Hormone receptor expression and risk of recurrence in patients with high-risk endometrial carcinoma treated with chemotherapy.

2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e15502-e15502
Author(s):  
Olivia Claire Barrett ◽  
Omer L. Burnett ◽  
Michael G. Conner ◽  
Yufeng Li ◽  
Jacob Michael Estes ◽  
...  

e15502 Background: Poor long-term survival in high-risk endometrial cancer patients attests to a need for new therapeutic strategies. The prevalence of estrogen (ER) and progesterone receptors (PR) among high-risk endometrial carcinomas has not been systematically studied and is a target to which individualized therapies may be tailored. Methods: 41 women with high grade, stage III/IV and/or aggressive histology endometrial cancer who received post-hysterectomy chemotherapy were identified. Patient, tumor and treatment characteristics were recorded. Immunohistochemical staining of ER and PR was scored on a 0-4 scale incorporating intensity and extent of expression. Receptor-positivity was defined as a score of >= 2. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysesand the Cox proportional hazards model were performed to examine hormone receptor expression and recurrence risk. Results: Median age at surgery was 59 years (range 34-79). Median follow up time was 39 months (range 1-82). Recurrence occurred in 21 women (51%) with median time to first recurrence of 19 months (range 1-71). 22 cancers (54%) were ER+ and 21 (51%) PR+. Median ER and PR expression was 2 and 2, respectively (range 0-4). While ER and PR were not independent factors for recurrence, on multivariate logistic regression analysis ER and PR as continuous values showed recurrence associated with greater ER expression (p = 0.0836) and lesser PR expression (p = 0.0986). Cox proportional hazards model supported the association between increasing ER and decreasing PR with shorter recurrence free survival (p=0.0034, p = 0.0021). An increase in ER score of 1 corresponded to a hazard ratio (HR) of 2.647 (95% CI 1.38-5.08); an increase in PR score of 1 corresponded to a HR of 0.362 (0.19-0.693). Conclusions: More than 50% of high-risk endometrial cancers in this small retrospective cohort receiving cytotoxic chemotherapy expressed positive hormone receptors. Multivariate analyses of hormone receptors suggest increased recurrence with discordant expression of ER and PR. Further investigation is warranted to verify whether differential hormone receptor expression predicts poorer response to cytotoxic systemic therapy.

Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Colin M Wright ◽  
Ilan Goldenberg ◽  
Susan Schleede ◽  
Scott McNitt ◽  
Igor Gosev ◽  
...  

Introduction: Multidisciplinary Pulmonary Embolism Response Teams (PERTs) improve the care of patients with high risk pulmonary embolism (PE). The effect of a PERT on long-term mortality has never been evaluated. Hypothesis: We assessed the hypothesis that PERT would improve mortality of patients with high risk PE. Methods: An observational analysis was conducted of patients before PERT (pre-PERT, N = 137, between 2014 and 2015) after PERT (post-PERT, N = 231, from 2016 to 2019) presenting to the emergency department of a large academic medical center with submassive and massive PE. The primary outcome was six-month mortality with univariate and multivariate analyses. Results: PERT was associated with a sustained reduction in Kaplan-Meier mortality estimates (Figure) through six months (six-month mortality rates of 14% post-PERT vs. 24% pre-PERT, unadjusted HR of 0.57, RRR of 43%, NNT of 10, log-rank p=0.025). A Cox proportional hazards model demonstrated no difference in mortality from diagnosis through 1 month after presentation (HR 1.11 vs pre-PERT, 95% CI 0.55-2.26, p=0.766), but confirmed a reduction in mortality 1-6 months after diagnosis post-PERT (HR 0.42 vs pre-PERT, 95% CI 0.19-0.95, p=0.037). There was a reduced length of stay post-PERT (9.1± 10.8 vs 6.5 ± 9.8 days pre-PERT, P=0.007). Time from triage to diagnosis of PE was independently predictive of mortality, and the risk of mortality was reduced by 4.6% for each hour earlier that the diagnosis was made. Conclusions: In conclusion, this study is the first to demonstrate an association between PERT implementation and reduction in 6-month mortality in patients with high risk PE. This effect of reduced time to PE diagnosis associated with a multidisciplinary PERT may be a mechanism for the reduction in mortality.


2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 1094-1094
Author(s):  
Houssein Talal Abdul Sater ◽  
Ramses F. Sadek ◽  
Li fang Zhang ◽  
Aaron Gopal ◽  
Jean-Pierre Blaize ◽  
...  

1094 Background: Hormone Receptor Status (HS) in breast cancer (BC) is a universally accepted biomarker. ASCO/CAP 2010 guidelines set the threshold of Estrogen and Progesterone Receptor positivity to 1 %. BC with 1-9% HS expression remains controversial with recent data disputing these guidelines. The objective of this retrospective study was to validate these guidelines at Georgia Cancer Center (GCC) with high percentage of black race. Methods: All female patients with invasive BC diagnosed between 2005-2010 at GCC (11y follow-up) were chart reviewed. We used Cox proportional hazards model to explore survival among three HS groups ( < 1%, 1-9%, ≥10%) adjusting for standard prognostic factors. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were also reported. 1-9 %, and ≥10% groups were further explored using same method to test survival difference with or without hormone therapy (HT). Fischer’s Exact test was used to evaluate response to HT in these groups. Results: 400 patients (all stages) with mean age of 59, were 24.75% HS < 1%, 17.5% HS1-9%, and 57.75% HS≥10%. Race was 43.75% Black, and 54% White. Disease stages were 84.4% early (I-IIIA) and 15.56% late (IIIB-IV). Grades were 51.42% low (1-2) and 48.58% high (3). The 2 groups (1-9%, ≥10%) received chemotherapy (42.86%, 39.83%), and HT (58.57%, 80.52%) respectively while 70.71% of < 1% HS group had chemotherapy. Mortality in HS < 1% was significantly higher than HS ≥10% (HR 1.8, 95% CI 1.07-3.02), while mortality between HS 1-9% and HS ≥10% was not different (HR 1.05, 95% CI 0.48-2.30). Treated (HT) subjects had lower mortality than untreated subjects in the 1-9% group (HR 0.10, 95% CI 0.01-0.85). 100% of HT group had no evidence of tumor at last follow up compared to 87.5% in non-treatment group (p = 0.048). There was no significant difference in mortality between treated (HT) 1-9% and ≥10% groups. Conclusions: Hormone receptor expression as low as 1-9% was found to be equi-prognostic to ≥10% expression. It also predicted response to hormonal therapy. Whether other factors as lympho-vascular invasion, grade, and other parameters change the behavior of the 1-9% HS group remain to be explored.


2018 ◽  
Vol 36 (12) ◽  
pp. 1192-1198 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ronald D. Ennis ◽  
Liangyuan Hu ◽  
Shannon N. Ryemon ◽  
Joyce Lin ◽  
Madhu Mazumdar

Purpose There are no randomized trials to guide treatment decisions between radiotherapeutic and surgical options for patients with high-risk localized prostate cancer. Comparative studies have been limited by their ability to match patients on the basis of pretreatment prognostic variables and to adjust for the cancer-related, medical, and socioeconomic differences between patients who choose radiotherapeutic or surgical approaches. Methods We analyzed the outcome of all patients in the National Cancer Database with high-risk, clinically localized prostate cancer with complete prognostic data who were treated with either radical prostatectomy (RP), external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) combined with androgen deprivation (AD), or EBRT plus brachytherapy with or without AD. Inverse probability of treatment weighting was used to adjust for covariable imbalance among treatment groups. The weighted time-dependent Cox proportional hazards model was then used to estimate the effects of treatment groups on survival, accounting for differential treatment initiation times. A predictive model of pathologic nodal (pLN) status was built using prostate-specific antigen level, Gleason score, and clinical T stage; predicted pLN status was used to repeat the inverse probability of treatment weighting and time-dependent Cox proportional hazards model. Results A total of 42,765 patients were analyzed. There was no statistically significant difference in survival between RP and EBRT plus brachytherapy with or without AD (hazard ratio [HR], 1.17; 95% CI, 0.88 to 1.55). However, EBRT plus AD was associated with higher mortality than RP (HR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.22 to 1.92). Adjustment for predicted pLN status did not yield statistically different results. A sensitivity analysis showed that EBRT plus AD ≥ 7920 cGy narrowed the difference, but a significantly higher mortality remained (HR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.05 to 1.68). Conclusion After comprehensively adjusting for imbalances in prostate cancer prognostic factors, other medical conditions, and socioeconomic factors, this analysis showed no statistical difference in survival between patients treated with RP versus EBRT plus brachytherapy with or without AD. EBRT plus AD was associated with lower survival.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Maryam Farhadian ◽  
Sahar Dehdar Karsidani ◽  
Azadeh Mozayanimonfared ◽  
Hossein Mahjub

Abstract Background Due to the limited number of studies with long term follow-up of patients undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention (PCI), we investigated the occurrence of Major Adverse Cardiac and Cerebrovascular Events (MACCE) during 10 years of follow-up after coronary angioplasty using Random Survival Forest (RSF) and Cox proportional hazards models. Methods The current retrospective cohort study was performed on 220 patients (69 women and 151 men) undergoing coronary angioplasty from March 2009 to March 2012 in Farchshian Medical Center in Hamadan city, Iran. Survival time (month) as the response variable was considered from the date of angioplasty to the main endpoint or the end of the follow-up period (September 2019). To identify the factors influencing the occurrence of MACCE, the performance of Cox and RSF models were investigated in terms of C index, Integrated Brier Score (IBS) and prediction error criteria. Results Ninety-six patients (43.7%) experienced MACCE by the end of the follow-up period, and the median survival time was estimated to be 98 months. Survival decreased from 99% during the first year to 39% at 10 years' follow-up. By applying the Cox model, the predictors were identified as follows: age (HR = 1.03, 95% CI 1.01–1.05), diabetes (HR = 2.17, 95% CI 1.29–3.66), smoking (HR = 2.41, 95% CI 1.46–3.98), and stent length (HR = 1.74, 95% CI 1.11–2.75). The predictive performance was slightly better by the RSF model (IBS of 0.124 vs. 0.135, C index of 0.648 vs. 0.626 and out-of-bag error rate of 0.352 vs. 0.374 for RSF). In addition to age, diabetes, smoking, and stent length, RSF also included coronary artery disease (acute or chronic) and hyperlipidemia as the most important variables. Conclusion Machine-learning prediction models such as RSF showed better performance than the Cox proportional hazards model for the prediction of MACCE during long-term follow-up after PCI.


Author(s):  
Yuko Yamaguchi ◽  
Marta Zampino ◽  
Toshiko Tanaka ◽  
Stefania Bandinelli ◽  
Yusuke Osawa ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Anemia is common in older adults and associated with greater morbidity and mortality. The causes of anemia in older adults have not been completely characterized. Although elevated circulating growth and differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) has been associated with anemia in older adults, it is not known whether elevated GDF-15 predicts the development of anemia. Methods We examined the relationship between plasma GDF-15 concentrations at baseline in 708 non-anemic adults, aged 60 years and older, with incident anemia during 15 years of follow-up among participants in the Invecchiare in Chianti (InCHIANTI) Study. Results During follow-up, 179 (25.3%) participants developed anemia. The proportion of participants who developed anemia from the lowest to highest quartile of plasma GDF-15 was 12.9%, 20.1%, 21.2%, and 45.8%, respectively. Adults in the highest quartile of plasma GDF-15 had an increased risk of developing anemia (Hazards Ratio 1.15, 95% Confidence Interval 1.09, 1.21, P&lt;.0001) compared to those in the lower three quartiles in a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model adjusting for age, sex, serum iron, soluble transferrin receptor, ferritin, vitamin B12, congestive heart failure, diabetes mellitus, and cancer. Conclusions Circulating GDF-15 is an independent predictor for the development of anemia in older adults.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 161-161
Author(s):  
Jane Banaszak-Holl ◽  
Xiaoping Lin ◽  
Jing Xie ◽  
Stephanie Ward ◽  
Henry Brodaty ◽  
...  

Abstract Research Aims: This study seeks to understand whether those with dementia experience higher risk of death, using data from the ASPREE (ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly) clinical trial study. Methods: ASPREE was a primary intervention trial of low-dose aspirin among healthy older people. The Australian cohort included 16,703 dementia-free participants aged 70 years and over at enrolment. Participants were triggered for dementia adjudication if cognitive test results were poorer than expected, self-reporting dementia diagnosis or memory problems, or dementia medications were detected. Incidental dementia was adjudicated by an international adjudication committee using the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual for Mental Disorders (DSM-IV) criteria and results of a neuropsychological battery and functional measures with medical record substantiation. Statistical analyses used a cox proportional hazards model. Results: As previously reported, 1052 participants (5.5%) died during a median of 4.7 years of follow-up and 964 participants had a dementia trigger, of whom, 575 (60%) were adjucated as having dementia. Preliminary analyses has shown that the mortality rate was higher among participants with a dementia trigger, regardless of dementia adjudication outcome, than those without (15% vs 5%, Χ2 = 205, p &lt;.001). Conclusion: This study will provide important analyses of differences in the hazard ratio for mortality and causes of death among people with and without cognitive impairment and has important implications on service planning.


Risks ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (7) ◽  
pp. 121
Author(s):  
Beata Bieszk-Stolorz ◽  
Krzysztof Dmytrów

The aim of our research was to compare the intensity of decline and then increase in the value of basic stock indices during the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus pandemic in 2020. The survival analysis methods used to assess the risk of decline and chance of rise of the indices were: Kaplan–Meier estimator, logit model, and the Cox proportional hazards model. We observed the highest intensity of decline in the European stock exchanges, followed by the American and Asian plus Australian ones (after the fourth and eighth week since the peak). The highest risk of decline was in America, then in Europe, followed by Asia and Australia. The lowest risk was in Africa. The intensity of increase was the highest in the fourth and eleventh week since the minimal value had been reached. The highest odds of increase were in the American stock exchanges, followed by the European and Asian (including Australia and Oceania), and the lowest in the African ones. The odds and intensity of increase in the stock exchange indices varied from continent to continent. The increase was faster than the initial decline.


BMC Nutrition ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Akiko Nakanishi ◽  
Erika Homma ◽  
Tsukasa Osaki ◽  
Ri Sho ◽  
Masayoshi Souri ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Dairy products are known as health-promoting foods. This study prospectively examined the association between milk and yogurt intake and mortality in a community-based population. Methods The study population comprised of 14,264 subjects aged 40–74 years who participated in an annual health checkup. The frequency of yogurt and milk intake was categorized as none (< 1/month), low (< 1/week), moderate (1–6/week), and high (> 1/day) intake. The association between yogurt and milk intake and total, cardiovascular, and cancer-related mortalities was determined using the Cox proportional hazards model. Results During the follow-up period, there were 265 total deaths, 40 cardiovascular deaths and 90 cancer-related deaths. Kaplan–Meier analysis showed that the total mortality in high/moderate/low yogurt intake and moderate/low milk intake groups was lower than that in none group (log-rank, P < 0.01). In the multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis adjusted for possible confounders, the hazard ratio (HR) for total mortality significantly decreased in high/moderate yogurt intake group (HR: 0.62, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.42–0.91 for high intake, HR: 0.70, 95%CI: 0.49–0.99 for moderate intake) and moderate milk intake group (HR: 0.67, 95% CI: 0.46–0.97) compared with the none yogurt and milk intake groups. A similar association was observed for cancer-related mortality, but not for cardiovascular mortality. Conclusions Our study showed that yogurt and milk intake was independently associated with a decrease in total and cancer-related mortalities in the Japanese population.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
A Fujino ◽  
H Ogawa ◽  
S Ikeda ◽  
K Doi ◽  
Y Hamatani ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) commonly progresses from paroxysmal type to sustained type in the natural course of the disease, and we previously demonstrated that the progression of AF was associated with increased risk of clinical adverse events. There are some patients, though less frequently, who regress from sustained to paroxysmal AF, but the clinical impact of the regression of AF remains unknown. Purpose We sought to investigate whether regression from sustained to paroxysmal AF is associated with better clinical outcomes. Methods Using the dataset of the Fushimi AF Registry, patients who were diagnosed as sustained (persistent or permanent) AF at baseline were studied. Conversion of sustained AF to paroxysmal AF during follow-up was defined as regression of AF. Major adverse cardiac events (MACE) were defined as the composite of cardiac death, stroke, and hospitalization for heart failure (HF). Event rates were compared between the patients with and without regression of AF. In patients with sustained AF at baseline, predictors of MACE were identified using Cox proportional hazards model. Results Among 2,253 patients who were diagnosed as sustained AF at baseline, regression of AF was observed in 9.0% (202/2,253, 2.0 per 100 patient-years) during a median follow-up of 4.0 years. Of these, 24.3% (49/202, 4.6 per 100 patient-years) of the patients finally recurred to sustained AF during follow-up. The proportion of asymptomatic patients was lower in patients with regression of AF than those without (with vs without regression; 49.0% vs 69.5%, p&lt;0.01). The percentage of beta-blocker use at baseline was similar between the two groups (37.2% vs 33.8%, p=0.34). The prevalence of patients who underwent catheter ablation or electrical cardioversion during follow-up was higher in patients with regression of AF (catheter ablation: 15.8% vs 5.5%; p&lt;0.01, cardioversion: 4.0% vs 1.4%; p&lt;0.01, respectively). The rate of MACE was significantly lower in patients with regression of AF as compared with patients who maintained sustained AF (3.7 vs 6.2 per 100 patient-years, log-rank p&lt;0.01). Figure shows the Kaplan-Meier curves for MACE, cardiac death, hospitalization for heart failure, and stroke. In patients with sustained AF at baseline, multivariable Cox proportional hazards model demonstrated that regression of AF was an independent predictor of lower MACE (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 0.50, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.28 to 0.88, p=0.02), stroke (HR: 0.51, 95% CI: 0.30 to 0.88, p=0.02), and hospitalization for HF (HR: 0.50, 95% CI: 0.29 to 0.85, p=0.01). Conclusion Regression from sustained to paroxysmal AF was associated with a lower incidence of adverse cardiac events. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


Author(s):  
Majdi Imterat ◽  
Tamar Wainstock ◽  
Eyal Sheiner ◽  
Gali Pariente

Abstract Recent evidence suggests that a long inter-pregnancy interval (IPI: time interval between live birth and estimated time of conception of subsequent pregnancy) poses a risk for adverse short-term perinatal outcome. We aimed to study the effect of short (<6 months) and long (>60 months) IPI on long-term cardiovascular morbidity of the offspring. A population-based cohort study was performed in which all singleton live births in parturients with at least one previous birth were included. Hospitalizations of the offspring up to the age of 18 years involving cardiovascular diseases and according to IPI length were evaluated. Intermediate interval, between 6 and 60 months, was considered the reference. Kaplan–Meier survival curves were used to compare the cumulative morbidity incidence between the groups. Cox proportional hazards model was used to control for confounders. During the study period, 161,793 deliveries met the inclusion criteria. Of them, 14.1% (n = 22,851) occurred in parturient following a short IPI, 78.6% (n = 127,146) following an intermediate IPI, and 7.3% (n = 11,796) following a long IPI. Total hospitalizations of the offspring, involving cardiovascular morbidity, were comparable between the groups. The Kaplan–Meier survival curves demonstrated similar cumulative incidences of cardiovascular morbidity in all groups. In a Cox proportional hazards model, short and long IPI did not appear as independent risk factors for later pediatric cardiovascular morbidity of the offspring (adjusted HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.80–1.18; adjusted HR 1.01, 95% CI 0.83–1.37, for short and long IPI, respectively). In our population, extreme IPIs do not appear to impact long-term cardiovascular hospitalizations of offspring.


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