRLF2 patients appeared inferior compared with P2RY8-CRLF2 patients, the result was not significant (EFS 2.69 [1.15-6.31], P = .023; OS 2.86 [1.15-6.79], P = .021). Therefore, we concluded that patients with CRLF2-d should be classified into the intermediate cytogenetic risk group.

scholarly journals Event-Free Survival As a Surrogate Endpoint for Overall Survival in Previously Untreated Acute Myeloid Leukemia: An Individual Patient-Level Analysis of Multiple Randomized Trials (Alliance A151614)

Blood ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 132 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 1386-1386
Author(s):  
Jun Yin ◽  
Geoffrey L. Uy ◽  
Betsy Laplant ◽  
Elizabeth Storrick ◽  
Guido Marcucci ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Treatment Effect ◽  
Myeloid Leukemia ◽  
Research Funding ◽  
Surrogate Endpoint ◽  
Event Free Survival ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Individual Patient Level ◽  
Patient Level ◽  
The Individual

Abstract Background: Overall survival (OS) remains the definitive primary efficacy endpoint to evaluate previously untreated acute myeloid leukemia (AML) therapies, but it requires prolonged follow-up. An earlier endpoint assessed post-treatment would expedite clinical trial conduct and accelerate patient access to effective new therapies. Our objective was to formally evaluate event-free survival (EFS) as a surrogate endpoint for OS in untreated AML. Methods: Individual patient data were analyzed from 2,475 patients (pts) from 4 multicenter, randomized controlled phase III trials of active treatment in previously untreated AML using anthracycline and cytarabine induction chemotherapy as the concurrent control (CALGB 10201, n=506, enrollment period 2003-2006, age 60-88 years (y); CALGB 10603, n=717, enrollment period 2008-2015, age 18-60 y, FLT3-mutated pts only; SWOG 0106, n=595, enrollment period 2004-2009, age 18-60 y; ECOG-ACRIN 1900, n=657, enrollment period 2002-2008, age 17-60 y). Individual patient-level surrogacy examines the association between the individual patients' EFS and OS time after adjusting for treatment effect, and was assessed using the copula bivariate survival model (Kendall's tau). Trial-level surrogacy measures how precisely the treatment effect on OS can be predicted on the basis of observed treatment effect on EFS, and was evaluated using both linear regression (R2WLS) weighted by trial size and Copula bivariate (R2Copula) models. Pre-specified criteria for surrogacy required either R2WLS or R2Copula ≥0.80, neither below 0.7, with either lower bound 95% Confidence Interval (CI) >0.60. Sensitivity analyses were conducted using different EFS definitions (Table 1). Results: With a median follow-up of 50.2 months for the 896 patients still alive, the median OS and EFS across all four trials were 20.9 months (95% CI: 19.0-22.7) and 5.6 months (95% CI: 4.5-6.4), respectively. Trial-level surrogacy for EFS was strong (R2WLS=0.79; R2Copula=0.89), indicating a high correlation of treatment effect between EFS and OS. At the individual patient-level, however, EFS showed weak association with OS (tau= 0.52), compared to the strength of trial-level surrogacy. The discrepancy between patient-level EFS and OS was greatest among patients who did not achieve a CR, followed by those who achieved a CR but relapsed (Figure 1). Sensitivity analysis on alternative EFS definitions showed that the trial-level surrogacy was similar, but individual patient-level surrogacy varied across different EFS definitions (Table 1). This is consistent with what we previously reported (ASH 2016): EFS estimates differed considerably based on the definition of induction failure (IF) in a single arm setting, but this had minimal impact on the estimation of the treatment effect using EFS in randomized trials. In addition, when considering only relapse and death as events (definition 4), both individual patient- and trial-level correlations were high. Conclusions: Correlation between EFS and OS was impacted by patients not achieving CR during induction. Despite the lack of patient-level correlation, a strong correlation between hazard ratios for treatment effects was observed between EFS and OS on the trial level. Hence, it remains debatable whether EFS represents a clinical benefit in itself for patient with untreated AML considering the strong correlation in treatment effects. Further validation is needed due to the small number of trials included and the heterogeneity across trials. Acknowledgment: We gratefully acknowledge the important contributions of the late Dr. Stephen H. Petersdorf, SWOG S0106 Study Chair. Support: U10CA180821, U10CA180882, U10CA180794, U10CA180820, U10CA180888; Clinicaltrials.gov Identifiers: NCT00085124 (10201), NCT00651261 (10603), NCT01253070 (11001), NCT00085709 (SWOG S0106), and NCT00049517 (ECOG-ACRIN E1900) Disclosures Uy: Curis: Consultancy; GlycoMimetics: Consultancy. Larson:Pfizer: Consultancy, Research Funding; BristolMyers Squibb: Consultancy, Research Funding; Novartis: Consultancy, Research Funding; Ariad/Takeda: Consultancy, Research Funding.

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