An educational tool as an aid for making decisions about the initial treatment of gastric cancer.
e14684 Background: Tools for making individualized numerical estimates of outcomes and to provide useful information are revolutionizing medicine. We have produced such a tool for decision making for patients with gastric cancer [GC] for whom neo/adjuvant therapy might be an option to be considered. Methods: We widely reviewed the medical literature and meta-analyses about adjuvant and neoadjuvant treatment for potentially resectable [GC]. We also reviewed the guidelines' statements about what is considered appropriate treatment for patients. In addition we used information about individual prognosis based on information from the SEER registry, the AJCC, and also as supplemented from the medical literature. Results: Examination of the medical literature shows the value of adjuvant chemotherapy and radiation for [GC]. For example, and recent GASTRIC meta-analysis of 31 trials found that a benefit for overall survival (hazard ratio [HR], 0.82; 95% CI, 0.76-0.90) and for disease-free survival (HR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.75-0.90). There is also a substantial literature supporting the use of these regimens in the neoadjuvant setting (such as the MAGIC study with benefit in overall survival (HR for death, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.60 to 0.93). We found however that these HRs were rarely accompanied with estimates of absolute benefit. A typical quote from the GASTIC analysis is "Five-year overall survival increased from 49.6% to 55.3% with chemotherapy," which reflects the outcomes for an average patient. This information is implied as the basis for treatment recommendations for treatment, but numerical estimates of what is gained are not given in such texts as the NCCN guidelines. Our analysis of the SEER data showed disease specific [GC] mortality at 3 years to range from 4% for patients with low grade stage 1a disease to 49 % for patients with high grade stage IIIa disease. Conclusions: Integrating the information about the base line risks for negative outcome with hazard ratio estimates of the effective therapy we can make individualized estimates of outcome. We have also included in the tool substantial additional information about the nature of the disease, past and ongoing trials, and the safety and efficacy of the treatment opinions.