Relationship between overall survival and progression-free survival for recent NCCTG glioblastoma multiforme trials.

2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 2004-2004
Author(s):  
Wenting Wu ◽  
Evanthia Galanis ◽  
Jan C. Buckner ◽  
Kurt A. Jaeckle ◽  
Daniel J. Sargent
Keyword(s):  
Correlation Coefficient ◽  
Phase Ii ◽  
Small Sample Size ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Small Sample ◽  
Control Group ◽  
Phase Ii Trials ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Individual Patient Level ◽  
The Individual

2004 Background: With the approval of novel agents for glioblastoma (GBM) treatment, reliable historical outcome data for the common phase II endpoint of progression free survival (PFS) is not available. In particular, the association between progression and overall survival (OS) has not been evaluated after temozolomide (TMZ) became the standard therapy for newly diagnosed GBM. Methods: Datasets from 5 TMZ-including NCCTG clinical trials in newly diagnosed GBM (n=325, 2005-2011, 1 phase I only and 4 phase I and single arm phase II trials) were pooled and analyzed to evaluate the individual level correlation between PFS and OS using correlation coefficient, landmark analyses, and time-dependent variable analyses. A historical control group was constructed by pooling datasets from 12 pre-TMZ era NCCTG clinical trials in the same patient population (n=1359, 1980-2004). Each of the 5 newer trials was compared to the control group to estimate the treatment effect (hazard ratio) on PFS and OS, which were analyzed to evaluate the trial level correlation between PFS and OS using correlation coefficient and weighted linear regression. Results: The estimated correlation coefficient between PFS and OS at individual patient level is 0.75 (95%CI, 0.7 to 0.8). The estimated hazard ratios of death in the landmark analysis at 4 and 6 months are 2.15 (95%CI, 1.47 to 3.15) and 2.17 (95%CI, 1.57 to 3.12), respectively, and the estimated hazard ratio of death is 10.1 (95%CI, 6.6 to 15.4) when progression is treated as a time-dependent variable. For trial level correlation (against the historical control group), the estimated correlation coefficient between HRos and HRpfs is 0.51 (95%CI, -0.67 to 0.96), with moderate prediction: the predicted HRos is very close to the observed HRos in 4 of 5 cases, however the predicted HRos is significantly different from 1 in only 2 out of 5 cases due to small sample size in other 3 cases. Conclusions: PFS and OS are highly associated at the individual patient level but only moderately at the trial level, the latter possibly due to small sample size in some of the trials. Additional validation in other trials could support use of PFS as a primary endpoint for randomized phase II trials in GBM.

Four Years of Follow-Up of 1027 Patients with Late Chronic Phase (L-CP), Accelerated Phase (AP), or Blast Crisis (BC) Chronic Myeloid Leukemia (CML) Treated with Imatinib in Three Large Phase II Trials.

Blood ◽  
2004 ◽  
Vol 104 (11) ◽  
pp. 23-23 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard T. Silver ◽  
Moshe Talpaz ◽  
Charles L. Sawyers ◽  
Brian J. Druker ◽  
Andreas Hochhaus ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Phase Ii ◽  
Chronic Phase ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Cytogenetic Response ◽  
Imatinib Treatment ◽  
Phase Ii Trials ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Phase Ii Studies ◽  
Large Phase

Abstract Background This report updates the results of 3 large phase II studies of the orally available BCR-ABL tyrosine kinase inhibitor imatinib for patients (pts) in AP, BC and late chronic phase (L-CP) CML failing prior interferon therapy (Kantarjan et al, ASH 2003; Talpaz et al, ASH 2003). Methods Between August 1999 and June 2000, 1027 pts were enrolled in phase II trials for CML in L-CP (n=532), AP (n=235) or BC (n=260). Pts in L-CP were treated with 400 mg/day and pts in AP or BC with either 400 or 600 mg/day. Dose escalation up to 800 mg/d was allowed in the late-chronic phase study. Pts with a confirmed diagnosis of AP (n=181), BC (n=229) and late-chronic phase (n=454) were evaluated for efficacy. All pts were evaluated for safety. The median time from initial diagnosis to study entry was 32 months for L-CP pts. Results As of 31-Jul-03, 5% patients with BC, 25% of CML-AP and 64% of L-CP patients still remain on treatment. At the recommended dose of 600 mg, an estimated 40% (AP) and 7% (BC) of patients remained progression-free at 36 months, and an estimated 55% (AP) and 14% (BC) patients were alive at 36 months after initiation of imatinib. The 3-year survival rates for pts with AP with a major cytogenetic response at 3 months were 85% vs. 52% for pts with no response (p<0.001). In L-CP patients with a median follow-up of 40 months, 65% of patients achieved a major cytogenetic response, which was complete in 52%. The cytogenetic responses were durable with an estimated 82% of the pts in continuos major cytogenetic response at 3 years. The estimated rates of progression-free survival and overall survival at 3 years were 80% and 88%. Pts with at least a minor cytogenetic response at 6 months ≤65% Ph+ cells) had an estimated 3-year survival rate of 96% vs. 86% for pts with a ( minimal response and 81% for pts with no cytogenetic response (p<0.001). Conclusion In large phase II studies, continuous imatinib treatment is safe and has improved progression-free survival of patients at all stages of CML. Responses to imatinib are durable and are predictive of long-term outcomes. These results will be further updated at the meeting using a data base lock planned for 20-Sept-04 (using data collected up to 31-July-04, i.e. more than 4 years after the last pts enrollment).

Bevacizumab (BEV) plus second-line taxane (TAX) or other chemotherapy (CT) for triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC): Subgroup analysis of RIBBON-2.

2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (27_suppl) ◽  
pp. 290-290
Author(s):  
A. Brufsky ◽  
V. Valero ◽  
B. Tiangco ◽  
S. R. Dakhil ◽  
A. Brize ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Breast Cancer ◽  
Primary Endpoint ◽  
Small Sample Size ◽  
Objective Response ◽  
Metastatic Breast ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Small Sample ◽  
Second Line ◽  
First Line ◽  
Free Survival

290 Background: In three randomized trials in the first-line metastatic breast cancer (MBC) setting, combining BEV with CT significantly improved progression-free survival (PFS; primary endpoint) and objective response rate (ORR) vs. CT alone. BEV also showed a significant PFS benefit in the second-line MBC setting (RIBBON-2) when combined with TAX or other CT. We analyzed data from the subgroup of patients (pts) with TNBC in RIBBON-2. Methods: Eligible pts had MBC that had progressed on first-line CT without BEV. Second-line CT (TAX, gemcitabine, capecitabine, or vinorelbine) was chosen before 2:1 randomization to CT with either BEV (10 mg/kg q2w or 15 mg/kg q3w) or placebo (PLA). All pts could receive BEV at progression. The primary endpoint was PFS. Results: RIBBON-2 included 684 pts; 159 (23%) had TNBC and of these, 67 (42%) received TAX with BEV/PLA. Baseline characteristics were broadly similar in the two treatment arms. In an exploratory analysis of pts with TNBC, BEV + CT led to significantly improved PFS and ORR vs. CT alone, and a trend toward improved overall survival (OS). The magnitude of the effect was particularly pronounced in pts receiving TAX CT. Conclusions: Pts with TNBC derive significant ORR and PFS benefit from BEV combined with second-line CT. Despite the small sample size, there was a trend (HR 0.624; p = 0.0534) toward OS benefit in pts treated with BEV, especially with TAX CT. [Table: see text]

Surveillance or metastasis-directed therapy for oligometastatic prostate cancer recurrence (STOMP): Five-year results of a randomized phase II trial.

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 10-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Piet Ost ◽  
Dries Reynders ◽  
Karel Decaestecker ◽  
Valerie Fonteyne ◽  
Nicolaas Lumen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Phase Ii ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Hazard Ratio ◽  
Phase Ii Trials ◽  
Curative Intent ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Randomized Phase Ii ◽  
Oligometastatic Prostate Cancer ◽  
Significant Difference

10 Background: Multiple randomized phase II trials suggest that metastasis-directed therapy (MDT) for oligometastatic prostate cancer (PCa) improves progression-free survival, but the majority of trials lack longer follow-up. We present the updated 5-year results from the STOMP-trial. Methods: In this multicentre, randomised, phase II study, asymptomatic PCa patients were eligible in case of a biochemical recurrence following primary PCa treatment with curative intent and presenting with up to 3 extracranial on choline PET-CT and a serum testosterone levels > 50 ng/ml. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to either surveillance or MDT of all detected lesions. Randomisation was balanced dynamically on two factors: PSA doubling time (≤3 vs. > 3 months) and nodal vs non-nodal metastases. The primary endpoint was androgen deprivation therapy (ADT)-free survival. Castrate resistant prostate cancer-free survival (CRPC) was a secondary endpoint. Tests were performed two-sided; p values less than 0.20 were deemed significant. Results: The 5-year ADT-free survival was 8% for the surveillance group and 34% for the MDT group (Figure 1, hazard ratio 0.57 [80% CI: 0.38-0.84], log-rank p = 0.06). There was no significant difference in effect for the different stratification factors (interaction test). The 5-year CRPC-free survival was 53% for the surveillance group and 76% for the MDT group (hazard ratio 0.62 [80% CI: 0.35−1.09]; log−rank p = 0.27). At a median follow for survival of 5.3 years (IQR 4.3-6.3), the 5-year overall survival was 85%, with 6 out of 14 deaths attributed to prostate cancer. Conclusions: The updated STOMP trial outcomes confirm the earlier reported significant difference in ADT free survival in favor of the MDT group compared to surveillance. Prostate-cancer related mortality is low within the first 5 years of diagnosis of oligorecurrent prostate cancer. Clinical trial information: NCT01558427.

scholarly journals Impact of Informative Censoring on the Kaplan-Meier Estimate of Progression-Free Survival in Phase II Clinical Trials

2014 ◽  
Vol 32 (27) ◽  
pp. 3068-3074 ◽  
Author(s):  
Federico Campigotto ◽  
Edie Weller
Keyword(s):  
Treatment Failure ◽  
Phase Ii ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Informative Censoring ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Inadequate Response ◽  
Phase Ii Trials ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Kaplan Meier ◽  
The Impact

Informative censoring in a progression-free survival (PFS) analysis arises when patients are censored for initiation of an effective anticancer treatment before the protocol-defined progression, and these patients are at a different risk for treatment failure than those who continue on therapy. This may cause bias in the estimated PFS when using the Kaplan-Meier method for analysis. Although there are several articles that discuss this issue from a theoretical perspective or in randomized phase III studies, there are little data to demonstrate the magnitude of the bias on the estimated quantities from a phase II trial. This article describes the issues by using two oncology phase II trials as examples, evaluates the impact of the bias using simulations, and provides recommendations. The two trials were selected because they demonstrate two different reasons for censoring. Simulations show that the magnitude of the bias depends primarily on the proportion of patients who are informatively censored and secondarily on the hazard ratio between the group of patients who remain on study and the group of patients who are informatively censored. Recommendations include using an alternative end point, which includes inadequate response and initial signs of clinical progression as treatment failure, and a competing risk analysis for studies in which competing events preclude or modify the probability of observing the primary event of interest. If informative censoring cannot be avoided, then all patients should be observed until progression, and sensitivity analyses should be used as appropriate.

scholarly journals Continuing or ceasing bevacizumab beyond progression in recurrent glioblastoma: an exploratory randomized phase II trial

2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 171-181 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elizabeth J Hovey ◽  
Kathryn M Field ◽  
Mark A Rosenthal ◽  
Elizabeth H Barnes ◽  
Lawrence Cher ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sample Size ◽  
Phase Ii ◽  
Small Sample Size ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Patient Characteristics ◽  
Recurrent Glioblastoma ◽  
Small Sample ◽  
Best Response ◽  
Additional Chemotherapy ◽  
The Difference

AbstractBackgroundIn patients with recurrent glioblastoma, the benefit of bevacizumab beyond progression remains uncertain. We prospectively evaluated continuing or ceasing bevacizumab in patients who progressed while on bevacizumab.MethodsCABARET, a phase II study, initially randomized patients to bevacizumab with or without carboplatin (Part 1). At progression, eligible patients underwent a second randomization to continue or cease bevacizumab (Part 2). They could also receive additional chemotherapy regimens (carboplatin, temozolomide, or etoposide) or supportive care.ResultsOf 120 patients treated in Part 1, 48 (80% of the anticipated 60-patient sample size) continued to Part 2. Despite randomization, there were some imbalances in patient characteristics. The best response was stable disease in 7 (30%) patients who continued bevacizumab and 2 (8%) patients who stopped receiving bevacizumab. There were no radiological responses. Median progression-free survival was 1.8 vs 2.0 months (bevacizumab vs no bevacizumab; hazard ratio [HR], 1.08; 95% CI, .59–1.96; P = .81). Median overall survival was 3.4 vs 3.0 months (HR, .84; 95% CI, .47–1.50; P = .56 and HR .70; 95% CI .38–1.29; P = .25 after adjustment for baseline factors). Quality-of-life scores did not significantly differ between arms. While the maximum daily steroid dose was lower in the continuation arm, the difference was not statistically significant.ConclusionsPatients who continued bevacizumab beyond disease progression did not have clear survival improvements, although the study was not powered to detect other than very large differences. While these data provide the only randomized evidence related to continuing bevacizumab beyond progression in recurrent glioblastoma, the small sample size precludes definitive conclusions and suggests this remains an open question.

scholarly journals A Review of Perspectives on the Use of Randomization in Phase II Oncology Trials

2019 ◽  
Vol 111 (12) ◽  
pp. 1255-1262 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael J Grayling ◽  
Munyaradzi Dimairo ◽  
Adrian P Mander ◽  
Thomas F Jaki
Keyword(s):  
Phase Ii ◽  
Best Practice ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Extensive Literature ◽  
Phase Ii Trials ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Current Trends ◽  
Randomized Design ◽  
Oncology Trial ◽  
Current Design

AbstractHistorically, phase II oncology trials assessed a treatment’s efficacy by examining its tumor response rate in a single-arm trial. Then, approximately 25 years ago, certain statistical and pharmacological considerations ignited a debate around whether randomized designs should be used instead. Here, based on an extensive literature review, we review the arguments on either side of this debate. In particular, we describe the numerous factors that relate to the reliance of single-arm trials on historical control data and detail the trial scenarios in which there was general agreement on preferential utilization of single-arm or randomized design frameworks, such as the use of single-arm designs when investigating treatments for rare cancers. We then summarize the latest figures on phase II oncology trial design, contrasting current design choices against historical recommendations on best practice. Ultimately, we find several ways in which the design of recently completed phase II trials does not appear to align with said recommendations. For example, despite advice to the contrary, only 66.2% of the assessed trials that employed progression-free survival as a primary or coprimary outcome used a randomized comparative design. In addition, we identify that just 28.2% of the considered randomized comparative trials came to a positive conclusion as opposed to 72.7% of the single-arm trials. We conclude by describing a selection of important issues influencing contemporary design, framing this discourse in light of current trends in phase II, such as the increased use of biomarkers and recent interest in novel adaptive designs.

Outcome of patients with recurrent/refractory osteosarcoma enrolled in three recent phase II trials: A report from the Children’s Oncology Group.

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 11530-11530
Author(s):  
Seema Rao ◽  
Ruxu Han ◽  
Mark D. Krailo ◽  
Allen Buxton ◽  
Pooja Hingorani ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Confidence Interval ◽  
Phase Ii ◽  
Primary Endpoint ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Oncology Group ◽  
Phase Ii Trials ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Measurable Disease ◽  
The Impact

11530 Background: Based on seven prior Phase 2 Children’s Oncology Group (COG) trials, the 4-month event-free survival(EFS) and associated confidence interval for relapsed osteosarcoma with measurable disease according to RECIST was determined to be 12% (95% CI 6 - 19%). Three prospective clinical trials were conducted using this historical benchmark to detect activity defined by an EFS improvement of double the upper confidence interval. This report summarizes the outcome of these studies, describes whether the historical data remains an accurate baseline, and considers implications for future phase II trial study design in relapsed osteosarcoma measurable according to RECIST. Methods: We conducted an analysis of outcome for patients with recurrent/refractory osteosarcoma enrolled in three recent prospective COG phase II trials; AOST1321 (unresected cohort), AOST1322 and AOST1521 that used EFS at 4 months as the primary endpoint. Patients were eligible if they had osteosarcoma that had recurred or become refractory after standard therapy and had measurable disease according to RECIST. We assessed whether risk of an EFS event is modified by age, sex, race/ethnicity, number of prior chemotherapy regimens, or time to first relapse. Results: In each of the three phase II trials (unresected group of AOST1321, AOST1322, AOST1521), the drugs tested (denosumab, eribulin and glembatumumab) were concluded to be not effective due to a failure of the patient populations to meet the prespecified active 4-month progression free survival endpoint. The 4-month EFS for the 57 evaluable patients enrolled on these trials was 7% (95% CI 2 – 16%), similar to the 4-month EFS for 96 patients in the previous seven phase II trials of 12% (95% CI 6 - 19%). The combined EFS at 4 months for all 10 studies is 10% (95% CI 6 – 15%).There was no significant difference in EFS across trials based on age, sex, ethnicity, number of prior treatment regimens, consistent with prior analysis. Data from AOST1321 and AOST1521 were analyzed to determine the impact of time to first recurrence on EFS. Two different quantifications were applied: 1 year or less versus 2 or more years; and 2 years or less versus 3 years or more. Neither categorization was statistically significant. Conclusions: The EFS at 4 months in the three new phase II trials is similar to the previous seven phase II single arm trials. The combined analysis of 153 patients from 10 trials tightens the confidence interval, moving the upper 95% CI to 15%. Modification to future study designs could be considered based on this updated analysis. EFS at 4 months remains a robust primary endpoint. Single-arm trials using this endpoint based on the historical benchmark have accrued rapidly and allowed assessment of multiple novel agents in osteosarcoma. The negative trial results and continued poor outcome highlight the need for new approaches for relapsed osteosarcoma. Clinical trial information: NCT02097238, NCT02470091, NCT02487979.

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